CV - NVE

Deborah Lawrence
Publications – Articles in Journals and Books and Technical Reports
Lawrence, D., Paquet, E., Gailhard, J., Fleig, A. 2013. Stochastic semi-continuous simulation for
extreme flood estimation in catchments with combined rainfall-snowmelt flood regimes. Nat.
Hazards. Earth Systems Science Discussions 1(6), 6785-6828.
Brigode, P., Pietor, B., Paquet, E., Gailhard, J., Garavaglia, F., Merz, R., Mićović, Z., Lawrence, D.,
Ribstein, P. (2013) Sensitivity analysis of SCHADEX extreme flood estimations to observed
hydrometeorological variability. Water Res. Res. DOI: 10.1002/2013WR013687.
Madsen, H., Lawrence, D., Lang, M. Martincova, M., Kjeldsen, T. 2013. A review of applied methods
in Europe for flood-frequency analysis in a changing environment. NERC/Centre for Ecology /
Hydrology, 180 pp. Available at http://nora.nerc.ac.uk/501751/
Haddeland, I., Langsholt, E., Lawrence, D., Wong, W.K., Andjelic, M., Ivkovic, M., Vujadinovic, M.
2013. Effects of climate change in the Kolubara and Toplica catchments, Serbia. NVE Report no.
2013/62, 60 pp.
Hisdal, H. , Lawrence, D. 2013. Flere og større flommer i framtiden (More frequent and larger floods
in the future). Klima 2-2013, 14-15.
Lawrence, D., Graham, L.P., den Besten, J., Andréasson, J., Bergström, S., Engen-Skaugen, T., Førland,
E., Groen, R., Jespersen, M., de Jong, K., Olsson, J. 2012. Estimating and communicating climate
change impacts and uncertainties in flood risk management: Examples from the North Sea Region.
NVE Rapport nr. 5-2012, 62 s.
Lawrence, D., Barthelmie, R., Crochet, P., Lindström, G., Kolcova, T., Kriauciuniené, J., Larsen, S.,
Pryor, S., Reihan, A., Roald, L., Tietäväinen, H., Wilson, D. 2012. Analyses of hydroclimatological
timeseries for the Nordic and Baltic regions. In Climate Change and Energy Systems: Impact, Risks
and Adaptation in the Nordic and Baltic countries, Thorsteinsson, Th. , Halldór, B. (Eds.) Copenhagen:
Nordic Council of Ministers, TemaNord 2011:501, 67-90.
Lawrence, D., Haddeland, I. 2011. Uncertainty in hydrological modelling of climate change impacts in
four Norwegian catchments. Hydrology Research 42 (6): 457-471.
Lawrence, D., Hisdal, H. 2011. Hydrological projections for floods in Norway under a future climate.
NVE Report no. 2011-5, 47 pp.
Wilson, D., Fleig, A.K., Lawrence, D., Hisdal, H., Pettersson, L-E., Holmqvist, E., 2011. A review of
NVE’s flood frequency estimation procedures. NVE Rapport nr. 9-2011, 46 pp.
Lazar, A., Butterfield, D., Futter, M.N., Rankinen, K., Thouvenot-Korppoo, M., Jarritt, N., Lawrence, D.,
Wade, A., Whitehead, P.G. 2010. An assessment of the fine sediment dynamics in an upland river
system: INCA-Sed modifications and implications for fisheries. Science of the Total Environment 408:
2555-2566.
Rankinen, K., Thouvenot-Korppoo, M., Lazar, A., Lawrence, D., Butterfield, D., Veijalainen, N.,
Huttunen, I. & Lepistö, A. 2010. Application of the catchment scale erosion and sediment delivery
model INCA-Sed to four small study catchments in Finland. Catena 83(1): 64-75.
Wilson, D., Hisdal, H., Lawrence, D. 2010. Has streamflow changed in the Nordic countries? – Recent
trends and comparisons to hydrological projections. Journal of Hydrology, 394, 334-346.
Wilson, D., Hisdal, H., Lawrence, D. 2010. Trends in streamflow in the hydropower producing Nordic
countries and implications for water resource management, IAHS Publ. 340, 279-285.
Lawrence, D., Haddeland, I., Langsholt, E. 2009. Calibration of HBV hydrological models using PEST
parameter estimation. NVE Report No. 1 – 2009, ISBN 978-82-410-0680-7; 44 p.
Roald, L.A., Hisdal, H., Lawrence, D. 2009. Hydrologi og skred før, nå og i fremtiden. (Hydrology and
landslides in the past, present and future) in Klima i Norge 2100 (Climate in Norway 2100), I.
Hanssen-Bauer, editor. Bakgrunnsmateriale til NOU Klimatilpassing (Background material for climate
change adaptation), Preliminary report from Norsk Klimasenter, June 2009.
Jarritt, N.P. and Lawrence, D.S.L. 2007. Fine sediment delivery and transfer in lowland catchments:
Modelling suspended sediment concentrations in response to hydrologic forcing. Hydrological
Processes 21:2729-2744; DOI:10.1002/hyp.6402.
Roche, N., Daian, J-F, Lawrence, D.S.L. 2007. Hydraulic modelling of runoff over a rough surface
under partial inundation. Water Resources Research 43, W08410, doi:10.1029/2006WR005484.
Lee, L.J.E., Lawrence, D.S.L., Price, M. 2006. Analysis of water-level response to rainfall and
implications for recharge pathways in the Chalk aquifer, SE England. Journal of Hydrology 330(3-4)
604-620.
Lawrence, D. S. L., Allen, J. R. L., and Havelock, G.M. 2004. Salt marsh morphodynamics: An
investigation of tidal flows and marsh channel equilibrium. Journal of Coastal Research. 20:301-316.
Gurney, S. D. and Lawrence, D. S. L. 2004. Seasonal trends in the stable isotopic composition of
snow and meltwater runoff in a subarctic catchment at Okstindan, Norway. Nordic Hydrology
35:119-137.
Frihy, O. and Lawrence, D. S. L. 2004. Morphodynamic evolution of the modern Nile Delta
promontories: Development of accretional features. Environmental Geology 46:914-931.
Evans D.J., Johnes P.J., Lawrence D.S. 2004. Physico-chemical controls on phosphorus cycling in two
lowland streams. Part 2 - The sediment phase. Science of the Total Environment 329:165-182.
Evans, D.J., Johnes, P.J. and Lawrence, D.S.L. 2003. Suspended and bed load sediment transport
dynamics in two lowland UK streams – storm integrated monitoring. IAHS Publication 283, 103-11.
Lawrence, D. S. L. 2000. Hydraulic resistance in overland flow during partial and marginal surface
inundation: Experimental observations and modelling. Water Resources Research 36, 2381-2393.
Chambers, M. H., Lawrence, D. S. L., Sellwood, B. W., and Parker, A. 2000. Annual layering in the
Upper Jurassic Kimmeridge clay formation, UK, quantified using an ultra-high resolution SEM-EDX
investigation. Sedimentary Geology 137, 9-23.
Lawrence, D. S. L. 1998. Reply: 'Macroscale surface roughness and frictional resistance in overland
flow'. Earth Surface Processes and Landforms 23, 861-864.
Lawrence, D. S. L. 1997. Macroscale surface roughness and frictional resistance in overland flow.
Earth Surface Processes and Landforms 22, 365-382.
Lawrence, D. S. L. 1996. Physically-based modelling and the analysis of landscape development. In
The Scientific Nature of Geomorphology, B. L. Rhoads and C. E. Thorn, eds. Chichester: John Wiley
and Sons, Ltd., 273-288.
Lawrence, D. S. L. 1994. Hydrodynamic description for advective sediment transport processes and
rill initiation. Water Resources Research 30, 3203-3212.
Lawrence, D. S. L. 1994. Theoretical constraints on the development of surface rills: Mode shapes,
amplitude limitations and implications for non-linear evolution. In Process Models and Theoretical
Geomorphology, M. J. Kirkby, ed. Chichester: John Wiley and Sons, Ltd., pp. 316-338.
Loewenherz (Lawrence), D. S. 1991. Stability and the initiation of channelized surface drainage: A
reassessment of the short wavelength limit. Journal of Geophysical Research (B) 96, 8453-8464.
Loewenherz (Lawrence), D. S. et al. 1989. The effect of viscosity stratification on the stability of a
free surface flow at low Reynolds number. Physics of Fluids A 1, 1686-1693.
Loewenherz (Lawrence), D. S., et al. 1989. On the development of transverse ridges on rock glaciers.
Journal of Glaciology, 35, 383-391.
Loewenherz (Lawrence), D. S. and Wendland, W. M. 1988. Seasonal ground frost occurrence:
Developing a statistically-based predictive model. Physical Geography 9, 186-198.
Thorn, C. E. and Loewenherz (Lawrence), D. S. 1987. Spatial and temporal trends in alpine periglacial
landform evolution. In Periglacial Processes and Landforms in Britain and Ireland, J. Boardman, ed.
Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, pp. 57-66.
Publications – Selected recent conference proceedings and abstracts
Vormoor, K., Lawrence, D., Engin, B., Martinkova, M., Osuch, M., Willems, P., and Yucel, I.
Hydrological model parameter uncertainty in investigations of climate change impacts on peak flow
across Europe. EGU 2014-13118.
Wilson, D., Hisdal, H., Lawrence, D. 2014. Trends in floods in small Norwegian catchments –
instantaneous vs. daily peaks, In: Hydrology in a Changing World: Environmental and Human
Dimensions, Proceedings of FRIEND-Water 2014, Hanoi, Vietnam, February 2014, IAHS Publ..
Lawrence, D., Paquet, E. 2013. Comparison of precipitation/runoff methods for design flood
estimation for combined snowmelt/rainfall events. In Loukas, A., and Kjeldsen, T., (eds.) Proceedings
“Advanced methods for Flood Estimation in a Variable and Changing Environment”, Volos, Greece,
October 24th – 26th, 2012, pp. 79-86.
Paquet, E., , Lawrence, D. 2013. Extreme flood estimation by the SCHADEX method in a snow-driven
catchment: application to Atnasjø (Norway). EGU 2013-8155
Vormoor, K., Heistermann, M., Lawrence, D., Bronstert, A. 2013. Climate change impacts on flood
seasonality in Norway.EGU 2013-13255
Lawrence, D. 2012. Climate change and flood frequency: The critical roles of process and seasonality.
In P. Nachtnebel and K. Kovar (eds.), HydroPredict 2012, Volume of Abstracts. 3rd International
Interdisciplinary conference on Predictions for Hydrology, Ecology and Water Resources
Management: Water Resources and Changing Global Environment, 24-27 September, 2012, Vienna,
Austria, 55.
Lawrence, D. 2010. Hydrological projections for changes in flood frequency under a future climate in
Norway and their uncertainties. In: Hydrology: From research to water management (Ed. by Apsite,
E., Briede, A. Klavins, M) Proceedings of the XXVI NHC, NHP Report No. 51, 203-204.
Lawrence, D., Graham, P. 2010. Climate change projections and flood risk management. Proceedings
of the SAWA Mid-term conference Gothenburg,Sweden, 25-27 May 2010. Report Nr. 5/2010, Berichte
des Landesbetriebes Straßen, Brücken und Gewässer, Hamburg; pp. 18-19.
Lawrence, D., Engen-Skaugen, T. 2010. Floods in Norway under a near future 2021-2050 climate:
Hydrological projections for rainfall vs. snowmelt floods and their uncertainties. Proceedings of the
Conference on Future Climate and Renewable Energy: Impacts, Risks and Adaptation, 31 May – 2
June 2010. Oslo: Norwegian Water Resources and Energy Directorate, pp. 32-33.
Hisdal, H., Lawrence, D. 2010. Climate change impacts on hydrology and adaptation needs related to
water resources management in Norway, In: Hydrology: From research to water management (Ed. by
Apsite, E., Briede, A. Klavins, M) Proceedings of the XXVI NHC, NHP Report No. 51, 135-137.
Lawrence D., Beldring S., Haddeland I., and Væringstad T. 2008. Integrated framework for assessing
uncertainty in catchment-scale modelling of climate change impacts: Application to peak flows in
four Norwegian catchments. In Sveinsson, O.G.B., S.M. Gardarsson, and S. Gunnlaugsdottir (eds.):
XXV Nordic Hydrologic Conference, NHP Report No. 50, 182-190.
Other recent external presentations:
Lawrence, D. 2012. Klimaendring og fremtidige flommer I Norge (Climate Change and Future Floods
in Norway). Energi Norge/Norsk hydrologiråd seminar ”Kraftverkshydrologi og
Produksjonsplanlegging”, 5-6. november, 2012, Trondheim
Lawrence, D. 2012. Comparison of the Norwegian and the Swedish/Finnish methods for design
inflow estimation for two catchments in Norway, with implications for the assessment of climate
change impacts. Symposium “Deciphering River Flood Change”, 3-5 September 2012, Vienna, Austria.
Lawrence, D. 2012. Fremtidige flommer i Norge. Energi Norge Vassdragsteknisk Forum, vintermøte
25 January 2012, Oslo.
Lawrence, D. 2011. Fremtidige flommer i Norge. ”Klimaendringer og effekter på hydrologi og
kraftproduksjon”, Statkraft Miniseminar, Oslo, 19 May 2011.
Lawrence, D. and Haddeland, I. 2009. Hydrologic effects of climate change in south east Europe.
What do we know? Presentation at Workshop on Climate Change and Changing Runoff in
Southeastern Europe, Organized by Statkraft in Belgrade 25-28 May 2009.
Lawrence D. 2008. Uncertainty in hydrologic scenarios for the average annual flood. Presented at
Seminar on Kraftrelatert hydrologi, meteorologi og klima, Norwegian Electricity Industry Association
(EBL), 18-19 November 2008, Trondheim