CAGR 2011-2015

www.pwc.com/pt
The collaborative future:
reshaping for consumer
relevance and engagement
Lisbon, 30 September 2011
Global
entertainment
& media
outlook
Marcel Fenez
Global Leader,
Entertainment
& Media
Agenda
Internet access spending
Internet advertising
TV subscriptions and license fees
Television advertising
Recorded music
Filmed entertainment
Video games
Consumer magazine publishing
Newspaper publishing
Radio
Out-of-home advertising
Consumer and educational book
publishing
Business-to-business
Global Entertainment & Media Outlook 2011-2015
PwC
30 Setembro 2011
Slide 2
2010: the E&M
industry emerges
from recession
2010 growth: stronger than expected
Internet Advertising
TV Advertising
Internet Access
TV Subscriptions
Video Games
Radio
Total
Out-of-Home Advertising
Filmed Entertainment†
1
Consumer and Educational Book Publishing
Consumer Magazine Publishing
Newspaper Publishing
Business-to-Business
Recorded Music
-10.0
Note:1 does not include cinema advertising
Global Entertainment & Media Outlook 2011-2015
PwC
-5.0
0.0
5.0
Actual growth
10.0
15.0
20.0
Projected growth
30 Setembro 2011
Slide 4
The Outlook to 2015
Entertainment and media growth rates
2011 – 2015 (Globally 5.7% CAGR)
Global Entertainment & Media Outlook 2011-2015
PwC
30 Setembro 2011
Slide 6
Entertainment and media growth rates
2011 – 2015
UK
3.7%
US
4.6%
France
4.0%
Germany
3.4%
Japan
2.5%
Mature: 3.9%
Global Entertainment & Media Outlook 2011-2015
PwC
30 Setembro 2011
Slide 7
Entertainment and media growth rates
2011 – 2015
UK
3.7%
US
4.6%
Germany
3.4%
Russia
11.7%
China
11.6%
France
4.0%
Japan
2.5%
Brazil
11.4%
India
13.0%
Mature: 3.9%
Global Entertainment & Media Outlook 2011-2015
PwC
BRIC: 11.7%
30 Setembro 2011
Slide 8
Entertainment and media growth rates
2011 – 2015
UK
3.7%
US
4.6%
Germany
3.4%
Russia
11.7%
China
11.6%
Turkey
13.2%
France
4.0%
Mexico
8.7%
Japan
2.5%
Vietnam
17.3%
Columbia
11.2%
Brazil
11.4%
MENA
16.1%
Pakistan
23.7%
Indonesia
11.9%
India
13.0%
South Africa
9.2%
Mature: 3.9%
Global Entertainment & Media Outlook 2011-2015
PwC
BRIC: 11.7%
Golden8: 12.7%
30 Setembro 2011
Slide 9
Growth by segment
% CAGR 2011-2015
Internet Advertising
Internet Access
Video Games
TV Subscriptions
TV Advertising
Filmed Entertainment
Out-of-Home
Business-to-Business
Radio
Consumer Magazine Publishing
Consumer and Educational Book Publishing
Newspaper Publishing
Recorded Music
-4
-2
0
2
Portugal
Global Entertainment & Media Outlook 2011-2015
PwC
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
Global
30 Setembro 2011
Slide 10
Broadband penetration
Mature vs. BRIC vs. Golden 8
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
2006
2007
2008
2009
Mature
Global Entertainment & Media Outlook 2011-2015
PwC
2010
Portugal
2011
Golden 8
2012
2013
2014
2015
BRIC
30 Setembro 2011
Slide 11
Mobile penetration (Mobile Internet/Wireless Subs)
Mature vs. BRIC vs. Golden 8
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
2006
2007
2008
2009
Mature
Global Entertainment & Media Outlook 2011-2015
PwC
2010
Portugal
2011
Golden 8
2012
2013
2014
2015
BRIC
30 Setembro 2011
Slide 12
Smart devices drive spending
on E&M content
1400
Unit sales - millions
1200
1000
800
600
400
200
0
2005
2006
2007
e-Reader
Global Entertainment & Media Outlook 2011-2015
PwC
2008
2009
Tablet
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
Smartphone
30 Setembro 2011
Slide 13
Advertising spending
Advertising revenues to 2015
CAGR 2011-2015
3.9%
350,000
300,000
US$ millions
250,000
200,000
150,000
100,000
12.8%
50,000
8.9%
2.9%
0
2010
2011
Mature
Global Entertainment & Media Outlook 2011-2015
PwC
2012
BRIC
2013
Golden 8
2014
2015
Portugal
30 Setembro 2011
Slide 15
Advertising revenue growth to 2015
BRIC
Golden 8
Mature
Portugal
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
%CAGR 2011-2015
Global Entertainment & Media Outlook 2011-2015
PwC
30 Setembro 2011
Slide 16
Digital advertising global share
2010 and 2015
2010
2015
Digital;
15.9%
Nondigital;
84.1%
Global Entertainment & Media Outlook 2011-2015
PwC
Digital;
22.5%
Nondigital;
77.5%
30 Setembro 2011
Slide 17
Digital vs. non-digital advertising
Mature vs. BRIC vs. Golden 8
Mature vs. BRIC vs. G8 Advertising Digital vs. Non Digital
26.2%
350,000
300,000
18.4%
250,000
200,000
150,000
17.3%
100,000
11.0%
6.2%
3.2%
50,000
2010
2015
2010
Mature
BRIC
Non-digital
Global Entertainment & Media Outlook 2011-2015
PwC
2015
2010
2015
G8
Digital
30 Setembro 2011
Slide 18
Global advertising spending by segment
2010
Television excl. mobile
and online
38%
2015
Other
9%
Out-of-Home
6%
Consumer
Magazines print
6%
Other
6% Out-of-Home
6% Consumer
Television excl. mobile
and online
38%
Magazines print
6%
Radio
6%
Radio
7%
Digital
advertising
23%
Digital
advertising
16%
Newspapers print
15%
Newspapers print
18%
By platform
Global Entertainment & Media Outlook 2011-2015
PwC
30 Setembro 2011
Slide 19
Global advertising spending by segment
2010
2015
Other
9%
Other
11%
Out-of-home
6%
Television
38%
Out-of-home
6%
Television
40%
Consumer
magazines
6%
Consumer
magazines
6%
Radio
6%
Radio
7%
Internet
advertising
16%
Internet
advertising
12%
Newspapers
17%
Newspapers
20%
By ownership
Global Entertainment & Media Outlook 2011-2015
PwC
30 Setembro 2011
Slide 20
Portugal advertising spending by segment
2010
Directories
and trade
magazines
5%
Internet
advertising
3%
2015
Other
1%
Directories
and trade
magazines
3%
Internet
advertising
5%
Radio
5%
Other
2%
Radio
4%
Newspapers
7%
Newspapers
7%
Out-of-home
10%
Television
52%
Consumer
magazines
17%
Global Entertainment & Media Outlook 2011-2015
PwC
Out-of-home
10%
Television
54%
Consumer
magazines
15%
30 Setembro 2011
Slide 21
Consumer/end-user
spending
6
4
2
%CAGR 2011-2015
Global consumer spending growth
10
8
Recorded music
Consumer magazines
Newspapers
Consumer and
educational books
Radio
30 Setembro 2011
Slide 23
Global Entertainment & Media Outlook 2011-2015
PwC
Business-to-business
Filmed entertainment
TV subscriptions
and license fees
-2
Video games
0
Digital consumer spending
Mature
2010
2015
Digital
6%
Non-digital
94%
Global Entertainment & Media Outlook 2011-2015
PwC
Digital
11%
Non-digital
89%
30 Setembro 2011
Slide 24
Digital consumer spending
BRIC
2010
2015
Digital
10%
Non-digital
90%
Global Entertainment & Media Outlook 2011-2015
PwC
Digital
16%
Non-digital
84%
30 Setembro 2011
Slide 25
Digital consumer spending
Golden 8
2010
2015
Digital
4%
Non-digital
96%
Global Entertainment & Media Outlook 2011-2015
PwC
Digital
6%
Non-digital
94%
30 Setembro 2011
Slide 26
Global consumer spending in 2015
Digital vs non-digital
TV Subscriptions and License Fees
Business-to-Business
Consumer and Educational Books
Filmed Entertainment
Video Games
Newspapers
Consumer Magazines
Recorded Music
Radio
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
$billion
Global Entertainment & Media Outlook 2011-2015
PwC
Digital 2015
Non-digital 2015
30 Setembro 2011
Slide 27
Consumer spending in Portugal growth to 2015
TV subscriptions
Video games
Radio
Filmed entertainment
Business-to-business
Newspapers
Consumer and educational books
Consumer magazines
Recorded music
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
8
10
%CAGR 2011-2015
Global Entertainment & Media Outlook 2011-2015
PwC
30 Setembro 2011
Slide 28
Digital Share of total E&M revenues
Portugal vs. other markets
Golden 8
Spain
Portugal
BRIC
Global
2010
UK
2015
Mature
France
Germany
Ireland
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
Digital share of E&M revenues
Global Entertainment & Media Outlook 2011-2015
PwC
30 Setembro 2011
Slide 29
The collaborative
future...
... reshaping for
consumer relevance
and engagement
1. The digitally
empowered consumer
2. The involved
advertiser
3. Collaboration:
the route to
competitive advantage
Global Entertainment & Media Outlook 2011-2015
PwC
30 Setembro 2011
Slide 31
A „golden age‟ for the digitally
empowered consumer
01
What will people pay for?
Convenience
Experience
Leads to sustainable, profitable
and engaged relationships with
the consumer
Quality
Participation
Privilege
Global Entertainment & Media Outlook 2011-2015
PwC
Advantages outweigh
attractiveness of free
and pirated content
30 Setembro 2011
Slide 33
How do people access?
Ownership
Storage on device
Global Entertainment & Media Outlook 2011-2015
PwC
Streaming
Storage
in the cloud
30 Setembro 2011
Slide 34
The involved advertiser
02
What does an „involved advertiser‟
look for?
• Engagement with ‘digital natives’ in their own space, e.g. social
media.
• Personalised interaction.
• Compelling content and intensity of experience.
• Cross-platform reach – new devices and channels.
• Verifiable evidence of consumer engagement.
Global Entertainment & Media Outlook 2011-2015
PwC
30 Setembro 2011
Slide 36
Greater involvement is being
achieved by...
• Social media creates social intelligence.
• TV and Video Games’ strength comes from cross-platform
integration.
• Location-based marketing and addressable advertising.
• Digital billboards and smartphones offer interactive experiences.
• Advertisers are collaborating, experimenting and innovating.
Global Entertainment & Media Outlook 2011-2015
PwC
30 Setembro 2011
Slide 37
Collaboration: the route
to competitive advantage
03
Operating model for the digital future:
the Collaborative Digital Enterprise
“An enterprise that is
dynamic, interconnected,
and continuously engaged
with its entire customer,
employee and supplier
ecosystem , through
technology”
Global Entertainment & Media Outlook 2011-2015
PwC
30 Setembro 2011
Slide 39
The route to success in the emerging
digital environment
Digital
Demand
Data
Global Entertainment & Media Outlook 2011-2015
PwC
30 Setembro 2011
Slide 40
Imperatives for future success
Data mining
Data security
Future-proofing content
End-to-end digital workflow
Digital talent management
Global Entertainment & Media Outlook 2011-2015
PwC
30 Setembro 2011
Slide 41
Questions
The complete picture:
www.pwc.com/outlook
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