Analyst Day 2014 November 5, 2014 Safe Harbor Disclosure This presentation contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Specifically, forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Safe Harbor include statements concerning projections on the total addressable market for growth, product pricing and market share trends, future growth in the number of connected devices in U.S. homes, future IP camera POS growth trends, projections on LTE product performance and customer base growth, service provider growth opportunities, NETGEAR's products and technology and their expected performance characteristics, specifications and specific uses, and anticipated new product offerings and features. These statements are based on management's current expectations and are subject to certain risks and uncertainties, including, without limitation, the following: future demand for NETGEAR's products may be lower than anticipated; consumers may choose not to adopt NETGEAR's new product offerings or adopt competing products; the actual price, performance and ease of use of NETGEAR products may not meet the price, performance and ease of use requirements of customers; product performance may be adversely affected by real world operating conditions; the ability of NETGEAR to market and sell its products and technology; the impact and pricing of competing products and the introduction of alternative technological solutions; NETGEAR may be unsuccessful or experience delays in manufacturing and distributing its new and existing products; telecommunications service providers may choose to slow their deployment of NETGEAR's products or utilize competing products; NETGEAR may be unable to collect receivables as they become due; and NETGEAR may fail to manage costs. Further, certain forward-looking statements are based on assumptions as to future events that may not prove to be accurate. Therefore, actual outcomes and results may differ materially from what is expressed or forecast in such forward-looking statements. Further information on potential risk factors that could affect NETGEAR and its business are detailed in the Company's periodic filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including, but not limited to, those risks and uncertainties listed in the section entitled “Part II - Item 1A. Risk Factors,” pages 51 through 71, in the Company's quarterly report on Form 10-Q for the fiscal quarter ended September 28, 2014, filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission on November 4, 2014. NETGEAR undertakes no obligation to release publicly any revisions to any forwardlooking statements contained herein to reflect events or circumstances after the date hereof or to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events. All product and company names herein are or may be trademarks of their respective owners. This presentation may reference wireless signal rates. Maximum wireless signal rate derived from IEEE Standard 802.11 specifications. Actual data throughput will vary. 2 Questions? E-mail: [email protected] Patrick Lo Founder, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer Industry Firsts for the Consumer 5 2007: 2010: 2014: First 2-in-1 Powerline Network Extender First to create the WiFi range extender category First with Dynamic Quality of Service (QoS) 2006: 2009: 2012: 2014: World’s first available wireless networking products based on 802.11n draft specs First Dual Band Gigabit Wireless N Router. PC Magazine Editor’s Choice First to market with 802.11ac Nighthawk X6, First tri-band wireless router with breakthrough 3.2Gbps combined speeds Industry Firsts for Business 2003: 2007: 2010: 2013: World’s first Smart Switch First full featured Smart Wireless Switch Industry’s first Unmanaged Plus Switch Launches world’s fastest desktop NAS First all 10-Gigabit Smart Switch First all 10-Gigabit Unmanaged Switch 6 2000: 2005: 2008: 2011: 2014: Industry first Gigabit Unmanaged Switches World’s first Stackable Smart Switch ReadyNAS Duo wins 100 Best Products of the Year Award from PC Magazine Industry’s first VDSL UTM firewall Only networking company to offer lifetime 24/7 technical support for business products First Smart Switch with 10-Gigabit Industry Firsts for Service Providers 7 2010: 2012: 2013: First CableLabs certified dualband 802.11n DOCS IS3.0 Gateway First CableLabs certified dual-band 802.11ac 24 x 8 DOCSIS3.0 Gateway First HDMI Dongle with 802.11ac WiFi 2006: 2011: 2012: 2014: First DOCSIS3.0 Gateway First Security Gateway for NA SPs with iControl certification First Cat-4 Mobile Hotspot First G.fast VDSL Gateway with dualband 802.11ac WiFi Core Strategic Growth Areas 8 Opportunities Presented Last Year Rapidly Grow New Product Categories Execute on Storage Capitalize on any Europe Recovery 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 9 Expand Customer Base and Geographies Successes in 2014 Higher ASPs Rapid expansion on Amazon Excel in switching Expand LTE footprint Strong financial discipline Compelling return of capital to shareholders 10 Nighthawk and 802.11ac David Henry Vice President of Networking, Retail Business Unit WiFi Speed Evolution 3.2 Gbps 900 Mbps 11 Mbps 802.11b 12 54 Mbps 802.11g 802.11n 802.11ac WiFi Matching BB Speed into Homes Docsis 3.1 10,000 XG-PON Fiber / G.fast Docsis 3.0 Speed in Mbps 1,000 Coaxial LTE Cat 9 Pre Docsis 3.0 100 LTE Cat 4 4G LTE Docsis 1.x / 2.0 Bonded VDSL HSPA+ Copper/Fiber 10 ADSL2+ Cable Speeds xDSL Speeds ADSL Mobile BB Speeds 1 2002 13 Source: NETGEAR Internal 2006 2010 2014 Older WiFi Bottlenecks BB Speed 700 N300 Nighthawk Google Fiber 1Gbps 600 500 FIOS >500Mbps 400 300 200 Xfinity >150 Mbps 100 Uverse >45 Mbps 0 Living Room 14 2nd Floor Backyard Bedroom #2 Source: NETGEAR Internal Testing, Publicly Advertised BB Speeds Master Bedroom The NETGEAR Nighthawk Family $199 Nighthawk 3x3 11ac $279 Nighthawk X4 4x4 11ac $299 Nighthawk X6 TriBand 11ac Elevating ASP in US Market +12% $100 $95 $90 $85 $80 $75 $70 $65 Q112 16 Q212 Q312 Q412 Source: NPD US Monthly Data, August 2014 Q113 Q213 Q313 Q413 Q114 Q214 Q314 QTD NETGEAR #1 US Router Market Share 15% 37% 8% NETGEAR Linksys 9% Asus Apple 10% Belkin 21% 17 Source: NPD US Monthly Data, August 2014 Other Older Router’s Range is Not Enough NETGEAR invented the WiFi Range Extender Kitchen Existing Router or ISP Gateway Living Room 18 US WiFi Range Extender Market Millions +22% 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 Q112 19 Q212 Q312 Q412 Source: NPD US Monthly Data, August 2014 Q113 Q213 Q313 Q413 Q114 Q214 Q314 Q314E NETGEAR Leading The Pack N300 $59 AC750 $89 AC1200 $119 NETGEAR Range Extender Growth 6.0 Multiples of Q2 2011 Sales 5.0 4.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 Q3'11 21 Q4'11 Source: NETGEAR Internal Q1'12 Q2'12 Q3'12 Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q1'14 Q2'14 Q3'14 NETGEAR #1 US Range Extender Share 4% 3% NETGEAR 9% Linksys 12% 60% Amped Wireless Belkin 12% TP-Link All Others 22 Source: NPD US Monthly Data, August 2014 Penetration of 9+ Device Homes in US +200% growth 30% +200% 20% 10% 2013 Source: NETGEAR Consumer Survey 2014 2015 NETGEAR First With Tri-Band WiFi Band 1 2.4GHz Band 2 5GHz-1 Band 3 5GHz-2 Automatically separates slower and faster devices in separate WiFi networks 24 Introducing Arlo Pat Collins Vice President of Home Automation Products Millions IP Camera - The Hottest IoT Device $90 CAGR +22% $80 $70 $60 $50 $40 $30 $20 $10 $0 Q112 Q212 Q312 Source: NPD Monthly for US Market 26 Q412 Q113 Q213 Q313 Q413 Q114 Q214 Q314 Q414E Top Features Desired of IP Camera 1st choice 2nd choice High definition video 15% 13% Cameras that were 100% wire-free 10% 10% Nightvision 10% 9% Motion-detection alerts 10% Indoor/outdoor cameras 5% Built-in camera microphones 8% Store recordings to a DVR 9% 7% Store recordings online 6% 7% Expand to 5+ cameras 5% 7% Source: Consumers & Technology Q3 2013 N=3,000 Broadband heads-of-households © 2013 Parks Associates 0% 4% 8% 11% 7% 6% 6% 4% 10% 10% Built-in camera speakers Pan-tilt-zoom capability 11% 10% 10% 8% 12% 9% 11% Smartphone/tablet monitoring 27 3rd choice 8% 9% 7% 5% 5% 10% 20% 30% % Ranking as Top Features 40% 100% Wire-free + No Power Outlet required, battery operated + Easy to set up and deploy anywhere + No ugly power cords, blend in elegantly 28 Weatherproof + Outdoor-Ready + Outside facing in possible + Put it on the fence or the tree 29 Built-in Day and Night Vision + Built in Infra-red Night Vision + See what’s going on day and night in HD 30 High Definition + HD 720p with 130 Degree Field of View + View simultaneous live streams on browser, iOS and Android 31 And More... 100% Mobile + iPhone, iPad, Kindle, Android App + Initial set up, subsequent settings + Streaming 4 cameras at the same time + Getting push notification and view recording 33 Advanced Rules Engine + Talk to and Trigger Between Devices + No Programming Necessary 34 35 21st Century SMBs John McHugh Senior Vice President and General Manager, Commercial Business Unit A Leader in SMB Networking Enterprise technologies to SMBs + Simplicity + Full channel coverage + Lowest total cost of ownership 37 NETGEAR’s SMB Products We ship 1M units a quarter Unmanaged Unmanaged Plus Smart Managed Switching ReadyNAS ReadyData Basic Access points Professional Access points Controllers Wireless LAN 38 Storage Transition to 21st Century SMB Network A Hybrid Cloud & Access Network Architecture Hybrid Cloud Private Cloud Data Center Public Cloud Big Data Center Internet Virtualization Access Networks Cloud Computing Mobility/Wireless/BYOD Old model IP Convergence (voice, video and data) New model IP Convergence + WLAN = PoE NETGEAR has the broadest portfolio of PoE switches for SMB Multi Channel PoE Growth NETGEAR PoE Switches Unit Volume Sales Through NTGR sales data Oct 2014 NETGEAR #1 in PoE Switches Share PoE switch Unit Market Share Other, 19% NTGR, 30% CSCO, 22% HPQ, 29% (based on Context and NPD combined unit market share in 2Q’14) Cloud + Virtualization = 10Gig Fully Managed Layer 2/3 Web Managed Smart Unmanaged Plus NETGEAR has the broadest portfolio of 10Gig switches for SMB Multi Channel 10Gig Growth NETGEAR 10Gbps Switch Unit Volume Sales Through NTGR sales data Oct 2014 NETGEAR #1 in 10Gig Switches 10Gbps switch Unit Market Share CSCO, 4% HPQ, 6% NTGR, 90% (Based on Context and NPD combined unit market share in 2Q’14 for 10Gbs switches less than $10K ASP) The Brand New S3300 Family • Web Managed Smart Switches w/ & w/o PoE • 10Gbps fiber+Copper uplinks • Stackable at non-stackable prices • Extending NETGEAR’s leadership NETGEAR Smart Switching 12% YoY Growth NETGEAR Smart Switch Unit Volume Sales Through NTGR sales data Oct 2014 NETGEAR #1 In Smart Switching Smart Switch Unit Market Share Other, 15% CSCO, 11% NTGR, 46% HPQ, 28% (Based on Context and NPD combined unit market share in 1H’14) Managed Switches – Multi Channels NETGEAR Managed Switch Unit Volume Sales Through NTGR sales data Oct 2014 Managed Switches – Growth Opportunity Lots of share gain opportunities Managed switch Unit Market Share Other, NTGR, 15% 5% CSCO, 32% HPQ, 49% (Based on Context and NPD combined unit market share in 2Q’14 for managed switches less than $10K ASP) Wireless Introductions Adding flexibility and capacity WC7600 / WN370 strong traction + + + + K-12, hospitality focus Dover, NH School District (US) Lake Bluff Resort (US) Salus-Klinik Retreat (Germany) Outdoor AP and 802.11ac SOHO launch + Adds capacity and performance + Completes AP portfolio with outdoor + Opens up new opportunities WLAN Controller Steady Growth Controller Unit Volume Sales Through ReadyRECOVER Backup Appliance Full Backups Every 15 min, Forever! What is ReadyRECOVER? NETGEAR ReadyDATA HW+ StorageCraft ShadowProtect SW What makes ReadyRECOVER unique? Every backup writes only changed data, forever! Every backup is verified in real time, forever! Every backup is a full restore point, forever! Who else can do this? NETGEAR SMB Solutions Win by… • Innovation + + + Rapid deployment of next generation of performance and capabilities Cloud experience consolidates, simplifies deployment and management Aggressively embracing new technology and new sales channels • Simplicity + + + Simplified management and intuitive deployment Bringing together the SMB ecosystem Selling where customers want to buy • Operational Efficiency + + + World-class operations and distribution Leading partner programs Pursuing market development through efficient channels Next Generation Carriers Michael Clegg Senior Vice President and General Manager, Service Provider Business Unit Service Provider Network Migration Data, voice, video all IP-based Home Cloud Cloud Services HFC xDSL FTTx What matters is raw speed. Consumer Devices – A Broad Footprint Mobile Connectivity Ethernet Wi-Fi Phone DECT USB DOCSIS 3.0 FTTx xDSL Wired Monitoring & Automation LTE - Accelerating Transition To All IP Source: Ericsson Expansion in LTE New Accounts New Channels New Device Types IoT LTE Expansion - New Accounts 4G Cat9 4G Cat6 3.5G 4G Cat4 4G Cat3 Existing Customers New Customers LTE Expansion - New Channels Retail AC785S LTE MHS MBR1515 LTE GW Enterprise Enterprise / SMB : Office in a box LTE Expansion - New Devices LTE Expansion - IoT Devices 4G LTE Connected Car 4G LTE Connected CE 4G LTE-enabled accessories Cable’s Next Frontier - DOCSIS3.1 RFoG / DPON 1+ Gbps C7000 AC2300 24 x 8 Cable GW Connected Home - Smarter Connectivity Integration Best WiFi ::::: Multi-WAN Financials Christine Gorjanc Chief Financial Officer NETGEAR Revenue History LTE 802.11ac 10GbE/ PoE IoT $M 1,600 DOCSIS 3.0 1,400 1,200 1,000 802.11n 800 802.11g 600 400 200 0 FY '03 67 FY '04 FY '05 FY '06 FY '07 FY '08 FY '09 FY '10 FY '11 FY '12 FY '13 NETGEAR Average Quarterly EPS (Non-GAAP) $0.80 $0.70 $0.60 $0.50 $0.40 $0.30 $0.20 $0.10 $FY '03 FY '04 FY '05 FY '06 FY '07 FY '08 FY '09 FY '10 Average Quarterly Non-GAAP EPS 68 FY '11 FY '12 FY '13 FY '14 YTD Operating Margin Leverage Opportunities Continuous Supply Chain Improvement Sales Channel Realignment Optimizing Tech Support 69 Capital Allocation Plan ($ Millions) (Shares Millions) $80.0 39.0 38.0 $70.0 68.9 37.0 68.6 63.1 $60.0 36.0 54.1 35.0 $50.0 34.0 $40.0 33.0 40.9 32.0 $30.0 31.0 $20.0 30.0 FY '12 FY '13 Share Repurchase 70 FCF FY '14 (YTD) Common Stock Outstanding Patrick Lo Founder, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer NETGEAR Opportunities in 2015 Rapidly Grow New Product Categories Execute on SMB Capitalize on European Recovery 72 Expand Channel and Customer Base Q&A E-mail: [email protected]
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