CURRICULUM VITAE LISA M. (SEMANICK) REIDER [email protected] EDUCATION AND TRAINING Degrees PhD/2014 University of Maryland Baltimore, Gerontology (Epidemiology track) MHS/2007 Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Epidemiology B.S./2002 Washington College, Biology Certificates Gerontology/2007 Chronic Disease Self Management /2006 Fundamentals for the Research Coordinator/2005 Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health Stanford University, CA Johns Hopkins University PROFESSIONAL EXPERIENCE Assistant Scientist, November 2009-present, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Department of Health Policy and Management. Principal responsibilities include serving as the Director of the Protocol Development, Implementation and Monitoring Core within the Coordinating Center of the Major Extremity Trauma Research Consortium (METRC), a multicenter orthopaedic trauma research consortium. The overall goal of the Consortium is to produce the evidence needed to establish treatment guidelines for the optimal care of the wounded warrior and ultimately improve the clinical, functional and quality of life outcomes of both service members and civilians who sustain high energy trauma to the extremities. Research Associate, June 2007 – October 2009, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Department of Health Policy and Management. Principal responsibilities included directing the Guided Care study, a cluster randomized controlled trial of a model of primary care for high risk older adults with multiple chronic conditions. This involved oversight of all aspects of the trial including study design, data management, delivery of results and preparation necessary to disseminate the model in addition to maintaining subcontracts and institutional review board agreements with partner agencies. Project Coordinator, June 2005 – June 2007, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Department of Health Policy and Management. Primary responsibilities included data management and analysis as well as assisting the project director of the Guided Care study on all aspects of the study. Research Assistant, November 2004- June, 2005, Johns Hopkins School of Medicine, Division of Geriatrics. Facilitated early-stage research project development related to home health care delivery and nursing home services. Conducted secondary data analysis of the National Home Health and Hospice Care and Nursing Home survey data. Project Coordinator, September 2002-November 2004, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Department of Radiology. Primary responsibilities included managing and organizing large data sets of x ray scans from multiple research studies and clinical trials worldwide for bone strength analysis using a program developed by the laboratory. Participated in the statistical analysis and interpretation of study results examining the effects of osteoporosis treatment, diet, hormonal influences and exercise on the structural mechanics of the hip in different ethnic, gender and age groups. Managed IRB applications and subcontract agreements with other universities and pharmaceutical companies. PROFESSIONAL ACTIVITIES Society Membership The Gerontological Society of America (GSA), 2009Society for Clinical Trials (SCT), 2009HONORS AND AWARDS Person in Training Award from the Health Sciences Section of the Gerontological Society of America, 2011. PUBLICATIONS Journal Articles Boyd CM, Wolff JL, Giovannetti E, Reider L, Weiss C, Xue QL, Leff B, Boult C, Hughes T, Rand C. (2014). Healthcare task difficulty among older adults with multimorbidity. Med Care. 52 Suppl 3:S118-25. Giovannetti ER, Reider L, Wolff JL, Frick KD, Boult C, Steinwachs D, Boyd CM. (2013) Do older patients and their family caregivers agree about the quality of chronic illness care? Int J Qual Health Care. 25(5):515-24. Marsteller JA, Hsu YJ, Wen M, Wolff J, Frick K, Reider L, Scharfstein D, Boyd C, Leff B, Schwartz L, Karm L, Boult C. (2013). Effects of Guided Care on Providers’ Satisfaction with Care: A Three-Year Matched-Pair Cluster-Randomized Trial. Population Health Management. 16(5):317-25. Boult C, Leff B, Boyd CM, Wolff JL, Marsteller JA, Frick KD, Wegener S, Reider, L, Frey K, Mroz TM, Karm L, Scharfstine, DO (2013). A matched cluster-randomized trial of guided care for high risk older patients. J Gen Intern Med. 28(5):612-21. Reider L, Hawkes W, Hebel JR, D’Adamo C, Magaziner J, Miller R, Orwig D, Alley DE. (2013). The association between body mass index, weight loss and physical function in the year following a hip fracture. J Nutr Health Aging. 17(1):91-5. Dattalo M, Giovannetti ER, Scharfstein D, Boult C, Wegener S, Wolff JL, Leff B, Frick KD, Reider L, Frey K, Noronha G, Boyd C. (2012). Who Participates in Chronic Disease Self-management (CDSM) Programs? Differences Between Participants and Nonparticipants in Population of Multimorbid Older Adults. Med Care. 50(12):1071-5. Boult C, Reider L, Leff B, Frick KD, Boyd CM, Wolff JL, Frey K, Karm L, Wegener ST, Mroz T, Scharfstein DO. (2011) The Effect of Guided Care Teams on the Use of Health Services: Results from a Cluster-Randomized Controlled Trial. Arch Intern Med. 171(5):460-6. Skolasky RL, Green AF, Scharfstein D, Boult C, Reider L, Wegener ST. (2011). Psychometric Properties of the Patient Activation Measure Among Multi-morbid Older Adults. Health Serv Res. 46(2):457-78. Boult C, Reider L, Leff B, Frick K, Boyd CM, Wolff JL, Frey K, Karm L, Wegener ST, Mroz T, Scharfstein DO. (2011). The Effect of Guided Care Teams on the Use of Health Services: Results from a Cluster-Randomized Controlled Trial. Arch Intern Med. 14;1717(5):460-6. Marsteller J, Hsu YJ, Reider L, Frey K, Wolff JL, Boyd CM, Leff B, Karm L, Scharfstein D, Boult C. (2010). Physician Satisfaction with Chronic Care: A Randomized Trial of Guided Care. Ann Fam Med. 8(4):308-315. Boyd CM, Reider L, Frey K, Scharfstein D, Leff B, Wolff J, Groves C, Karm L, Wegener S, Marsteller J, Boult C. (2009). The Effects of Guided Care on the Perceived Quality of Health Care for Multi-morbid Older Persons: 18 month Outcomes from A Cluster-Randomized Controlled Trial. Journal of General Internal Medicine. 25(3):23542. Wolff JL, Giovannetti ER, Boyd CM, Reider L, Palmer S, Scharfstein D, Marsteller J, Wegener S, Frey K, Leff B, Frick KD, Boult C. (2010). Effects of Guided Care on Family Caregivers. Gerontologist. 50(4):459-470. Giddens JF, Frey K, Reider L, Boult C. (2009). Expanding the Gerontological Nursing Role in Guided Care. Geriatric Nursing. 30(5):358-364. Reider L, Beck T. J., Hochberg M.C., Hawkes W.G., Orwig D., YuYahiro J.A., Hebel R., Magaziner J. (2010). Women with Hip Fracture Experience Greater Loss of Geometric Strength in the Contralateral Hip during the Year Following Fracture Compared to Age-Matched Controls. Osteoporosis International. 21:741-750. Leff B, Reider L, Frick KD, Scharfstein D, Boyd CM, Frey K, Karm L, Boult C. (2009) “Guided Care” and the cost of complex health care. American Journal of Managed Care. 15(8):555-559. Woff JL, Rand-Giovannetti E, Palmer S, Wegener S, Reider L, Frey K, Scharfstein D, Boult C. (2009). Caregiving and chronic care: The Guided Care Program for Families and Friends. J Gerontol A Biol Sci Med Sci. 64A (7):785-791. Boult C, Reider L, Frey K, Leff B, Boyd CM, Wolff J, Wegener S, Marsteller J, Karm L, Scharfstein D. (2008) The early effects of “Guided Care” on the quality of health care for multimorbid older persons: a cluster-randomized controlled trial. J Gerontol A Biol Sci Med Sci. 63A (3):321-327. McNabney MK, Wolff JL, Semanick LM, Kasper JD, Boult C. (2007). Care needs of higher-functioning nursing home residents. Journal of the American Medical Directors Association. 8(6):409-12. Uusi-Rasi K, Beck TJ, Semanick LM, Daphtary M, Crans GG, Desaiah D, Harper KD. (2006). Structural Effects of Raloxifene on the Proximal Femur: Results from the Multiple Outcomes of Raloxifene Evaluation Trial. Osteoporosis Int. 4; 1-12. Semanick LM, Beck TJ, Wheeler V, Patirck A, Bunker C, Zmuda J. (2005). Association of Body Composition and Physical Activity with Proximal Femur Geometry in MiddleAged and Elderly African Men: The Tobago Bone Health Study. Calcified Tissue International. 77(3):160-6. Uusi-Rasi, K., Semanick LM, Zanchetta JR, Bogado CE, Eriksen EF, Sato M, Beck TJ. (2005). Effects of teriparatide [rhPTH(1-34)] treatment on structural geometry of the proximal femur in elderly osteoporotic women. Bone. 36(6):948-58. Khoo B, Beck TJ, Qiao Q, Parakh Q, Semanick L, Prince R, Singer K, Price R. (2005). In vivo short-term reproducibility of hip structure analysis variables in comparison with bone mineral density Using paired dual-energy x-ray absorptiometery scans from multicenter clinical trials. Bone. 37(1):112-21. Berger VW, Semanick L. (2005). Refining the Assessment of the sensitivity and specificity of diagnostic tests, with applications to prostate cancer screening and nonsmall-cell lung cancer staging. Rev Panam Salud Pbulica. 18(1):64-70. Books Boult, C., Giddens, J., Frey, K., Reider, L., Novak, T. Guided Care A New NursePhysician Partnership in Chronic Care. Springer Publishing. New York, NY, 2009. CURRICULUM VITAE LISA REIDER PART II TEACHING: Annual METRC Research Coordinator Trainings (2010, 2011, 2012, 2013) Training Sessions: Guided Care Nurse Training (2006) Workshops: “Measuring Bone Structural Geometry with DXA Data” at the 25th American Society of Bone Mineral Research Annual meeting (2003) RESEARCH GRANT PARTICIPATION: “Guided Care: Integrating High Tech and High Touch”, July 1, 2005- June 30, 2010; funded by the AHRQ/NIA/Hartford Foundation, Chad Boult (PI); $2,421,196 A randomized-controlled trial designed to evaluate the effect of a specially trained Guided Care Nurse on the quality and outcomes of care for high-risk older persons, their voluntary caregivers, and their primary care physicians. My role on the grant is to serve as the Project Director. “Treatment Burden in Complex Older Patients as a Target for Intervention”, December 1, 2008- July 31, 2010; funded by the AHRQ, Cynthia Boyd (PI); $154,404 The purpose of this work is to develop instruments and strategies to assist clinicians and older patients integrate multiple therapeutic regimens in a patient-centric manner to improve clinical outcomes. My role on the grant is to serve as the data analyst. “Extremity Trauma Research Consortium”, September 15, 2009-August 31, 2014; funded by the Department of Defense, Ellen MacKenzie (PI); $18,000,000 The purpose of this multi-center consortium is to address the critical research issues challenging recover from severe extremity trauma. My role on this grant is to serve as Associate Director for the core within the Coordinating Center tasked with protocol development, implementation and monitoring. “The Major Extremity Trauma Research Consortium”, September 29, 2010-September 28, 2015; funded by the Department of Defense, Ellen MacKenzie (PI); $38,657,995 This grant provides the opportunity to add clinical sites to the existing consortium and to conduct additional studies that address the critical research issues challenging recover from severe extremity trauma. My role on this grant is to serve as Associate Director for the core within the Coordinating Center tasked with protocol development, implementation and monitoring. ACADEMIC SERVICE: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health Department of Health Policy and Management Served: member, Research Committee, 2009- PRESENTATIONS: Reider L, Hawkes W, Hebel JR, D’Adamo C, Magaziner J, Miller R, Orwig D, Alley DE. The Association Between Body Mass Index, Weight Loss and Physical Function in the Year Following a Hip Fracture. Paper presentation at the Gerontological Society of America Meeting, Boston, MA, November 2011. Giovannetti E, Reider L, Xue QL, Wolff J, Hughes T, Weiss CO, Leff B, Rand C, Boult C, Boyd C. Factors Associated with Change in Health Care Task Difficulty Among Multimorbid Older Adults. Poster Presentation at American Geriatric Society Annual Research Meeting. Washington D.C. May 2011. Yerges-Armstrong L.M., Hochberg M.C., Hawkes W., Reider L., Beck T., Hebel R., Orwig D., Magaziner J. Bone Mineral Density in Men with and without Hip Fracture. Poster Presentation at American Society of Bone Mineral Research Annual Research Meeting. Toronto, Canada. October 2010. Marsteller J, Hsu YJ, Reider L, Frey K, Wolff JL, Boyd CM, Leff B, Karm L, Boult C. Physician Satisfaction with Chronic Care: Results from a Three-Year Randomized Trial of Guided Care. Poster Presentation at AcademyHealth Annual Research Meeting. Boston, MA: June 2010. Marsteller J, Wen M, Hsu YJ, Reider L, Frey K, Wolff JL, Boyd CM, Leff B, Wegener S, Karm L, Boult C. Nurse Satisfaction with the Guided Care Role over Time. Poster Presentation at Academy Health Annual Research Meeting. Boston, MA: June 2010. Reider L. Improving the Quality and Efficiency of Health Care for Older Adults. Community Forum on Health, cosponsored by CIGNA and Johns Hopkins HealthCare. Baltimore, MD; March 2010. Marsteller J, Hsu YJ, Reider L, Frey K, Wolff JL, Boyd CM, Leff B, Karm L, Scharfstein DO, Boult C. Physician Satisfaction with Chronic Care: A Randomized Trial of Guided Care. Academy Health Annual Research Meeting. Chicago, IL; June 2009. L. Reider. Guided Care: Challenges of Implementing an RCT of a Health Service Intervention in the Primary Care Setting. The Gerontological Society of America 61st Annual Scientific Meeting National Harbor, MD. November 2008. Symposium. Preliminary Outcomes of a Cluster Randomized Controlled Trial of Guided Care. The Gerontological Society of America 61st Annual Scientific Meeting. Washington, DC; November 2008. Reider L.Preliminary Outcomes of the RCT of Guided Care. Wolff J. and Rand-Giovannetti E. The Guided Care Program for Families and Friends. Marsteller J. Satisfaction among Physicians Working with a Guided Care Nurse. Frick K. Early Effects of Guided Care on Annualized Use of Services. Frey K. Specialization of the Guided Care Nurse. Dattalo M, Boult C, Wegener S, Rand-Giovannetti E, Reider L, Frey K. Individual and Contextual Factors that Influence Multi-morbid Older Adults' Participation in Chronic Disease Self-Management Programs. 136th Annual Meeting of the American Public Health Association. San Diego, CA; October 2008. L. Reider, Beck T. J, Hochberg M, Hawkes W, Orwig W. YuYahiro J, Hebel R, Magaziner, J. Women who Fractured their Hips Experience Greater Loss of Geometric Strength in the Contralateral Hip During the Year Following Fracture Compared to AgeMatched Controls. Plenary Poster Presentation at the American Society for Bone Mineral Research, Montreal. September 2008. Marsteller JA, Fagan P, Schuster A, Hsu YJ, Dunbar L, Rosenthal L, Millman A, Boyd C, Reider L, Frey K, Boult C. Integration of Care Management into Primary Care Practice: Care Manager Perspectives. Academy Health 2008 Annual Research Meeting. Washington, DC; June 2008. Boyd CM, Leff B, Marsteller J, Reider L, Frey K, Karm L, Boult C. Effects of Guided Care on Chronically Ill Patient's Utilization of Inpatient Services. Society of General Internal Medicine Annual Meeting. Pittsburgh, PA; April 2008. Dunbar L, Karm L, Reider L, Frey K, Marsteller J, Boult C. Guided Care for Members with Chronic Conditions. 26th National Meeting of the VA Health Services Research and Development Service. Baltimore, Maryland; February 2008. Dunbar L, Karm L, Reider L, Frey K, Marsteller J, Boult C. Guided Care for Members with Chronic Conditions. State of the Military Health System 2008 Annual Conference. Washington, DC; January 2008. Symposium. Guided Care: Implementing the Chronic Care Model for Frail Older Persons. The Gerontological Society of America 60th Annual Scientific Meeting "The Era of Global Aging: Challenges & Opportunities." San Francisco, CA; November 2007. Frey K. Implementing the Chronic Care Model for Frail Older Persons. Boyd C. The Clinical Model. Wolff J. Education and Support for Informal Caregivers. Wegener S. Developing and Maintaining Health Behaviors. Reider L. Design and Ongoing Randomized Controlled Trial. Boult C. Diffusion into Practice. Boyd C, Leff B, Wolff J, Reider L, Noronha G, Karm L, Boult C. Predictors of SelfRated Quality of Primary Care for Multimorbid Older Adults. Annual Scientific Meeting of the Society of General Internal Medicine; 2007. Boult C, Leff B, Boyd C, Wolff J, Wegener S, Reider L, Frey K, Rand-Giovannetti E. A Cluster-Randomized Controlled Trial of Guided Care: Baseline Data and Initial Experiences. Annual Scientific Meeting of the American Geriatrics Society; 2007. Boult C, Leff B, Boyd C, Reider L, Brager R, Frey KP. Guided Care for Multi-Morbid Older Adults. Annual Meeting of the American Public Health Association; 2006. L. Semanick. Teriparatide [rhPTH (1-34] Treatment Improves the Structure of the Proximal Femur in Women with Osteoporosis. 25th American Society of Bone Mineral Research Annual Meeting: Minneapolis, Minnesota, September 22, 2003 Abstract Title of Dissertation: Evaluating the Relationship between Muscle and Bone Modeling Response in Older Adults Lisa Reider, Doctor of Philosophy, 2014 Dissertation Directed by: Jay Magaziner, PhD, Department of Epidemiology Background: Bone modeling, the process that continually adjusts bone strength in response to prevalent muscle-loading forces throughout an individual’s lifespan, may play an important role in bone fragility with age. Femoral stress, an index of bone modeling response can be estimated using measurements of DXA derived bone geometry and loading information incorporated into an engineering model. Assuming that individuals have adapted to habitual muscle loading forces, greater stresses indicate a diminished response and a weaker bone Aims/Methods: The aims of this dissertation were to 1) evaluate the association of femoral stress with measures of lean mass and muscle strength among healthy older adults participating in the Health ABC study using linear regression; 2) determine whether femoral stress predicts incident fracture among the same cohort of older adults using cox proportional hazards models; and 3) evaluate the association of femoral stress with measures of lean mass and muscle strength in women after hip fracture participating in the 3rd and 4th cohort of the Baltimore Hip Studies using linear regression and to determine whether femoral stress changes the year following fracture using longitudinal data analysis. Results: Lean mass explained more of the variation in femoral stress than measures of muscle strength among healthy older men and women as well as in women with hip fracture. Remaining variability in femoral stress may reflect individual variation in modeling response. After adjusting for measures of lean mass and strength, women in the highest tertile of femoral stress had 77% higher hazard of fracture and men in the highest tertile of femoral stress had 84% higher hazard of fracture relative to women and men in the lowest tertile, respectively. This suggests that deficiencies in bone modeling response may be an important predictor of fracture. Femoral stress did not appear to change the year following fracture in older women. Conclusion: Future studies should focus on refining measures of bone modeling response by incorporating better measures of muscle force. While femoral stress does not have clinical applications per se, it allows us to investigate a potentially important mechanism underlying bone fragility and provides a framework for thinking about treatments that could improve the interaction between muscle and bone. Evaluating the Relationship between Muscle and Bone Modeling Response in Older Adults By Lisa Semanick Reider Dissertation submitted to the Faculty of the Graduate School of the University of Maryland, Baltimore in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy 2014 Acknowledgements I’d like to acknowledge the support and mentorship from my dissertation committee: Jay Magaziner, Dawn Alley, Thomas Beck, Michelle Shardell, Ram Miller, and John Schumacher. Your engagement, collaborative approach and thoughtful reviews made this an extremely valuable experience for me. I’d like to give special thanks to Thomas Beck who gave me my first “real” job- thank you for being a great boss, teacher, mentor and friend. I feel incredibly fortunate for all you have done; I would not be where I am without your guidance and encouragement. I’d like to thank my colleagues; I am lucky to work with a wonderful, smart, and ambitious team of people. Thank you for inspiring me to work hard every day. I’d like to thank my family and friends who have supported and encouraged me through many, many years of school. And finally I’d like to give a special acknowledgement to my husband, Nick, for sticking by me every step of the way, for reminding me what is truly important and for forcing me to take breaks when I needed them the most; for not putting our life on hold. iii Table of Contents Chapter Page Acknowledgements………………………………………………………………... iii List of Tables………………………………………………………………………. iv List of Figures……………………………………………………………………… v Chapter 1: Overview……………………………………………………………... 1 Why is Bone Adaptation Important? ................................................................... 1 Specific Aims………………………………………………………………… 3 Organization of the Dissertation………………………………………………... 3 Chapter 2: Review of Previous Research on the Bone-Muscle Relationship…. 6 Changes in Bone and Muscle with Age………………………………………… 6 Theoretical Support for Skeletal Adaptation…………………………………… 9 Measuring Bone Modeling Response…………………………………………... 15 Chapter 3: Methods………………………………………………………………. 29 Overview of Methods…………………………………………………………... 29 Overview of Data Sets………………………………………………………….. 31 Measures………………………………………………………………………... 34 Study Samples………………………………………………………………… 42 Analysis Plan…………………………………………………………………… 44 Limitations……………………………………………………………………… 47 Strengths………………………………………………………………………... 48 Power Calculation……………………………………………………………… 50 iv Chapter 4: Evaluating the Relationship between Muscle and Bone Modeling Response in Older Adults……………………………………………………… 59 Chapter 5: An Estimate of Bone Modeling Response Predicts Incident Fracture in Older Adults………………………………………………………… 78 Chapter 6: Evaluating the Relationship between Muscle and Bone Modeling Response in Older Women after a Hip Fracture……………………………….. 96 Chapter 7: Discussion…………………………………………………………….. 112 Appendix…………………………………………………………………………... 120 Glossary……………………………………………………………………………. 126 References…………………………………………………………………………. 127 v List of Tables Table Page Table 4.1. Baseline Characteristics for Men and Women by Quartile of Femoral Stress……………………………………………………………………………….. 72 Table 4.2. Partial Correlation of Femoral Stress with Percent Lean Mass and Body Adjusted Knee Strength Adjusted for Site………………………………….. 74 Table 4.3. Association between Percent Total Body Lean Mass, Total Body Adjusted Knee Strength and Femoral Stress among Men and Women…………… 74 Table 5.1. Baseline Characteristics for Men and Women with and without a Fracture…………………………………………………………………………….. 90 Table 5.2. Incidence Rate (per 1000 person years) of Fracture by Tertile of Femoral Stress……………………………………………………………………... 91 Table 5.3. Cox Proportional HR and 95% CIs by Tertile of Femoral Stress……… 91 Table 6.1. Study Sample Characteristics by Quartile of Femoral Stress…………... 107 Table 6.2. Partial Correlation of Femoral Stress with Percent Lean Mass and Body Adjusted Grip Strength Adjusted for Site…………………………………… 107 Table 6.3. Association of Femoral Stress with Percent Total Body Lean Mass, Total Body Adjusted Grip Strength among Women after Hip Fracture (n=138)….. 108 vi List of Figures Figure Page Figure 1a. The mechanostat framework for bone adaptation…………………….. 4 Figure 1b. Dissertation aims. These aims will focus on the component of the mechanostat theory that addresses the relationship between mechanical load, load generated stresses, and bone structural geometry…………………………… 4 Figure 3.1. HSA pixel profiles of bone cross sections measured at the narrow neck (NN), intertrochanteric (IT) and shaft regions of the femur. Only measures at the NN are used in the femoral stress calculation……………………………… 34 Figure 3.2. Dimensions from the HSA profile at the narrow neck region used to calculate femoral stress…………………………………………………………… 35 Figure 3.3. Estimating Femoral Stress. W1 refers to body weight, Fm to the abductor muscle force, and Fj to the joint force at the femoral head. NL= Neck Length; d= distance from the center of mass; TL= distance from the weight vector to the outer surface of the greater trochanter; SL= shaft length is computed from forensic formula on height: α = neck shaft angle from HSA ; β= 10 degrees; θ= 19 degrees. A detailed description of the stress calculation is included in the Appendix…………………………………………………………. 36 Figure 4.1. Estimating Femoral Stress. W1 refers to body weight, Fm to the abductor muscle force, and Fj to the joint force at the femoral head. NL= Neck Length; d= distance from the center of mass; TL= distance from the weight vector to the outer surface of the greater trochanter; SL= shaft length is computed from forensic formula on height: α = neck shaft angle from HSA ; β= 10 degrees; θ= 19 degrees. A detailed description of the stress calculation is included in the Appendix…………………………………………………………. 63 Figure 5.1. Estimating Femoral Stress. W1 refers to body weight, Fm to the abductor muscle force, and Fj to the joint force at the femoral head. NL= Neck Length; d= distance from the center of mass; TL= distance from the weight vector to the outer surface of the greater trochanter; SL= shaft length is computed from forensic formula on height: α = neck shaft angle from HSA ; β= 10 degrees; θ= 19 degrees. A detailed description of the stress calculation is included in the Appendix…………………………………………………………. 82 Fig 5.2. Time to fracture in men and women by tertile of femoral stress (p value comparing groups using the log rank test)………………………………………... 92 Figure 6.1. Estimating Femoral Stress. W1 refers to body weight, Fm to the vii abductor muscle force, and Fj to the joint force at the femoral head. NL= Neck Length; d= distance from the center of mass; TL= distance from the weight vector to the outer surface of the greater trochanter; SL= shaft length is computed from forensic formula on height: α = neck shaft angle from HSA ; β= 10 degrees; θ= 19 degrees. A detailed description of the stress calculation is included in the Appendix…………………………………………………………. 99 Figure 6.2 Change in Femoral Stress over the 12 months following hip fracture (n=138)…………………………………………………………………………… 108 viii Chapter 1: Overview Why is Bone Adaptation Important? One of the central functions of the skeleton is to form the levers that enable muscle-actuated body motions. An important evolutionary aspect of doing so is the ability of the bone to continually adjust the amount, the distribution, and to some extent the properties of its material. This ensures that bone has the necessary rigidity to provide functional motion but is not so heavy as to restrict evolutionary survival 1. Functionally, bone adapts to changes in mechanical load generated by muscle forces throughout life by adding material where it is needed to resist increased loads and by removing bone from where it is no longer needed when loads diminish. Muscle loading forces on bone have important clinical relevance because they influence the physiologic regulatory mechanisms that govern bone adaptation and therefore affect bone strength 2. The underlying mechanism for bone adaptation and the conceptual framework guiding this dissertation are described by Frost’s Mechanostat theory (Figure1a). According to the Mechanostat theory, bone constantly evaluates its mechanical environment and compares it with what is expected under normal habitual loading conditions in order to optimize bone architecture and maintain bone strains via bone modeling 1. The bone adaptive process has implications for the ability of bone to resist fractures as trauma occurs throughout life. This is particularly important in older adults with osteoporosis, a skeletal disorder characterized by bone fragility and an increased risk of fracture. Osteoporosis results in high health care costs, poor functional outcomes, chronic disability and even death 3. Since changes in muscle load drive bone adaptation 1 and therefore bone strength, it is important to evaluate the ability of bone to respond to these loading forces. While bone adaptation should continue throughout life, older individuals with a deficient modeling response may build weaker, more fragile bones. Declines in bone strength that often occur with age may be attributed to concurrent declines in muscle load including reduced physical activity, loss of muscle mass and diminished muscle strength. However it is also possible that declines in bone strength are a result of deficiencies in bones response to muscle load stimuli. While many studies have examined the loading forces that cause bones to fracture, few have evaluated the physiologic loading forces that influence bone strength and bones adaptive response to these forces. Evaluating these relationships may help understand the mechanisms underlying bone fragility and help identify older adults at risk of future fracture. The purpose of this dissertation is to evaluate the relationship between measures of muscle load and an estimate of bone modeling response among older adults. In order to assess bone modeling response, it would be ideal to measure the strains (distortions of the bone architecture) caused by loading forces. Load generated strains cannot be measured non-invasively however they are proportional to stresses which quantify the concentration of loading force at a specific point within the bone. Stresses can be estimated using bone geometry from DXA image data and information about loading forces applied to a defined region of the bone. An estimate of the stresses generated at the medial cortex of the femoral neck in a one legged stance will be used to make inferences about bone modeling response in order to address the specific aims of this dissertation. These aims are addressed in three separate papers (Figure 1b). The first paper evaluates how different measures of muscle load are related to femoral stress among 2 healthy older adults. The second paper determines whether femoral stress is associated with incident fracture. The third paper evaluates how different measures of muscle load are related to femoral stress among older women with a hip fracture and will determine whether femoral stress changes during the year following fracture. Specific Aims Aim 1: To evaluate the association of measures of muscle load (lean mass and muscle strength) with femoral stress among healthy older adults. Aim 2: To determine whether femoral stress predicts incident fracture among older adults. Aim 3: To evaluate the association of measures of muscle load (lean mass and muscle strength) with femoral stress among women with a hip fracture; and to describe the change in femoral stress during the year following hip fracture. Organization of the Dissertation The second chapter of the dissertation provides a review of prior research that has contributed to our understanding of bone adaptation and why bone response to muscle loading forces including lean mass and muscle strength is an important indicator of the mechanisms underlying bone fragility. The third chapter provides a detailed description of the femoral stress calculation as well as the analysis plan for each of the three papers. The fourth chapter includes a final draft of the three papers. The fifth chapter integrates the results from all three papers and provides a discussion of the implications of these results for future research. 3 Figure 1a. The mechanostat framework for bone adaptation Figure 1b. Dissertation aims. These aims will focus on the component of the mechanostat theory that addresses the relationship between mechanical load, load generated stresses, and bone structural geometry. 4 References 1. Skerry, TM 2006 One mechanostat or many? Modifications of the site-specific response of bone to mechanical loading by nature and nurture. J Musculoskelet Neuronal Interact 6:122-127. 2. Forwood, MR 2001 Mechanical effects on the skeleton: are there clinical implications? Osteoporos Int 12:77-83. 3. Ensrud, KE 2013 Epidemiology of fracture risk with advancing age. J Gerontol A Biol Sci Med Sci 68:1236-1242. 5 Chapter 2: Review of Previous Research on the Bone-Muscle Relationship This chapter will provide an overview of the research that has contributed to our understanding of bone adaptation and why bone response to muscle loading forces including lean mass, muscle strength and physical activity is an important mechanism underlying bone fragility. The first section of this chapter will describe the physiological changes in bone and muscle that occur with age. The second section will provide theoretical support for bone functional adaptation highlighting the importance of muscle loading effects on bone. This section will also discuss how bone functional adaptation is related to osteoporosis. The final section will discuss methods for measuring bone modeling response using DXA image data and how this information can be used to make inferences about deficiencies in the modeling response in older adults. Changes in Bone and Muscle with Age Changes in Bone with Age Throughout life, bone is continuously regenerated through remodeling, a tightly controlled process which involves the resorption of old bone via osteoclast cells and the formation of new bone via osteoblast cells. With age, this process is thought to become unbalanced and the amount of resorbed bone surpasses the amount of bone that is replaced. This is thought to be a result of age-related cellular changes including apoptosis of bone cells, decline in osteoblast generation, and hormonal changes that affect the cell signaling pathways that stimulate bone modeling 1. Changes in bone across the human lifespan are most commonly examined in terms of the corresponding decline in bone mineral density (BMD). In conventional terms BMD is clinically equated with bone strength because the age patterns in BMD 6 correspond reasonably well to epidemiological observations in the incidence of osteoporosis, osteoporotic fracture and even to laboratory measurements of bone strength where bones are experimentally fractured. However, BMD is highly dependent on bone size and shape and is not a measure of strength per se. Bone strength depends on bone material properties defined by the stiffness and porosity of bone tissue and bone architecture (i.e. the distribution of tissue within the bone. Tissue properties are difficult to measure non-invasively but bone architecture can be measured using two and three dimensional imaging technology. Bone architecture is also referred to as bone geometry because the dimensions used to describe geometry are those used in engineering calculations. Bone geometry has provided important information about age related changes in bone strength and their biomechanical implications for bone fragility and fracture. It is well documented that bone diameter increases with age 2-5. In the presence of loss of bone mass, wider bones are structurally stronger than bones with narrow in diameter because the bone is distributed further from the center of mass, conferring a more stable structure. Bone strength is reflected by section modulus (Z), a measure of bone strength in bending and cross sectional area (CSA), a measure of bone strength in compression. Bone weakness can occur if bone resorption from within the bone exceeds formation of new bone on the outer surfaces because it results in thinner bone cortices. Studies have shown that older adults with hip fracture have wider bones, lower CSA, lower Z and thinner cortices compared to older adults without a fracture 6,7. Previous studies comparing BMD to bone structural geometry found that some indices of bone strength, when included in fracture prediction models with BMD, have 7 independent associations with fracture. However, compared with BMD, key bone strength outputs did not do any better at predicting hip fracture 7,8. The value of measuring bone geometry is that it provides an explanation for why low BMD is a useful marker for fracture 9. People with the same BMD can have different structural strength based on how the mass is distributed throughout the bone. Furthermore, indices of bone structural strength are more strongly associated with physical activity than BMD and may be better measures for evaluating the relationship between muscle and bone 10. Changes in Muscle with Age A number of factors are associated with age related changes in muscle including 1) reduction in the number of motor neurons which are necessary to activate muscle fibers in contraction; 2) muscle fiber atrophy; 3) change in muscle quality ie: fatty infiltration in muscle; 4) imbalance of protein synthesis which leads to muscle loss; and 5) loss of tendon stiffness 11-13. These changes lead to a loss of muscle function, specifically the loss of power necessary to perform mobility related tasks such as walking, rising from a chair, climbing steps or maintaining balance. While muscle decline varies by skeletal site and gender, studies have estimated that adults experience a 40% loss in lean mass and muscle cross sectional area between the ages of 20 and 60. In addition, cross sectional and longitudinal studies show a 20-40% reduction in upper and lower limb muscle contractile power during this period 11 While age related declines in both muscle mass and muscle strength often occur together, research shows that these changes aren’t necessarily correlated 1415. For example, studies of the effects of resistance training on muscle mass and muscle strength have shown that changes in strength were observed before changes in mass 14 Other cross 8 sectional studies have shown that muscle mass explains only 35% of the variability in muscle strength 14. This is important because many studies use muscle mass as a proxy for muscle strength, when in fact they may have independent effects. Since the theoretical basis for bone adaptation is supported by changes in muscle loading forces, it may be important to consider both muscle mass and muscle strength in evaluating this relationship. Theoretical Support for Skeletal Adaptation Bone Functional Adaptation and the Mechanostat Theory In the late 1900’s, Julius Wolff, an orthopedic surgeon, first described the bioengineering model of bone adaptation stating that mechanical load influences the structure of bone tissue over the course of a lifetime. Since then and particularly over the last several decades, “Wolff’s Law” has evolved into our current understanding of bone functional adaptation which is governed by two important principals: 1) organisms are able to adapt their structure to new living conditions and 2) bone cells respond to mechanical strain 16. Underlying bone functional adaptation is a dynamic regulatory system that operates through a series of feedback loops where strain (the deformation of bone tissue) is the controlling influence on bone. This regulatory system is triggered by mechanical stimulation of the bone tissue which elicits a cellular response. Although the exact mechanisms are not fully understood, numerous studies show that osteocyte cells which are aligned on the surface of bone sense changes in load generated by compression, bending or torsion of cortical bone and subsequently produce signaling molecules that orchestrate the activities of osteoblast and osteoclast cells 17. Higher levels of strain from loading events such as 9 vigorous physical activity result in the addition of bone tissue and lower levels of strain from inactivity lead to bone resorption. In both cases, the purpose of bone adaptation is to restore strain to original levels. 16. In the 1970s, Lanyon and colleagues made the first in vivo assessments of strain and showed that peak strain magnitudes were similar in weight bearing long bones across many different species 18-21 Despite the uniformity of peak strains across species, strain magnitudes are not the same in all bones and the strain threshold that produce change in bone structure may also differ. This is because different skeletal locations are not habitually loaded in the same manner. For example, the skull has lower peak strains than the tibia which experiences more load from every day activity. In addition to peak strain magnitude, the rate of strain change and its direction, as well as the number of cycles, the duration of loading and the frequency of repetition are also important factors that influence bone adaptation 22-26. Studies have shown that high rates of strain on the order of 100-200,000 microstrains per second generated by activities of jumping or running have a strong bone forming effect while microstrains less than 4,000 microstrains per second have no effect27. Harold Frosts’s mechanostat theory refined the bone functional adaptation model for load bearing bones by focusing attention on muscles as the primary determinant of mechanical load. His work identified the “minimum effective strain” thresholds that would evoke a positive and negative adaptive response to muscle forces. Positive responses would induce bone modeling and increase bone mass and strength, while negative responses would result in bone resporption and a decrease in bone mass and strength 28,29. 10 This model is known as the mechanostat theory since the mechanism underlying the feedback loop is similar to a room with a thermostat that senses temperature change, activating heat when the room becomes too cold and turning the heat down when the room becomes too hot. The bone mechanostat set points are influenced by muscle forces and are likely mediated by non mechanical factors including drugs, diet, hormones, genetics and disease. According to the mechanostat theory, bone constantly evaluates its mechanical environment and compares it with what is expected under habitual loading conditions in order to optimize bone architecture. “Normal” loading conditions are highly individualized and therefore disuse and overloading are relative to these individual set points 30. Muscle forces: Drivers of Bone Functional Adaptation The field of pediatric and adolescent bone research developed the concept of the “functional muscle-bone unit,” which suggests that bone fragility and bone disease result from the mechanostats failure to regulate bone strength. Muscle development precedes bone development, providing evidence for making causal inferences about the relationship between muscle and bone strength observed in children and young adults 31. Studies haves shown that bone mineral content (BMC) and an index of bone strength based on bone dimensions obtained from three dimensional pQCT data have a strong linear association with age and muscle size during childhood and early adulthood. This suggests that BMC and bone strength are a function of muscle development in both children and young adults 32. The relationship between muscle and bone shifts in girls after puberty with girls having larger bones than can be explained by their muscle strength. It is possible that estrogen effects the mechanostat in girls by lowering the 11 remodeling threshold so that bone mass can increase more rapidly than in boys. This would allow girls to build more bone for extra calcium necessary for gestation later in life 32 . In clinical practice, the relationship between muscle size or force and BMC can be used to diagnose bone development problems in children. For example, bone defects can be identified if BMC is lower than expected for muscle force or size or if muscle force or size is too low for height using a standard “normal” reference population. Similarly, reference curves of the BMC/lean mass ratio in older adults by gender and menopausal status can be used to identify osteopenia 33. We currently do not employ these methods in practice when investigating bone disease in older adults although many studies have recognized the importance of accounting for muscle mass when measuring bone strength. Studies in older men and women have shown that lean muscle mass is a stronger predictor of bone strength as measured by the geometric attributes of the bone, than fat mass and body weight. 34-37 This is likely attributed to the forces generated by muscles to which bones respond, and indeed recent studies show that muscle forces are significantly associated with bone strength 38,39. Studies have shown that among older adults, declines in muscle mass and strength and bone fragility are closely related. For example, one study found that sarcopenia, a condition characterized by elevated muscle loss resulting in loss of muscle strength, and function is associated with osteoporosis. This study showed that sarcopenic older women with a hip fracture were 80% more likely to have osteoporosis than non-sarcopenic older women 40. The close relationship between muscle and bone is also observed after hip fracture when bone mass, bone strength and lean mass continue to significantly decline 41-43 12 Since muscle size and muscle strength are positively associated with bone strength and because muscle size and strength are influenced by physical activity, physical activity should therefore have positive effects on bone. Physical activity effects on bone are stronger in children than they are in adults 44This is because bone and muscle continue to grow during childhood and children and adolescents are more physically active than older adults. According to the mechanostat theory, bones that have adapted to strong muscle forces as a result of vigorous activity in young adulthood would adapt to declines in physical activity in older age by lowering the strain threshold for bone formation. In order to produce an osteogenic response in these individuals, physical activity would have to be vigorous enough to raise the strain threshold to induce bone formation. The activities necessary to induce bone modeling may not be achievable in frail older adults 44. Among older adults that do remain physically active, it is possible to obtain a positive effect on bone, but the gains from activity tend to be small. It could be the case that some individuals have a deficient modeling response to muscle loading forces which may explain why their bones become fragile. How the Mechanostat Theory Explains Bone Fragility and Osteoporotic Fracture in Older Age Lanyon and Skerry proposed a hypothesis that suggests bone fragility in older adults is the result of failure of bone to adapt to normal loading conditions rather than a “systemic disorder” defined by hormone regulated bone loss. They made four arguments in support of this hypothesis based on the principle that the objective of functionally adaptive bone modeling and remodeling is to establish and maintain bone architecture to sufficiently reduce fracture risk. First, they provided evidence in support of the 13 mechanostat theory from studies demonstrating that changes in strain environment effect changes in bone architecture. Bone cells respond to strain related stimuli to turn on either bone modeling or remodeling which results in targeted changes to bone architecture 45. Second, the authors draw parallels between individuals with apparent modeling deficiencies and individuals with osteoporosis. There is some evidence from animal and human studies that suggest similarities in bone architecture changes indicating structurally weaker bones 45. Individuals with a reduced modeling response will not be able to adapt appropriately to changes in functional load bearing and thus will have higher internal bone strains requiring more force to illicit a positive bone response (ie: bone formation). Higher bone strains are indicative of weaker bones and are likely associated with higher risk for fracture. 46. Since fragility fractures account for a sizable component of annual health care expenditures in the United States, which is expected to increase as the population ages 47it is important to identify those at highest risk for fracture. Detecting bone modeling deficiencies may be another important aspect of defining fracture risk. Third, the authors suggest that the decline in estrogen receptors may contribute to the impairment of bone’s adaptive response in both men and women. Several studies have shown that low or absent estrogen receptor numbers are associated with osteopenia. There is also evidence that bone cells’ response to strain is modulated through a response pathway that requires estrogen receptors. Finally, the authors briefly discuss results from exercise studies that show that bone loss can be reversed from participation in vigorous exercise. However, there are no studies evaluating the outcomes of continued loading of bones with diminished modeling response. If active individuals are unable to build bone, 14 this may be indicative of an underlying pathology related to the bone adaptive response as opposed to the ability to generate force on bone. The authors advocate for other ways to affect the adaptive response including supplementing exercise with estrogen, providing strain stimuli through other mechanisms like vibrating platforms and by targeting the cellular pathways that control bone cell response to strain 45. Identifying the cellular pathways that control bone modeling response to muscle load induced strain is critical for understanding the mechanisms that result in bone fragility. However, we can also glean important information about bone adaptation by better characterizing physiologic muscle load in older age. The section below describes how bone modeling response can be estimated from readily available image data and how this information can be used to further our knowledge about the relationship between muscle and bone. Measuring Bone Modeling Response Animal models Animal models have been used extensively to study bone response to mechanical loading. A common experimental model uses a loading apparatus to produce bending loads on the ulna of mature rats. In one such study, strain in the loaded ulna increased by 70-100% compared to the unloaded control limb. This stimulated an increase in bone diameter in regions under highest bone strain in the direction of the bending load, resulting in a 64-165% increase in bone strength measured directly in mechanical tests after rats were sacrificed 48. Load induced strain on bone can also be measured in vivo using strain gauges attached directly to the muscle. Studies conducted in monkeys and dogs showed that maximum bone strains increased when going from a walk to a trot or 15 gallop, demonstrating that bone strains increased when the intensity of activity increased. Results also indicated that bone structural strength was higher in regions that bore the highest strain during vigorous physical activity. These studies demonstrate that increases in bone strain are associated with positive changes in bone structure resulting in stronger bones. The bone response to load induced strain observed in animal studies should be evident in humans; however, extrapolating results from animal studies to make inferences about human bone adaptation should be done with caution for several reasons. First, animal studies conducted in laboratories control for the variability in movement and are typically measured during walking or running on flat surfaces like treadmills. Under “normal” loading conditions movement is more heterogeneous in load direction and therefore in where the bone strains are highest. Second, the direction and location of the strain is also influenced by muscle position and patterns of habitual (and non-habitual) activity which differ across species 16. Finally, age related changes in mechanical and non mechanical factors that influence bone adaptation will differ across species as a result of differences in physiologic aging. Measuring bone modeling response in humans A direct measure of bone modeling response to load would require a measure of in vivo strains (ie: deformation of bone tissue) or their cellular stimuli; however it is not currently possible to do this in a non invasive manner. Stresses, which quantify the concentration of loading force at a specific location in the bone, can be computed using measurements of bone geometry and information about the magnitude and direction of 16 loading forces. Stress is proportional to strain and therefore provides an index of modeling response. Previous studies have employed models using three dimensional data and finite element modeling techniques in order to measure bone stresses at the proximal femur during gait and from the forces generated by a fall. A study by Lotz et al. evaluating femoral stress showed that during gait and falls, the distribution of load shifted from trabecular bone to cortical bone. During gait, compressive stresses were concentrated at the inferior region of the femoral neck whereas during falls, stresses were concentrated in the superior-posterior neck region 49. This study also showed that femoral stresses were higher in osteoporotic compared to non osteoporotic bone. Subsequent studies have supported these findings by demonstrating that cortices in the superoposterior region of the femur, which experiences the highest stresses in a sideways fall, get significantly thinner with age and are thinner in older adults who fracture compared to those who do not 50-52. A recent case control study of older men and women with and without hip fracture showed that the supero-posterior region of the femur best predicted fracture and that the cortical thickness in this area was much lower in fracture cases compared to non fracture controls 53. These studies demonstrate that stresses increase in areas of the bone that are structurally weak. This is important for explaining why bones fracture in certain regions rather than others but it doesn’t explain why the bone became structurally weakened in the first place. It is possible that the under-loading of these regions with age contributes to structurally weaker bones; bone strength is adjusted downward to adapt to low activity or disuse. However bone fragility may also be explained by modeling deficiencies which 17 adjusts the bone to a weaker condition than expected for a given load. Therefore, in order to interpret femoral stress as an index of bone modeling response, we must control for maximum physiologic forces generated by normal loading conditions; higher stresses relative to individual load may indicate a deficient response. One way to do this is by estimating femoral stresses in a single legged stance. Stresses are estimated in the medial cortex, an area of the femoral neck that experiences the highest forces from standing, gait and other load bearing activity. This region is therefore structurally stronger compared to other areas along the cortex to bear these loads and the cortex tends to remain thick even in old age 52. Bone structural strength in this area of the bone will have adapted to loads generated under normal loading conditions and should therefore tell us something about how the bone has adapted to these loads. An underlying assumption of this model is that at steady-state when loads are not drastically changing, bones in an individual can be considered to be adapted to the prevalent loads that they experience. If all individuals responded identically to loads, the stresses produced in any bone by the adaptive load should be identical. However, given variation in response to load, those with reduced response should produce bones that are weaker and generate higher stresses. To compute the stress, it is necessary to know the bone geometry at the narrow neck and the maximal loading forces that are applied to that area. Bone geometry can be estimated from two or three dimensional images. The advantage of using two dimensional image data like dual energy x-ray absorptiometry (DXA) scans is that they are widely available on individuals participating in large cohort studies and clinical trials. The method most frequently used for measuring bone 18 dimensions from DXA data is the Hip Structural Analysis program. The program converts raw DXA images into a bone mass format so that pixel profiles of the bone mineral distribution and bone structural properties can be estimated in a cross sectional slice at three different regions - at the narrowest section of the neck, the intertrochanteric region and the femoral shaft. HSA has been employed in numerous studies including studies evaluating bone structural strength in children 54-62, studies describing racial and gender differences in bone strength 63-70, studies evaluating the relationship between bone strength and fracture 7,43, studies evaluating treatment of osteoporosis 71-77, studies of genetic determinants of bone structural strength 78-80, and studies describing the association between body composition and bone strength 6,34,35,81-83. From the HSA output at the femoral neck, cross sectional moment of inertia (CSMI), a measure of the forces on the bone in bending, and CSA, a measure of the axial forces along the narrow neck, can be derived. Femoral stress can be estimated based on these dimensions along with information about loading forces in a single leg stance 46. While measuring femoral stress is an indirect method of evaluating the effects of muscle load on bone, it may be able to provide us with important information about bone adaptation in older adults and advance our knowledge about the relationship between bone and muscle. Currently, bone strength assessments require the interpretation of a multitude of measures that must be interpreted together. Femoral stress may provide one useful measure of bone strength that is based on the mechanical loading forces that influence them. Using this model, a previous study showed that women with a history of fracture had higher femoral stress compared to women with no fracture 46. Building upon that 19 study, this dissertation will employ the femoral stress model to further investigate the relationship between muscle load and bone. In order to detect deficiencies in modeling response, we need to measure stress generated under maximum load. In this model, stresses are estimated under a single body weight load as the maximal forces on bone can’t be directly measured. However we know that forces are muscle driven and therefore are some multiple of body weight. If everyone experienced the same forces, then we could say higher femoral stress indicates deficiencies in load using the current model. But since muscle varies across individuals, we need to account for that variability. 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Bell, KL, Loveridge, N, Power, J, Garrahan, N, Stanton, M, Lunt, M, Meggitt, BF, Reeve, J 1999 Structure of the femoral neck in hip fracture: cortical bone loss in the inferoanterior to superoposterior axis. J Bone Miner Res 14:111-119. 51. Crabtree, N, Loveridge, N, Parker, M, Rushton, N, Power, J, Bell, KL, Beck, TJ, Reeve, J 2001 Intracapsular hip fracture and the region-specific loss of cortical bone: analysis by peripheral quantitative computed tomography. J Bone Miner Res 16:13181328. 52. Mayhew, PM, Thomas, CD, Clement, JG, Loveridge, N, Beck, TJ, Bonfield, W, Burgoyne, CJ, Reeve, J 2005 Relation between age, femoral neck cortical stability, and hip fracture risk. Lancet 366:129-135. 53. Johannesdottir, F, Poole, KE, Reeve, J, Siggeirsdottir, K, Aspelund, T, Mogensen, B, Jonsson, BY, Sigurdsson, S, Harris, TB, Gudnason, VG, Sigurdsson, G 2011 Distribution of cortical bone in the femoral neck and hip fracture: a prospective case-control analysis of 143 incident hip fractures; the AGES-REYKJAVIK Study. Bone 48:1268-1276. 54. Jackowski, SA, Faulkner, RA, Farthing, JP, Kontulainen, SA, Beck, TJ, Baxter-Jones, AD 2009 Peak lean tissue mass accrual precedes changes in bone strength indices at the proximal femur during the pubertal growth spurt. Bone 44:1186-1190. 55. Wetzsteon, RJ, Petit, MA, Macdonald, HM, Hughes, JM, Beck, TJ, McKay, HA 2008 Bone structure and volumetric BMD in overweight children: a longitudinal study. J Bone Miner Res 23:1946-1953. 56. Macdonald, HM, Kontulainen, SA, Petit, MA, Beck, TJ, Khan, KM, McKay, HA 2008 Does a novel school-based physical activity model benefit femoral neck bone strength in pre- and early pubertal children? Osteoporos Int 19:1445-1456. 57. Petit, MA, Beck, TJ, Hughes, JM, Lin, HM, Bentley, C, Lloyd, T 2008 Proximal femur mechanical adaptation to weight gain in late adolescence: a six-year longitudinal study. J Bone Miner Res 23:180-188. 58. Petit, MA, McKay, HA, MacKelvie, KJ, Heinonen, A, Khan, KM, Beck, TJ 2002 A randomized school-based jumping intervention confers site and maturity-specific benefits on bone structural properties in girls: a hip structural analysis study. J Bone Miner Res 17:363-372. 25 59. Petit, MA, Beck, TJ, Kontulainen, SA 2005 Examining the developing bone: What do we measure and how do we do it? J Musculoskelet Neuronal Interact 5:213-224. 60. Janz, KF, Gilmore, JM, Levy, SM, Letuchy, EM, Burns, TL, Beck, TJ 2007 Physical activity and femoral neck bone strength during childhood: the Iowa Bone Development Study. Bone 41:216-222. 61. Janz, KF, Burns, TL, Levy, SM, Torner, JC, Willing, MC, Beck, TJ, Gilmore, JM, Marshall, TA 2004 Everyday activity predicts bone geometry in children: the iowa bone development study. Med Sci Sports Exerc 36:1124-1131. 62. Forwood, MR, Bailey, DA, Beck, TJ, Mirwald, RL, Baxter-Jones, AD, Uusi-Rasi, K 2004 Sexual dimorphism of the femoral neck during the adolescent growth spurt: a structural analysis. Bone 35:973-981. 63. Chen, Z, Qi, L, Beck, TJ, Robbins, J, Wu, G, Lewis, CE, Cauley, JA, Wright, NC, Seldin, MF 2011 Stronger bone correlates with African admixture in African-American women. J Bone Miner Res 26:2307-2316. 64. Nelson, DA, Beck, TJ, Wu, G, Lewis, CE, Bassford, T, Cauley, JA, LeBoff, MS, Going, SB, Chen, Z 2011 Ethnic differences in femur geometry in the women's health initiative observational study. Osteoporos Int 22:1377-1388. 65. Nelson, DA, Pettifor, JM, Barondess, DA, Cody, DD, Uusi-Rasi, K, Beck, TJ 2004 Comparison of cross-sectional geometry of the proximal femur in white and black women from Detroit and Johannesburg. J Bone Miner Res 19:560-565. 66. Nelson, DA, Barondess, DA, Hendrix, SL, Beck, TJ 2000 Cross-sectional geometry, bone strength, and bone mass in the proximal femur in black and white postmenopausal women. J Bone Miner Res 15:1992-1997. 67. Wang, XF, Duan, Y, Beck, TJ, Seeman, E 2005 Varying contributions of growth and ageing to racial and sex differences in femoral neck structure and strength in old age. Bone 36:978-986. 68. Cauley, JA, Lui, LY, Stone, KL, Hillier, TA, Zmuda, JM, Hochberg, M, Beck, TJ, Ensrud, KE 2005 Longitudinal study of changes in hip bone mineral density in Caucasian and African-American women. J Am Geriatr Soc 53:183-189. 69. Travison, TG, Beck, TJ, Esche, GR, Araujo, AB, McKinlay, JB 2008 Age trends in proximal femur geometry in men: variation by race and ethnicity. Osteoporos Int 19:277287. 26 70. Yates, LB, Karasik, D, Beck, TJ, Cupples, LA, Kiel, DP 2007 Hip structural geometry in old and old-old age: similarities and differences between men and women. Bone 41:722-732. 71. Takada, J, Miki, T, Imanishi, Y, Nakatsuka, K, Wada, H, Naka, H, Yoshizaki, T, Iba, K, Beck, TJ, Yamashita, T 2010 Effects of raloxifene treatment on the structural geometry of the proximal femur in Japanese women with osteoporosis. J Bone Miner Metab 28:561-567. 72. Chen, Z, Beck, TJ, Cauley, JA, Lewis, CE, LaCroix, A, Bassford, T, Wu, G, Sherrill, D, Going, S 2008 Hormone therapy improves femur geometry among ethnically diverse postmenopausal participants in the Women's Health Initiative hormone intervention trials. J Bone Miner Res 23:1935-1945. 73. Beck, TJ, Lewiecki, EM, Miller, PD, Felsenberg, D, Liu, Y, Ding, B, Libanati, C 2008 Effects of denosumab on the geometry of the proximal femur in postmenopausal women in comparison with alendronate. J Clin Densitom 11:351-359. 74. Uusi-Rasi, K, Beck, TJ, Semanick, LM, Daphtary, MM, Crans, GG, Desaiah, D, Harper, KD 2006 Structural effects of raloxifene on the proximal femur: results from the multiple outcomes of raloxifene evaluation trial. Osteoporos Int 17:575-586. 75. Uusi-Rasi, K, Semanick, LM, Zanchetta, JR, Bogado, CE, Eriksen, EF, Sato, M, Beck, TJ 2005 Effects of teriparatide [rhPTH (1-34)] treatment on structural geometry of the proximal femur in elderly osteoporotic women. Bone 36:948-958. 76. Greenspan, SL, Beck, TJ, Resnick, NM, Bhattacharya, R, Parker, RA 2005 Effect of hormone replacement, alendronate, or combination therapy on hip structural geometry: a 3-year, double-blind, placebo-controlled clinical trial. J Bone Miner Res 20:1525-1532. 77. Bonnick, SL, Beck, TJ, Cosman, F, Hochberg, MC, Wang, H, de Papp, AE 2009 DXA-based hip structural analysis of once-weekly bisphosphonate-treated postmenopausal women with low bone mass. Osteoporos Int 20:911-921. 78. Streeten, EA, Beck, TJ, O'Connell, JR, Rampersand, E, McBride, DJ, Takala, SL, Pollin, TI, Uusi-Rasi, K, Mitchell, BD, Shuldiner, AR 2008 Autosome-wide linkage analysis of hip structural phenotypes in the Old Order Amish. Bone 43:607-612. 79. Karasik, D, Dupuis, J, Cupples, LA, Beck, TJ, Mahaney, MC, Havill, LM, Kiel, DP, Demissie, S 2007 Bivariate linkage study of proximal hip geometry and body size indices: the Framingham study. Calcif Tissue Int 81:162-173. 80. Rivadeneira, F, van Meurs, JB, Kant, J, Zillikens, MC, Stolk, L, Beck, TJ, Arp, P, Schuit, SC, Hofman, A, Houwing-Duistermaat, JJ, van Duijn, CM, van Leeuwen, JP, Pols, HA, Uitterlinden, AG 2006 Estrogen receptor beta (ESR2) polymorphisms in 27 interaction with estrogen receptor alpha (ESR1) and insulin-like growth factor I (IGF1) variants influence the risk of fracture in postmenopausal women. J Bone Miner Res 21:1443-1456. 81. Beck, TJ, Petit, MA, Wu, G, LeBoff, MS, Cauley, JA, Chen, Z 2009 Does obesity really make the femur stronger? BMD, geometry, and fracture incidence in the women's health initiative-observational study. J Bone Miner Res 24:1369-1379. 82. Szulc, P, Uusi-Rasi, K, Claustrat, B, Marchand, F, Beck, TJ, Delmas, PD 2004 Role of sex steroids in the regulation of bone morphology in men. The MINOS study. Osteoporos Int 15:909-917. 83. Looker, AC, Beck, TJ, Orwoll, ES 2001 Does body size account for gender differences in femur bone density and geometry? J Bone Miner Res 16:1291-1299. 28 Chapter 3: Methods Overview of Methods The purpose of this dissertation is to examine the relationship between measures of muscle load and bone modeling response among older adults. Bone modeling, the process that continually adjusts bone strength in response to prevalent loading forces throughout an individual’s lifespan, may play an important role in bone fragility with age. As discussed in Chapter 2, bone modeling has been described in terms of the Frost Mechanostat, in which bone tissue is added or removed to ensure that minute deformations (strains) of bone tissue remain within some ‘normal’ range 1. Individuals with a deficient modeling response would be expected to add less bone in response to load stimuli and thus have reduced skeletal strength and greater susceptibility to fracture. Since strains cannot be directly measured in vivo, we can evaluate modeling response by looking at stresses, which are proportional to strains. The femoral stress estimate used in the analyses described below is based on a calculation of the stress generated at the medial cortex of the proximal femoral neck in a one legged stance. The advantage of measuring stresses in this region is that the medial cortex experiences the highest forces from standing, gait and other load bearing activities and is therefore structurally stronger than other areas along the cortex. Bone structural strength in this area of the bone will have adapted to forces generated under normal loading conditions and should therefore tell us something about how the bone has adapted to these loads. We can get a measure of femoral stress using body weight, but unless we use the right force (or correct for it) we can’t tell from that measure alone if higher stress is due to reduced muscle load or a deficiency in response to load. To differentiate the reasons for a high 29 stress measure, we would either need 1) an invasive way to confirm deficiencies in cellular response to load, or 2) a direct measure of muscle forces to see if one has higher stress than expected given the level of force experienced. As a result, the best we can do is account for measures of muscle load (approximations of force) in our assessment of femoral stress. The analyses proposed below will evaluate the associations of multiple measures of muscle loading forces with femoral stress. The aims of this study will be addressed in three separate papers using data from the Health ABC study and the 3rd and 4th Baltimore Hip Study. Aim 1 (Health ABC visit 1) The first paper will provide a cross sectional evaluation of the association of measures of muscle load with femoral stress among healthy older adults ages 70-79 participating in the Health ABC study at visit 1. The purpose of this aim is to determine the amount of variation in stress explained by different sources of muscle load including lean mass and muscle strength. Linear regression will be used to model these associations separately for men and women. Aim 2 (Health ABC all visits) In the second paper, continuous time survival models will be used to determine whether femoral stress at visit 1 among older adults participating in Health ABC is associated with time to first fracture. If higher stresses indicate a reduced response to load and therefore a weaker bone, individuals with higher stresses at visit 1 may be more likely to fracture compared to individuals with lower stresses. 30 Aim 3 (BHS 3 & 4) The third paper will provide a cross sectional evaluation of the association of measures of muscle load with femoral stress among older women with a hip fracture participating in the 3rd and 4th waves of the Baltimore Hip Studies. Linear regression will be used to model these associations. This paper will also address whether femoral stress changes the year following fracture. Mixed effect models will be used to evaluate the change in femoral stress. Overview of Data Sets Health Aging and Body Composition (Health ABC) The Health Aging and Body Composition (Health ABC) study cohort includes 3,075 black men and women recruited from Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania and Memphis Tennessee in the period between March 1997 through July 1998. White participants were recruited from a random sample of Medicare beneficiaries using zip codes from these two cites and black participants were recruited from all age eligible residents in the same geographic areas. To be eligible for the study, older adults had to be between 70-79 years of age during the recruitment period and have no self reported disability. This included self report of no difficulty with walking one quarter mile or climbing 10 stairs without resting; no difficulty performing activities of daily living; and no reported use of an ambulatory aid including a cane, walker, crutches or other special equipment. Eligibility criteria also included no history of active treatment for cancer in the prior 3 years, no enrollment in a lifestyle intervention trial and no plan to move out of the area in the following 3 years 2. 31 The baseline visit included a home interview to collect information on self reported health status, weight history, physical function and activity, work and volunteer activities, appetite and eating behavior, smoking and alcohol use, sleep habits, pain, chronic conditions, osteoporosis and falls, medical conditions, health care and social support. Home interviews were followed by a clinic visit during which participants were asked to complete physical performance tests, provide a fasting blood sample, and undergo a bone density scan for measures of body composition and BMD. An inventory of medications currently being taken along with height, weight and cognitive status were also assessed during the baseline clinic visit. Participants were followed annually for a total of 13 years. Follow-up clinic visits included similar measures of function, health and behavior. Home exams were offered to participants who were unable or unwilling to return. If home exams were refused, a telephone interview was obtained using a proxy informant identified by the participant during previous visits if necessary 2. The Health ABC study data is ideal for addressing Aims 1 and 2 because the data include DXA scans previously analyzed using the HSA software which is necessary for computing femoral stress. Further, this data set also contains robust measures of lean mass and muscle strength necessary to evaluate the associations described in Aim 1. Finally, this study objectively measured occurrences of incident fracture from hospital data allowing us to evaluate the association between femoral stress and time to fracture described in Aim 2. Baltimore Hip Studies (BHS) 3 & 4: Hip Fracture in Women Participants in BHS3, a prospective cohort study of hip fracture recovery, were recruited from two area hospitals from 1992-1995. Participants were recruited within 48 32 hours of admission and included 205 Caucasian women age 65 years or older with a new hip fracture of the proximal femur. Women were excluded if they had a pathologic or distal femur fracture, or if they were admitted more than 48 hours following fracture 3. Participants were evaluated at 3 and/or 10 days after hospital admission and at 2, 6 and 12 months later 3. Participants in BHS4, a prospective randomized trial of a year-long home-based exercise program following usual care for hip fracture, were recruited from three area hospitals from 1998-2004. Participants were recruited within 15 days of fracture and included 180 community dwelling women 65 years or older admitted within 72 hours of a nonpathological hip fracture. Women were excluded if they had a pathologic fracture, cardiovascular, neurologic and respiratory diseases, bone disease, metastatic cancer, cirrhosis, end stage renal disease, hardware in the contralateral hip and conditions that increased risk of falling while exercising. Women were also excluded if they could not walk without assistance from another person prior to fracture or if they scored lower than 20 on the Mini Mental State Examination. Participants were evaluated at 10 days after enrollment and at 2, 6, and 12 months later 4. Measures were collected at the clinical site or, when this was not possible, in the participant’s home. The BHS-3 & 4 study data is ideal for addressing Aim 3 because the data include DXA scans previously analyzed using the HSA software which is necessary for computing femoral stress as well as robust measures of lean mass and muscle strength. The BHS-3 & 4 also captures these measures at multiple points in time during the year following a hip fracture allowing us to investigate how femoral stress changes during a time period when significant changes in bone and muscle occur 3,5-7 33 Measures Central to all three study aims is femoral stress which can be computed at the hip from DXA derived geometry combined with information about forces in a simple engineering model using a single body weight force 8,9. Bone geometry was measured using the Hip Structural Analysis (HSA) program developed at The Johns Hopkins University 10 which employs conventional DXA image data to derive geometric properties of bone cross-sections using principals first described by Martin and Burr 11 .The HSA software generates geometry from profiles of pixel values traversing the proximal femur at its narrowest point when viewed in a frontal plane DXA image (Fig 3.1 & 3.2). Figure 3.1. HSA pixel profiles of bone cross sections measured at the narrow neck (NN), intertrochanteric (IT) and shaft regions of the femur. Only measures at the NN are used in the femoral stress calculation. 34 Figure 3.2. Dimensions from the HSA profile at the narrow neck region used to calculate femoral stress The software also provides information to locate the center of the femoral head in order to estimate the weight vector, the neck-shaft angle, the vector distances to the femoral neck cross-section, the abductor force and the ground reaction force vectors. Femoral stress was estimated on the medial aspect of the neck cross-section using a body weight load as follows: σ =My + F I A where M represents the net bending moment orthogonal to the neck axis, I is the HSAderived cross sectional moment of inertia (CSMI) for bending in the frontal plane; A represents the bone surface in the cross section (CSA); y represents the displacement of the medial surface from the neutral axis and F represents axial component of loading force. Forces were computed at the medial cortex of the femoral neck in a one legged stance using body weight (in Newtons) and femur length estimated from height using forensic formulas 12. Using the formalism employed by McLeish et al, the gravitational load on the femoral head (joint force) is assumed to be 5/6 body weight, the ground 35 reaction forces at the knee is 8/9 of body weight and the abductor force is oriented at an angle of 19 degrees to the horizontal with the magnitude computed to achieve static equilibrium 13. Forces in the frontal plane are represented in the left diagram in Figure 1, and are resolved to their x and y components in the right (i.e., FMx, FMy, Fjx,Fjy). Forces are then balanced to ensure that all components in the x and y directions sum to zero (Figure 3.3). Figure 3.3: Estimating Femoral Stress. W1 refers to body weight, Fm to the abductor muscle force, and Fj to the joint force at the femoral head. NL= Neck Length; d= distance from the center of mass; TL= distance from the weight vector to the outer surface of the greater trochanter; SL= shaft length is computed from forensic formula on height: α = neck shaft angle from HSA ; β= 10 degrees; θ= 19 degrees. A detailed description of the stress calculation is included in the Appendix. 36 The main dependent and independent variables and the potential confounders are described in detail below organized by study aim. The description provides a brief justification for each variable and how each variable will be operationalized. Acknowledging the gender differences in bone strength and body composition, all analyses will be performed separately for men and women 14-16. Aim 1 Main Dependent variable: Femoral stress will be estimated using the methodology described above from DXA data collected during visit 1. Main Independent variables: Muscle strength Isokinetic knee extension strength was measured using a KinCom 125 AP dynamometer (Cattanooga, TN) at 60o per second. The average strength from three reproducible trials was used. Participants with a medical condition including a systolic blood pressure >=200 mmHG, diastolic blood pressure >=110 mmHG or who reported a history of cerebral aneurysm, cerebral bleeding, bilateral total knee replacement, or severe bilateral knee pain were excluded from testing 2. Lean mass was measured using whole body DXA scans conducted on Hologic 4500A machines at both study centers (Hologic, Waltham, MA) 17. Covariates: Age in years will be treated as a continuous variable in final analyses. Age is included as a covariate because it is associated with declines in bone strength, muscle mass, and muscle strength 18-21. Age is also associated with declines in physical activity 22,23, most likely as a result of declines in muscle mass and/or strength 2,24. Individuals should adapt 37 to changes in load over time and therefore stresses should change little with increasing age. However if age is associated with a reduced response to load, age may explain why older individuals have higher femoral stress compared to younger individuals. Race categories will include Caucasian and African Americans. Race is included as a covariate because previous studies have shown that bone strength and muscle mass are higher in older African Americans compared to Caucasians which may explain differences in femoral stress observed among individuals 25-27 . Health status will be measured using the number of self reported co-morbidities from the following conditions: osteoarthritis, coronary heart disease including a history of angina, coronary artery disease or myocardial infarction, congestive heart failure, stroke, dementia, diabetes, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, and peripheral vascular disease. These conditions are associated with weaker bones, lower lean mass and/or weaker muscle strength 28-35. Health status will also be measured using self rated health which will be categorized as excellent/very good, good, or fair/poor. Self rated health status is associated with a number of health related outcomes including disability and mortality 36-39 Medications will be measured as number of all medications taken at the time of the visit 1 interview and will serve as another measure of morbidity and health. Site will be included as a covariate in order to control for differences across the two data collection locations. Aim 2 Main Dependent variable: 38 Time to first fracture will be calculated as the time from visit 1 to date of first fracture during the 13 year follow-up period. Incident fractures were assessed every 6 months by self report during the study follow-up period. All fractures were validated by radiology reports and adjudicated as confirmed, uncertain or no fracture. Adjudication was complete for fractures reported through 12/31/08 for both Memphis and Pittsburgh clinical sites. For this analysis, fractures were counted if they were adjudicated as “confirmed” and if they were defined as fragility, traumatic or stress fractures. Main Independent variables: Femoral Stress will be estimated using the methodology described above from DXA data collected during visit 1. Covariates: Age in years will be treated as a continuous variable in final analyses. Age is included as a covariate because it is associated with increased risk of hip fracture 40-42 and may also be associated with differences in femoral stress. Race categories will include Caucasian and African Americans. Race is included as a covariate because previous studies have shown that hip fracture rates are lower in African Americans than Caucasians 43 and may also be associated with differences in femoral stress. Health status will be measured using the number of self reported co-morbidities from the following conditions: osteoarthritis, coronary heart disease including a history of angina, coronary artery disease or myocardial infarction, congestive heart failure, stroke, dementia, diabetes, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, and peripheral vascular disease. These conditions are associated with weaker bones, lower lean mass and/or 39 weaker muscle strength 28-35. Health status will also be measured using self rated health which will be categorized as excellent/very good, good, or fair/poor. Self rated health status is associated with a number of health related outcomes including disability and mortality 36-39. Physical Function will be measured using the short physical performance battery (SPPB) at visit 1. Individuals were scored on a scale of 0 (worst performance) to 12 (best performance) based on their walking speed, ability to do chair stands and standing balance 44. Walking speed scores were based on the fastest trial (m/sec) over 3, 4 or 6 meters. A score of 0 was assigned if unable to complete, and among those who did complete the walk, scores were based on walking speed where 1 represented the slowest and 4 the fastest pace. Chair stands were scored based on ability to complete 5 consecutive stands. A score of 0 was assigned if unable to complete, and among those who did complete 5 stands, scores were based on time where 1 was the slowest and 4 the fastest time to complete. Standing balance scores were assigned based on ability to balance in semi-tandem and tandem stands. A score of 0 was assigned if unable to hold semi-tandem balance for at least 1 second, and among those who could balance, scores were assigned based on balance time. Similarly, a score of 0 was assigned if unable to hold tandem balance for at least 3 seconds, and among those who could balance, scores were assigned based on balance time 44. Aim 3 Data will be pooled across BHS3 &4 studies. Main Dependent Variable: 40 Femoral Stress will be estimated using the methodology described above from DXA data collected during baseline and at 2, 6 and 12 months following fracture. In BHS4, scans were taken on both Hologic and Lunar prodigy scanners. Only Hologic scans were used in these analyses; the HSA program for analyzing lunar data requires additional calibration algorithms which may affect comparability of the data. Main Independent Variables: Muscle strength was measured using grip strength at the time of baseline assessment. Grip strength was measured using a JAMAR dynamometer using the average of two trials. The maximum measure will be used. Since grip strength measurement was not available in many women within 10 days following hip fracture, grip strength measured at 2 months will be used as the baseline measure. Lean mass will be measured using whole body DXA scans taken at the baseline visit. Whole body DXA scans were conducted on Hologic QDR 1000 machines. Covariates: Age in years will be treated as a continuous variable in final analyses. Age is included as a covariate because it is associated with declines in bone strength, muscle mass, and muscle strength 18-21. Age is also associated with declines in physical activity 22,23, which may result in declines in muscle mass and/or strength 2,24 and may be associated with femoral stress. Health status will be measured using the number of self reported co-morbidities from the following conditions: osteoarthritis, coronary heart disease including a history of angina, coronary artery disease or myocardial infarction, congestive heart failure, stroke, dementia, diabetes, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, and peripheral vascular 41 disease. These conditions are associated with weaker bones, lower lean mass and/or weaker muscle strength 28-35. Health status will also be measured using self rated health which will be categorized as excellent/very good, good, or fair/poor. Self rated health status is associated with a number of health related outcomes including disability and mortality 36-39. Study Samples A DXA scan is required in order to calculate femoral stress. Therefore, the analytic samples from each of the studies will be restricted to those individuals who have a DXA scan in addition to measures of lean mass, muscle strength and physical activity and complete covariate data. Figures 1-3 below present the sample available for each analysis by study aim. Study Sample for Aim 1 3,075 Enrolled (Health ABC visit 1) 3042 with DXA Scans 16 without enough information to estimate femoral stress 3,026 with a femoral stress calculation 88 missing lean mass 376 missing grip strength 4 missing general health 19 missing medication 2,539 with complete data 42 Main independent variables include lean mass and isokinetic knee strength. Covariates include age, race, co-morbidities, general health status, and number of medications known to effect bone. Study Sample for Aim 2 3,075 Enrolled (Health ABC visit 1) 3,042 with DXA Scans 16 without enough information to estimate femoral stress 3,026 with a femoral stress calculation 88 missing lean mass 376 missing grip strength 4 missing general health 78 missing SPPB 2,480 complete data Covariates include age, race, co-morbidities, general health status, and physical performance as measured by the SPPB. 43 Study Sample for Aim 3 205 Enrolled in BHS3 180 Enrolled in BHS4 176 with at least one DXA scan 105 with at least one DXA scan* 174 with a femoral stress calculation at baseline 67 with a femoral stress calculation at baseline 87 with complete data 51 with complete data 138 pooled with complete data Main independent variables include lean mass and grip strength. Covariates include age, co-morbidities, and general health status; the BHS4 sample was restricted to white women consistent with BHS3. *Only scans taken on Hologic QDR scanners were analyzed; scans taken on prodigy and lunar scanners were not. Analysis Plan Aim 1 Differences in participant characteristics will be compared across quartiles of femoral stress separately for men and women using the p test for trend. To account for the confounding effects of body size on lean mass and knee strength, total body lean mass will be divided by total body mass to compute percent lean mass; and isokinetic knee 44 strength will be divided by total body mass to compute isokinetic knee strength proportion, a measure knee strength adjusted for body mass. To quantify the strength of linear relationship, we will compute partial correlations of femoral stress with percent lean mass and isokinetic knee strength proportion adjusted for study site. Linear regression will be used to model the association of femoral stress with percent lean mass and isokinetic knee strength proportion. Four sets of gender stratified models will be generated. The first set of models will include percent lean mass and study site. The second set of models will include isokinetic knee strength proportion and site. The third set of models will include both percent lean mass and isokinetic knee strength proportion, and site. The fourth set of models will include both percent lean mass, isokinetic knee strength proportion, site and all covariates described above. All analyses will be conducted using STATA statistical software version 9 (Stata, College Station, TX, USA). Aim 2 Differences in participant characteristics will be compared by fracture status using t-tests for continuous variables and chi square tests for categorical variables. To best illustrate the relationship between femoral stress and fracture, femoral stress will be categorized into tertiles and treated as a categorical variable in final analyses. The proportion of individuals without a fracture over time will be compared across tertiles using the log rank test. Poisson regression will be used to compute and compare incidence rates of fracture (per 1000 person years) across tertiles of femoral stress. Cox proportional hazards regression will be used to model the association between tertile of femoral stress and time to first fracture. Models will be run separately for men and women. Participants who did not experience a fracture before 12/31/08 will be censored at the date of last 45 follow or 12/31/08, whichever came first. Fully adjusted models will include the covariates described above. Total body lean mass and isokinetic knee strength will be scaled by body size consistent with a previous study evaluating the relationship between lean mass, grip strength and femoral stress (Reider paper 1). All analysis will be conducted using STATA statistical software version 9.0 (Stata, College Station, TX, USA). Aim 3 Differences in participant characteristics will be compared across quartiles of femoral stress using the p test for trend. To account for the confounding effects of body size on lean mass and grip strength, total body lean mass will be divided by total body mass to compute percent lean mass; and grip strength will be divided by total body mass to compute grip strength proportion. Partial pearson correlation coefficients will be used to quantify the correlation of femoral strength with percent lean mass, and grip strength proportion after adjustment for study group (BHS3 or BHS4). Linear regression will be used to model the associations of femoral stress with percent lean mass and grip strength proportion at baseline. Four models will be fit. The first model will include percent lean mass and study group. The second model will include grip strength proportion and study group. The third model will include both percent lean mass and grip strength proportion, and group. The fourth model will include both percent lean mass, grip strength proportion, group and all covariates described above. Mixed effect models with random intercepts will be fit to evaluate the change in femoral stress over the 12 months following fracture where time will be included as an indicator variable for 2, 6, and 12 46 months. Models will be adjusted for covariates described above. All analyses will be conducted using STATA-V9. Limitations While DXA scans can be used to measure bone structural dimensions, they were not designed to do so. Forces in bending (CSMI) and compression (CSA) can only be measured in the two dimensional plane of the image. Therefore accuracy of the measures depends on the consistency of femur positioning on the scanner which can be difficult in older adults who may not be very flexible 10. Measurement accuracy also depends on the quality of the image. Noisy or blurred images make it difficult to detect bone edges. This problem tends to be worse in heavy individuals and images from some scanner models that use faster scanner modes 10. Bias in measures of the femur dimensions from DXA as well as bias in the assumptions made regarding the forces in a one legged stance could over or underestimate femoral stress. Forces to which the individual adapts are only crudely estimated for the stress calculation. This introduces an uncertainty which can limit the ability to distinguish individuals with abnormally high or low responses to maximal loading forces that this study will attempt to address. HSA results are more consistent when applied to studies with a large number of DXA scans because of the issues with poor image quality. Effects may not be detectable in these analyses particularly in the hip fracture population because the samples are small. Despite these measurement limitations, HSA has been widely used to provide insight into the structural changes in different populations and under different conditions. 47 Strengths This study will evaluate a novel measure of bone adaptation using data that has previously been analyzed using the Hip Structural Analysis program. The interpretation of HSA output is complicated by the fact that the structural dimensions are not independent therefore requiring the interpretation of multiple single parameters that interact in complex ways to influence bone strength. The femoral stress calculation provides a composite measure that provides a more easily interpreted single parameter. It should also be recognized that the stress is computed at one of the femur’s strongest points under conditions where it is very unlikely to fail. This however is an advantage of the method since the goal is mainly to evaluate the response of bone to load stimuli under “normal” physiologic condition and not under those very different modes where the femur is likely to fracture. This is also advantageous from a technical perspective because physiological loading concentrates load on the thicker medial cortex rather than on the thinned lateral region where local buckling failure is likely. Local buckling failure is far more difficult to predict and requires data not available in 2D DXA. There are other technologically more sophisticated methods of measuring bone strength dimensions non-invasively including finite element analysis and three dimensional CT. However these methods are not as easy to apply as the HSA and require three dimensional scans which are not obtained as often in the clinical setting. DXA scans from both clinical practice and research are widely available and the HSA software can be used with minimal training. Data from the Health ABC study and the Baltimore Hip Study allows us to evaluate the relationship between different indices of mechanical load and femoral stress 48 in diverse populations ranging from healthy, well functioning older men and women to women following hip fracture. These studies include well validated and widely used measures of body composition and muscle strength. While many studies have used lean mass as a proxy for mechanical load, it is unclear how to best characterize load and therefore the loads to which bones adapt and this study will explore the independent and joint effects of muscle mass and muscle strength. Further, these studies include data capture over multiple points in time providing the opportunity to determine if femoral stress predicts incident fracture (aim 2) and whether femoral stress changes the year following fracture (aim 3). 49 Power Calculation Aim 1 Regression- for men and women pooled N 0.2 100% (n=3035) 1.0 90% (n=2,732) 1.0 80% (n=2,428) 1.0 70% (2,125) 1.0 60% (n=1,821) 1.0 50% (n=1,518) 1.0 Slope (Effect Size) 0.5 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.8 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 The table provides the power (%) for detecting an association between lean mass and femoral stress assuming different sample sizes for small, medium and large effect sizes. If all participants who had a DXA scan analyzed using HSA have no missing covariate data, there will be 3,035 participants. Even assuming that half of these participants have missing data, we will still be able to detect a significant association between lean mass and femoral stress. The detectable association is interpreted as a standardized slope: the mean difference in femoral stress (in standard deviations) per standard deviation of lean mass. Therefore, if the true slope of the line obtained by regressing standardized femoral stress against standardized lean mass is 0.2 (small effect, in other words there is a mean difference of 0.2 standard deviations in femoral stress for every standard deviation difference in lean mass), we will be able to reject the null hypothesis that this slope equals zero (ie: there is no relationship between femoral stress and lean mass) with 100% power. The type I error probability associated with this test of this null hypothesis is 0.05. Power is also calculated for standardized grip strength. Therefore the power estimates will be the same. 50 Regression- for men and women separately Men N 100% (n=1475) 90% (n= 1328) 80% (n= 1180) 70% (n= 1033) 60% (n= 885) 50% (n=738) 0.2 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 Slope (Effect Size) 0.5 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.8 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.2 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 Slope (Effect Size) 0.5 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.8 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 Women N 100% (n=1567) 90% (n= 1410) 80% (n= 1254) 70% (n= 1097) 60% (n= 940) 50% (n= 784) Even when analyzing the association between mechanical load and femoral stress separately for men and women, we are adequately powered to detect a significant association for small, medium and large effect sizes. Aim 2 Survival Analysis % high femoral stress 10% 30% 50% HR 1.2 0.778 0.986 0.995 1.5 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.8 1.00 1.00 1.00 2.0 1.00 1.00 1.00 The table provides the power to reject the null hypothesis that the survival curves for individuals with high versus low femoral stress are equal for different hazard ratios for 51 non vertebral fracture assuming no missing data (n=3035). These estimates are based on an accrual interval of 1 year (patients were enrolled between 1997-1998), and a follow up time of 9 years (fracture status was ascertained and adjudicated through 2009). We are assuming a median time of 3.5 years to first non vertebral fracture based on a previous study looking at the association between inflammatory cytokines at visit 1 and incident fracture (Cauley et al, 2007). If 10% of the population has high femoral stress and the true hazard ratio is 1.2, we will be able to reject the null hypothesis that the survival curves for low and high femoral stress are equal with 78% power. The Type I error probability associated with this test of this null hypothesis is 0.05. Aim 3 Regression N 100% (n=241) 90% (n=217) 80% (n=193) 70% (n=169) 60% (n=145) 50% (n=121) Slope (Effect Size) 0.5 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.2 0.872 0.835 0.790 0.734 0.667 0.587 0.8 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 The table provides the power (%) for detecting an association between lean mass and femoral stress assuming different sample sizes for small, medium and large effect sizes. If all participants who had a DXA scan analyzed using HSA have no missing covariate data, there will be 241 participants. The detectable association is interpreted as a standardized slope: the mean difference in femoral stress (in standard deviations) per standard deviation of lean mass. Therefore, if the true slope of the line obtained by 52 regressing standardized femoral stress against standardized lean mass is 0.2 (small effect, in other words there is a mean difference of 0.2 standard deviations in femoral stress for every standard deviation difference in lean mass), we will be able to reject the null hypothesis that this slope equals zero (ie: there is no relationship between femoral stress and lean mass) with 66% power. The type I error probability associated with this test of this null hypothesis is 0.05. Power decreases with decreasing sample size for detecting small effects, however there is adequate power to detect larger effects. Power is also calculated for standardized grip strength. Therefore the power estimates will be the same. 53 References 1. Frost, HM 1997 On our age-related bone loss: insights from a new paradigm. J Bone Miner Res 12:1539-1546. 2. 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Guralnik, JM, Simonsick, EM, Ferrucci, L, Glynn, RJ, Berkman, LF, Blazer, DG, Scherr, PA, Wallace, RB 1994 A short physical performance battery assessing lower extremity function: association with self-reported disability and prediction of mortality and nursing home admission. J Gerontol 49:M85-94. 58 Chapter 4: Evaluating the Relationship between Muscle and Bone Modeling Response in Older Adults1 Introduction Bone fragility in older adults leads to osteoporotic fracture, resulting in high health care costs, poor health outcomes, disability and death 1. Most investigations of bone fragility have focused on the apparent remodeling imbalance between bone formation and resorption that reduces bone mineral density (BMD) with age 2-5. However, anomalies in bone modeling may also play a critical role in the skeletal fragility of aging. Modeling is the process that continually adjusts skeletal strength to resist prevalent forces (loads) from physical activity throughout the human lifespan 6,7. The mechanism has been described in terms of the Frost Mechanostat, where bone tissue is added or removed to ensure that minute deformations (strains) of bone tissue remain within some ‘normal’ range 8. Bones may become weak because they either adapted to reduced loads or because they have a diminished response to load. Individuals with a normal response to load as a result of disuse (e.g. becoming sedentary) will have strains that remain just under the upper threshold and will have weaker bones in absolute terms. Individuals with a diminished response to load (ie: abnormal bone modeling) will require higher strains to cause bone formation. In other words, the upper threshold has increased which means less bone tissue and higher strains relative to typical loading forces. Measuring bone’s modeling response may better capture aspects of bone homeostasis that determine bone strength than a simple measure like BMD cannot. 1 Lisa Reider, Jay Magaziner, Thomas Beck, Dawn Alley, Michelle Shardell, Ram Miller, John Schumacher, others TBD. Manuscript in preparation. 59 The forces that stimulate bone modeling are generally believed to be muscle load induced strains or minute deformations of loaded tissue detected by osteocytes distributed within the lacunar spaces 9. Assuming that the skeleton is fully adapted to prevalent loading forces, the strains generated by those loads should be an index of bone modeling response. We expect that individuals with a deficient response have less bone mass relative to the forces the bone typically experiences which will result in higher than average strains. Currently, skeletal tissue strains cannot be measured non-invasively. Fortunately, stresses, which are proportional to strain, quantify the concentration of loading force at a specific location on the bone and can be computed using measurements of bone geometry with loading information incorporated into an engineering model. In this paper we use an engineering model to compute stress generated at the medial cortex of the femoral neck in a one-legged stance. Stress is concentrated at this site under stance loads and the bone tissue remains physiologically preserved in older age . Stress (‘force concentration’) is a function of bone geometry (dimensions) and the 10 direction and magnitudes of loading forces. Our model employed DXA derived hip geometry combined with information about forces at the hip under a single body weight force 11,12. We know from biomechanical studies that hip forces are a multiplicative function of body weight that increases with the type and intensity of physical activity that the individual normally experiences. Unless we use the right force (or correct for it) in our current model, we cannot tell whether higher stresses are due to reduced muscle load or a deficiency in response to load. To differentiate the reasons for a high stress measure, we would either need an invasive way to confirm deficiencies in cellular response to load or a direct measure of muscle forces to see if one has higher stress than expected given 60 the level of force. As a result, the best we can do is account for measures of muscle load in our assessment of femoral stress. The purpose of this paper is to evaluate the associations of lean mass and muscle strength with the femoral stress measure generated from the engineering model and to examine the extent to which lean mass and muscle strength account for variation in femoral stress among a cohort of healthy older adults. The remaining heterogeneity after accounting for indicators of muscle load should be an index of modeling response. Results from this study will provide context for future studies of bone modeling response and provide a method for evaluating the important role that muscle plays in this relationship. Methods Study Population The Health Aging and Body Composition (Health ABC) study cohort includes 1,491 men (37% black) and 1,584 women (46% black) aged 70-79 at time of enrollment. Participants were recruited using Medicare beneficiary listings from Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania and Memphis Tennessee between May 1997 and July 1998. Eligibility criteria included no self reported difficulty with walking one quarter mile or climbing 10 stairs without resting; no difficulty performing activities of daily living; and no reported use of an ambulatory aid including a cane, walker, crutches or other special equipment. Eligibility criteria also included no history of active treatment for cancer in the prior 3 years, no enrollment in a lifestyle intervention trial and no plan to move out of the area in the following 3 years 13 61 The analytic sample for this analysis included 1,252 men and 1,287 women that had a DXA scan analyzed using the Hip Structural Analysis (HSA) program and all measured covariates described below. Compared to the analytic sample, men and women without all measured covariates were significantly older and reported more co-morbidity and poorer health, and took more medications. Compared to the analytic sample, men without all measured covariates were significantly shorter and more likely to be black. Femoral Stress Estimation Bone geometry was measured using the Hip Structural Analysis program from dual energy x-ray absorptiometry data 14. The HSA software generates geometry from profiles of pixel values traversing the proximal femur at its narrowest point when viewed in a frontal plane DXA image. The software also provides information to locate the center of the femoral head in order to estimate the weight vector, the neck-shaft angle, the vector distances to the femoral neck cross-section, the abductor force and the ground reaction force vectors. Femoral stress was estimated on the medial aspect of the neck cross-section using a body weight load as follows: σ =My + F I A where M represents the net bending moment orthogonal to the neck axis, I is the HSAderived cross sectional moment of inertia (CSMI) for bending in the frontal plane; A represents the bone surface in the cross section (CSA); y represents the displacement of the medial surface from the neutral axis and F represents axial component of loading force. Forces were computed at the medial cortex of the femoral neck in a one legged stance using body weight (in Newtons) and femur length estimated from height using 62 forensic formulas 15. Using the formalism employed by McLeish et al, the gravitational load on the femoral head (joint force) is assumed to be 5/6 body weight, the ground reaction forces at the knee is 8/9 of body weight and the abductor force is oriented at an angle of 19 degrees to the horizontal with the magnitude computed to achieve static equilibrium 16. Forces in the frontal plane are represented in the left diagram in Figure 4.1, and are resolved to their x and y components in the right (i.e., FMx, FMy, Fjx,Fjy). Forces are then balanced to ensure that all components in the x and y directions sum to zero. Figure 4.1: Estimating Femoral Stress. W1 refers to body weight, Fm to the abductor muscle force, and Fj to the joint force at the femoral head. NL= Neck Length; d= distance from the center of mass; TL= distance from the weight vector to the outer surface of the greater trochanter; SL= shaft length is computed from forensic formula on height: α = 63 neck shaft angle from HSA ; β= 10 degrees; θ= 19 degrees. A detailed description of the stress calculation is included in the Appendix. Muscle Loading Forces Knee Muscle strength: Isokinetic knee extension strength was measured using a KinCom 125 AP dynamometer (Cattanooga, TN) at 60o per second. The average strength from three reproducible trials was used. Participants with a medical condition including a systolic blood pressure >=200 mmHG, diastolic blood pressure >=110 mmHG or who reported a history of cerebral aneurysm, cerebral bleeding, bilateral total knee replacement, or severe bilateral knee pain were excluded from testing 13,17. Total body lean mass was measured from whole body DXA scans conducted on Hologic 4500A machines at both study centers (Hologic, Waltham, MA). 17. Covariates Age, race, number of co-morbidities, general health status, and number of medications were included in final analyses. Age was recorded in years and participants’ race was categorized as either white or black. Number of co-morbidities was measured via selfreport of the following conditions: osteoarthritis, coronary heart disease including a history of angina, myocardial infarction, congestive heart failure, stroke, diabetes, and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease. Health status was measured using self rated health and categorized as excellent/very good, good, or fair/poor. Medication use was assessed at the time of the first clinic visit and was treated as a continuous variable (number of medications taken). Regression analysis also controlled for study site. Statistical Analysis 64 Differences in participant characteristics were compared across quartiles of femoral stress separately for men and women using a non parametric test for trend across ordered groups. To account for the confounding effects of body size on lean mass and knee strength, total body lean mass was divided by total body mass to compute percent lean mass; and isokinetic knee strength was divided by total body mass to compute isokinetic knee strength proportion, a measure knee strength adjusted for body mass. To quantify the strength of linear relationship, we computed partial correlations of femoral stress with percent lean mass and isokinetic knee strength proportion adjusted for study site. Linear regression was used to model the association of femoral stress with percent lean mass and isokinetic knee strength proportion. Four sets of gender stratified models were generated. The first set of models included percent lean mass and study site. The second set of models included isokinetic knee strength proportion and site. The third set of models included both percent lean mass and isokinetic knee strength proportion, and site. The fourth set of models included both percent lean mass, isokinetic knee strength proportion, site and all covariates described above. All analyses were conducted using STATA statistical software version 9 (Stata, College Station, TX, USA). Results Descriptive Characteristics Demographic information, health status, body composition and bone geometry for men and women are described in Table 1 by quartile of femoral stress. Mean femoral stress was higher in women (9.51; SD=1.85 MPas) than in men (8.02; SD=1.43 MPa), where higher stress indicates weaker bones. For the purposes of illustration, mean BMD, CSA and CSMI at the femoral neck are also shown by stress quartile. Note that CSA and 65 CSMI, which are used in the calculations of stress, are expectedly lower in higher quartiles of femoral stress, with an analogous inverse pattern for BMD and femoral stress (Table 4.1). Femoral stress was not significantly associated with age, race, health status or medication use in men; but in women, Whites had lower femoral stress compared with Blacks (p<0.001) (Table 4.1). Relationship of Femoral Stress with Body Size and Muscle Loading Forces Weight is positively associated with femoral stress, owing to the use of weight to approximate the forces in measuring femoral stress. In both men and women, average weight increased across quartiles of femoral stress. However, individuals with a higher proportion of lean mass relative to their total mass had lower femoral stress. Average percent lean mass was 65% (SD=4.1) in men in the highest quartile of femoral stress compared with 70% (SD=4.7) in men in the lowest quartile (p<0.001). Similarly, the average percent lean mass was 53.5% (SD=4.4) in women in the highest quartile of femoral stress compared with 60% (SD=5.7) in women in the lowest quartile (p<0.001). Likewise, men and women with higher knee strength relative to their total body mass had significantly lower femoral stress. Correlations of femoral stress with percent total body lean mass and isokinetic knee strength proportion were stronger in women than in men. In both men and women, the correlation between femoral stress and percent lean mass was stronger (-0.40 in men and -0.45 in women) than the correlation between isokinetic knee strength proportion (0.16 in men -0.24 in women) (Table 4.2). 66 Table 4.3 provides coefficients from linear regression models of femoral stress on percent lean mass and isokinetic knee strength proportion. In men, results from model 1 showed that for every percent increase in lean mass, mean femoral stress is 0.122 MPa lower (95% CI: -0.138, -0.107; p<0.001) and model 2 showed that for every kg-for-kg increase in isokinetic knee strength proportion, mean femoral stress was 0.62 MPa lower (95%CI: -0.833, -0.403; p<0.001). Percent lean mass explained more of the variability in femoral stress (R2=0.1867) than isokinetic knee strength proportion (R2=0.0547). Results from model 3 showed that when both percent lean mass and isokinetic knee strength proportion were included in the regression model, only percent lean mass was significantly associated with femoral stress. The relationship between percent lean mass and femoral stress did not change after including other covariates in model 4. In women, results from model 1 showed that for every percent increase in lean mass, mean femoral stress was 0.152 MPa lower (95% CI: -0.168, -0.135; p<0.001) and model 2 showed that for every unit increase in isokinetic knee strength proportion, mean femoral stress was 1.49 MPa lower (95% CI: -1.82, -1.16; p<0.001). As in men, percent lean mass explained more of the variability in femoral stress (R2=0.2374) than isokinetic knee strength proportion (R2=0.0946). Results from model 3 showed that when both percent lean mass and isokinetic knee strength proportion were included in the regression model, both were significantly associated with femoral stress, but the strength of the association between isokinetic knee strength proportion and femoral stress was substantially diminished (B=0.339 95%CI: -0.0676, -0.001vs. -1.49 95% CI: -1.82, -1.16) after accounting for lean mass. Results did not change substantially after including other covariates in model 4. Discussion 67 The purpose of this paper was to evaluate the relations of muscle mass and muscle strength with a measure of bone modeling response (femoral stress) among older men and women. Differences in femoral stress may indicate variations in adaptation to load that lead to weaker, more fracture susceptible bones. In order to effectively compare individuals, we need to account for variability in modeling response that come from differences in muscle loading forces. Current methods for estimating femoral stress do not directly incorporate information about these forces. Here, we accounted for muscle load by evaluating the relative independent contributions of both lean mass and muscle strength to femoral stress. Our data show stronger correlations between percent lean mass and femoral stress than the correlations between isokinetic knee strength proportion and femoral stress. This finding is consistent with results from a recent study that examined the cross sectional relationship between muscle mass, muscle strength and bone strength parameters among older men and women 18 . Results from that study showed that correlations between muscle mass and bone strength were twofold higher than the correlations between knee strength and bone strength parameters. We found that in both men and women, controlling for percent lean mass accounted for more variability in femoral stress than controlling for isokinetic knee strength proportion, as measured by the R2. In women, percent lean mass and isokinetic knee strength proportion were significantly associated with femoral stress independent of each other and after adjusting for potential confounders. In men, however, only percent lean mass was significantly associated with femoral stress in fully adjusted models. 68 In both men and women, 75-80% of the variation in femoral stress remains unexplained even after accounting for indicators of muscle load and a range of demographic and health variables. The remaining variability likely reflects individual variation in bone modeling response to load. Although the focus of this study was on muscle effects, hormonal and genetic factors also play an important role in the regulation of this physiologic process and may explain differences in femoral stress among individuals as well as differences in femoral stress between men and women 7. For example, it is likely that postmenopausal estrogen deficiency contributes to alterations in the modeling response resulting in weaker bones and higher stresses in older women compared to older men.7,19. This study has several strengths. First, it is novel in the sense that while the relationship between muscle mass, muscle strength and bone is well established in children and adolescents 20, these relationships have not been well defined in older adults. Previous studies in adults have employed models using three dimensional data and finite element modeling techniques in order to measure bone stresses at the proximal femur during gait and from the forces generated by a fall 10,21,22,22. These studies demonstrate that stresses increase in areas of the bone that are structurally weak, but they do not explain why bones become weak in the first place. Femoral stress, an index of modeling response, may provide some insight into why some older adults have weaker bones. Our study builds on previous research by attempting to identify individuals with a reduced modeling response based on an algorithm using widely available data. The engineering model we used for these analyses relies on DXA data that is widely available on individuals participating in large cohort studies and clinical trials using HSA, a technique 69 for deriving bone structural properties from two dimensional data that has been employed in numerous studies 23-30. Despite these strengths, there are several limitations. First our measure of femoral stress involves assumptions about the magnitude and direction of the forces generated in a one legged stance. In addition, the engineering model of the hip was restricted to the frontal plane, and the forces on the hip in ambulation are frequently directed out of the frontal plane. However, current methods for a more complex three dimensional model require computed tomography, which was only available for a small subset of individuals in this study. Second, we may not have adequately captured all aspects of load in our attempt to approximate muscle loading forces. A direct measure of physical activity would be a valuable addition to this analysis, but the self-report measure of physical activity available was minimally correlated with femoral stress, percent lean mass and body mass adjusted knee strength, so it appeared insufficient to assess these relationships. Third, we assumed that whole body lean mass and leg muscle strength are proportional to the forces generated at the hip. Our measure of muscle strength relied on knee extension strength, and although knee extension strength involves thigh muscles that also function in ambulation, it is not a direct evaluation of hip forces per se. We utilized total lean mass based on whole body DXA scans, which should be greater in more active individuals. However, lean mass may not be evenly distributed throughout the body, and we were unable to measure the muscle regions that most directly determine maximal muscle force at the hip. Finally, despite our best efforts to ensure that the association between our lean mass and muscle strength measure with femoral stress was not merely due to their 70 associations with weight (by dividing lean mass and strength by body mass), there is always the chance of residual confounding due to model misspecification. In conclusion, results from this study provide insight into bone modeling differences as measured by femoral stress. Lean mass is an important contributor to femoral stress, indicating that the measure captures elements of bone’s response to load. Variation in femoral stress after accounting for lean mass and knee strength, which was independently associated with femoral stress in women, may provide an indicator of heterogeneity in the modeling response to load. Future research on femoral stress should consider incorporating an assessment of muscle loading forces. 71 72 Table 4.1 Continued 73 Table 4.2 Partial correlation of Femoral Stress with percent lean mass and body adjusted knee strength adjusted for site Men Women Percent lean mass -0.4014 -0.4534 Body Mass Adjusted Knee -0.1577 -0.2384 Strength Table 4.3 Association between Percent Total Body Lean Mass, Total Body Adjusted Knee Strength and Femoral Stress among Men and Women Model Percent Lean Mass 1 -0.122 (-0.138, -0.107) --- 2 3 4 -0.123 (-0.139, -0.106) -0.123 (-0.141, -0.106) Men (n=1252) B (95%CI) Body Mass Adjusted Knee Strength ---0.618 (-0.833, -0.403) 0.018 (-0.200, 0.235) -0.040 (-0.266, 0.483) R2 0.1867 0.0547 0.1868 0.1916 Percent Lean Mass -0.152 (-0.168, -0.135) ---0.144 (-0.162, -0.123) -0.141 (-0.159, -0.123) Women (n=1287) B (95%CI) Body Mass Adjusted Knee Strength ---1.49 (-1.82, -1.16) -0.339 (-0.676, -0.001) -0.365 (-0.711, -0.019) R2 0.2374 0.0946 0.2397 0.2410 Percent total body lean mass= total body lean mass (kg)/total body mass (kg); Total leg mass adjusted knee strength= isokinetic knee strength/total body mass (kg) Model1: Linear regression models adjusted for site only Model2: Linear regression models adjusted for site only Model3: Linear regression; models include percent lean mass, body mass adjusted knee strength and site Model 4: Linear regression; models include percent lean mass, body mass adjusted knee strength, site and the following covariates: age, race, number of comorbidities, health status and number of medications taken 74 References 1. 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Lanyon, L, Skerry, T 2001 Postmenopausal osteoporosis as a failure of bone's adaptation to functional loading: a hypothesis. J Bone Miner Res 16:1937-1947. 20. Schoenau, E 2005 From mechanostat theory to development of the "Functional Muscle-Bone-Unit". J Musculoskelet Neuronal Interact 5:232-238. 21. Bell, KL, Loveridge, N, Power, J, Garrahan, N, Stanton, M, Lunt, M, Meggitt, BF, Reeve, J 1999 Structure of the femoral neck in hip fracture: cortical bone loss in the inferoanterior to superoposterior axis. J Bone Miner Res 14:111-119. 22. Crabtree, N, Loveridge, N, Parker, M, Rushton, N, Power, J, Bell, KL, Beck, TJ, Reeve, J 2001 Intracapsular hip fracture and the region-specific loss of cortical bone: analysis by peripheral quantitative computed tomography. J Bone Miner Res 16:13181328. 76 23. Travison, TG, Beck, TJ, Esche, GR, Araujo, AB, McKinlay, JB 2008 Age trends in proximal femur geometry in men: variation by race and ethnicity. Osteoporos Int 19:277287. 24. Beck, TJ, Ruff, CB, Bissessur, K 1993 Age-related changes in female femoral neck geometry: implications for bone strength. Calcif Tissue Int 53 Suppl 1:S41-6. 25. Semanick, LM, Beck, TJ, Cauley, JA, Wheeler, VW, Patrick, AL, Bunker, CH, Zmuda, JM 2005 Association of body composition and physical activity with proximal femur geometry in middle-aged and elderly Afro-Caribbean men: the Tobago bone health study. Calcif Tissue Int 77:160-166. 26. Uusi-Rasi, K, Beck, TJ, Sievanen, H, Heinonen, A, Vuori, I 2003 Associations of hormone replacement therapy with bone structure and physical performance among postmenopausal women. Bone 32:704-710. 27. Looker, AC, Beck, TJ, Orwoll, ES 2001 Does body size account for gender differences in femur bone density and geometry? J Bone Miner Res 16:1291-1299. 28. Beck, TJ, Petit, MA, Wu, G, LeBoff, MS, Cauley, JA, Chen, Z 2009 Does obesity really make the femur stronger? BMD, geometry, and fracture incidence in the women's health initiative-observational study. J Bone Miner Res 24:1369-1379. 29. Kaptoge, S, Dalzell, N, Loveridge, N, Beck, TJ, Khaw, KT, Reeve, J 2003 Effects of gender, anthropometric variables, and aging on the evolution of hip strength in men and women aged over 65. Bone 32:561-570. 30. Nelson, DA, Beck, TJ, Wu, G, Lewis, CE, Bassford, T, Cauley, JA, LeBoff, MS, Going, SB, Chen, Z 2011 Ethnic differences in femur geometry in the women's health initiative observational study. Osteoporos Int 22:1377-1388. 77 Chapter 5: An Estimate of Bone Modeling Response Predicts Incident Fracture in Older Adults2 Introduction More than 2 million fragility fractures occur per year accounting for 20 billion dollars in annual health care costs in the United States. The majority of these fractures occur among older adults, and the number of fractures is expected to increase by half over the next decade as the population ages 1. Fracture prevention strategies rely on effectively identifying older adults at highest risk for fracture. The majority of existing research on fracture prediction has focused on reduced bone mineral density (BMD) across the adult lifespan resulting from the apparent remodeling imbalance between bone formation and resorption 2-5. The remodeling imbalance is thought to influence fragility by causing a net loss of bone mass when rates of bone resorption outpace rates of formation 6. Anomalies in bone modeling, which have been less extensively studied, may also play a critical role in the skeletal fragility of aging 7. Modeling is the process that continually adjusts skeletal strength to resist prevalent forces (loads) from physical activity throughout the human lifespan 8,9. The mechanism has been described in terms of the Frost Mechanostat, where bone tissue is added or removed to ensure that minute deformations (strains) of bone tissue remain within some ‘normal’ range 10. Individuals with a deficient modeling response would be expected to add less bone in response to load stimuli and thus have reduced skeletal strength and greater susceptibility to fracture when traumas occur. 2 Lisa Reider, Jay Magaziner, Thomas Beck, Dawn Alley, Michelle Shardell, Ram Miller, John Schumacher, others TBD. Manuscript in preparation. 78 Assuming that the skeleton is fully adapted to prevalent loading forces, the strains generated by those loads should be an index of modeling response. We expect that individuals with a deficient response will have higher-than-average strains than those with a normal response under equivalent loads, but skeletal tissue strains cannot currently be measured non-invasively. Fortunately, stresses, which are proportional to strain, quantify the concentration of loading force at a specific location on the bone and can be computed using measurements of bone geometry with information on prevalent loads incorporated into an engineering model. In this paper, we examine the association between stress and incident fracture. We use an engineering model to compute stress generated at the medial cortex of the femoral neck in a one-legged stance. Stress is concentrated at this site under stance loads, and the bone tissue remains physiologically preserved in older age 11. Stress (‘force concentration’) is a function of bone geometry (dimensions) and the directions and magnitudes of loading forces. Our model employed DXA derived hip geometry combined with information about forces at the hip under a single body weight force 12,13. A previous study demonstrated that femoral stress was higher among older women with a history of fracture compared to those with no fracture 12. Building upon that study, this paper evaluates whether femoral stress predicts incident fracture among both older women and older men. This paper also examines whether femoral stress independently predicts fracture after controlling for characteristics associated with both femoral stress and fracture – most notably, lean mass and strength. Loading forces are predominantly muscle-generated, and previous research has shown that lean mass and muscle strength are associated with femoral stress 14. In addition, there is growing 79 recognition that muscle mass and quality play a role in fracture, though these relationships have not been clearly defined. In order to test the independent association between femoral stress and fracture, we must account for the main drivers of femoral stress and adjust for muscle mass and strength. We hypothesize that higher femoral stress is associated with higher risk of fracture in both men and women independent of muscle mass and strength. Methods Study Population The Health Aging and Body Composition (Health ABC) study cohort includes 1,491 men (37% black) and 1,584 women (46% black) aged 70-79 years at time of enrollment. Participants were recruited using Medicare beneficiary listings from Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania and Memphis Tennessee between May 1997 and July 1998. Eligibility criteria included no self reported difficulty with walking one quarter mile or climbing 10 stairs without resting; no difficulty performing activities of daily living; and no reported use of an ambulatory aid including a cane, walker, crutches or other special equipment. Eligibility criteria also included no history of active treatment for cancer in the prior 3 years, no enrollment in a lifestyle intervention trial and no plan to move out of the area in the following 3 years 15 The analytic sample for this analysis included 1,225 men and 1,255 women that had a DXA scan at the baseline visit analyzed using the Hip Structural Analysis (HSA) program and all measured covariates described below. Compared to the analytic sample, men and women without all measured covariates reported more co-morbidities and poorer health and had poorer balance and slower walking speed. Men without all 80 measured covariates were more likely to be black and women without all measured covariates were older, heavier and had weaker knee strength. Femoral Stress Estimation Bone geometry was measured using the Hip Structural Analysis program from dual energy x-ray absorptiometry data 16. The HSA software generates geometry from profiles of pixel values traversing the proximal femur at its narrowest point when viewed in a frontal plane DXA image. The software also provides information to locate the center of the femoral head in order to estimate the weight vector, the neck-shaft angle, the vector distances to the femoral neck cross-section, the abductor force and the ground reaction force vectors. Femoral stress was estimated on the medial aspect of the neck cross-section using a body weight load as follows: σ =My + F I A where M represents the net bending moment orthogonal to the neck axis, I is the HSAderived cross sectional moment of inertia (CSMI) for bending in the frontal plane; A represents the bone surface in the cross section (CSA); y represents the displacement of the medial surface from the neutral axis and F represents axial component of loading force. Forces were computed at the medial cortex of the femoral neck in a one legged stance using body weight (in Newtons) and femur length estimated from height using forensic formulas 17. Using the formalism employed by McLeish et al, the gravitational load on the femoral head (joint force) is assumed to be 5/6 body weight, the ground reaction forces at the knee is 8/9 of body weight and the abductor force is oriented at an angle of 19 degrees to the horizontal with the magnitude computed to achieve static 81 equilibrium 18. Forces in the frontal plane are represented in the left diagram in Figure 5.1, and are resolved to their x and y components in the right (i.e., FMx, FMy, Fjx,Fjy). Forces are then balanced to ensure that all components in the x and y directions sum to zero. Figure 5.1: Estimating Femoral Stress. W1 refers to body weight, Fm to the abductor muscle force, and Fj to the joint force at the femoral head. NL= Neck Length; d= distance from the center of mass; TL= distance from the weight vector to the outer surface of the greater trochanter; SL= shaft length is computed from forensic formula on height: α = neck shaft angle from HSA ; β= 10 degrees; θ= 19 degrees. A detailed description of the stress calculation is included in the Appendix. Muscle Loading Forces Isokinetic knee extension strength and percent total body lean mass were included as measures of muscle load. Isokinetic knee extension strength was measured using a 82 KinCom 125 AP dynamometer (Cattanooga, TN) at 60o per second. The average strength from three reproducible trials was used. Participants with a medical condition including a systolic blood pressure >=200 mmHG, diastolic blood pressure >=110 mmHG or who reported a history of cerebral aneurysm, cerebral bleeding, bilateral total knee replacement, or severe bilateral knee pain were excluded from testing 15,19. Total body lean mass was measured from whole body DXA scans conducted on Hologic 4500A machines at both study centers (Hologic, Waltham, MA). 19. Incident Fracture Incident fractures were assessed every 6 months by self report during the study follow-up period. All fractures, including date of fractures, were validated by radiology reports and adjudicated as confirmed, uncertain or no fracture. Adjudication was complete for fractures reported through 12/31/08 for both Memphis and Pittsburgh clinical sites. For this analysis, fractures were counted if they were adjudicated as “confirmed” and if they were defined as fragility, traumatic or stress fractures. A total of 392 fractures were counted and included elbow (2.6%), foot (8.0%), hand (1.3%), knee (2.8%), lower arm (15.3%), lower leg (6.9%), hip (22.5%), pelvis (5.7%), spine/back (18.4%), tailbone (2.1%), upper arm (13.0%), and upper leg (1.3%) fractures. Covariates Covariates included age, race, number of co-morbidities, general health status, and physical function. Age was recorded in years and participants’ race was categorized as either white or black. Number of co-morbidities was measured via self-report of the following conditions: osteoarthritis, coronary heart disease including a history of angina, myocardial infarction, congestive heart failure, stroke, diabetes, and chronic obstructive 83 pulmonary disease. Health status was measured using self rated health and categorized as excellent/very good, good, or fair/poor. Physical function was measured using the short physical performance battery (SPPB). Individuals were scored on a scale of 0 (worst performance) to 12 (best performance) based on their walking speed, ability to do chair stands and standing balance 20. Walking speed scores were based on the fastest trial (m/sec) over 3, 4 or 6 meters. A score of 0 was assigned if unable to complete and among those who did complete the walk, scores were based on walking speed where 1 represented the slowest and 4 the fastest pace. Chair stands were scored based on ability to complete 5 consecutive stands. A score of 0 was assigned if unable to complete and among those who did complete 5 stands, scores were based on time where 1 was the slowest and 4 the fastest time to complete. Standing balance scores were assigned based on ability to balance in semi-tandem and tandem stands. A score of 0 was assigned if unable to hold semi-tandem balance for at least 1 second and among those who could balance scores were assigned based on balance time. Similarly, a score of 0 was assigned if unable to hold tandem balance for at least 3 second and among those who could balance scores were assigned based on balance time 20. Analysis also controlled for study site. Statistical Analysis Differences in participant characteristics were compared by fracture status using ttests for continuous variables and chi square tests for categorical variables. To best illustrate the relationship between femoral stress and fracture, femoral stress was categorized into tertiles and treated as a categorical variable in final analyses. The proportion of individuals without a fracture over time was compared across tertiles using 84 the log rank test. Poisson regression was used to compute and compare incidence rates of fracture (per 1000 person years) across tertiles of femoral stress. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to model the association between tertile of femoral stress and time to first fracture. Models were run separately for men and women. Participants who did not experience a fracture before 12/31/08 were censored at the date of last follow or 12/31/08, whichever came first. Fully adjusted models included the covariates described above. Total body lean mass and isokinetic knee strength were scaled by body size consistent with a previous study evaluating the relationship between lean mass, grip strength and femoral stress (Reider paper 1). All analysis was conducted using STATA statistical software version 9.0 (Stata, College Station, TX, USA). Results Over an 11.7 year period (4,264 days), 131 men and 255 women experienced at least one incident fracture. Table 5.1 describes femoral stress and its components, demographic information, health status, muscle mass and muscle strength for men and women by fracture status. Mean femoral stress was significantly higher in those who fracture in both men (8.5, SD= 1.5 vs. 7.9, SD=1.4) and women (9.7, SD= 1.8 vs. 9.4, SD=1.8) where higher stress indicates weaker bones. Cross sectional area (CSA) and cross sectional moments of inertia (CSMI) at the femoral neck, which were used in the calculation of stress, were significantly lower in men and women who fracture, as was BMD. Men who fracture were more likely to be white (p<0.001) and were significantly older (p=0.034), and women who fracture were more likely to be white (p<0.001) and had significantly higher percent lean mass (p=0.034) and lower weight (p<0.001). 85 Isokinetic knee strength proportion, health status, standing balance and gait speed were not significantly associated with fracture in men or women. The incidence rate of fracture increased with increasing level of femoral stress in both men and women (Table 5.2). The incidence rate comparing the lowest to highest tertile was 9.8 vs. 16.0 per 1000 person years in men (p=0.021) and 19.2 vs. 27.1 per 1000 person years in women (p=0.045). Kaplan Meier curves suggest that men and women in the highest tertile of femoral stress experience a fracture earlier than men in the middle and lowest tertile (p=0.056 in men; p=0.089 in women) (Figure 5.2). In unadjusted proportional hazards models, the risk for fracture was greater in the highest compared to the lowest tertile of femoral stress in women (hazard ratio HR=1.37, 95%CI: 1.00-1.89) and in men (HR=1.56, 95%CI: 1.01-2.42) (Table 5.3). After adjusting for measures of muscle load estimated by percent total body lean mass and body size adjusted knee strength, the hazard ratio increased from 1.37 to 1.77 in women and 1.56 to 1.84 in men. Adjusting for additional covariates further strengthened the association between femoral stress and incident fracture in women (HR= 1.98 95% CI: 1.39-2.83) though not in men (HR= 1.84, 95% CI: 1.16-2.92). There was no significant difference in fracture risk between the medium and low tertiles in men and women. Discussion The purpose of this paper was to determine whether femoral stress, as an index of bone modeling response, predicts fracture among older men and women. We hypothesized that higher femoral stress indicating a deficiency in bone modeling response would be associated with higher fracture rates; we found that men and women in the highest tertile of femoral stress had a significantly greater risk of fracture compared 86 to men and women in the lowest tertile of femoral stress, even after additional adjustment to capture multiple measures of muscle load and other confounding factors. Prior studies have shown that the forces which generate strains in bone that evoke the bone modeling response are muscle driven 9,10, and indeed, they account for some of the variability in femoral stress 14. There are two ways in which bones can become weak. In the first, an individual with a normal modeling response adjusts bone strength downward to adapt to low activity or disuse. In the second, an individual with a deficient modeling response adjusts the bone to a weaker condition than it should for the load it experiences. In order to detect deficiencies in modeling response we need to measure stresses generated under maximum load but we are unable to directly measure the maximal forces on bone. Femoral stress is estimated under a single body weight load but we know forces are muscle driven and therefore are some multiple of body weight. If everyone experienced the same forces, then we could say higher femoral stress indicates deficiencies in load using the current model. But since muscle varies across individuals, we need to account for that variability. We approximated muscle loading effects by using measures of lean mass and knee extension strength. We found that the association between femoral stress and fracture was strengthened after adjusting for muscle mass and knee strength in both men and women. The relative rate for fracture, comparing the highest versus the lowest tertile of femoral stress, increased from 56% to 84% in men and increased from 37% to 77% in women after adjusting for lean mass and strength. Our study builds upon previous work by demonstrating that (1) incident fractures are more common among those with higher femoral stress, which may reflect deficiency in modeling response; (2) the association between higher femoral stress and fracture are 87 significant in men as well as in women; and (3) the association between higher femoral stress and fracture is stronger after adjusting for variation in muscle loading forces. These results provide evidence to suggest that some individuals do not respond properly to load stimuli and therefore build a weaker bone. Measuring bone modeling response and improving on our ability to do so may have important clinical implications for how we identify and treat individuals at risk for fracture. A measure of bone modeling response may enhance other widely used measures of fracture risk such as bone mineral density (BMD) because it examines the geometric distribution of bone important to evaluating bone strength. Though BMD serves as an important clinical tool for determining fracture risk, it does not adequately capture the underlying heterogeneity in skeletal strength. The purpose of this paper was not to compare the predictive ability of femoral stress versus BMD, but rather present a new measure of bone strength based on the loading forces that influence it. Bone modeling response provides a framework for bone fragility different from the BMD paradigm which may influence the way we think about prevention and treatment. Most research on pharmacologic treatment to date has focused on drugs that minimize bone resorption 21-25. However if the mechanism underlying bone fragility is related to bone modeling deficiencies, future research should aim to develop treatments that would improve response to load, thereby making weight-bearing activities such as exercise more efficient. This study had several strengths, including longitudinal data collection on a large cohort of older men and women, prospective capture and adjudication of fracture events and the provision of DXA data from which femoral stress could be estimated. Despite these strengths, it is important to note limitations of the femoral stress measure. Our 88 measure of femoral stress involves assumptions about the magnitude and direction of the forces generated in a one legged stance. In addition, the engineering model of the hip was restricted to the frontal plane, and the forces on the hip in ambulation are frequently directed out of the frontal plane. However, current methods for a more complex three dimensional model require computed tomography, which was only available for a small subset of individuals in this study. Single body weight load likely underestimates the total force acting on the bone. Ideally, a measure of modeling response would incorporate muscle forces and future measures should consider how best to do this more directly. In conclusion, results from this study found that higher femoral stress, which provides an indicator of bone modeling response, is associated with increased risk of fracture in older men and women. Bone modeling response may be an important mechanism underlying bone fragility and fracture susceptibility because it drives the adaptation of bone strength to withstand the forces the bone experiences. Future research should focus on refining measurements of bone modeling response that better incorporate individual variations in muscle load. Results from these studies will provide important insight into the relationship between bone and muscle that will in turn have important implications for how we identify those at risk for fracture and for how best to prevent fractures from occurring. 89 Table 5.1. Baseline Characteristics for Men and Women with and without a Fracture Fracture (n=131) Men (n=1225) No Fracture (n=1094) p Fracture (n=255) Women (n=1255) No Fracture (n=1000) p Femoral Stress and its components Femoral Stress MPa, 8.5 (1.5) 7.9 (1.4) <0.001 9.7 (1.8) 9.4 (1.8) 0.046 mean, (SD) Weight, kg mean, (SD) 79.4 (11.9) 81.6 (13.3) 0.0704 67.1 (13.7) 70.8 (14.3) <0.001 NN BMD, g/cm2 mean 0.76 (0.13) 0.87 (0.17) <0.001 0.67 (0.12) 0.76 (0.15) <0.001 (SD) NN CSA, cm2 mean 2.60 (0.44) 2.94 (0.58) <0.001 2.02 (0.37) 2.26 (0.44) <0.001 (SD) NN CSMI (cm4), mean, 2.87 (0.67) 3.16 (0.92) 0.0006 1.67 (0.43) 1.81 (0.50) <0.001 (SD) Covariates Percent total body lean 67.7 (4.6) 67.4 (4.7) 0.536 57.4 (5.8) 56.6 (5.3) 0.034 mass, mean % (SD) Isokinetic knee strength 1.40 (0.34) 1.43 (0.36) 0.354 1.04 (0.30) 1.04 (0.28) 0.995 proportion, mean (SD) Age, y, mean (SD) 74.2 (2.8) 73.7 (2.9) 0.034 73.6 (2.9) 73.3 (2.8) 0.134 % White 79.4 62.8 <0.001 76.8 49.4 <0.001 Co-morbidities, mean 0.46 (0.75) 0.60 (0.82) 0.084 0.53 (0.73) 0.51 (0.75) 0.695 (SD) General Health Status (%) 49.6 47.8 45.9 44.1 Excellent/VG 38.2 36.5 41.9 41.4 Good 12.2 15.7 12.2 14.5 Fair/Poor SPPB Score, mean (SD) 10.4 (1.4) 10.4 (1.3) 0.853 9.9 (1.5) 9.9 (1.5) 0.626 MPa= mega pascals; NN=narrow neck; BMD= bone mineral density; CSA=cross sectional area; CSMI= cross sectional moment of inertia. Co-morbidities- number of conditions from the following: osteoarthritis, angina, MI, CHF, stroke, diabetes, and COPD. Isokinetic knee strength proportion= isokinetic knee strength/total body mass (g); SPPB= short physical performance battery. 90 Table 5.2. Incidence Rate (per 1000 person years) of Fracture by Tertile of Femoral Stress Tertile Low P Medium P High IR (95% CI) value IR (95% CI) value IR (95% CI) 9.8 0.021 11.3 0.129 16.0 Men (6.5-13.2) (7.8-14.8) (11.8-20.2) 19.3 0.045 23.0 0.337 27.1 Women (14.9-23.7) (18.1-27.9) (21.7-32.4) P value comparing incidence rates in low vs high and medium vs high tertile Table 5.3. Cox Proportional HR and 95% CIs by Tertile of Femoral Stress Men Women M1 M2 M3 M1 M2 M3 HR HR HR HR HR HR (95% CI) (95% CI) (95% CI) (95% CI) (95% CI) (95% CI) Low ----Med 1.10 1.23 1.25 1.17 1.32 1.33 (0.70-1.75) (0.77-1.95) (0.78-2.00) (0.86-1.61) (0.95-1.83) (0.96-1.85) High 1.57 1.84 1.84 1.37 1.77 1.98 (1.02-2.42) (1.16-2.92) (1.16-2.92) (1.00-1.87) (1.25-2.50) (1.39-2.83) M1=adjusted for site only; M2= adjusted for percent total body lean mass, body size adjusted knee strength and site; M3= adjusted for total body lean mass, body size adjusted knee strength, age, race, co-morbidities, general health status, standing balance and walking speed. In men: Low (3.41-7.36 Mpa); med (7.36-8.49Mpa); high (8.50-14.89 Mpa). In women: Low (3.88-8.57 Mpa); med (8.57-10.13 Mpa); High (10.13-17.50). 91 92 References 1. Ensrud, KE 2013 Epidemiology of fracture risk with advancing age. J Gerontol A Biol Sci Med Sci 68:1236-1242. 2. Melton, LJ,3rd, Khosla, S, Atkinson, EJ, O'Fallon, WM, Riggs, BL 1997 Relationship of bone turnover to bone density and fractures. J Bone Miner Res 12:1083-1091. 3. Kanis, JA 2002 Diagnosis of osteoporosis and assessment of fracture risk. Lancet 359:1929-1936. 4. Cummings, SR, Bates, D, Black, DM 2002 Clinical use of bone densitometry: scientific review. JAMA 288:1889-1897. 5. Johnell, O, Kanis, JA, Oden, A, Johansson, H, De Laet, C, Delmas, P, Eisman, JA, Fujiwara, S, Kroger, H, Mellstrom, D, Meunier, PJ, Melton, LJ,3rd, O'Neill, T, Pols, H, Reeve, J, Silman, A, Tenenhouse, A 2005 Predictive value of BMD for hip and other fractures. J Bone Miner Res 20:1185-1194. 6. Manolagas, SC 2000 Birth and death of bone cells: basic regulatory mechanisms and implications for the pathogenesis and treatment of osteoporosis. Endocr Rev 21:115-137. 7. Lanyon, L, Skerry, T 2001 Postmenopausal osteoporosis as a failure of bone's adaptation to functional loading: a hypothesis. J Bone Miner Res 16:1937-1947. 8. Jee, WS 2005 The past, present, and future of bone morphometry: its contribution to an improved understanding of bone biology. J Bone Miner Metab 23 Suppl:1-10. 9. Skerry, TM 2008 The response of bone to mechanical loading and disuse: fundamental principles and influences on osteoblast/osteocyte homeostasis. Arch Biochem Biophys 473:117-123. 10. Frost, HM 1997 On our age-related bone loss: insights from a new paradigm. J Bone Miner Res 12:1539-1546. 11. Mayhew, PM, Thomas, CD, Clement, JG, Loveridge, N, Beck, TJ, Bonfield, W, Burgoyne, CJ, Reeve, J 2005 Relation between age, femoral neck cortical stability, and hip fracture risk. Lancet 366:129-135. 12. Hamilton, CJ, Jamal, SA, Beck, TJ, Khaled, AS, Adachi, JD, Brown, JP, Davison, KS, Canadian Multicentre Osteoporosis Study (CaMos) Research Group 2013 Heterogeneity in Skeletal Load Adaptation Points to a Role for Modeling in the Pathogenesis of Osteoporotic Fracture. J Clin Densitom. 93 13. Beck, TJ, Looker, AC, Mourtada, F, Daphtary, MM, Ruff, CB 2006 Age trends in femur stresses from a simulated fall on the hip among men and women: evidence of homeostatic adaptation underlying the decline in hip BMD. J Bone Miner Res 21:14251432. 14. Reider L, ea 2014 Evaluating the Relationship between Muscle and Bone Modeling Response in Older Adults. (in preparation). 15. Visser, M, Goodpaster, BH, Kritchevsky, SB, Newman, AB, Nevitt, M, Rubin, SM, Simonsick, EM, Harris, TB 2005 Muscle mass, muscle strength, and muscle fat infiltration as predictors of incident mobility limitations in well-functioning older persons. J Gerontol A Biol Sci Med Sci 60:324-333. 16. Beck, TJ 2007 Extending DXA beyond bone mineral density: understanding hip structure analysis. Curr Osteoporos Rep 5:49-55. 17. TROTTER, M, GLESER, GC 1952 Estimation of stature from long bones of American Whites and Negroes. Am J Phys Anthropol 10:463-514. 18. McLeish, RD, Charnley, J 1970 Abduction forces in the one-legged stance. J Biomech 3:191-209. 19. Cawthon, PM, Fox, KM, Gandra, SR, Delmonico, MJ, Chiou, CF, Anthony, MS, Caserotti, P, Kritchevsky, SB, Newman, AB, Goodpaster, BH, Satterfield, S, Cummings, SR, Harris, TB, Health, Aging and Body Composition Study 2011 Clustering of strength, physical function, muscle, and adiposity characteristics and risk of disability in older adults. J Am Geriatr Soc 59:781-787. 20. Guralnik, JM, Simonsick, EM, Ferrucci, L, Glynn, RJ, Berkman, LF, Blazer, DG, Scherr, PA, Wallace, RB 1994 A short physical performance battery assessing lower extremity function: association with self-reported disability and prediction of mortality and nursing home admission. J Gerontol 49:M85-94. 21. Ferrari, S, Nakamura, T, Hagino, H, Fujiwara, S, Lange, JL, Watts, NB 2011 Longitudinal change in hip fracture incidence after starting risedronate or raloxifene: an observational study. J Bone Miner Metab 29:561-570. 22. Abelson, A, Ringe, JD, Gold, DT, Lange, JL, Thomas, T 2010 Longitudinal change in clinical fracture incidence after initiation of bisphosphonates. Osteoporos Int 21:10211029. 23. Ettinger, B, Black, DM, Mitlak, BH, Knickerbocker, RK, Nickelsen, T, Genant, HK, Christiansen, C, Delmas, PD, Zanchetta, JR, Stakkestad, J, Gluer, CC, Krueger, K, Cohen, FJ, Eckert, S, Ensrud, KE, Avioli, LV, Lips, P, Cummings, SR 1999 Reduction of vertebral fracture risk in postmenopausal women with osteoporosis treated with 94 raloxifene: results from a 3-year randomized clinical trial. Multiple Outcomes of Raloxifene Evaluation (MORE) Investigators. JAMA 282:637-645. 24. Uusi-Rasi, K, Beck, TJ, Semanick, LM, Daphtary, MM, Crans, GG, Desaiah, D, Harper, KD 2006 Structural effects of raloxifene on the proximal femur: results from the multiple outcomes of raloxifene evaluation trial. Osteoporos Int 17:575-586. 25. Beck, TJ, Lewiecki, EM, Miller, PD, Felsenberg, D, Liu, Y, Ding, B, Libanati, C 2008 Effects of denosumab on the geometry of the proximal femur in postmenopausal women in comparison with alendronate. J Clin Densitom 11:351-359. 95 Chapter 6: Evaluating the Relationship between Muscle and Bone Modeling Response in Older Women after a Hip Fracture3 Introduction Bone modeling, the process that continually adjusts bone strength in response to prevalent loading forces throughout an individual’s lifespan, may play an important role in bone fragility with age. Bone modeling has been described in terms of the Frost Mechanostat, in which bone tissue is added or removed to ensure that minute deformations (strains) of bone tissue remain within some ‘normal’ range 1. Individuals with a deficient modeling response would be expected to add less bone in response to load stimuli and thus have reduced skeletal strength and greater susceptibility to fracture. Forces which generate strains in bone that initiate the modeling originate with muscle activity 1-3. While these forces cannot be measured directly, measures of lean mass and muscle strength have been shown to account for some of the variability in femoral stress, an index of bone modeling response4. Femoral stress (which is proportional to strain) can be computed at the medial cortex of the femoral neck, a site where stress is concentrated and bone tissue is physiologically preserved in older age, using DXA derived bone geometry and information about forces at the hip under a single body weight load 5. Bone modeling response provides a framework for bone fragility that examines bone structural strength and incorporates the important loading effects that come from muscle. Residual heterogeneity in femoral stress after accounting for measures of muscle load may indicate individual variation in modeling response. These relationships have been previously examined among a cohort of healthy older adults 4, 3 Lisa Reider, Jay Magaziner, Thomas Beck, Dawn Alley, Michelle Shardell, Ram Miller, John Schumacher. Manuscript in preparation. 96 and femoral stress has been shown to predict fracture 6. The purpose of this paper is to evaluate these associations among women with a recent hip fracture. Specifically, we will evaluate the association of lean mass and muscle strength with femoral stress. This paper also examines whether femoral stress changes during the year following a fracture, a time during which significant changes to muscle and bone strength occur 7-12. While bone becomes structurally weak following fracture, we don’t expect that modeling response to muscle load changes. This is important for thinking about recovery in the post fracture period and the impact of building muscle mass and strength on bone. Methods The study sample included participants from the third and fourth cohorts of the Baltimore Hip Studies (BHS-3 & BHS-4). Participants in BHS3, a prospective study of hip fracture recovery, were recruited from two area hospitals from 1992-1995. Participants were recruited within 48 hours of admission and included 205 Caucasian women age 65 years or older with a new hip fracture of the proximal femur. Participants were evaluated at 3 and/or 10 days after hospital admission and at 2, 6 and 12 months later 13. Participants in BHS4, a prospective randomized trial of a year-long home-based exercise program following usual care for hip fracture, were recruited from three area hospitals from 1998-2004. Participants were recruited within 15 days of fracture and included 180 community dwelling women 65 years or older admitted within 72 hours of a nonpathological hip fracture. Participants were evaluated at 10 days after enrollment and at 2, 6, and 12 months later 14. Both white and black women were enrolled in BHS4; however, this analysis was restricted to white women because the number of enrolled black women was small to be consistent with BHS3. 97 The final sample for this analysis included 87 BHS3 participants and 51 BHS4 participants who had at least a baseline Dual Energy X-ray Absorptiometry (DXA) scan analyzed using the Hip Structural Analysis (HSA) program and all measured covariates described below. Compared to the analytic sample, BHS3 participants without measured covariates were younger, had lower total body mass, but higher percent lean mass, and lower grip strength. Compared to the analytic sample, BHS4 participants without measured covariates had significantly lower percent lean mass. Femoral Stress Estimation Bone geometry was measured using the Hip Structural Analysis program from dual energy x-ray absorptiometry data 15. The HSA software generates geometry from profiles of pixel values traversing the proximal femur at its narrowest point when viewed in a frontal plane DXA image. The software also provides information to locate the center of the femoral head in order to estimate the weight vector, the neck-shaft angle, the vector distances to the femoral neck cross-section, the abductor force and the ground reaction force vectors. Femoral stress was estimated on the medial aspect of the neck cross-section using a body weight load as follows: σ =My + F I A where M represents the net bending moment orthogonal to the neck axis, I is the HSAderived cross sectional moment of inertia (CSMI) for bending in the frontal plane; A represents the bone surface in the cross section (CSA); y represents the displacement of the medial surface from the neutral axis and F represents axial component of loading force. Forces were computed at the medial cortex of the femoral neck in a one legged 98 stance using body weight (in Newtons) and femur length estimated from height using forensic formulas 16. Using the formalism employed by McLeish et al, the gravitational load on the femoral head (joint force) is assumed to be 5/6 body weight, the ground reaction forces at the knee is 8/9 of body weight and the abductor force is oriented at an angle of 19 degrees to the horizontal with the magnitude computed to achieve static equilibrium 17. Forces in the frontal plane are represented in the left diagram in Figure 6.1, and are resolved to their x and y components in the right (i.e., FMx, FMy, Fjx,Fjy). Forces are then balanced to ensure that all components in the x and y directions sum to zero. Figure 6.1: Estimating Femoral Stress. W1 refers to body weight, Fm to the abductor muscle force, and Fj to the joint force at the femoral head. NL= Neck Length; d= distance from the center of mass; TL= distance from the weight vector to the outer surface of the greater trochanter; SL= shaft length is computed from forensic formula on height: α = 99 neck shaft angle from HSA ; β= 10 degrees; θ= 19 degrees. A detailed description of the stress calculation is included in the Appendix. Muscle Loading Forces Grip strength: Maximum grip strength was measured using a hand-held dynamometer (Jamar, Clifton NJ) at 2 months. Total body lean mass was measured during hospital admission for treatment of hip fracture from whole body DXA scans conducted on Hologic QDR 1000 or QDR 1500 machines at study centers (Hologic, Waltham, MA) 14 Covariates Age, race, number of co-morbidities, and general health status were included in final analyses. Age was recorded in years and participants’ race was categorized as either white or black. Number of co-morbidities at time of fracture was measured via self-report of the following conditions: osteoarthritis, coronary heart disease including a history of angina, myocardial infarction, congestive heart failure, stroke, diabetes, and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease. Health status prior to injury was measured using self rated health and categorized as excellent/very good, good, or fair/poor. Final analysis also controlled for study group (BHS3, BHS4- intervention group, and BHS4- control group). Analysis Differences in participant characteristics were compared across quartiles of femoral stress using the p test for trend. To account for the confounding effects of body size on lean mass and grip strength, total body lean mass was divided by total body mass to compute percent lean mass; and grip strength was divided by total body mass to compute grip strength proportion. Partial pearson correlation coefficients were used to 100 quantify the correlation of femoral strength with percent lean mass, and grip strength proportion after adjustment for study group (BHS3 or BHS4). Linear regression was used to model the associations of femoral stress with percent lean mass and grip strength proportion at baseline. Four models were fit. The first model included percent lean mass and study group. The second model included grip strength proportion and study group. The third model included both percent lean mass and grip strength proportion, and group. The fourth model included both percent lean mass, grip strength proportion, group and all covariates described above. Mixed effect models with random intercepts were fit to evaluate the change in femoral stress over the 12 months following fracture where time was included as an indicator variable for 2, 6, and 12 months. Models were adjusted for covariates described above. All analyses were conducted using STATA-V9. Results Demographic information, health status, body composition and bone geometry measured at baseline are described in Table 6.1 by quartile of femoral stress where higher stress indicates weaker bones. For the purposes of illustration, mean BMD, CSA and CSMI at the femoral neck are also shown by stress quartile. Note that CSA and CSMI, which are used in the calculations of stress, are expectedly lower in higher quartiles of femoral stress, with an analogous inverse pattern for BMD and femoral stress. Total body mass is positively associated with femoral stress, owing to the use of total mass to approximate the forces in measuring femoral stress. In both men and women, average body mass increased across quartiles of femoral stress. Femoral stress was not significantly associated with age or health status (Table 6.1). Individuals with a higher proportion of lean mass relative to their total mass had lower femoral stress. Average 101 percent lean mass was 64.7% (SD=6.2) in women in the highest quartile of femoral stress compared with 72.6% (SD=6.6) in women in the lowest quartile (p<0.001). Likewise, women with higher grip strength relative to their total body mass had significantly lower femoral stress. Table 6.2 shows the correlation of femoral stress with percent lean mass and grip strength proportion. Femoral stress was more strongly (negatively) correlated with percent lean mass than with grip strength proportion (-0.44 vs -0.23) (Table 6.2). Table 6.3 provides coefficients from linear regression models of the association of femoral stress with percent lean mass and grip strength proportion. Results from model 1 showed that for every percent increase in lean mass, average femoral stress was 0.112 MPa lower (95% CI: -0.150, -0.073; p<0.001) and model 2 showed that for every 1-unit increase in grip strength proportion, average femoral stress was 3.88 MPa lower (95%CI: -6.72, -1.04; p=0.008). Percent lean mass explained more of the variability in femoral stress (R2=0.1981) than grip strength proportion (R2=0.0537). Results from model 3 showed that when both percent lean mass and isokinetic knee strength proportion were included in the regression model, only percent lean mass was significantly associated with femoral stress. The results did not change substantially after including other covariates in model 4. Femoral stress decreased by 0.07 MPa the year following fracture but this change was not significant (p=0.403) (Figure 6.2). Discussion The purpose of this paper was to evaluate the relative independent contributions of both lean mass and muscle strength to femoral stress, a measure of bone modeling 102 response, among older women with a hip fracture at the time of fracture. In addition, we also examined whether femoral stress changed the year following fracture. Our data show that femoral stress was more strongly related to percent lean mass than to grip strength proportion. We found that only percent lean mass was significantly associated with femoral stress after adjusting for potential confounders. Controlling for percent lean mass accounted for more of the variability in femoral stress than controlling for grip strength proportion as measured by the R2. These results are consistent with results from a previous study examining the relationship between lean mass and muscle strength in healthy older adults (Reider paper 1). However, both lean mass and muscle strength (as measured by isokinetic knee strength proportion) were significantly associated with femoral stress independent of each other after adjusting for similar covariates among women in the previous study. In both studies, lean mass appears to be an important predictor of femoral stress, indicating that the measure captures elements of bone’s response to load in healthy women as well as in women with a hip fracture. Variation in femoral stress after accounting for lean mass indicates heterogeneity in the modeling response to load. Interestingly, there was wide variation in femoral stress among women with a hip fracture, in addition to higher femoral stress compared to healthy older women (Reider paper 1). Differences in femoral stress may reflect hormonal and genetic factors which play an important role in regulating the modeling process. Previous studies have shown that bone strength and body composition significantly change the year following fracture 7,11,12. We would expect that if bone was appropriately adapting to reduced load over time, than bone would become structurally 103 weaker in an absolute sense but this would not necessarily change bone’s ability to respond to load. Therefore, individuals with a normal modeling response would likely build bone in response to increased muscle load during recovery. In contrast, individuals with a deficient modeling response (ie: relatively higher femoral stress) will require more muscle force in order to build bone. These individuals have less bone tissue relative to the muscle forces they typically encounter and so stresses are abnormally high. In this study, we see that average femoral stress did not change the year following fracture. The strengths of this study include the longitudinal data collection on women after hip fracture and the availability of DXA data from which femoral stress could be estimated. The engineering model we used for these analyses relies on DXA data using HSA, a technique for deriving bone structural properties from two dimensional data that has been employed in numerous studies 18-25. Despite these strengths, there are several limitations. First our measure of femoral stress involves assumptions about the magnitude and direction of the forces generated in a one legged stance. In addition, the engineering model of the hip was restricted to the frontal plane, and the forces on the hip in ambulation are frequently directed out of the frontal plane. Second, we may not have adequately captured all aspects of load in our attempt to approximate muscle loading forces. A direct measure of physical activity would be a valuable addition to this analysis, but a previous study showed that self-report measure of physical activity appeared insufficient to assess these relationships as it was minimally correlated with femoral stress, percent lean mass and muscle strength (Reider paper 1). Third, we assumed that lean mass and muscle strength are proportional to the forces generated at the hip. Our measure of muscle strength relied on grip strength, which 104 is not a direct evaluation of hip forces. Since grip strength measurement was not available in many women within 10 days following hip fracture, grip strength measured at 2 months was used as the baseline measure. We utilized total lean mass based on whole body DXA scans, which should be greater in more active individuals. However, lean mass may not be evenly distributed throughout the body, and we were unable to measure the muscle regions that most directly determine maximal muscle force at the hip. Fourth, despite our best efforts to mitigate the confounding effect of weight on the association between our lean mass and muscle strength measure with femoral stress by using percent lean mass and grip strength proportion, there is always the chance of residual confounding due to model misspecification. Finally, the analytic sample for this paper included women from two different studies; the BHS3 was a prospective observational study conducted in the early 1990s with few exclusion criteria, and BHS4 was an intervention study conducted 15 years later in which only 20% of identified hip fracture patients met the inclusion criteria. We included study group in statistical models to adjust for these differences and their potential effect on the relationship between measures of muscle load and femoral stress. In conclusion this study demonstrates that the relationship between measures of muscle load and femoral stress in women with a hip fracture is similar to those observed in healthy older women. Bone modeling response may be an important mechanism underlying bone fragility and because it is relatively stable over short periods, it may be most useful in identifying those at risk of future fracture (Reider paper 2). Future research should focus on refining measurements of bone modeling response that better incorporate individual variations in muscle load. Results from these studies will provide important 105 insight into the relationship between muscle and bone. 106 Table 6.1: Study Sample Characteristics by Quartile of Femoral Stress Q1 (n=35) Q2 (n=34) Q3 (n=35) Q4 (n=34) p Femoral Stress and Its Components 6.09-7.82 7.87-8.88 8.90-10.18 10.21-15.37 Femoral stress (range) MPa Total body mass, kg (mean, SD) 53.3 (9.7) 57.0 (8.2) 60.4 (41.9) 66.5 (12.2) Narrow Neck BMD (g./cm2) 0.59 (0.09) 0.61 (0.08) 0.59 (0.12) 0.56 (0.09) 0.037 Narrow Neck CSA (g/cm ) 1.93 (0.35) 1.90 (0.27) 1.78 (0.36) 1.74 (0.27) 0.003 Narrow Neck CSMI 1.81 (0.52) 1.64 (0.36) 1.52 (0.43) 1.49 (0.29) 0.001 Covariates Age, years, mean (SD) 81.7 (7.2) 80.4 (6.5) 78.9 (7.3) 79.1 (7.0) 0.085 Health Status Co-morbidities (n; range) 0.86 (0-3) 1.0 (0-3) 1.17 (0-4) 1.0 (0-4) 0.431 General Health Status Excellent/Very Good 34.3 26.5 40.0 38.2 0.445 Good 37.1 50.0 40.0 38.2 Fair/Poor 28.6 23.5 20.0 23.5 Mechanical Load Percent Lean Mass (mean %, 72.6 (6.6) 69.0 (6.4) 66.1 (6.3) 64.7 (6.2) <0.00 SD) 1 Grip Strength Proportion (mean, 0.29 (0.10) 0.28 (0.11) 0.27 (0.11) 0.24 (0.09) 0.017 SD) MPa=pascals; BMD= bone mineral density; CSA= cross sectional area; CSMI= cross sectional moment of inertia; comorbidities=number of from the following: osteoarthritis, angina, MI, CHF, stroke, diabetes, and COPD; total body mass adjusted grip strength measurement 2 months following fracture Table 6.2. Partial Correlation of Femoral Stress with Percent Lean Mass and Body Adjusted Grip Strength Adjusted for Site Correlation coefficient Percent lean mass -0.4427 Body Mass Adjusted Grip Strength -0.2264 107 Table 6.3 Association of Femoral Stress with Percent Total Body Lean Mass, Total Body Adjusted Grip Strength among Women after Hip Fracture (n=138) Model Percent Lean Mass Beta (95% CI) 1 2 3 4 P value -0.112 (-0.120, -0.073) ---0.104 (-0.143, -0.065) -0.097 (-0.138, -0.056) Body Mass Adjusted Grip Strength Beta (95% CI) <0.001 ---3.88 (-6.72, -1.04) <0.001 -2.27 (-4.94, 0.394) <0.001 -2.39 (-5.22, 0.435) P value --0.008 0.094 0.096 R2 19.8% 5.4% 21.5% 23.4% Percent total body lean mass= total body lean mass (kg)/total body mass (kg); Total body mass adjusted grip strength= dynometer strength/total body mass (kg) Model 1: Linear regression models adjusted for group only Model 2: Linear regression models adjusted for group only Model 3: Linear regression; models include percent lean mass, body mass adjusted knee strength and group Model 4: Linear regression; models include percent lean mass, body mass adjusted knee strength, group and the following covariates: age, race, number of comorbidities, and health status P=0.403 9.26 9.11 BL 2 9.12 6 9.19 12 Month Figure 6.2. Change in Femoral Stress over the 12 months following hip fracture (n=138) 108 References 1. Frost, HM 1997 On our age-related bone loss: insights from a new paradigm. J Bone Miner Res 12:1539-1546. 2. Skerry, TM 2008 The response of bone to mechanical loading and disuse: fundamental principles and influences on osteoblast/osteocyte homeostasis. Arch Biochem Biophys 473:117-123. 3. Lang, TF 2011 The bone-muscle relationship in men and women. J Osteoporos 2011:702735. 4. Reider L, ea 2014 Evaluating the Relationship between Muscle and Bone Modeling Response in Older Adults. (in preparation). 5. Hamilton, CJ, Jamal, SA, Beck, TJ, Khaled, AS, Adachi, JD, Brown, JP, Davison, KS, Canadian Multicentre Osteoporosis Study (CaMos) Research Group 2013 Heterogeneity in Skeletal Load Adaptation Points to a Role for Modeling in the Pathogenesis of Osteoporotic Fracture. J Clin Densitom. 6. Reider L et al. 2014 An Estimate of Bone Modeling Response Predicts Incident Fractures in Older Adults. (in preparation). 7. Reider, L, Beck, TJ, Hochberg, MC, Hawkes, WG, Orwig, D, YuYahiro, JA, Hebel, JR, Magaziner, J, Study of Osteoporotic Fractures Research Group 2010 Women with hip fracture experience greater loss of geometric strength in the contralateral hip during the year following fracture than age-matched controls. Osteoporos Int 21:741-750. 8. Magaziner, J, Wehren, L, Hawkes, WG, Orwig, D, Hebel, JR, Fredman, L, Stone, K, Zimmerman, S, Hochberg, MC 2006 Women with hip fracture have a greater rate of decline in bone mineral density than expected: another significant consequence of a common geriatric problem. Osteoporos Int 17:971-977. 9. Visser, M, Harris, TB, Fox, KM, Hawkes, W, Hebel, JR, Yahiro, JY, Michael, R, Zimmerman, SI, Magaziner, J 2000 Change in muscle mass and muscle strength after a hip fracture: relationship to mobility recovery. J Gerontol A Biol Sci Med Sci 55:M43440. 10. Karlsson, MK, Obrant, KJ, Nilsson, BE, Johnell, O 2000 Changes in bone mineral, lean body mass and fat content as measured by dual energy X-ray absorptiometry: a longitudinal study. Calcif Tissue Int 66:97-99. 109 11. Wehren, LE, Hawkes, WG, Hebel, JR, Orwig, DL, Magaziner, J 2005 Bone mineral density, soft tissue body composition, strength, and functioning after hip fracture. J Gerontol A Biol Sci Med Sci 60:80-84. 12. D'Adamo, CR, Hawkes, WG, Miller, RR, Jones, M, Hochberg, M, Yu-Yahiro, J, Hebel, JR, Magaziner, J 2014 Short-term changes in body composition after surgical repair of hip fracture. Age Ageing 43:275-280. 13. Fox, KM, Magaziner, J, Hawkes, WG, Yu-Yahiro, J, Hebel, JR, Zimmerman, SI, Holder, L, Michael, R 2000 Loss of bone density and lean body mass after hip fracture. Osteoporos Int 11:31-35. 14. Orwig, DL, Hochberg, M, Yu-Yahiro, J, Resnick, B, Hawkes, WG, Shardell, M, Hebel, JR, Colvin, P, Miller, RR, Golden, J, Zimmerman, S, Magaziner, J 2011 Delivery and outcomes of a yearlong home exercise program after hip fracture: a randomized controlled trial. Arch Intern Med 171:323-331. 15. Beck, TJ 2007 Extending DXA beyond bone mineral density: understanding hip structure analysis. Curr Osteoporos Rep 5:49-55. 16. TROTTER, M, GLESER, GC 1952 Estimation of stature from long bones of American Whites and Negroes. Am J Phys Anthropol 10:463-514. 17. McLeish, RD, Charnley, J 1970 Abduction forces in the one-legged stance. J Biomech 3:191-209. 18. Travison, TG, Beck, TJ, Esche, GR, Araujo, AB, McKinlay, JB 2008 Age trends in proximal femur geometry in men: variation by race and ethnicity. Osteoporos Int 19:277287. 19. Beck, TJ, Ruff, CB, Bissessur, K 1993 Age-related changes in female femoral neck geometry: implications for bone strength. Calcif Tissue Int 53 Suppl 1:S41-6. 20. Semanick, LM, Beck, TJ, Cauley, JA, Wheeler, VW, Patrick, AL, Bunker, CH, Zmuda, JM 2005 Association of body composition and physical activity with proximal femur geometry in middle-aged and elderly Afro-Caribbean men: the Tobago bone health study. Calcif Tissue Int 77:160-166. 21. Uusi-Rasi, K, Beck, TJ, Sievanen, H, Heinonen, A, Vuori, I 2003 Associations of hormone replacement therapy with bone structure and physical performance among postmenopausal women. Bone 32:704-710. 22. Looker, AC, Beck, TJ, Orwoll, ES 2001 Does body size account for gender differences in femur bone density and geometry? J Bone Miner Res 16:1291-1299. 110 23. Beck, TJ, Petit, MA, Wu, G, LeBoff, MS, Cauley, JA, Chen, Z 2009 Does obesity really make the femur stronger? BMD, geometry, and fracture incidence in the women's health initiative-observational study. J Bone Miner Res 24:1369-1379. 24. Kaptoge, S, Dalzell, N, Loveridge, N, Beck, TJ, Khaw, KT, Reeve, J 2003 Effects of gender, anthropometric variables, and aging on the evolution of hip strength in men and women aged over 65. Bone 32:561-570. 25. Nelson, DA, Beck, TJ, Wu, G, Lewis, CE, Bassford, T, Cauley, JA, LeBoff, MS, Going, SB, Chen, Z 2011 Ethnic differences in femur geometry in the women's health initiative observational study. Osteoporos Int 22:1377-1388. 111 Chapter 7: Discussion The purpose of this dissertation was to evaluate the associations of femoral stress, an index of bone modeling response, with measures of muscle load among older adults. Bone modeling, the process that continually adjusts bone strength in response to prevalent loading forces throughout an individual’s lifespan, may play an important role in bone fragility with age. Bone modeling has been described in terms of the Frost Mechanostat, in which bone tissue is added or removed to ensure that minute deformations (strains) of bone tissue remain within some ‘normal’ range 1. While in vivo strains cannot be easily measured, stresses, which quantify the concentration of loading force at a specific location on the bone, can be estimated using measurements of DXA derived bone geometry and loading information incorporated into an engineering model 2. The model employed in these analyses calculated stress at the medial cortex of the femoral neck under a single body weight load. The model assumes that the femur should be adapted to habitual loads; therefore if all individuals responded equally, maximum stress at the femur generated by those loads should be equal. Thus greater stresses under equivalent load indicate a diminished response and a weaker bone. One drawback to the femoral stress model is that loading forces are only computed from body weight in a single leg stance likely underestimate the true physiologic forces acting on bone. Biomechanical studies indicate that hip forces are a multiplicative function of body weight that increases with the type and intensity of physical activity that the individual normally experiences, but these forces are difficult to determine directly. The best we can do with the current model is account for approximations of these forces in our assessment of femoral stress. 112 In this dissertation, associations of femoral stress with measures of muscle load that should approximate muscle forces were evaluated in a cohort of healthy older men and women as well as in older women after hip fracture. The first paper evaluated the associations of femoral stress with measures of total body lean mass and isokinetic muscle strength among healthy older men and women participating in the Health ABC study. The second paper determined whether femoral stress was associated with incident fracture among the same cohort of older men and women. The third paper evaluated the associations of femoral stress with measures of total body lean mass and maximum grip strength. In addition, this paper evaluated change in femoral stress the year following fracture. Results from the first paper showed that femoral stress was more strongly related to percent lean mass than isokinetic knee strength proportion and that controlling for percent lean mass accounted for more variability in femoral stress than controlling for isokinetic knee strength. Even after accounting for measures of muscle load, there was wide variation in femoral stress among both men and women likely reflecting individual variation in bone modeling response. Interestingly, percent lean mass and isokinetic knee strength proportion were significantly associated with femoral stress independent of each other in women, but only percent lean mass was significantly associated with femoral stress in men. These differences may be due to gender specific hormonal interactions with muscle tissue that result in changes to muscle mass and strength thereby affecting the load on bone 3. If deficiencies in modeling response as evidenced by higher stress indicate weaker bones, then femoral stress should be an indicator of fracture risk. A previous study 113 demonstrated that femoral stress was higher among older women with a history of fracture compared to those with no fracture 2. Building upon that study, the second dissertation paper showed that over a 12 year observation period, incident fractures were more common among men and women in the highest compared to lowest tertile of femoral stress. The association between high femoral stress (i.e.: deficient modeling response) and fracture are significant in men as well as in women and the association is stronger after adjusting for variation in muscle loading forces. Results from the third paper examining the association of femoral stress with measures of muscle load among women with a recent hip fracture showed that femoral stress was more strongly related to percent lean mass than grip strength proportion. These results were consistent with the results from paper 1 examining the relationship between lean mass and muscle strength in healthy older adults. Lean mass appears to be an important predictor of femoral stress in healthy women as well as in women with a hip fracture. Interestingly, there was wide variation in femoral stress among women with a hip fracture, in addition to higher femoral stress compared to healthy older women. The third paper also examined whether femoral stress changes during the year following a hip fracture, a time during which significant changes to muscle and bone strength occur, and despite those changes femoral stress did not change significantly. Previous studies have shown that while bone structural strength declines following fracture 4 it remains in equilibrium with the declining loads over this period. This suggests that bone’s ability to respond to load does not change as a result of a hip fracture. Individuals with a normal modeling response would likely build bone in response to increased muscle load during recovery. In contrast, individuals with a deficient modeling response (i.e.: relatively 114 higher femoral stress) will require more muscle force in order to build bone. These individuals have less bone tissue relative to the muscle forces they typically encounter and so stresses are abnormally high. Bone modeling response provides a framework for bone fragility that is not always consistent with current interpretations of the BMD paradigm. Though BMD serves as an important clinical tool for diagnosing osteoporosis and determining fracture risk, it does not adequately capture the underlying heterogeneity in skeletal strength. A measure of bone modeling response may add value to BMD and other measures of fracture risk because it examines the geometric distribution of bone important to evaluating bone strength. Furthermore, current bone strength assessments require the evaluation of multiple measures that must be interpreted together. Femoral stress provides a single measure of bone strength that accounts for the mechanical relationship between muscle and bone. The muscle-bone relationship has been defined previously as the bone mineral content (BMC) per cross sectional muscle area (CSA) to help conceptualize pediatric skeletal disorders, and, more recently, was used to evaluate the muscle-bone interactions at the spine among young and old women 5. This study found no significant difference in muscle mass among normal women, women with osteopenia and women with osteoporosis. However, women with osteopenia and osteoporosis had lower BMC to muscle area ratio compared to normal women; and the BMC to muscle area ratio was comparable among older normal women and young women. The authors suggest that the low BMC per muscle area in women with osteoporosis may be a result of reduced mechanosensitivity (i.e.: deficient modeling response). This approach to assessing 115 modeling response assumes a linear relationship between strain and bone mass. Since strain is dependent on how bone mass is distributed, femoral stress provides a more sophisticated and potentially more accurate depiction of modeling response since it accounts for the distribution of mass in the bone. Femoral stress as it is currently estimated does not have clinical applications, per se, but it allows us to investigate a potentially important mechanism of bone fragility using existing data from large prospective studies and provides a platform for future research into the important relationship between muscle and bone. Previous studies have shown that muscle is positively associated with bone and therefore building or maintaining muscle should have positive effects on bone. However if individuals have a deficient modeling response to muscle load, then it is unclear whether interventions aimed at building muscle, like physical activity, will have a normal impact. This is not to say that physical activity isn’t important. It serves many benefits beyond those that affect bone. These benefits include maintaining balance and mobility which enable older adults to continue living in the community and contribute to over-all well being. Since individuals with higher stresses require more force to ellicit a positive bone response, future studies should aim to determine how much force is necessary and what activities produce these forces. Further, studies also should investigate whether there is a point when these activities are no longer feasible or beneficial in terms of bone health. Results from these studies may support the need for pharmaceutical treatments that improve response to load making weight bearing activities more efficient. This will require a better understanding of the biomechanical and molecular interactions between bone and muscle tissue. 116 Ideally, muscle forces would need to be incorporated more directly into the femoral stress estimate. However, to do this, we would need to determine how best to measure muscle force, ideally the forces from normal activities that generate the stresses we have computed. In both studies employed in this thesis, the muscle force was measured at a location remote from the proximal femur where stress was computed. While we would expect correlation between the forces where we measured and those at the hip it is not surprising that correlations were poorer than an objective measure of lean mass, especially with regard to grip strength. A previous study showed that grip strength and lower limb strength are weakly correlated 6. If modeling response is region specific, it is likely that measures of lean mass and muscle strength at the hip would have a stronger association with femoral stress. Although total body lean mass and knee strength may be indirect measures of the forces which we’d like to capture, we did see that knee strength and lean mass were independently associated with femoral stress in healthy women while only lean mass was associated with femoral stress in men. Hormonal and genetic factors may also play an important role in this relationship and may explain differences in femoral stress between men and women. We were unable to evaluate the direct effects of physical activity on femoral stress. The measures of self-reported physical activity available in the elderly populations studied were minimally correlated with femoral stress so appeared inadequate for assessing these relationships. However, it is likely that physical activity has both direct and indirect effects on bone. In our sample we may not have been able to detect the direct effects of activity on bone because the range in values was small with a larger proportion of very lowvalues; very few people reported high levels of vigorous activity. Physical 117 activity should indirectly affect bone via muscle strength. When we adjusted for muscle strength, this may have eliminated any existing activity effects. Future studies evaluating the forces that correspond to self reported activity as well as to objective measures of activity such as accelerometry, may improve our understanding of activity effects on the modeling response. In addition to investigating how best to incorporate these forces into the femoral stress model, future models should be validated using bone and muscle parameters obtained from CT data. While muscle forces are an important driver of bone adaptation, they are not the only input that influences modeling response. Systemic hormones such as IGF-1, androgens and estrogens affect both muscle and bone. Future research on the role they play in muscle-bone interactions may provide insight into how modeling deficiencies originate. In summary, measuring bone modeling response and improving on our ability to do so may help us better understand the mechanism underlying bone fragility which may have important clinical implications in the future. 118 References 1. Frost, HM 1997 On our age-related bone loss: insights from a new paradigm. J Bone Miner Res 12:1539-1546. 2. Hamilton, CJ, Jamal, SA, Beck, TJ, Khaled, AS, Adachi, JD, Brown, JP, Davison, KS, Canadian Multicentre Osteoporosis Study (CaMos) Research Group 2013 Heterogeneity in Skeletal Load Adaptation Points to a Role for Modeling in the Pathogenesis of Osteoporotic Fracture. J Clin Densitom. 3. Lang, TF 2011 The bone-muscle relationship in men and women. J Osteoporos 2011:702735. 4. Reider, L, Beck, TJ, Hochberg, MC, Hawkes, WG, Orwig, D, YuYahiro, JA, Hebel, JR, Magaziner, J, Study of Osteoporotic Fractures Research Group 2010 Women with hip fracture experience greater loss of geometric strength in the contralateral hip during the year following fracture than age-matched controls. Osteoporos Int 21:741-750. 5. Schoenau, E 2005 From mechanostat theory to development of the "Functional Muscle-Bone-Unit". J Musculoskelet Neuronal Interact 5:232-238. 6. Samuel, D, Rowe, P 2012 An investigation of the association between grip strength and hip and knee joint moments in older adults. Arch Gerontol Geriatr 54:357-360. 119 Appendix Reproduced with permission from C. Hamilton The stress analysis at the femoral neck employs a mechanical model of the femur incorporating the forces acting on it and the parameters needed to define the geometry as shown in Table 1 and Figure 1. Note that this analysis is restricted to the frontal plane defined by the axes of the femoral neck and shaft, due to the limitations of the 2D DXA data. Resolved forces and geometry were calculated as follows: All forces and moments were then balanced to achieve static equilibrium using equations (i) to (iii) (i.e . , , ): (i) (ii) (iii) Note that the magnitude of the weight vector is assumed to be 8/9 body weight (1). 120 After computing FJx, FJy and FM, FJ and its angle and (v): were computed using equations (iv) (iv) (v) The internal forces in the neck resulting from the external forces FM, FJ and W1 are shown in a femoral neck free-body diagram (Figures 2 and 3), where Ms, PS and V are bending moment, axial load and shear force on the neck cross-section respectively. The small shear force was neglected in our calculations. The bending moment MS and axial force PS were calculated using equations (vi) and (vii): (vi) (vii) Axial stress on the medial surface of the femoral neck was computed using a formula from simple engineering beam theory using equation (viii): (viii) Where MS and PS are the bending moment and axial load on the neck cross-section I and A are the cross-sectional moment of inertia, and the cross-sectional area of the crosssection, and yMedial is the perpendicular distance between the medial surface, and the 121 neutral axis. At the medial surface, the bending moment and axial load produce compressive stresses which are represented by a positive sign. Tables Table 1. Parameters used in the derivation of medial femoral neck stance stress. Parameter Name Description Symbol Unit Derivation Neck shaft angle The angle between the axes of the neck and shaft. α Radians Computed in HSA Theta Angle of the resultant muscle force vector with the horizontal. θ Radians Assumed to equal 70 o Null Angle of the joint force vector with the horizontal. Ø Radians Derived Beta Angle of the femoral shaft with the vertical. β Radians Assumed to equal 10o Neck length Distance from the user defined centre of the femoral head to the intersection of the neck and shaft axes. NL Metres Computed in HSA SL Metres Computed using a standard forensic formula (2) TL Metres Computed in HSA Metres Computed Shaft length Neck to trochanter length Neck to trochanter length (assumed to be horizontal). Neck distance Neck to studied cross- d section length (at the 122 narrowest point in the neck). in HSA Body weight Body weight W Newtons Computed from DXA scan Cross Sectional Area the total mineralized bone surface in the cross section which is proportional to standard bone mineral content. CSA is a measure of the axial forces along the narrow neck. CSA g/cm2 Computed from HSA Cross Sectional Moment of Inertia also called the “second CSMI moment area” is derived as the integral of pixel thickness weighted by the square of distance from the center of mass. This is the distance between the center of the femoral head and the outer edge of the bone from where the cross section is measured. This is a measure of the forces on bone in bending. 123 Computed from HSA Figure 1 Free body diagram of the femur. In (a) forces are shown in the original directions. In (b) forces are resolved in the x-y directions. α: Neck-Shaft Angle (NSA); θ : Angle of the resultant muscle force vector with the horizontal; Ø: Angle of the joint force vector with the horizontal; β: Angle of the femoral shaft with the vertical; NL: Neck Length; SL : Shaft Length; TL : Center of femoral head to Trochanter Length; d: Center of femoral head to neck cross-section (at the narrowest point). Figure 2. Femur internal forces resulting from the external forces FM, FJ and W1. Ms, PS and V are bending moment, axial load and shear force on the cortical cross-section respectively. 124 Figure 3. Free-body diagram of the femoral neck. Bending moment = and axial force = . 125 Glossary of Terms Stress- force per unit area, usually in a cross section, from externally applied forces on an object. Compressive stress- result of opposing forces directed inward toward the same point (eg. Pushing inward on the ends of the bone). Bending stress- tensile stress on the outer curvature and compressive stress on the inner curvature of bending. The stresses are greatest on the outer surface Strain- the deformation in shape or dimensions of bone subjected to loading forces. Strain is proportional to stress by the “elastic modulus”, a proportionality constant characteristic of the material used in engineering analysis Bone adaptation- refers to the process that drives changes in bone strength in order to support loading forces. Response to load- refers to the bones’ ability to adapt to changes in mechanical load. It is thought that this response mechanism is controlled at the cellular level and can be influenced by non mechanical factors including hormones, genetics, and disease. Mechanical load- refers to the loading forces on the bone; specifically muscle forces and the physical activities that influence them. 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