Wolter Frank - Urban Future Conference

Innovation Centre
for Mobility and Societal Change
„On the Sun Deck of the Titanic:
the Future of Public Transport“
Dr. Frank Wolter
Director PR / Platform eMobility
Graz, November 18th 2014
The InnoZ: Overview
The InnoZ shareholders
Science
Research
 Founded in 2006
 Headquarters in Berlin,
German Aeronautics and
Space Research Centre
Social Science
Center Berlin
branch offices in Munich & London
 80 employees
 100% project financed
T-Systems International GmbH
DB Mobility Logistics AG
 Platform eMobility with
more than 6.000 visitors
Siemens AG
Industry
Practice
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The InnoZ: Products and Services
Impressions
expert
meetings
innovation
management
technical
conferences
studies
lab
operation
…
advanced
trainings
user
integration
project & partner
management
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Agenda
On the Sundeck
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Public transport on the rise
News overview
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Public transport on the rise
News overview
More information about „youth without private car“: http://www.innoz.de/innoz-baustein_nr10_.html?&L=0#c10460
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Public transport on the rise
Modal Split in Germany 2002 - 2011
Motorized individual
traffic
Cyclists
Pedestrians
Total:
1,144 bn pkm
Total:
1,200 bn pkm
Air traffic
Rail transport
Public road
transport
* bn passanger-kilometers
Public transport
Motorized individual transport
Source: German Ministry of transport:
Verkehr in Zahlen 2013/2014
2002 – 2011:
2002 – 2011:
153.3 bn pkm – 163.2 bn pkm
879.7 bn pkm – 912.0 bn pkm
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(+6.5%)
(+3.7%)
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Agenda
Iceberg ahead
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Digitalization will change the game
The digital revolution
 37% of daily communication is digital,
internet use per day is 4h 35 minutes
(+ 1 h since 2012); every every 4th
minute spend online is by a mobile
device (27% increase since 2012).
 > 60% of decision-relevant information
for travel / public utilities services
comes from digital sources; 80%
(travel) / 74% (public utility services) of
all first-time service purchases are
through digital channels.
 33% of consumers already consider
digital future technologies relevant for
their personal lives.
Source: http://www.socialmediathinklab.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/07/RB_Infografik_2_7_14_fin_1000px.jpg (last accessed 15th November 2014)
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Share economy changes the transport market
The mobility revolution
 Smart phones
(37 Million in GER by December 2013)

provide users with relevant and
real time (e.g. transport)
information,

enable new (mobility) services
(e.g. sharing of cars, bikes, rides,
space),

give access to places / services
(e.g. e-ticket, be in/out,
virtual key)
Source: Roland Berger Strategy Consultants, SHARED MOBILITY - How new
businesses are rewriting the rules of the private transportation game, July 2014.
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Smartphones unlock free capacities
More efficient solutions for cars are possible – e.g. German 2013
44 Mio. registered
passenger cars
81 Mio.
inhabitants
 1.3 persons per car
 about 3 trips daily
 about 23 hours daily a car
is not in use
 about 30 km a day
(11.000 km a year)
Many cars and free seats in the cars are available.
car sharing / ride sharing
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Autonomous driving will soon be available
Technology is already tested – in a few years autonomous driving will start
100% autonomous
penetration
Full autonomous capability
Limited driver substitution
Passive autonomous driving
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2024
2026
http://www.wisburg.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/09/%EF%BC%88109-pages-2014%EF%BC%89MORGAN-STANLEY-BLUE-PAPER-AUTONOMOUSCARS%EF%BC%9A-SELF-DRIVING-THE-NEW-AUTO-INDUSTRY-PARADIGM.pdf
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Consumers give data and trust driverless cars
Consumers are willing to give information and accept automated driving
http://newsroom.cisco.com/release/1184392/Consumers-Desire-More-Automated-Automobiles-According-to-Cisco-Study
Vortragender
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High potential in shared driverless fleets
Cost reduction and benefits
Source: Columbia University
http://www.forbes.com/sites/chunkamui/2013/01/22/fasten-your-seatbelts-googles-driverless-car-is-worth-trillions/2/
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Agenda
Innovate or …
http://www.webjournal.ch/cat.php?cat_id=12&start=80
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New markets are coming up
Market developments
Independent
services / markets
Merging
services / markets
gestern
yesterday
heute
today
 Unconnected services
 Newcomers entering,
 New, systemic and
innovation at interfaces
 Transformation process
has started
networked businesses
 New market definitions
with new players
and systems
Transport/Mobility
New
services / markets
transfer
ICT
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übermorgen
tomorrow
Energy
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Public transport?
The primary lever for the success of connected mobility lies with:
No comment
Other groups
Urban planers and architects
Public transport
Answers in %
3.9
4.9
7.8
11.8
Public policymakers and authorities
Car manufacturers
32.4
37.3
Source: BITKOM 2014
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Main challenges for the mobility sector
Find business drivers and solutions for future challenges
Integration:
Greening:
enabling inter- and
multimodal services
CO2-free mobility as
part of the local grid
Simplification:
digital and automated
solutions
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Traffic Management:
optimizing traffic
flows and impact
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Main challenges for innovation management
Management of innovation in an open environment
Get connected and
digitalize your business
Collaborate and think of
integrated approaches
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Look for disruptive solutions
and business models
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Contact information InnoZ
 Innovation Center for Mobility and Societal Change (InnoZ) PLC
Torgauer Straße 12-15
10829 Berlin, Germany
Telefon: 0049-30 23 88 84 - 111
e-Mail: [email protected]
Internet: http://www.innoz.de
 Representative office München  Representative office London
Infanteriestraße 19/3
80797 München
Germany
c/o LSE Enterprise Ltd.
Houghton Street
London WC2A 2AE,
Great Brittan
 Directors:
- Dr. Jürgen Peters
- Prof. Dr. Andreas Knie
 Shareholder:
- DB Mobility Logistics AG
- Siemens AG
- Social Science Center Berlin
- T-Systems International GmbH
- German Aeronautics and Space Research Centre
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