¨ LINKOPING UNIVERSITY Department of Mathematics Mathematical Statistics VT1-2014 TAMS29 ˆ formula, stochastic differential equations 7. Ito 7.1 Let s ≤ t. We recall the fact that Z t f (s) dWs = 0 (1) E 0 Rt 2 f (s) ds < ∞ i.e. we have E[Xt ] = 0. It follows Z s Z t h(x) dWx · h(x)dWx − 0 · 0 CX (s, t) = E[Xs · Xt ] − E[Xs ] · E[Xt ] = E 0 0 Z s Z s Z t =E h(x) dWx · h(x)dWx + h(x)dWx 0 0 s "Z # Z Z for any f such that 0 2 s =E s h(x) dWx 0 0 s Z t h(x) dWx · +E Z h(x)dWx s t = h(x) dWx and h(x) dWx are independent = 0 s "Z # Z t 2 Z s s h(x)dWx =E h(x) dWx +E h(x) dWx · E 0 0 s {z } | {z } | = Using the Itˆ o isometry =0 by (1) Z s =E =0 by (1) Z h(x)2 dx + 0 · 0 = 0 s h(x)2 dx. 0 We get a similar result for t ≤ s and we conclude Z min(s,t) CX (s, t) = h(x)2 dx. 0 7.2a Using the Itˆ o isometry we get "Z 2 # Z t Z t t Itˆ o iso. 2 E W (s) dWs = E W (s) ds = E W (s)2 ds 0 0 Z = t 0 2 s ds = 0 t . 2 b We note the identity (2) 2a(b − a) = 2ab − 2a2 = −(a − b)2 − a2 + b2 = b2 − a2 − (b − a)2 . 1/6 Now by the definition of the Itˆo integral we have the following (where the limit is understood in L2 sense) Z t n X t(j − 1) tj t(j − 1) W (s) dWs = 2 · lim W · W −W 2 n→∞ n n n 0 j=1 2 2 2 n X tj tj t(j − 1) t(j − 1) (2) = lim − W W −W −W n→∞ n n n n j=1 | {z } 2 Telescoping sum n X 2 = lim W (t) − W (0) − n→∞ W j=1 | tj n −W t(j − 1) n 2 {z } −→ t, in L2 * n→∞ (3) = W (t)2 − t. NOTE: Problem 5.2(c) showed that 2 n X tj t(j − 1) a.s. W −W −→ t, n n j=1 while we need to show the limit in L2 . We do this by the following calculation where we denote tj t(j − 1) t ∆Wj := W −W ∼ N 0, . n n n We have 2 2 n n n X X X E ∆Wj2 − t = E ∆Wj2 − 2t ∆Wj2 + t2 j=1 j=1 j=1 2 n n X X ∆Wj2 − 2tE ∆Wj2 + E t2 = E j=1 j=1 n X n n X X =E ∆Wi2 ∆Wj2 − 2t E ∆Wj2 +t2 | {z } i=1 j=1 j=1 t =n = n X i,j=1 t E ∆Wi2 ∆Wj2 −2t · n · + t2 n | {z } 2 2 t 3t =n 2 ,i6=j; = n2 ,i=j t2 3t2 + n · − 2t2 + t2 n2 n2 t2 3t2 = t2 − + − 2t2 + t2 n n 2t2 = −→ 0. n n→∞ = n(n − 1) · 2/6 It follows "Z " 2 # 2 # t 1 W (t)2 − t (3) = E W (t)4 − 2tW (t)2 + t2 W (s) dWs = E E 2 4 0 = t 1 3t2 1 t2 t2 t2 E W (t)4 − E W (t)2 + E t2 = − + = . 4 | {z } 2 | {z } 4 4 2 4 2 =t =3t2 Alternative: Itˆ o’s formula gives us d(Ws2 ) = ds + 2Ws dWs and it follows Z t Z t Z t Z t ds +2 Ws dWs ⇐⇒ W (t)2 = t + 2 Ws dWs ⇐⇒ dW 2 = 0 0 0 0 | {z } | {z } =t =W (t)2 −W (0)2 Z ⇐⇒ 2 t Ws dWs = W (t)2 − t. 0 7.3a We have f (w, t) := ew and thus ∂f ∂2f = = ew . ∂w ∂w2 ∂f = 0, ∂t Itˆ o’s formula gives d(eWt ) = eWt dt + eWt dWt . 2 b We have f (w, t) := cos(w) and thus ∂f = 0, ∂t Itˆ o’s formula gives ∂f = − sin(w), ∂w d(cos(Wt )) = − ∂2f = − cos(w). ∂w2 cos(Wt ) dt − sin(Wt )dWt . 2 7.4a We study Yt := e−at Xt , Y0 = x0 . We have dYt = −ae−at Xt dt + e−at dXt = −ae−at Xt dt + ae−at Xt dt + σe−at dWt |{z} aXt dt+σdWt −at = σe dWt . 3/6 It follows Z t e−as dWs . Yt − Y0 = σ 0 Using Xt = eat Yt yields Xt = x0 eat + σeat Z t e−as dWs , 0 where X(0) = 0 gives x0 = 0. b If dXt = aXt dt + σXt dWt , X0 = 0, then the process Xt will stay at 0 since the increments are proportional to Xt . We will therefore assume that X0 = 1 instead. We make the ansatz X(t, Wt ) = CeAw+Bt . It follows 1 dX(t, Wt ) = C · B · eAWt +V t + A2 eAWt +V t dt + CA · eAWt +bt dWt 2 2 A = B · X(t, Wt ) + X(t, Wt ) + A · X(t, Wt )dWt . 2 We see that (B + A2 /2) = a and A = σ i.e. we have B =a− A = σ, A2 σ2 =a− . 2 2 X0 = 1 gives C = 1 and we get σ2 t . X(t, Wt ) = exp σWt + a − 2 Alternative: We guess that Xt is some kind of exponential and we study ln Xt . We have 1 1 d(ln Xt ) = dXt − (dXt )2 Xt 2Xt2 = dXt = aXt dt + σXt dWt =⇒ (dXt )2 = σ 2 Xt2 dt = 1 X2 Xt Xt = − σ 2 · t2 dt + a dt + σ dWt 2 Xt Xt Xt 2 σ = a− dt + σdWt . 2 We get Z t ln Xt = 0 σ2 a− 2 Z ds + 0 t σ2 σdWt + C1 = a − t + σWt + C1 2 and it follows σ2 Xt = C2 · exp σWt + a − t . 2 4/6 We note that X0 = 1 gives C2 = 1. c We formulate the following proposition Proposition 7.1. If g ≡ g(f ) is a function of f and f ≡ f (w) is a solution of the ordinary differential equation df = g(f (w))dw i.e. f 0 (w) = g(f (w)), then Xt = f (Wt ) is a solution of the stochastic differential equation dXt = 1 0 g (Xt )g(Xt )dt + g(Xt )dWt . 2 Proof. Itˆ o’s lemma gives f 00 (Wt ) dt + f 0 (Wt )dWt 2 , f 0 (W ) = g(f (W )) = g(X ) , t t t = 0 f 00 (Wt ) = g f (Wt ) = g 0 (f (Wt )) · f 0 (Wt ) = g 0 (Xt ) · g(Xt ) dXt = = 1 0 g (Xt )g(Xt )dt + g(Xt )dWt . 2 √ Letting g(x) := σ x gives g 0 (x)g(x) = σ 2 /2. It follows p 1 0 σ2 g (Xt )g(Xt )dt + g(Xt )dWt = dt + σ Xt dWt . 2 4 The above proposition states that a solution of dXt = p σ2 dt + σ Xt dWt 4 is given by Xt = f (Wt ) where f is a solution of f 0 (x) = g(f (x)) or equivalently df = g(f (x))dx. We have p Sep. of variables df √ = σdx df = g(f (x))dx ⇐⇒ df = σ f (x)dx ⇐⇒ f 2 2 p σ x Cσx Integrate ⇐⇒ 2 f = σx + C =⇒ f (x) = + + C 2. 4 2 Thus σ 2 Wt2 CσWt Xt = + + C 2. 4 2 X0 = 0 gives C = 0 and it follows σ 2 Wt2 . 4 We check the answer by using Itˆo’s formula and get p 1 2σ 2 2σ 2 Wt σ2 σWt σ2 dXt = dt + dWt = dt + σ dWt = dt + σ Xt dWt . 2 4 4 4 2 4 Xt = 5/6 Alternative: Make ansatz Xt = g(Wt ). We get 1 00 σ2 g (Wt ) = , 2 p 4 p g 0 (t) = σ Xt = σ g(Wt ) =⇒ (4) =⇒ g 0 (t)2 = σ 2 g(Wt ) (5) From (4) we get g(Wt ) = σ 2 Wt2 /4 + C1 · Wt + C2 (6) and thus g 0 (Wt )2 = (σ 2 Wt2 /2 + C1 )2 = σ 4 Wt4 + C1 σ 2 Wt + C12 . 4 Equation (5) now gives 2 2 σ 4 Wt4 (5) (6) σ Wt + C1 σ 2 Wt + C12 = σ 2 g(Wt ) = + C1 · Wt + C2 4 4 from which it follows C1 = C2 = 0 and thus σ 2 Wt2 . Xt = g(Wt ) = 4 6/6
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