JOURNAL OF WATER AND ENERGY SECURITY Volume 1 Number 1 January 2014 Cover & Front Matter Follow this and additional works at: http://www.jwaes.org Recommended Citation for Journal of Water and Energy Security and its articles Journal Front Matter Cover & Front Matter. Journal of Water and Energy Security, January 2014; 1 (1)*: p. iiv. Available at: http://www.jwaes.org. Journal Article(s) Author(s). “Article Title.” Journal of Water and Energy Security, January 2014; 1 (1)*: p. 1-9. Available at: http://www.jwaes.org. *Refers to volume and number respectively. Journal of Water and Energy Security, Volume 1 Number 1 http://www.jwaes.org Copyright © DTP 2014 ii JOURNAL of WATER and ENERGY SECURITY Volume 1, Number 1 January 2014 Editor-in-Chief James A. Tindall, Ph.D. University of Colorado Denver Consulting Editor Andrew A. Campbell, Ph.D. CI-CE-CT Melbourne, Australia Managing Editor James A. Burch, DM Colorado Springs, Colorado, USA Associate Editors Dewayne Branch, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN, USA James Burch, Colorado Technical University, Colorado Springs, CO, USA Shakhawat H. Chowdhury, King Fahd University of Petroleum and Minerals, Dhahran, Saudi Arabia Michael Friedel, USGS, Denver, CO, USA Richard Hughbank (Maj., U.S. Army Ret), U.S. Army War College, Carlisle, PA, USA Mike Hummel, California University of Pennsylvania, California, PA, USA Mohamed Yamba, California University of Pennsylvania, California, PA, USA Editorial Board Ling Liu, State Key Lab. Of Hydrology, WR, and Hydro Eng., Hohai University, Nanjing, China Bonnie L. Reese, Duquesne University, Pittsburgh, PA, USA Ismael Sanchez, Universidad Centroamericana "José Simeón Cañas", San Salvador, El Salvador Steven Steckel, TinMore Institute, Denver, CO, USA David M. Sumner, USGS, Florida Water Science Center, Altamonte Springs, FL, USA Nata Tadesse, Mekelle University, Mekelle, Ethiopia © DTP — Los Angeles, Denver, Sao Paulo, London, Monte Carlo, New Delhi, Tokyo iii Copyright © 2014 DTP All rights reserved. No part of this publication shall be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted by any means electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording, or otherwise without written permission from the publisher. No patent liability is assumed with respect to the use of the information contained herein. Although every precaution has been taken in the preparation of this publication, the publisher and author(s) assume no responsibility for errors or omissions. Neither is any liability assumed for damages resulting from the use of the information contained herein. Online ISSN: 2329-4191 Disclaimer The opinions expressed herein by either the editor(s), associate editor(s), editorial board member(s), and or author(s) are solely theirs unless specifically stated otherwise within an article(s) and should not be construed as being endorsed by any other entity. Additionally, the use of firm, trade, or brand names within this journal is for identification purposes only and does not constitute endorsement by the journal, editor(s), editorial board member(s) or author(s). iv TABLE OF CONTENTS Editor’s Note: Global Water and Energy Security ................................................................... 1 The Global Water Landscape: Strategic Issues and Policy Implications ........................... 10 A New Nicaragua Canal: Environmental, Policy, and Strategic-Security Implications ... 47 The Economic and Social Costs of Maritime Criminal Activity .......................................... 80 © Journal of Water and Energy Security, VOL. I, NO. 1 (Jan 2014) http://www.jwaes.org Volume 1, Number 1, 1-9 (2014) ISSN: 2329-4191 Journal of Water and Energy Security Editor’s Note: Global Water and Energy Security James A. Tindall* University of Colorado Denver, *Corresponding Author: [email protected] Received 28 November 2013; revised 15 December 2013; accepted 30 December 2013 “The facts, all the facts, and nothing but the facts!” - James A. Tindall1 Introduction Welcome to the inaugural issue of the Journal of Water and Energy Security—a unique interdisciplinary, peer-reviewed journal focusing on water and energy-security2 research, policy concerns, and related threat and intelligence issues to include interdependencies on the role of water and energy in environment, economic, and societal areas. By extension, the journal also focuses on related agricultural and security issues that intertwine these areas. The journal offers policy and analytical perspectives relating to threats to critical infrastructures, economic development, intelligence, homeland and national-security issues, global interdependencies, foreign-policy concerns and the critical role of intelligence, counter intelligence and counter measures against foreign and domestic threats against U.S. domestic and global water and energy infrastructure, resources, and interests. The field also encompasses methodological development of observational, experimental, theoretical, analytical, numerical, and data driven approaches that advance the science and art of water and energy security and their supply, resilience, sustainability, and management. As stated frequently to his master’s and doctoral research mentees about the role of research for providing unbiased facts to decision makers so they can potentially make the best decisions. 2 Many often perceive the term security to relate to guards, gates, and guns type scenarios, but in the context of this journal, it is very much more. Herein security refers to supply, sustainability, resiliency, and related factors—primarily of environmental, societal, health, and complex resources systems, as well as physical security measures and processes. 1 © Journal of Water and Energy Security, VOL. I, NO. 1 (Jan 2014) http://www.jwaes.org Tindall, Editor’s Note: Global Water and Energy Security 2 At its most fundamental level, the Journal of Water and Energy Security focuses on the significant interdependencies in water and energy security and the life-giving role these sectors relate to the lives of people throughout the global community. What is water security? “Water Security is the protection of adequate water supplies for food, fiber, industrial, and residential needs for expanding populations, which requires maximizing water-use efficiency, developing new supplies, and protecting water reserves in event of scarcity due to natural, [man-made], or technological hazards. [Eco-system functioning, environmental, social, and economic parameters are composite water-security components].”3 What is energy security? “[Energy Security is] the protection of sovereign energy resources, products, by-products, and commodity supply and conveyance lines from source to distribution point and, the means to safeguard storage facilities and independence of sovereign prices resulting from non-sovereign entities. Production sources and distribution channels must be capable of withstanding threats from all hazards, have redundancy, and should consider sustainability through policy and backup measures. Security requires resilient systems with the capacity to supply readily available energy in sufficient volumes with guaranteed access, affordability, and time foreknowledge of needed distribution to all consumer levels, which has significant importance for homeland security, national security, and natural resources managers.”4 In a narrow context, the journal’s water and energy security focus will center on topics that directly relate to key critical infrastructure items, such as water sustainability and management or the feasibility of proposed energy policies. In this case, research will focus on discrete issues, such as the critical nature of U.S. hydroelectric power or water management issues in the Nigerian Delta. In a broader sense, however, the journal also focuses on the wider implications of water and energy issues. In these cases the Journal of Water and Energy Security will explore some of the wider implications of constructing a canal in Nicaragua from the perspective of geopolitical, economic, environmental, and security perspectives or evaluating the impact of maritime piracy James A. Tindall, and Campbell, Andrew, A, Water Security: Conflicts, Threats, Policies (Denver: DTP 2011).; James A. Tindall, and Andrew Campbell, "Water Security-National and Global Issues," Government Printing Office, pubs.usgs.gov/fs/2010/3106/pdf/FS10-3106.pdf. 4 Definition developed by James A. Tindall and Edward H. Moran for the TinMore Institute (http://tinmore.com/energy-def.php). 3 © Journal of Water and Energy Security, VOL. 1, NO. 1 (Jan 2014) http://www.jwaes.org Tindall, Editor’s Note: Global Water and Energy Security 3 issues in the Horn of Africa. It is important to note that whether in a narrow or broader sense, the journal focuses on interdependencies and complexities that center on water and energy not only as a commodity, but also as a resource that requires evaluation and ultimately access to sustain global and national economies. By definition the subject is highly complex and covers many areas through interdependency with critical infrastructure—the systems that drive life and the economy, which include energy, transportation, agriculture and food, public health, defense industry, and others. But, it is also highly defined by critical roles in economic, development, societal, public health, environmental and related interdependent sectors. Energy/Water Nexus Energy and water security is a national and global priority. The continued security and economic health of the United States, any nation-state, or the global community depends on sustainable supplies of energy and water because these two critical natural resources are so closely intertwined. The production of energy requires large volumes of water while the treatment and distribution of water is equally dependent upon readily available, low-cost energy. In 2000, irrigated agriculture and thermoelectric generation withdrawals of fresh water were approximately equal in the U.S. Electricity production, which requires about 190,000 million gallons of freshwater per day. This accounts for over 40 percent of all daily freshwater withdrawals in the U.S. In many regions of the U.S., the indirect use of water (home lighting and electric appliances) is approximately equal to direct use (water lawns and taking showers). As other examples, water treatment facilities use energy to treat and pump water. Water distribution systems use energy for pumping and pressurization. Consumers and businesses use energy to filter, heat and cool water for their own uses. Wastewater treatment plants use energy to pump wastewater, run treatment procedures, and process solids. Without water, economic development is greatly curtailed! Without water, particularly in water-scarce areas, regions and countries are not sustainable. Water is a vital and integral element for the development of U.S. and global energy resources and utilization. It is used in energy-resource extraction, refining and © Journal of Water and Energy Security, VOL. 1, NO. 1 (Jan 2014) http://www.jwaes.org Tindall, Editor’s Note: Global Water and Energy Security 4 processing, and transportation. All of these sectors are vitally interdependent due to their relation to critical infrastructure. For example, water plays an integral role in electric-power generation, where it is used directly in hydroelectric generation and extensively for cooling and emissions scrubbing in thermoelectric processes. In 2000, thermoelectric power generation accounted for 39 percent of all fresh water withdrawals in the U.S., or about the same as water withdrawals for irrigated agriculture (34 percent — withdrawals are water diverted or withdrawn from a surface-water or groundwater source). Water withdrawals for thermoelectric power are dominated by power plants that return virtually all withdrawn water to the source and account for 3.3 percent of total freshwater consumption (3.3 billion gallons per day) and represented over 20 percent of non-agricultural water withdrawal. Although this water is returned at a higher temperature and with other changes in quality, it remains available for future use. A number of power plants, including most of those built since 1980, withdraw much less water but consume much of what they withdraw through the process of evaporative cooling. This strains scarce water resources, which are increasingly stressed due to changes in demographics and growth. In short, this is a significant water security and management issue. Current trends of water use and availability indicate that meeting future water and energy demands to support continued economic development will require improved utilization and management of both energy and water resources. Primary concerns include: Increasing populations require more food and energy; this will cause direct competition between the two largest water users (energy and agriculture) for limited water resources. Population growth and economic expansion projections indicate the U.S. will require an additional 393,000 MW of new generating capacity (equivalent to about 1,000 new 400 MW plants) by the year 2020. But few of these have been built—the result will likely be nation-wide rolling blackouts by 2025—similar to those in California today. Potential environmental and ecological restrictions on the use of water for power generation. © Journal of Water and Energy Security, VOL. 1, NO. 1 (Jan 2014) http://www.jwaes.org Tindall, Editor’s Note: Global Water and Energy Security 5 Cyclic drought in many locations, particularly in arid zones, is causing water scarcity issues of large proportions. The recent drought in California, in which Governor Brown recently requested residents to reduce overall water consumption by 20 percent, is a clear example.5 Emerging contaminants such as pharmaceuticals in drinking water that are beginning to reach potentially harmful levels, that once reached, may cause irreversible damage to both ecosystems and more critically, public health. Potential terrorist attacks on power grids and water treatment and distribution systems. The ability to meet the increasing demand for affordable water and energy is being seriously challenged by these and other emerging issues. This is true for almost all countries. There are also other regionally specific concerns. These significant issues are no longer relegated to remote and historically water- challenged regions such as the Middle East or Northern Africa; but, in a large part affect industrialized and developed societies. The Journal of Water and Energy Security will evaluate the energy-water relationship from a global perspective. For example, in the United States, 10 major cities are facing increasingly scarce water resources and sustainability issues: Los Angeles, Houston, Phoenix, San Antonio, San Francisco, Ft. Worth, Las Vegas, Tucson, Atlanta, and Orlando.6 On a global scale, Brazil is facing water-sustainability issues due to poor agricultural management and deforestation. As the natural water resource base declines globally, so too does the ability to provide lowcost energy for the world’s poorer, impoverished groups. At its core focus, the Journal of Water and Energy Security serve’s to focus on these issues Energy production requires an abundant, predictable, and reliable source of water. Clean water, however, is an increasingly scarce commodity throughout much of the world—especially in water-stressed areas. Agriculture uses approximately 70 percent of total water consumption in the U.S., which is comparable to other countries. There is little that can be done to trim agricultural consumption over the long-term despite new water-saving technologies. Due to population increases, agricultural production must Anthony York, "Gov. Jerry Brown Declares Drought Emergency in California," Los Angeles Times(2014), http://www.latimes.com/local/political/la-me-pc-jerry-brown-declares-drought-emergency-incalifornia-20140117,0,3244744.story#axzz2rFLA4BGb. 6 Tindall, Water Security: Conflicts, Threats, Policies. 5 © Journal of Water and Energy Security, VOL. 1, NO. 1 (Jan 2014) http://www.jwaes.org Tindall, Editor’s Note: Global Water and Energy Security 6 correspondingly and dramatically increase. This dynamic and interdependent relationships result in increased pressure and strain on water, energy supplies, and resources. The Journal of Water and Energy Security will also evaluate future water and energy initiatives from the perspective of interdependency and relationship to other sectors, For example, within the United States, the electrical sector ranks second as the largest user of water. Electrical production from fossil fuels and nuclear energy requires 190,000 million gallons of water per day (39 percent of all freshwater withdrawals in the U.S., with 71 percent attributed to fossil-fuel electricity generation). Coal, the most abundant fossil fuel, accounts for 52 percent of U.S. electricity generation; each kWh (kilowatt hour) generated from coal requires the withdrawal of 25 gallons of water. These figures, however, compare considerably less than water required for extracting oil from shale. This implies that indirect use of water (home lighting and electric appliances) is approximately equal to direct use (drinking water, water lawns, and taking showers). According to the 2001 National Energy Policy, population and economic growth in the U.S. alone will require 393,000 MW of new generating capacity by the year 2020. This will further strain U.S. water resources. To supply this demand would require 1,000 new, 400 MW power plants or, about 70 trillion gallons and 88 trillion gallons for fossil/biomass/waste and nuclear power plants, respectively. How much water is that? To illustrate, Lake Mead requires about two years of annual flow from the Colorado River to fill the reservoirs to capacity, which is about nine trillion gallons. Thus, additional power plant water requirements, for fossil/biomass/waste plants, would be enough to fill Lake Mead about eight times. This scope is difficult for many to comprehend. Additionally, given current economic problems across the nation and within all states, construction of these facilities is very unlikely, which means decreasing energy supplies per capita. It would therefore appear that the most probable solution will be strict limits on energy and water use and/or rolling blackouts to provide necessary supplies. This will help conserve both resources. The development of comprehensive energy policies that examine the benefits and tradeoffs of envisioned energy initiatives is a vital national security issue—currently, the U.S. has no energy policy! The Journal of Energy and Water Security will evaluate current approaches and envisioned proposals not only from the perceived gains that result from these energy © Journal of Water and Energy Security, VOL. 1, NO. 1 (Jan 2014) http://www.jwaes.org Tindall, Editor’s Note: Global Water and Energy Security 7 initiatives, but also from their dependency on increasingly scarce water resources. In short, the journal will examine both energy and water issues from a linked and ultimately symbiotic perspective, as well as a systems and 3D thinking approach intertwining strategy, sustainability, and resiliency. The oil extraction from shale for example and the fundamental interdependency of water and energy resources underscores the issue of whether a stable, affordable supply of water and energy will exist to support future energy demands and continued economic development. In this case, there are several issues of note: Populations are expected to increase significantly; accessible freshwater supplies will not. These supplies are finite; two of the few options to increase or supplement these water supplies are desalination and drinking water treated from city sewage and wastewater as is done in Singapore. The latter is unappealing to most Americans. Also, while water is a renewable resource, it is not an expandable resource. Energy required for treatment and distribution of water accounts for about 80 percent of its cost; an insufficient supply of affordable energy will have a negative impact on both the price and availability of water. Increasing gas prices will have a dramatic impact on water availability and pricing. Population migration and increase in relation to energy demand will not always coincide with water availability. For example, during the 1990s in the U.S., the largest regional population growth, 25 percent, occurred in one of the most water deficient regions in the arid American Southwest. That growth has not stopped. Water availability is a serious issue in water-stressed regions of the U.S., particularly in the southeast, where population has increased by nearly 14 percent since 1990. In comparison, the water-rich northeast has experienced only a two percent population growth. In other countries such as Darfur, Jordan, and Israel, this problem is more aggravated. An increasing population will require more electricity and more food. More food requires more energy from fossil fuels and more water for crop production. This will create serious competition between the nation's two largest water users for limited water supplies (energy and agriculture). As an example, ethanol produced from corn requires nearly 2,500 liters of water to produce one kilogram (300 gal © Journal of Water and Energy Security, VOL. 1, NO. 1 (Jan 2014) http://www.jwaes.org Tindall, Editor’s Note: Global Water and Energy Security 8 per lb) of ethanol. And, in the U.S., corn commonly is grown in areas experiencing a 20 to 50 percent growth in population. This combination changes irrigation and crop management practices and significantly stresses water resources. Similar trends occur globally. Proposed restrictions on the use of water for power generation to protect fish and other aquatic organisms could result in both increased costs of electricity and potential energy shortages. In this case, the environmental community and green proponents are calling for the dismantling of existing dams. These initiatives will highlight a critical policy issue—how to reconcile human needs versus protecting the environment. The critical interdependence between water and energy is inseparable; one resource cannot exist in an industrial economy without the other. Also, the interdependence between these critical infrastructure and others, as well as economic industries, public health, environment, and sectors is far deeper, complex, and intertwined than most imagine. The challenges of population growth, the increased demand for agriculture, and the symbiotic relationship between these two sectors highlights the need for evaluating water and energy security as a combined and integrated policy issue. It is the focus of the Journal for Water and Energy Security to evaluate these critical infrastructures in tandem, both within a narrow context to evaluate water and energy sustainability initiatives from a particular perspective while also considering broader perspectives and emergent issues to evaluate the implications of current water and energy trends within the global community. The Way Ahead As a field of inter and trans-disciplinary study, water and energy security issues has assumed a critical stature area for evaluation and academic inquiry. The interdependencies that exist between the two sectors also need to be evaluated from an integrated and symbiotic perspective. As a result, the journal will assume a decidedly inter and trans-disciplinary approach that seeks to identify not only interdependencies and relationships, but also explores the policy implications and the ensuing effects of envisioned policy on increasingly scarce and competitive water and energy concerns. To © Journal of Water and Energy Security, VOL. 1, NO. 1 (Jan 2014) http://www.jwaes.org Tindall, Editor’s Note: Global Water and Energy Security 9 note, the journal not only seeks to recommend policy, but perhaps more importantly, to evaluate policy implications and implementation based on a critical perspective. As has been said, it is easy to recommend a course of action. It is fundamentally more difficult, however, to envision the implications of such course of action and the effects that it will have on future generations. The Journal of Water and Energy Security attempts to not only capture the present, but to evaluate the future. Having made the case for the inter and trans-disciplinary nature of water and energy security and the need to evaluate these sectors in an integrated fashion, the journal will assume a more focused perspective in future editions. The inaugural edition assumes an expansive perspective to capture the scope and breadth of the issues we are seeking to bring forth to the community. The intent for ensuing journal editions is to focus their inquiry in regional or topical areas. For example, the March 2014 edition will focus on domestic issues within North America. Following journals will center on other global and topical areas. The overall intent is to revisit regions and topics over time to evaluate trends and initiatives as they focus on water and energy issues. Lastly, the Journal of Water and Energy Security will not only focus on the inter and trans-disciplinary perspective of this issue, but is also committed to offering a broad perspective. This will necessarily introduce differing points-of-view and indeed opposing viewpoints on many issues. The guiding principle, however, is not to assume partisanship, but rather to critically and thoroughly evaluate differing perspectives with the aim of allowing the reader to synthesize perspectives and to capture the totality of the issues. In short, the Journal of Water and Energy Security is committed to what Aristotle put forth in his seminal work—Metaphysics—when he stated: “It is the mark of an educated mind to be able to entertain a thought without accepting it.” Critical evaluation, seeking to address the fundamental issues, integrating perspectives, and a commitment to scholarly analysis will guide the journal’s future efforts. For like-minded policy and decision makers, researchers, scientists, and practitioners who are committed to scholarship and facts, we welcome your insights and contributions to the journal in the critical areas of water and energy security. © Journal of Water and Energy Security, VOL. 1, NO. 1 (Jan 2014) http://www.jwaes.org
© Copyright 2024 ExpyDoc