Target Market Analysis As a Planning Tool: What You Need to Know to Get it Right Todd Zimmerman ZIMMERMAN/VOLK ASSOCIATES, INC. www.ZVA.cc Michigan Association of Planning Spring Institute March 27, 2014 ZIMMERMAN/VOLK ASSOCIATES, INC. Norfolk, Virginia, 1994… Declining population… No new construction context... Housing “demand”? ZIMMERMAN/VOLK ASSOCIATES, INC. How could the vision be realized? ZIMMERMAN/VOLK ASSOCIATES, INC. Market Potential Not “Demand” ZIMMERMAN/VOLK ASSOCIATES, INC. Target Market Methodology Beyond Demographics. Successive steps of science and art, Analytics and interpretation. ZIMMERMAN/VOLK ASSOCIATES, INC. Where does the potential market live now? How many are likely to move to the study area? Who are they? What are their housing preferences? What kind of housing is currently available? How much are they willing or able to pay? How fast will they rent or buy the new units? ZIMMERMAN/VOLK ASSOCIATES, INC. Market Segmentation Cluster Analysis ZIMMERMAN/VOLK ASSOCIATES, INC. Target Market 2-person household 25 to 34 years old $50,000 to $75,000 annual income ZIMMERMAN/VOLK ASSOCIATES, INC. Couple Nº 1 Dual-income, save her salary. Rent. Live in small city. Goal: Have a family, buy house in the suburbs. ZIMMERMAN/VOLK ASSOCIATES, INC. Couple Nº 2 Dual-income, dual-career. Own. Live in city. Goal: Stay in city, no kids, no maintenance. ZIMMERMAN/VOLK ASSOCIATES, INC. Couple Nº 3 Dual-income, dual-career. Rent. Live in city; Goal: Buy a country place. ZIMMERMAN/VOLK ASSOCIATES, INC. Couple Nº 4 Single mom, single income. Rent. Lives in first-ring suburb. Goal: Buy a townhouse. ZIMMERMAN/VOLK ASSOCIATES, INC. Couple Nº 5 Older sibling/ younger sibling, single income. Own. Lives in small city. Goal: Buy a larger house. ZIMMERMAN/VOLK ASSOCIATES, INC. Couple Nº 6 He’s an actor; she’s a painter. Income from a trust fund. Rent in the city. Goal: Open their own artisanal store. ZIMMERMAN/VOLK ASSOCIATES, INC. Science: Migration and Mobility Analysis (Internal Revenue Service data, American Community Survey data) ZIMMERMAN/VOLK ASSOCIATES, INC. g Gross Annual Household In-Migration Wayne County, Michigan G 2004, Gross Annual A 2005,l 2006, Household H 2007, h 2008 ld Out Out-Migration O t Migration Mi ti Wayne County, Michigan 2004, 2005, 2006, 2007, 2008 . . . . . 2004 . . . . . . . . . . 2005 . . . . . . . . . . 2006 . . . . . . . . . . 2007 . . . . . . . . . . 2008 . . . . . County of Origin Number Share Number Share Number Share Number Share Number Share . . . . . 2004 . . . . . . . . . . 2005 . . . . . . . . . . 2006 . . . . . . . . . . 2007 . . . . . . . . . . 2008 . . . . . Number Share Number Share Number Share Number Share Number Share Destination County Oakland 6,295 28.9% 6,290 29.2% 5,755 28.5% 6,095 28.6% 6,450 29.0% Macomb 2,480 11.4% 2,730 12.7% 2,545 12.6% 2,740 12.8% 3,085 13.9% Oakland2,065 8,615 Washtenaw 9.5%26.7%2,065 8,685 9.6%25.9%1,910 8,785 9.5%25.9%2,010 9,265 9.4%25.2%2,005 9,445 9.0%27.4% Macomb 4,850 15.1% 4,940 14.7% 4,930 14.5% 5,535 15.1% 5,525 Monroe 725 3.3% 745 3.5% 710 3.5% 705 3.3% 755 3.4%16.0% Washtenaw 2,210 6.9% 2,360 7.0% 2,175 6.4% 2,265 6.2% 2,320 Livingston 435 2.0% 380 1.8% 340 1.7% 380 1.8% 405 1.8% 6.7% Monroe 265 1,070 Cook, IL 1.2% 3.3% 230 1,060 1.1% 3.2% 210 920 1.0% 2.7% 225 840 1.1% 2.3% 260 805 1.2% 2.3% Livingston 1,065 3.3% 940 2.8% 700 2.1% 650 1.8% 590 Ingham 255 1.2% 260 1.2% 245 1.2% 250 1.2% 255 1.1% 1.7% Cook, IL 430 1.3% 505 1.5% 565 1.7% 580 1.6% 540 Genesee 265 1.2% 250 1.2% 255 1.3% 280 1.3% 245 1.1% 1.6% Ingham 285 0.9% 290 0.9% 255 0.8% 255 0.7% 280 Maricopa, AZ 115 0.5% 100 0.5% 115 0.6% 130 0.6% 175 0.8% 0.8% Genesee 330 1.0% 335 1.0% 265 0.8% 235 0.6% 210 Kent 180 0.8% 160 0.7% 145 0.7% 195 0.9% 160 0.7% 0.6% Maricopa, AZ 305 0.9% 405 1.2% 505 1.5% 620 1.7% 470 Jackson 145 0.7% 140 0.6% 140 0.7% 135 0.6% 155 0.7% 1.4% Kent 210 0.7% 195 0.6% 195 0.6% 235 0.6% 205 Lucas, OH 155 0.7% 170 0.8% 145 0.7% 170 0.8% 145 0.7% 0.6% Jackson 85 235 Clark, NV 0.4% 0.7% 90 225 0.4% 0.7% 80 185 0.4% 0.5% 110 180 0.5% 0.5% 145 145 0.7% 0.4% Lucas, OH 155 0.5% 165 0.5% 155 0.5% 175 0.5% 155 St. Clair 130 0.6% 105 0.5% 110 0.5% 140 0.7% 140 0.6% 0.4% Clark, NV 215 0.7% 280 0.8% 360 1.1% 400 1.1% 295 Lenawee 130 0.6% 120 0.6% 115 0.6% 115 0.5% 125 0.6% 0.9% St. Clair 165 0.5% 180 0.5% 125 0.4% 155 0.4% 145 Los Angeles, CA 130 0.6% 120 0.6% 90 0.4% 110 0.5% 120 0.5% 0.4% Lenawee 190 0.6% 190 0.6% 150 0.4% 120 0.3% 130 Kalamazoo 150 0.7% 135 0.6% 105 0.5% 115 0.5% 115 0.5% 0.4% Los Angeles, CA 225 0.7% 220 0.7% 225 0.7% 235 0.6% 195 Franklin, OH 85 0.4% 90 0.4% 80 0.4% 75 0.4% 95 0.4% 0.6% Kalamazoo 600 120 APO/FPO/Foreign 2.8% 0.4% 555 140 2.6% 0.4% 555 155 2.7% 0.5% 615 160 2.9% 0.4% 85 150 0.4% 0.4% Franklin, OH 110 0.3% 115 0.3% 145 0.4% 155 0.4% 135 Saginaw 95 0.4% 105 0.5% 80 0.4% 95 0.4% 85 0.4% 0.4% APO/FPO/Foreign 375 1.2% 305 0.9% 305 0.9% 290 0.8% 100 0.3% Cobb, GA 30 0.1% 35 0.2% 25 0.1% 45 0.2% 50 0.2% Saginaw 70 0.2% 90 0.3% 60 0.2% 65 0.2% 75 0.2% 35 0.2% 35 0.2% 50 0.2% New York, NY 45 0.2% 45 0.2% Cobb, GA 110 0.3% 100 0.3% 130 0.4% 140 0.4% 110 All Other Counties 6,260 28.7% 5,990 27.8% 5,795 28.7% 5,845 27.4% 5,845 26.3% 0.3% New York, NY 60 0.2% 205 0.6% 90 0.3% 115 0.3% 115 0.3% 33.2% 12,505 34.1% 12,505 36.3% All Other Counties 9,740 30.2% 10,365 30.9% 11,265 Total In-Migration: 21,810 100.0% 21,555 100.0% 20,205 100.0% 21,335 100.0% 22,215 98.0% Total Out-Migration: 32,215 100.0% 33,500 100.0% 33,915 100.0% 36,705 100.0% 34,495 104.3% The Market Area Issue What are the Boundaries? ZIMMERMAN/VOLK ASSOCIATES, INC. Causal relationship between households and housing. But, The arrow of causation changes direction with geography. ZIMMERMAN/VOLK ASSOCIATES, INC. Arrow of Causation National Level: Household Increase Housing Increase Local Level: Household Increase Housing Increase ZIMMERMAN/VOLK ASSOCIATES, INC. Science: Household Cluster Analysis Lifestyle and Housing Preferences (Based on Nielsen PRIZM, one of three providers.) ZIMMERMAN/VOLK ASSOCIATES, INC. Households With The Potential To Move Within The City Of Detroit In 2011 Households In Groups With Median Incomes Above $50,000 City of Detroit, Wayne County, Michigan Household Type/ Geographic Designation Estimated Number Potential Share of Potential Empty Nesters & Retirees 61,845 2,080 11.0% Metropolitan Cities Small Cities/Satellite Cities Metropolitan Suburbs Town & Country/Exurbs 60,880 285 680 0 2,010 30 40 0 10.6% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% Traditional & Non-Traditional Families 107,590 11,790 62.2% Metropolitan Cities Small Cities/Satellite Cities Metropolitan Suburbs Town & Country/Exurbs 106,655 145 790 0 11,580 30 180 0 61.1% 0.2% 1.0% 0.0% Younger Singles & Couples 14,405 5,070 26.8% Metropolitan Cities Small Cities/Satellite Cities Metropolitan Suburbs Town & Country/Exurbs 13,255 325 825 0 4,780 130 160 0 25.2% 0.7% 0.8% 0.0% Total: 183,840 18,940 100.0% Total City Households: 317,110 Classified Households As A Share Of Total City Households: 58.0% Classifications by Lifestage Empty Nesters & Retirees Traditional & Non-Traditional Families Younger Singles & Couples ZIMMERMAN/VOLK ASSOCIATES, INC. The Traditional Family ZIMMERMAN/VOLK ASSOCIATES, INC. Married couples with children – now 22% of American households. ZIMMERMAN/VOLK ASSOCIATES, INC. Traditional (one-worker) family – less than 10 percent of all U.S. households. ZIMMERMAN/VOLK ASSOCIATES, INC. 21st Century Non-Traditional Family ZIMMERMAN/VOLK ASSOCIATES, INC. Empty Nesters & Retirees ZIMMERMAN/VOLK ASSOCIATES, INC. The Baby Boom 77 Million 1946-1964 ZIMMERMAN/VOLK ASSOCIATES, INC. A Pig in a Python Birth Years: 1946-1964 Ages Today: Entered Kindergarten: Entered High School: Entered College: Entered Job Market: Married with Children: Empty nesting: Retirement/2nd Careers: Death: 49-67 1951-1969 Elementary schools 1960-1978 High schools 1964-1982 Dormitories 1964-1986 Apartments 1970-2000 Detached Houses 1991-2024 Apts./Condos/TH/Detached 2008-2034 Apartments/Condos; CCRCs, etc. 2026-2054 Mortuaries, crematoria, cemeteries ZIMMERMAN/VOLK ASSOCIATES, INC. The Baby Boom Mostly couples The “Me Generation” Heading for retirement Settled at last More likely to be owners Politically and spiritually diverse The new “old” ZIMMERMAN/VOLK ASSOCIATES, INC. Events During Boomers’ Lifetimes Birth Year: 1946 1950 1955 1960 1964 Age Today: 68 64 59 54 50 iPhone Apps: Facebook Launch: 9/11 Terrorist Attacks: Clinton Impeachment: www. Graphical Interface: Simpsons Debut (stocks crash): Reagan Inauguration: Punk Rock: First Oil Embargo: Summer of Love: Jack Kennedy Assassination: Rock Around the Clock: 62 58 55 52 47 41 35 31 26 21 16 9 59 54 51 48 43 37 31 27 22 17 12 5 54 49 46 43 38 32 26 22 17 12 7 49 44 41 38 33 27 21 17 12 7 2 45 40 37 34 29 23 17 13 8 3 Age During: ZIMMERMAN/VOLK ASSOCIATES, INC. Younger Singles & Couples ZIMMERMAN/VOLK ASSOCIATES, INC. The Millennials 78 Million 1977-1996 ZIMMERMAN/VOLK ASSOCIATES, INC. An Even Bigger Pig in the Python Birth Years: 1977-1996 Ages Today: Entered Kindergarten: Enter High School: Enter College: Enter Job Market: Married with Children??: Empty nesting: Retirement: Death: 17-36 1982-2001 Elementary schools 1991-2010 High schools 1995-2014 Dormitories 1997-2021 Apartments/condos 2003-2036 Detached Houses?? 2024-2060 Apts./Condos/TH/Detached 2047-2066 Apartments/Condos; CCRCs, etc. 2057-2086 Mortuaries, crematoria, cemeteries ZIMMERMAN/VOLK ASSOCIATES, INC. The Millennials Mostly single. Highly social. Early/unsettled careers. Huge college debt. Very mobile. Most likely to be renters. Ethnically and culturally diverse. Green. ZIMMERMAN/VOLK ASSOCIATES, INC. Events During Millennials’ Lifetimes Birth Year: Age Today: 1977 1982 1987 1992 1996 37 32 27 22 18 Simpsons Debut (stocks crash): 10 5 www. Graphical Interface: 16 11 6 1 Clinton Impeachment: 21 16 11 6 2 9/11 Terrorist Attacks: 24 19 14 9 5 Facebook Launch: 27 22 17 12 8 iPhone Apps: 31 26 21 16 12 Justin Bieber discovered (YouTube): 33 28 23 18 14 Age when: ZIMMERMAN/VOLK ASSOCIATES, INC. ZIMMERMAN/VOLK ASSOCIATES, INC. The two largest generations are mostly one- and two-person households. ZIMMERMAN/VOLK ASSOCIATES, INC. Two Generations Converge 2004-2024 Boomers Move Down/Move Back Millennials Move Out/Move In Both Seek Community ZIMMERMAN/VOLK ASSOCIATES, INC. Classifications by Geography Metropolitan Cities Small Cities/Satellite Cities Metropolitan Suburbs Town & Country/Exurbs ZIMMERMAN/VOLK ASSOCIATES, INC. Exurban Households Ex-Urban Elite Full-Nest Exurbanites New Town Families Small Town Families Kids ‘r’ Us Rustic Families Subsistence Families Suburban Households The Social Register Nouveau Money Late-Nest Suburbanites Full-Nest Suburbanites Blue-Collar Button-Downs Working-Class Families Urban Households Full-Nest Urbanites Multi-Cultural Families Unibox Transferees Multi-Ethnic Families Inner-City Families Single-Parent Families In-Town Families Traditional & Non-Traditional Families Dhiru Thadani ZIMMERMAN/VOLK ASSOCIATES, INC. Exurban Households Small-Town Establishment New Empty Nesters RV Retirees Blue-Collar Empty Nesters Exurban Suburbanites Heartland Empty Nesters Country Couples Small-Town Seniors Rural Singles Back Country Seniors Rural Seniors Struggling Retirees Suburban Households Old Money Suburban Establishment Affluent Empty Nesters Mainstream Retirees No-Nest Suburbanites Middle-American Retirees Suburban Retirees Suburban Seniors Urban Households Urban Establishment Cosmopolitan Elite Cosmopolitan Couples Multi-Ethnic Retirees Middle-Class Move-Downs Downtown Retirees Multi-Ethnic Seniors Blue-Collar Retirees Hometown Retirees Second-City Seniors Empty Nesters & Retirees Dhiru Thadani ZIMMERMAN/VOLK ASSOCIATES, INC. Exurban Households Ex-Urban Power Couples Cross-Training Couples Small-Town Singles Suburban Households The Entrepreneurs Fast-Track Professionals Upscale Suburban Couples Suburban Achievers Working-Class Singles Urban Households eTypes The VIPs New Bohemians Twentysomethings Urban Achievers Small-City Singles Blue-Collar Singles Soul City Singles Younger Singles & Couples Dhiru Thadani ZIMMERMAN/VOLK ASSOCIATES, INC. Classifications by Tenure and Housing Type Rental Ownership Apartments Attached Single Family Detached Single Family ZIMMERMAN/VOLK ASSOCIATES, INC. New Unit Purchase Propensity By Housing Type Households With The Potential To Rent/Purchase In Greater Downtown Detroit In 2011 Households In Groups With Median Incomes Above $50,000 City of Detroit; Balance of Wayne County; Regional Draw Area; All Other US Counties Multi. . Family . . Household Type/ Geographic Designation Single. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Family . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Attached . . All Ranges All Ranges . . . . . . . . . . . . . Detached . . . . . . . . . . . . . Low-Range Mid-Range High-Range Total Empty Nesters & Retirees 840 560 620 520 400 2,940 Metropolitan Cities Small Cities/Satellite Cities Metropolitan Suburbs Town & Country/Exurbs 560 150 130 0 350 100 110 0 250 200 170 0 210 160 150 0 190 70 140 0 1,560 680 700 0 Traditional & Non-Traditional Families 130 170 260 210 120 890 Metropolitan Cities Small Cities/Satellite Cities Metropolitan Suburbs Town & Country/Exurbs 100 20 10 0 110 30 30 0 130 40 90 0 70 40 100 0 20 30 70 0 430 160 300 0 Younger Singles & Couples 2,090 720 580 450 270 4,110 Metropolitan Cities Small Cities/Satellite Cities Metropolitan Suburbs Town & Country/Exurbs 680 410 1,000 0 160 190 370 0 30 190 360 0 10 150 290 0 0 80 190 0 880 1,020 2,210 0 3,060 38.5% 1,450 18.3% 1,460 18.4% 1,180 14.9% 790 9.9% 7,940 100.0% Total: Percent: New Unit Purchase Propensity By Housing Type Households With The Potential To Rent/Purchase In Greater Downtown Detroit In 2011 Households In Groups With Median Incomes Above $50,000 City of Detroit; Balance of Wayne County; Regional Draw Area; All Other US Counties Multi. . Family . . Empty Nesters & Retirees Single. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Family . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Attached . . All Ranges All Ranges . . . . . . . . . . . . . Detached . . . . . . . . . . . . . Low-Range Mid-Range High-Range Total Metropolitan Cities Urban Establishment Cosmopolitan Couples Multi-Ethnic Retirees Subtotal: 320 130 110 560 140 120 90 350 80 70 100 250 110 50 50 210 140 30 20 190 790 400 370 1,560 Small Cities/Satellite Cities Cosmopolitan Elite Middle-Class Move-Downs Subtotal: 60 90 150 50 50 100 20 180 200 30 130 160 20 50 70 180 500 680 Metropolitan Suburbs Old Money Affluent Empty Nesters Suburban Establishment Mainstream Retirees Middle-American Retirees Subtotal: 30 30 20 20 30 130 30 20 30 10 20 110 30 10 40 20 70 170 30 10 40 20 50 150 70 10 30 10 20 140 190 80 160 80 190 700 Total: Percent: 840 28.6% 560 19.0% 620 21.1% 520 17.7% 400 13.6% 2,940 100.0% New Unit Purchase Propensity By Housing Type Households With The Potential To Rent/Purchase In Greater Downtown Detroit In 2011 Households In Groups With Median Incomes Above $50,000 City of Detroit; Balance of Wayne County; Regional Draw Area; All Other US Counties Multi. . Family . . Household Type/ Geographic Designation Empty Nesters & Retirees Household Type/ Geographic Designation Metropolitan Cities MultiSmall Cities/Satellite Cities . . FamilySuburbs .. Metropolitan Town & Country/Exurbs All Ranges Single. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Family . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Attached . . All Ranges . . . . . . . . . . . . . Detached . . . . . . . . . . . . . All Ranges Low-Range 840 560 560 150 .. 130 0 350 100 .110 .. 0 ..... . . Attached . . All Ranges 620 Mid-Range High-Range 520 Total 400 22,940 940 250 210 190 Single200 160 70 . . . . . Family . . . .150 . . . . . . . . .140 .. 170 1,560 680 700 0 0 . . . . . . . . . 0. . . . Detached . . . . . . . .0 . . . . . Low-Range Mid-Range High-Range Traditional & Non-Traditional Families 130 170 260 210 120 890 Metropolitan Cities Small Cities/Satellite Cities Metropolitan Suburbs Town & Country/Exurbs 100 20 10 0 110 30 30 0 130 40 90 0 70 40 100 0 20 30 70 0 430 160 300 0 Younger Singles & Couples 2,090 720 580 450 270 4,110 Metropolitan Cities Small Cities/Satellite Cities Metropolitan Suburbs Town & Country/Exurbs 680 410 1,000 0 160 190 370 0 30 190 360 0 10 150 290 0 0 80 190 0 880 1,020 2,210 0 3,060 38.5% 1,450 18.3% 1,460 18.4% 1,180 14.9% 790 9.9% 7,940 100.0% Total: Percent: Total ZIMMERMAN/VOLK ASSOCIATES, INC. Hard Lofts ZIMMERMAN/VOLK ASSOCIATES, INC. Soft Lofts ZIMMERMAN/VOLK ASSOCIATES, INC. Glitzy Lofts ZIMMERMAN/VOLK ASSOCIATES, INC. Apartments Over Retail ZIMMERMAN/VOLK ASSOCIATES, INC. Courtyard Apartments ZIMMERMAN/VOLK ASSOCIATES, INC. ZIMMERMAN/VOLK ASSOCIATES, INC. Mansion Apartments ZIMMERMAN/VOLK ASSOCIATES, INC. ZIMMERMAN/VOLK ASSOCIATES, INC. Townhouses ZIMMERMAN/VOLK ASSOCIATES, INC. ZIMMERMAN/VOLK ASSOCIATES, INC. ZIMMERMAN/VOLK ASSOCIATES, INC. ZIMMERMAN/VOLK ASSOCIATES, INC. Bungalows Pedestrian Courts ZIMMERMAN/VOLK ASSOCIATES, INC. Cottages Doe Mill Chico, CA ZIMMERMAN/VOLK ASSOCIATES, INC. Detached Houses ZIMMERMAN/VOLK ASSOCIATES, INC. Art: Site/Neighborhood/Area Evaluation. ZIMMERMAN/VOLK ASSOCIATES, INC. Neighborhood Characteristics and Amenities ZIMMERMAN/VOLK ASSOCIATES, INC. Participation in Cultural Activities T HE W ILLIAMSBURG S ITE City of Williamsburg, Virginia PERCENT ABOVE Potential Target Household ACTIVITY * Market N ATIONAL AVERAGE Participation in Recreational Activities Attend music/dance performance 43% T HE W ILLIAMSBURG S ITE Purchase hardcover books 44 Cit o Williamsbur , Vir inia Attend live theatre 64 PERCENT ADULT PARTICIPATION PER HOUSEHOLD † 99% 98 80 72 16 9 Visit a museum 51 PERCENT ADULT Arts association member 79 PARTICIPATION ABOVE PERCENT Take education course 32 PER HOUSEHOLD † ACTIVITY * NATIONAL AVERAGE * At least one occasion Fitness walking 27% per year. 110% 34 94 Swimming SOURCE: Nielsen Company; Simmons Market Research Group;. Zimmerman/Volk Associates, Inc., 2012. Gardening 38 93 Own bicycle 49 83 61 Own tennis racquet 63 Own golf clubs 81 59 Weight training 25 57 Play golf 66 49 Bicycling 24 43 Running/jogging 25 42 Hiking 22 41 Health club member 66 39 Aerobics 12 36 Freshwater fishing 6 35 Bird watching 29 28 Play tennis 58 26 Horseback riding 28 17 Country club member 134 12 * At least one occasion per year. † Over 100 percent indicates multiple participating adults per household. SOURCE: Nielsen Company; Simmons Market Research Group;. Zimmerman/Volk Associates, Inc., 2012. Art: Site/Neighborhood/Area Evaluation. Data Interpretation at Each Step, reflecting Unique Locational Characteristics. ZIMMERMAN/VOLK ASSOCIATES, INC. Ada Township, Adrian, Allegan, Ann Arbor, Belding, Birmingham, Brownstown Township, Canton Township, Dearborn, Detroit, Dundee, East Lansing, Ferndale, Grand Rapids, Jackson, Kalamazoo, Lansing, Monroe, Port Huron, Sault Ste. Marie, Southfield, Sterling Heights, Wixom. ZIMMERMAN/VOLK ASSOCIATES, INC. Art: Site/Neighborhood/Area Evaluation. Data Interpretation at Each Step, reflecting Unique Locational Characteristics. Understanding of the Target Markets and Neighborhood Context. ZIMMERMAN/VOLK ASSOCIATES, INC. ZIMMERMAN/VOLK ASSOCIATES, INC. ZIMMERMAN/VOLK ASSOCIATES, INC. ZIMMERMAN/VOLK ASSOCIATES, INC. Findings: Depth and breadth of the market. Ratio of families, younger and older people. Housing market context. Tenure ratio (rental vs. for-sale). Optimum housing mix by type, size, price/rent. Absorption forecasts. ZIMMERMAN/VOLK ASSOCIATES, INC. Results: Identifying emerging markets… Demonstrating wider housing choice: Attracting new households, Retaining existing residents, Reversing household decline. ZIMMERMAN/VOLK ASSOCIATES, INC. Results: Framework for housing policy. Development pro forma revenue assumptions. Understanding of potential… …and limitations. Enhancing rational settlement patterns. ZIMMERMAN/VOLK ASSOCIATES, INC. Benefits: Seeing beyond the current context. Helping intermediaries (developers) Enhance place-making To increase efficiency and fiscal health. ZIMMERMAN/VOLK ASSOCIATES, INC. www.ZVA.cc
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