1
±0.00
±0.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.02
±0.00
±0.01
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.46
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.04
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±725.66
±554.43
±389.03
±166.42
±120.91
±83.00
±78.76
±57.49
±50.55
±44.43
±44.33
±29.16
±27.99
±26.50
±10.50
±8.28
±5.64
±5.41
±4.72
±4.54
±2.67
±1.51
±0.77
±0.70
±0.66
±0.55
±0.46
±0.41
±0.15
±0.13
±0.10
±0.05
±0.04
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
Total background error
α systtt̄Xsec
Jet energy scale
α tt̄ISRFSR
γ shape mcstat F akes CR obs BDTG bin 0
α tt̄GenPlusPS
CellOut energy scale
α PileUp
α systW tXsec
α JVF
Lumi
α W W Generator
α ZGenerator
γ shape mcstat tt̄ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t CR obs BDTG bin 0
Jet energy resolution
α systZXsec
α F akesSyst
α systTplusXsec
γ shape mcstat Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
CellOut energy resolution
α W ZGenerator
γ shape mcstat DY CR obs BDTG bin 0
α systW W Xsec
γ shape mcstat W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
mu tt̄DF
α systtZXsec
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H CR obs BDTG bin 0
α ZZGenerator
α systW ZXsec
γ shape mcstat tZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
α systZZXsec
γ shape mcstat tt̄ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes V R obs BDTG bin 0
Wt
±0.00
±17.86
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±2.51
±0.80
±50.55
±2.47
±7.08
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±10.50
±1.65
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±1.23
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±55.25
252.75
H
±0.00
±0.19
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.02
±0.00
±0.02
±0.05
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.13
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.04
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.13
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.27
1.86
WW
±0.00
±0.82
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.14
±0.17
±0.00
±0.26
±0.39
±29.16
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.42
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.28
±0.00
±0.00
±0.70
±0.66
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±29.20
14.04
ZZ
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.10
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.10
0.02
±0.00
±0.09
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.06
±0.07
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.09
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.08
±1.51
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.15
±0.00
±0.00
±0.05
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±1.53
0.68
WZ
±0.00
±0.71
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.05
±0.03
±0.00
±0.01
±0.60
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.19
±0.00
±0.00
±4.72
±0.00
±0.07
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.41
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±4.84
21.47
tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W
DY
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.18
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.77
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.79
0.77
Z
±0.00
±3.07
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.41
±2.83
±0.00
±0.08
±1.05
±0.00
±27.99
±0.00
±0.00
±3.12
±5.64
±0.00
±0.00
±4.54
±0.21
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±29.40
37.61
tt̄
±554.43
±366.25
±166.42
±0.00
±83.00
±75.57
±53.65
±0.00
±41.58
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±26.50
±0.00
±10.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±3.65
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.55
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±698.04
5544.34
F akes
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±120.91
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±35.10
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±5.41
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±126.02
1253.55
Table 1: Breakdown of the dominant systematic uncertainties on background estimates in CR1DF before the fit. Note
that the individual uncertainties can be correlated, and do not necessarily add up quadratically to the total background
uncertainty. The percentages show the size of the uncertainty relative to the total expected background.
±0.46
7127.54
Total background expectation
tZ
0.46
DF
CR1
Uncertainty of channel
2
±0.00
±0.00
±0.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.01
±0.02
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.45
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.04
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±75.11
±538.33
±391.05
±281.86
±120.16
±119.73
±58.91
±56.88
±50.15
±44.11
±41.80
±32.29
±29.16
±27.80
±18.82
±10.44
±5.60
±5.38
±5.37
±4.69
±4.52
±1.62
±1.50
±0.70
±0.67
±0.66
±0.45
±0.41
±0.15
±0.13
±0.10
±0.05
±0.04
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
Total background error
mu tt̄DF
α systtt̄Xsec
Jet energy scale
γ shape mcstat F akes CR obs BDTG bin 0
α tt̄ISRFSR
α tt̄GenPlusPS
CellOut energy scale
α systW tXsec
Lumi
α PileUp
α JVF
α W W Generator
α ZGenerator
γ shape mcstat tt̄ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t CR obs BDTG bin 0
α systZXsec
Jet energy resolution
α F akesSyst
α systTplusXsec
γ shape mcstat Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
CellOut energy resolution
α W ZGenerator
α systW W Xsec
γ shape mcstat DY CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
α systtZXsec
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H CR obs BDTG bin 0
α ZZGenerator
α systW ZXsec
γ shape mcstat tZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
α systZZXsec
γ shape mcstat tt̄ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes V R obs BDTG bin 0
Wt
±0.00
±0.00
±17.70
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±2.49
±50.15
±7.04
±0.79
±2.44
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±10.44
±0.00
±1.64
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±1.22
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±54.81
252.73
H
±0.00
±0.00
±0.18
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.05
±0.02
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.13
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.04
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.13
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.27
1.86
WW
±0.00
±0.00
±0.81
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.14
±0.00
±0.39
±0.17
±0.26
±29.16
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.42
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.28
±0.00
±0.70
±0.00
±0.66
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±29.20
14.12
ZZ
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.10
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.10
0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.09
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.06
±0.00
±0.02
±0.07
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.09
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.08
±1.50
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.15
±0.00
±0.00
±0.05
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±1.52
0.68
WZ
±0.00
±0.00
±0.70
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.05
±0.00
±0.60
±0.03
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.19
±0.00
±4.69
±0.00
±0.07
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.41
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±4.80
21.47
tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W
DY
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.09
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.67
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.67
0.37
Z
±0.00
±0.00
±3.05
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.41
±0.00
±1.05
±2.81
±0.08
±0.00
±27.80
±0.00
±0.00
±5.60
±3.10
±0.00
±0.00
±4.52
±0.21
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±29.21
37.59
tt̄
±538.33
±391.05
±259.29
±0.00
±119.73
±58.91
±53.70
±0.00
±0.00
±38.08
±29.46
±0.00
±0.00
±18.82
±0.00
±0.00
±7.10
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±2.59
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±165.51
3960.37
F akes
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±120.16
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±34.94
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±5.37
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±125.24
1253.58
Table 2: Breakdown of the dominant systematic uncertainties on background estimates in CR1DF after the fit. Note
that the individual uncertainties can be correlated, and do not necessarily add up quadratically to the total background
uncertainty. The percentages show the size of the uncertainty relative to the total expected background.
±0.46
5543.24
Total background expectation
tZ
0.46
DF
CR1
Uncertainty of channel
3
±0.00
±0.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.02
±0.00
±0.01
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.46
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.04
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±725.39
±554.00
±388.44
±168.72
±121.31
±81.86
±78.28
±56.87
±50.75
±44.62
±44.36
±29.16
±28.27
±26.48
±10.54
±5.81
±5.68
±5.43
±4.73
±4.55
±1.48
±1.37
±0.77
±0.70
±0.66
±0.55
±0.46
±0.41
±0.15
±0.13
±0.10
±0.05
±0.04
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
Total background error
α systtt̄Xsec
Jet energy scale
α tt̄ISRFSR
γ shape mcstat F akes CR obs BDTG bin 0
α tt̄GenPlusPS
CellOut energy scale
α PileUp
α systW tXsec
Lumi
α JVF
α W W Generator
α ZGenerator
γ shape mcstat tt̄ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t CR obs BDTG bin 0
Jet energy resolution
α systZXsec
α F akesSyst
α systTplusXsec
γ shape mcstat Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
α W ZGenerator
CellOut energy resolution
γ shape mcstat DY CR obs BDTG bin 0
α systW W Xsec
γ shape mcstat W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
mu tt̄DF
α systtZXsec
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H CR obs BDTG bin 0
α ZZGenerator
α systW ZXsec
γ shape mcstat tZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
α systZZXsec
γ shape mcstat tt̄ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes V R obs BDTG bin 0
Wt
±0.00
±18.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±2.68
±0.52
±50.75
±7.10
±2.55
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±10.54
±1.09
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±1.54
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±55.49
253.73
H
±0.00
±0.19
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.02
±0.00
±0.05
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.13
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.04
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.13
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.27
1.86
WW
±0.00
±0.82
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.12
±0.16
±0.00
±0.39
±0.26
±29.16
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.44
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.28
±0.00
±0.70
±0.66
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±29.19
13.99
ZZ
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.10
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.10
0.02
±0.00
±0.09
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.07
±0.07
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±1.48
±0.08
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.15
±0.00
±0.00
±0.05
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±1.49
0.67
WZ
±0.00
±0.75
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.07
±0.04
±0.00
±0.60
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.16
±0.00
±0.00
±4.73
±0.00
±0.00
±0.04
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.41
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±4.85
21.52
tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W
DY
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.18
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.77
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.79
0.77
Z
±0.00
±2.68
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.25
±2.94
±0.00
±1.06
±0.14
±0.00
±28.27
±0.00
±0.00
±4.19
±5.68
±0.00
±0.00
±4.55
±0.00
±0.34
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±29.78
37.89
tt̄
±554.00
±365.85
±168.72
±0.00
±81.86
±75.08
±53.23
±0.00
±0.00
±41.38
±0.00
±0.00
±26.48
±0.00
±9.28
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±2.81
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.55
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±697.79
5540.04
F akes
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±121.31
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±35.35
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±5.43
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±126.48
1262.67
Table 3: Breakdown of the dominant systematic uncertainties on background estimates in CR2DF before the fit. Note
that the individual uncertainties can be correlated, and do not necessarily add up quadratically to the total background
uncertainty. The percentages show the size of the uncertainty relative to the total expected background.
±0.46
7133.62
Total background expectation
tZ
0.46
DF
CR2
Uncertainty of channel
4
±0.00
±0.00
±0.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.01
±0.02
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.45
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.04
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±75.28
±537.41
±390.31
±281.32
±122.23
±120.56
±58.24
±56.70
±50.33
±44.41
±41.40
±32.30
±29.23
±28.08
±18.85
±10.48
±5.64
±5.39
±4.70
±4.52
±3.16
±1.47
±0.70
±0.67
±0.66
±0.57
±0.45
±0.41
±0.15
±0.13
±0.10
±0.05
±0.04
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
Total background error
mu tt̄DF
α systtt̄Xsec
Jet energy scale
α tt̄ISRFSR
γ shape mcstat F akes CR obs BDTG bin 0
α tt̄GenPlusPS
CellOut energy scale
α systW tXsec
Lumi
α PileUp
α JVF
α W W Generator
α ZGenerator
γ shape mcstat tt̄ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t CR obs BDTG bin 0
α systZXsec
α F akesSyst
α systTplusXsec
γ shape mcstat Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
Jet energy resolution
α W ZGenerator
α systW W Xsec
γ shape mcstat DY CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
CellOut energy resolution
α systtZXsec
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H CR obs BDTG bin 0
α ZZGenerator
α systW ZXsec
γ shape mcstat tZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
α systZZXsec
γ shape mcstat tt̄ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes V R obs BDTG bin 0
Wt
±0.00
±0.00
±17.82
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±2.67
±50.33
±7.07
±0.52
±2.52
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±10.48
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±1.08
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±1.53
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±55.03
253.71
H
±0.00
±0.00
±0.18
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.05
±0.02
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.13
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.04
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.13
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.27
1.86
WW
±0.00
±0.00
±0.81
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.12
±0.00
±0.39
±0.16
±0.26
±29.23
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.44
±0.00
±0.70
±0.00
±0.66
±0.28
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±29.27
14.11
ZZ
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.10
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.10
0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.09
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.07
±0.00
±0.02
±0.07
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.03
±1.47
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.08
±0.00
±0.00
±0.15
±0.00
±0.00
±0.05
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±1.49
0.67
WZ
±0.00
±0.00
±0.74
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.07
±0.00
±0.60
±0.04
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±4.70
±0.00
±0.16
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.04
±0.00
±0.41
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±4.82
21.52
tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W
DY
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.08
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.67
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.67
0.37
Z
±0.00
±0.00
±2.65
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.25
±0.00
±1.06
±2.92
±0.14
±0.00
±28.08
±0.00
±0.00
±5.64
±0.00
±0.00
±4.52
±4.16
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.34
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±29.59
37.86
tt̄
±537.41
±390.31
±258.99
±122.23
±0.00
±58.24
±53.52
±0.00
±0.00
±37.87
±29.35
±0.00
±0.00
±18.85
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±6.60
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±2.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±166.09
3966.55
F akes
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±120.56
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±35.19
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±5.39
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±125.71
1262.74
Table 4: Breakdown of the dominant systematic uncertainties on background estimates in CR2DF after the fit. Note
that the individual uncertainties can be correlated, and do not necessarily add up quadratically to the total background
uncertainty. The percentages show the size of the uncertainty relative to the total expected background.
±0.46
5559.87
Total background expectation
tZ
0.46
DF
CR2
Uncertainty of channel
5
±0.00
±0.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.02
±0.00
±0.01
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.46
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.04
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±732.23
±558.02
±394.83
±166.04
±122.12
±85.17
±79.31
±58.09
±51.01
±45.25
±44.86
±30.60
±29.35
±26.59
±10.59
±8.55
±6.03
±5.47
±4.83
±4.58
±3.73
±1.56
±0.77
±0.70
±0.66
±0.56
±0.46
±0.42
±0.16
±0.13
±0.10
±0.06
±0.04
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
Total background error
α systtt̄Xsec
Jet energy scale
α tt̄ISRFSR
γ shape mcstat F akes CR obs BDTG bin 0
α tt̄GenPlusPS
CellOut energy scale
α PileUp
α systW tXsec
Lumi
α JVF
α ZGenerator
α W W Generator
γ shape mcstat tt̄ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t CR obs BDTG bin 0
Jet energy resolution
α systZXsec
α F akesSyst
α systTplusXsec
γ shape mcstat Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
CellOut energy resolution
α W ZGenerator
γ shape mcstat DY CR obs BDTG bin 0
α systW W Xsec
γ shape mcstat W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
mu tt̄DF
α systtZXsec
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H CR obs BDTG bin 0
α ZZGenerator
α systW ZXsec
γ shape mcstat tZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
α systZZXsec
γ shape mcstat tt̄ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes V R obs BDTG bin 0
Wt
±0.00
±16.90
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±2.49
±1.15
±51.01
±7.14
±2.55
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±10.59
±0.31
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±1.13
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±55.37
255.05
H
±0.00
±0.19
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.02
±0.00
±0.05
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.13
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.04
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.13
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.27
1.86
WW
±0.00
±0.82
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.13
±0.16
±0.00
±0.39
±0.26
±0.00
±29.35
±0.00
±0.00
±0.43
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.28
±0.00
±0.00
±0.70
±0.66
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±29.39
14.03
ZZ
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.10
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.10
0.03
±0.00
±0.09
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.07
±0.07
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.08
±1.56
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.16
±0.00
±0.00
±0.06
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±1.58
0.79
WZ
±0.00
±0.77
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.06
±0.05
±0.00
±0.61
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.22
±0.00
±0.00
±4.83
±0.00
±0.11
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.42
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±4.95
21.95
tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W
DY
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.18
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.77
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.79
0.77
Z
±0.00
±3.17
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.32
±2.98
±0.00
±1.13
±0.17
±30.60
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±3.26
±6.03
±0.00
±0.00
±4.58
±0.10
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±32.01
40.22
tt̄
±558.02
±372.88
±166.04
±0.00
±85.17
±76.23
±53.78
±0.00
±0.00
±41.85
±0.00
±0.00
±26.59
±0.00
±11.81
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±4.25
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.56
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±704.67
5580.19
F akes
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±122.12
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±35.86
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±5.47
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±127.39
1280.82
Table 5: Breakdown of the dominant systematic uncertainties on background estimates in CR3DF before the fit. Note
that the individual uncertainties can be correlated, and do not necessarily add up quadratically to the total background
uncertainty. The percentages show the size of the uncertainty relative to the total expected background.
±0.46
7196.17
Total background expectation
tZ
0.46
DF
CR3
Uncertainty of channel
6
±0.00
±0.00
±0.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.01
±0.02
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.46
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.04
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±75.65
±540.34
±391.97
±285.36
±121.36
±119.70
±60.49
±57.34
±50.60
±45.03
±42.39
±32.61
±30.40
±29.26
±18.90
±10.53
±6.00
±5.44
±5.15
±4.80
±4.56
±2.50
±1.55
±0.69
±0.67
±0.65
±0.46
±0.42
±0.16
±0.13
±0.10
±0.06
±0.04
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
Total background error
mu tt̄DF
α systtt̄Xsec
Jet energy scale
γ shape mcstat F akes CR obs BDTG bin 0
α tt̄ISRFSR
α tt̄GenPlusPS
CellOut energy scale
α systW tXsec
Lumi
α PileUp
α JVF
α ZGenerator
α W W Generator
γ shape mcstat tt̄ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t CR obs BDTG bin 0
α systZXsec
α F akesSyst
Jet energy resolution
α systTplusXsec
γ shape mcstat Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
CellOut energy resolution
α W ZGenerator
α systW W Xsec
γ shape mcstat DY CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
α systtZXsec
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H CR obs BDTG bin 0
α ZZGenerator
α systW ZXsec
γ shape mcstat tZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
α systZZXsec
γ shape mcstat tt̄ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes V R obs BDTG bin 0
Wt
±0.00
±0.00
±16.70
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±2.48
±50.60
±7.11
±1.15
±2.52
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±10.53
±0.00
±0.00
±0.31
±0.00
±0.00
±1.13
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±54.93
255.18
H
±0.00
±0.00
±0.18
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.05
±0.02
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.13
±0.00
±0.00
±0.04
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.13
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.27
1.86
WW
±0.00
±0.00
±0.81
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.13
±0.00
±0.39
±0.16
±0.26
±0.00
±29.26
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.43
±0.00
±0.00
±0.28
±0.00
±0.69
±0.00
±0.65
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±29.30
13.89
ZZ
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.10
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.10
0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.09
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.07
±0.00
±0.02
±0.07
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.08
±1.55
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.16
±0.00
±0.00
±0.06
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±1.57
0.79
WZ
±0.00
±0.00
±0.76
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.06
±0.00
±0.61
±0.05
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.21
±4.80
±0.00
±0.11
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.42
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±4.92
21.96
tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W
DY
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.09
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.67
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.67
0.37
Z
±0.00
±0.00
±3.12
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.32
±0.00
±1.12
±2.96
±0.17
±30.40
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±6.00
±0.00
±3.24
±0.00
±4.56
±0.10
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±31.81
40.26
tt̄
±540.34
±391.97
±263.66
±0.00
±119.70
±60.49
±54.27
±0.00
±0.00
±38.20
±29.63
±0.00
±0.00
±18.90
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±8.39
±0.00
±0.00
±3.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±167.39
3990.16
F akes
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±121.36
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±35.70
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±5.44
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±126.62
1280.78
Table 6: Breakdown of the dominant systematic uncertainties on background estimates in CR3DF after the fit. Note
that the individual uncertainties can be correlated, and do not necessarily add up quadratically to the total background
uncertainty. The percentages show the size of the uncertainty relative to the total expected background.
±0.46
5605.73
Total background expectation
tZ
0.46
DF
CR3
Uncertainty of channel
7
±0.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.01
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.39
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.04
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±381.48
±222.30
±214.98
±152.69
±85.99
±76.13
±74.22
±43.73
±42.80
±40.45
±25.13
±23.86
±19.96
±16.81
±15.45
±13.58
±9.08
±7.75
±4.16
±3.92
±3.06
±2.27
±1.61
±0.53
±0.49
±0.39
±0.36
±0.34
±0.21
±0.21
±0.04
±0.03
±0.01
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
Total background error
Jet energy scale
α systtt̄Xsec
α tt̄ISRFSR
α tt̄PartonShower
α tt̄Generator
α trigger
Jet energy resolution
CellOut energy scale
α ZGenerator
α systW tXsec
α W W Generator
α JVF
γ shape mcstat tt̄ CR obs BDTG bin 0
α PileUp
α systZXsec
Lumi
γ shape mcstat W t CR obs BDTG bin 0
α systW W Xsec
γ shape mcstat Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
α systTplusXsec
CellOut energy resolution
γ shape mcstat W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
α systW ZXsec
α systtZXsec
α W ZGenerator
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
mu tt̄DF
γ shape mcstat H CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
α ZZGenerator
α systZZXsec
γ shape mcstat DY CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY V R obs BDTG bin 0
α F akesSyst
γ shape mcstat W Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes V R obs BDTG bin 0
Wt
±10.18
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±3.77
±5.80
±3.71
±0.00
±25.13
±0.00
±1.50
±0.00
±0.08
±0.00
±3.52
±7.75
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±29.52
125.66
H
±0.45
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.10
±0.03
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.10
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.21
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.52
3.48
WW
±5.94
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±2.49
±0.79
±0.63
±0.00
±0.00
±23.86
±1.83
±0.00
±0.15
±0.00
±2.33
±0.00
±4.16
±0.00
±0.00
±0.51
±1.61
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±25.31
83.11
ZZ
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.03
±0.01
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.04
0.14
±0.52
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.21
±0.01
±0.04
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.11
±0.00
±0.25
±0.00
±0.20
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.53
±0.49
±0.00
±0.36
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±1.04
7.04
WZ
±0.75
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.42
±0.59
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.13
±0.00
±0.39
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±3.06
±0.13
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.34
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±3.27
13.89
tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W
DY
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
Z
±10.46
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±2.72
±2.66
±0.96
±40.45
±0.00
±0.00
±0.61
±0.00
±0.84
±13.58
±2.54
±0.00
±0.00
±3.92
±0.00
±0.25
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±44.36
90.54
tt̄
±193.96
±214.98
±152.69
±85.99
±76.13
±64.49
±40.80
±37.45
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±15.87
±16.81
±14.51
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±2.19
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.21
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±358.22
2149.82
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
F akes
Table 7: Breakdown of the dominant systematic uncertainties on background estimates in CR4DF before the fit. Note
that the individual uncertainties can be correlated, and do not necessarily add up quadratically to the total background
uncertainty. The percentages show the size of the uncertainty relative to the total expected background.
±0.39
2474.07
Total background expectation
tZ
0.39
DF
CR4
Uncertainty of channel
8
±0.00
±0.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.01
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.38
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.04
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±118.54
±326.61
±203.83
±194.39
±110.88
±77.75
±68.85
±67.97
±40.18
±39.80
±39.18
±24.96
±23.70
±18.42
±15.22
±14.06
±13.49
±9.04
±7.71
±4.13
±3.90
±3.04
±2.06
±1.60
±0.52
±0.49
±0.38
±0.36
±0.34
±0.21
±0.04
±0.03
±0.01
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
Total background error
mu tt̄DF
Jet energy scale
α systtt̄Xsec
α tt̄ISRFSR
α tt̄PartonShower
α tt̄Generator
α trigger
α ZGenerator
Jet energy resolution
CellOut energy scale
α systW tXsec
α W W Generator
α JVF
γ shape mcstat tt̄ CR obs BDTG bin 0
α PileUp
α systZXsec
Lumi
γ shape mcstat W t CR obs BDTG bin 0
α systW W Xsec
γ shape mcstat Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
α systTplusXsec
CellOut energy resolution
γ shape mcstat W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
α systW ZXsec
α systtZXsec
α W ZGenerator
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
α ZZGenerator
α systZZXsec
γ shape mcstat F akes CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY V R obs BDTG bin 0
α F akesSyst
γ shape mcstat W Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes V R obs BDTG bin 0
Wt
±0.00
±10.12
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±3.74
±0.00
±5.76
±3.69
±24.96
±0.00
±1.49
±0.00
±0.08
±0.00
±3.50
±7.71
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±29.33
125.66
H
±0.00
±0.45
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.10
±0.00
±0.03
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.10
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.21
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.52
3.48
WW
±0.00
±5.91
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±2.48
±0.00
±0.79
±0.63
±0.00
±23.70
±1.82
±0.00
±0.15
±0.00
±2.32
±0.00
±4.13
±0.00
±0.00
±0.51
±1.60
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±25.14
83.12
ZZ
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.03
±0.01
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.04
0.14
±0.00
±0.51
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.21
±0.00
±0.01
±0.04
±0.00
±0.00
±0.11
±0.00
±0.25
±0.00
±0.20
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.52
±0.49
±0.00
±0.36
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±1.03
7.04
WZ
±0.00
±0.75
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.41
±0.00
±0.59
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.13
±0.00
±0.39
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±3.04
±0.13
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.34
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±3.25
13.89
tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W
DY
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
Z
±0.00
±10.40
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±2.70
±40.18
±2.64
±0.95
±0.00
±0.00
±0.61
±0.00
±0.83
±13.49
±2.52
±0.00
±0.00
±3.90
±0.00
±0.25
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±44.07
90.54
tt̄
±326.61
±175.65
±194.39
±110.88
±77.75
±68.85
±58.31
±0.00
±36.90
±33.87
±0.00
±0.00
±14.36
±15.22
±13.12
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±1.98
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±135.37
1956.76
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
F akes
Table 8: Breakdown of the dominant systematic uncertainties on background estimates in CR4DF after the fit. Note
that the individual uncertainties can be correlated, and do not necessarily add up quadratically to the total background
uncertainty. The percentages show the size of the uncertainty relative to the total expected background.
±0.39
2281.01
Total background expectation
tZ
0.39
DF
CR4
Uncertainty of channel
9
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±39.34
±23.56
±17.67
±14.19
±10.71
±9.42
±8.11
±7.32
±7.23
±6.13
±5.50
±3.34
±2.86
±2.34
±2.30
±1.33
±1.03
±0.97
±0.83
±0.72
±0.67
±0.35
±0.19
±0.15
±0.11
±0.08
±0.05
±0.05
±0.02
±0.02
±0.01
±0.01
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
Total background error
α systtt̄Xsec
α tt̄Generator
CellOut energy scale
α tt̄ISRFSR
α tt̄PartonShower
α trigger
Jet energy resolution
α PileUp
α W W Generator
γ shape mcstat tt̄ CR obs BDTG bin 0
α systW tXsec
γ shape mcstat W t CR obs BDTG bin 0
α JVF
CellOut energy resolution
Jet energy scale
α ZGenerator
Lumi
α W ZGenerator
α systW W Xsec
γ shape mcstat W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
α systTplusXsec
γ shape mcstat W Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
α systZXsec
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
α systW ZXsec
γ shape mcstat H CR obs BDTG bin 0
mu tt̄DF
α systtZXsec
α ZZGenerator
γ shape mcstat ZZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
α systZZXsec
γ shape mcstat DY CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY V R obs BDTG bin 0
α F akesSyst
γ shape mcstat W Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes V R obs BDTG bin 0
Wt
±0.00
±0.00
±0.64
±0.00
±0.00
±0.50
±0.24
±0.08
±0.00
±0.00
±3.34
±2.86
±0.41
±1.55
±0.02
±0.00
±0.47
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±4.78
16.71
H
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.04
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.05
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.06
0.18
WW
±0.00
±0.00
±0.22
±0.00
±0.00
±0.43
±0.72
±0.30
±6.13
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.37
±0.27
±1.05
±0.00
±0.40
±0.00
±0.72
±0.67
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±6.39
14.41
ZZ
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.04
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.09
±0.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.10
±0.06
±0.00
±0.02
±0.83
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.19
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.05
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.87
0.75
WZ
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.05
±0.08
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.04
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.35
±0.00
±0.00
±0.11
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.38
1.58
tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W
DY
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
Z
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.03
±0.03
±0.04
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.05
±0.16
±1.03
±0.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.15
±0.00
±0.08
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±1.06
1.03
tt̄
±23.56
±17.67
±14.63
±10.71
±9.42
±7.07
±8.40
±6.86
±0.00
±5.50
±0.00
±0.00
±1.54
±0.97
±0.14
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±38.55
235.62
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
F akes
Table 9: Breakdown of the dominant systematic uncertainties on background estimates in CR5DF before the fit. Note
that the individual uncertainties can be correlated, and do not necessarily add up quadratically to the total background
uncertainty. The percentages show the size of the uncertainty relative to the total expected background.
±0.02
270.32
Total background expectation
tZ
0.02
DF
CR5
Uncertainty of channel
10
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±18.47
±48.00
±27.48
±20.59
±16.60
±10.98
±10.38
±9.27
±8.71
±8.36
±6.42
±6.09
±3.32
±2.84
±2.59
±2.45
±1.35
±1.03
±0.97
±0.82
±0.72
±0.67
±0.34
±0.19
±0.15
±0.11
±0.08
±0.05
±0.05
±0.02
±0.01
±0.01
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
Total background error
mu tt̄DF
α systtt̄Xsec
α tt̄Generator
CellOut energy scale
α tt̄PartonShower
α tt̄ISRFSR
α trigger
Jet energy resolution
α PileUp
γ shape mcstat tt̄ CR obs BDTG bin 0
α W W Generator
α systW tXsec
γ shape mcstat W t CR obs BDTG bin 0
α JVF
CellOut energy resolution
Jet energy scale
α ZGenerator
Lumi
α W ZGenerator
α systW W Xsec
γ shape mcstat W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
α systTplusXsec
γ shape mcstat W Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
α systZXsec
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
α systW ZXsec
γ shape mcstat H CR obs BDTG bin 0
α systtZXsec
γ shape mcstat ZZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
α ZZGenerator
γ shape mcstat tZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
α systZZXsec
γ shape mcstat F akes CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY V R obs BDTG bin 0
α F akesSyst
γ shape mcstat W Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes V R obs BDTG bin 0
Wt
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.64
±0.00
±0.00
±0.50
±0.23
±0.08
±0.00
±0.00
±3.32
±2.84
±0.41
±1.54
±0.02
±0.00
±0.47
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±4.75
16.72
H
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.04
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.05
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.06
0.18
WW
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.22
±0.00
±0.00
±0.43
±0.72
±0.30
±0.00
±6.09
±0.00
±0.00
±0.37
±0.27
±1.04
±0.00
±0.40
±0.00
±0.72
±0.67
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±6.35
14.41
ZZ
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.04
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.09
±0.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.10
±0.06
±0.00
±0.02
±0.82
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.19
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.05
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.86
0.75
WZ
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.05
±0.07
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.04
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.34
±0.00
±0.00
±0.11
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.38
1.58
tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W
DY
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
Z
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.03
±0.03
±0.04
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.05
±0.16
±1.03
±0.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.15
±0.00
±0.08
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±1.05
1.03
tt̄
±48.00
±27.48
±20.59
±17.05
±10.98
±10.38
±8.24
±9.78
±7.99
±6.42
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±1.79
±1.12
±0.16
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±20.22
276.38
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
F akes
Table 10: Breakdown of the dominant systematic uncertainties on background estimates in CR5DF after the fit. Note
that the individual uncertainties can be correlated, and do not necessarily add up quadratically to the total background
uncertainty. The percentages show the size of the uncertainty relative to the total expected background.
±0.02
311.09
Total background expectation
tZ
0.02
DF
CR5
Uncertainty of channel
11
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.05
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±79.99
±58.44
±31.14
±25.74
±23.21
±12.46
±11.92
±11.39
±10.44
±8.45
±7.04
±6.45
±6.31
±5.92
±3.58
±3.18
±2.70
±1.91
±1.36
±0.93
±0.90
±0.61
±0.38
±0.36
±0.30
±0.15
±0.13
±0.10
±0.05
±0.03
±0.02
±0.02
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
Total background error
α tt̄ISRFSR
α systtt̄Xsec
Jet energy scale
α tt̄Generator
α tt̄PartonShower
CellOut energy scale
α trigger
α W W Generator
α ZGenerator
Jet energy resolution
γ shape mcstat tt̄ CR obs BDTG bin 0
α PileUp
α systW tXsec
γ shape mcstat W t CR obs BDTG bin 0
α JVF
CellOut energy resolution
Lumi
α systW W Xsec
γ shape mcstat W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
α systZXsec
α systTplusXsec
γ shape mcstat Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
α W ZGenerator
γ shape mcstat W Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
α systW ZXsec
γ shape mcstat H CR obs BDTG bin 0
α systtZXsec
mu tt̄DF
α ZZGenerator
γ shape mcstat ZZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
α systZZXsec
γ shape mcstat DY CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY V R obs BDTG bin 0
α F akesSyst
γ shape mcstat W Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes V R obs BDTG bin 0
Wt
±0.00
±0.00
±3.13
±0.00
±0.00
±0.88
±0.89
±0.00
±0.00
±0.46
±0.00
±0.45
±5.92
±3.58
±0.70
±0.69
±0.83
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±7.84
29.62
H
±0.00
±0.00
±0.08
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.15
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.03
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.10
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.20
0.64
WW
±0.00
±0.00
±1.56
±0.00
±0.00
±0.40
±0.82
±10.44
±0.00
±0.23
±0.00
±0.15
±0.00
±0.00
±0.63
±0.44
±0.76
±1.36
±0.93
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±10.78
27.23
ZZ
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.03
0.04
±0.00
±0.00
±0.09
±0.00
±0.00
±0.05
±0.06
±0.00
±0.00
±0.20
±0.00
±0.05
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.29
±0.05
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.36
±0.30
±0.00
±0.13
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.62
1.92
WZ
±0.00
±0.00
±0.18
±0.00
±0.00
±0.03
±0.08
±0.00
±0.00
±0.16
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.08
±0.08
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.61
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.15
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.69
2.80
tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W
DY
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
Z
±0.00
±0.00
±0.97
±0.00
±0.00
±0.08
±0.18
±0.00
±8.45
±0.18
±0.00
±0.06
±0.00
±0.00
±0.05
±0.41
±0.17
±0.00
±0.00
±0.90
±0.00
±0.38
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±8.58
6.00
tt̄
±58.44
±31.14
±19.71
±23.21
±12.46
±10.74
±9.34
±0.00
±0.00
±7.29
±6.45
±5.83
±0.00
±0.00
±1.79
±2.77
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±76.22
311.43
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
F akes
Table 11: Breakdown of the dominant systematic uncertainties on background estimates in CR6DF before the fit. Note
that the individual uncertainties can be correlated, and do not necessarily add up quadratically to the total background
uncertainty. The percentages show the size of the uncertainty relative to the total expected background.
±0.05
379.71
Total background expectation
tZ
0.05
DF
CR6
Uncertainty of channel
12
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.05
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±27.62
±116.96
±102.92
±43.13
±33.39
±31.61
±17.13
±15.58
±14.87
±10.37
±9.65
±8.87
±8.39
±8.34
±5.88
±3.82
±3.70
±3.56
±1.90
±1.35
±0.92
±0.89
±0.61
±0.37
±0.36
±0.30
±0.15
±0.13
±0.10
±0.05
±0.02
±0.02
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
Total background error
mu tt̄DF
α tt̄ISRFSR
α systtt̄Xsec
Jet energy scale
α tt̄Generator
α tt̄PartonShower
CellOut energy scale
α trigger
α W W Generator
Jet energy resolution
γ shape mcstat tt̄ CR obs BDTG bin 0
α PileUp
α ZGenerator
α systW tXsec
α JVF
CellOut energy resolution
γ shape mcstat W t CR obs BDTG bin 0
Lumi
α systW W Xsec
γ shape mcstat W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
α systZXsec
α systTplusXsec
γ shape mcstat Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
α W ZGenerator
γ shape mcstat W Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
α systW ZXsec
γ shape mcstat H CR obs BDTG bin 0
α systtZXsec
α ZZGenerator
γ shape mcstat ZZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
α systZZXsec
γ shape mcstat F akes CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY V R obs BDTG bin 0
α F akesSyst
γ shape mcstat W Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes V R obs BDTG bin 0
Wt
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±3.19
±0.00
±0.00
±0.86
±0.88
±0.00
±0.46
±0.00
±0.45
±0.00
±5.88
±0.70
±0.69
±3.56
±0.82
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±7.81
29.58
H
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.08
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.02
±0.00
±0.15
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.03
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.10
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.20
0.64
WW
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±1.58
±0.00
±0.00
±0.39
±0.81
±10.37
±0.22
±0.00
±0.15
±0.00
±0.00
±0.63
±0.44
±0.00
±0.76
±1.35
±0.92
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±10.71
27.18
ZZ
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.03
0.04
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.10
±0.00
±0.00
±0.05
±0.06
±0.00
±0.20
±0.00
±0.05
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.28
±0.00
±0.05
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.36
±0.30
±0.00
±0.13
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.61
1.92
WZ
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.18
±0.00
±0.00
±0.03
±0.08
±0.00
±0.16
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.08
±0.00
±0.08
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.61
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.15
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.69
2.79
tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W
DY
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
Z
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.98
±0.00
±0.00
±0.07
±0.18
±0.00
±0.17
±0.00
±0.06
±8.34
±0.00
±0.05
±0.41
±0.00
±0.17
±0.00
±0.00
±0.89
±0.00
±0.37
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±8.47
5.97
tt̄
±116.96
±102.92
±43.13
±27.27
±31.61
±17.13
±14.43
±12.84
±0.00
±9.90
±8.87
±7.91
±0.00
±0.00
±2.44
±3.76
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±32.27
430.48
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
F akes
Table 12: Breakdown of the dominant systematic uncertainties on background estimates in CR6DF after the fit. Note
that the individual uncertainties can be correlated, and do not necessarily add up quadratically to the total background
uncertainty. The percentages show the size of the uncertainty relative to the total expected background.
±0.05
498.66
Total background expectation
tZ
0.05
DF
CR6
Uncertainty of channel
13
±0.00
±0.08
±0.00
±0.00
±0.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.06
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±2.19
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.11
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±724.55
±565.90
±385.76
±126.66
±126.07
±83.43
±56.53
±54.39
±50.10
±49.87
±46.63
±40.48
±28.86
±26.80
±11.06
±10.52
±9.16
±8.38
±5.59
±5.41
±5.09
±3.64
±2.31
±2.19
±1.50
±0.79
±0.74
±0.57
±0.52
±0.45
±0.35
±0.33
±0.21
±0.15
±0.11
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
Total background error
α systtt̄Xsec
Jet energy scale
α tt̄ISRFSR
γ shape mcstat F akes CR obs BDTG bin 0
CellOut energy scale
α systW tXsec
α tt̄GenPlusPS
Lumi
α JVF
α PileUp
α ZGenerator
α W W Generator
γ shape mcstat tt̄ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t CR obs BDTG bin 0
α systZXsec
Jet energy resolution
CellOut energy resolution
α systTplusXsec
α F akesSyst
α W ZGenerator
α ZZGenerator
γ shape mcstat Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
α systtZXsec
γ shape mcstat DY CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
α systW W Xsec
mu tt̄SF
γ shape mcstat W Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H CR obs BDTG bin 0
α systW ZXsec
γ shape mcstat ZZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
α systZZXsec
γ shape mcstat tZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
Wt
±0.00
±18.05
±0.00
±0.00
±3.63
±56.53
±0.00
±7.91
±5.21
±5.56
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±11.06
±0.00
±2.18
±0.80
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±61.50
282.63
H
±0.00
±0.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.10
±0.00
±0.00
±0.12
±0.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.12
±0.04
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.35
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.40
4.11
WW
±0.00
±0.87
±0.00
±0.00
±0.08
±0.00
±0.00
±0.41
±0.15
±0.25
±0.00
±28.86
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.61
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.79
±0.74
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±28.90
14.81
ZZ
±0.00
±0.09
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.08
±0.06
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.18
±0.04
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±3.64
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.21
±0.15
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±3.65
2.96
±0.00
±0.22
±0.00
±0.00
±0.09
±0.00
±0.00
±0.13
±0.08
±0.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.27
±0.08
±0.00
±0.00
±5.09
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.52
±0.00
±0.00
±0.33
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±5.14
4.69
WZ
±0.00
±0.77
±0.00
±0.00
±0.13
±0.00
±0.00
±0.71
±0.06
±0.32
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.42
±0.13
±5.59
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.45
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±5.73
25.42
tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W
DY
±0.00
±0.26
±0.00
±0.00
±0.05
±0.00
±0.00
±0.12
±0.00
±0.43
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.08
±0.10
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±1.50
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±1.60
4.29
Z
±0.00
±1.86
±0.00
±0.00
±2.56
±0.00
±0.00
±1.96
±0.48
±0.49
±40.48
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±10.52
±4.22
±0.40
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±2.31
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±42.27
70.17
tt̄
±565.90
±363.53
±126.66
±0.00
±76.74
±0.00
±54.39
±0.00
±43.79
±41.44
±0.00
±0.00
±26.80
±0.00
±0.00
±7.73
±8.80
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.57
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±694.10
5659.02
F akes
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±126.07
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±38.58
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±5.41
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±131.95
1377.87
Table 13: Breakdown of the dominant systematic uncertainties on background estimates in CR1SF before the fit. Note
that the individual uncertainties can be correlated, and do not necessarily add up quadratically to the total background
uncertainty. The percentages show the size of the uncertainty relative to the total expected background.
±2.20
7448.16
Total background expectation
tZ
2.20
SF
CR1
Uncertainty of channel
14
±0.00
±0.00
±0.08
±0.00
±0.00
±0.03
±0.00
±0.06
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±2.18
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.10
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±76.35
±530.40
±391.01
±273.98
±125.28
±89.09
±60.01
±56.07
±49.86
±40.21
±37.78
±36.42
±33.95
±28.79
±18.63
±11.00
±10.45
±6.79
±5.70
±5.56
±5.37
±5.06
±3.62
±2.29
±2.18
±1.50
±0.78
±0.74
±0.52
±0.45
±0.35
±0.33
±0.21
±0.15
±0.10
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
Total background error
mu tt̄SF
α systtt̄Xsec
Jet energy scale
γ shape mcstat F akes CR obs BDTG bin 0
α tt̄ISRFSR
CellOut energy scale
α systW tXsec
Lumi
α ZGenerator
α tt̄GenPlusPS
α JVF
α PileUp
α W W Generator
γ shape mcstat tt̄ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t CR obs BDTG bin 0
α systZXsec
Jet energy resolution
CellOut energy resolution
α systTplusXsec
α F akesSyst
α W ZGenerator
α ZZGenerator
γ shape mcstat Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
α systtZXsec
γ shape mcstat DY CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
α systW W Xsec
γ shape mcstat W Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H CR obs BDTG bin 0
α systW ZXsec
γ shape mcstat ZZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
α systZZXsec
γ shape mcstat tZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
Wt
±0.00
±0.00
±17.89
±0.00
±0.00
±3.61
±56.07
±7.88
±0.00
±0.00
±5.17
±5.53
±0.00
±0.00
±11.00
±0.00
±2.16
±0.79
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±61.02
282.63
H
±0.00
±0.00
±0.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.10
±0.00
±0.11
±0.00
±0.00
±0.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.12
±0.04
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.35
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.40
4.11
WW
±0.00
±0.00
±0.86
±0.00
±0.00
±0.08
±0.00
±0.41
±0.00
±0.00
±0.15
±0.25
±28.79
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.61
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.78
±0.74
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±28.84
14.80
ZZ
±0.00
±0.00
±0.09
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.08
±0.00
±0.00
±0.06
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.17
±0.04
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±3.62
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.21
±0.15
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±3.63
2.96
±0.00
±0.00
±0.21
±0.00
±0.00
±0.09
±0.00
±0.13
±0.00
±0.00
±0.08
±0.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.27
±0.08
±0.00
±0.00
±5.06
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.52
±0.00
±0.00
±0.33
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±5.11
4.69
WZ
±0.00
±0.00
±0.76
±0.00
±0.00
±0.13
±0.00
±0.71
±0.00
±0.00
±0.06
±0.32
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.41
±0.13
±5.56
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.45
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±5.70
25.42
tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W
DY
±0.00
±0.00
±0.26
±0.00
±0.00
±0.05
±0.00
±0.12
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.42
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.08
±0.10
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±1.50
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±1.59
4.28
Z
±0.00
±0.00
±1.84
±0.00
±0.00
±2.55
±0.00
±1.96
±40.21
±0.00
±0.48
±0.49
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±10.45
±4.20
±0.40
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±2.29
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±42.00
70.17
tt̄
±530.40
±391.01
±251.94
±0.00
±89.09
±53.36
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±37.78
±30.38
±28.78
±0.00
±18.63
±0.00
±0.00
±5.37
±6.11
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±176.30
3957.13
F akes
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±125.28
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±38.40
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±5.37
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±131.13
1377.87
Table 14: Breakdown of the dominant systematic uncertainties on background estimates in CR1SF after the fit. Note
that the individual uncertainties can be correlated, and do not necessarily add up quadratically to the total background
uncertainty. The percentages show the size of the uncertainty relative to the total expected background.
±2.19
5746.26
Total background expectation
tZ
2.20
SF
CR1
Uncertainty of channel
15
±0.00
±0.08
±0.00
±0.00
±0.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.06
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.04
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±2.19
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.10
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±723.67
±566.11
±382.59
±127.89
±126.46
±83.68
±60.00
±56.17
±50.28
±49.70
±46.04
±39.17
±28.86
±26.80
±11.41
±11.03
±10.33
±7.90
±5.59
±5.41
±5.11
±3.65
±2.26
±2.19
±1.50
±0.79
±0.74
±0.57
±0.52
±0.45
±0.35
±0.33
±0.21
±0.15
±0.10
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
Total background error
α systtt̄Xsec
Jet energy scale
α tt̄ISRFSR
γ shape mcstat F akes CR obs BDTG bin 0
CellOut energy scale
α tt̄GenPlusPS
α systW tXsec
Lumi
α JVF
α PileUp
α ZGenerator
α W W Generator
γ shape mcstat tt̄ CR obs BDTG bin 0
Jet energy resolution
γ shape mcstat W t CR obs BDTG bin 0
α systZXsec
CellOut energy resolution
α systTplusXsec
α F akesSyst
α W ZGenerator
α ZZGenerator
γ shape mcstat Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
α systtZXsec
γ shape mcstat DY CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
α systW W Xsec
mu tt̄SF
γ shape mcstat W Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H CR obs BDTG bin 0
α systW ZXsec
γ shape mcstat ZZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
α systZZXsec
γ shape mcstat tZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
Wt
±0.00
±16.82
±0.00
±0.00
±3.75
±0.00
±56.17
±7.86
±5.03
±5.14
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±3.26
±11.03
±0.00
±1.65
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±60.83
280.85
H
±0.00
±0.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.10
±0.00
±0.00
±0.11
±0.03
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.13
±0.00
±0.00
±0.04
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.35
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.41
4.10
WW
±0.00
±0.90
±0.00
±0.00
±0.08
±0.00
±0.00
±0.41
±0.15
±0.26
±0.00
±28.86
±0.00
±0.58
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.79
±0.74
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±28.91
14.74
ZZ
±0.00
±0.09
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.08
±0.06
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.18
±0.00
±0.00
±0.04
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±3.65
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.21
±0.15
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±3.67
2.96
±0.00
±0.22
±0.00
±0.00
±0.09
±0.00
±0.00
±0.13
±0.08
±0.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.27
±0.00
±0.00
±0.08
±0.00
±0.00
±5.11
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.52
±0.00
±0.00
±0.33
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±5.17
4.68
WZ
±0.00
±0.73
±0.00
±0.00
±0.15
±0.00
±0.00
±0.71
±0.06
±0.30
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.40
±0.00
±0.00
±0.14
±5.59
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.45
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±5.73
25.42
tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W
DY
±0.00
±0.26
±0.00
±0.00
±0.05
±0.00
±0.00
±0.12
±0.00
±0.28
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.08
±0.00
±0.00
±0.10
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±1.50
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±1.56
4.27
Z
±0.00
±1.92
±0.00
±0.00
±2.73
±0.00
±0.00
±1.93
±0.45
±0.52
±39.17
±0.00
±0.00
±4.17
±0.00
±10.33
±0.52
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±2.26
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±40.98
68.86
tt̄
±566.11
±361.54
±127.89
±0.00
±76.68
±60.00
±0.00
±0.00
±43.83
±41.14
±0.00
±0.00
±26.80
±11.10
±0.00
±0.00
±9.04
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.57
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±693.95
5661.14
F akes
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±126.46
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±38.85
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±5.41
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±132.40
1387.64
Table 15: Breakdown of the dominant systematic uncertainties on background estimates in CR2SF before the fit. Note
that the individual uncertainties can be correlated, and do not necessarily add up quadratically to the total background
uncertainty. The percentages show the size of the uncertainty relative to the total expected background.
±2.19
7456.86
Total background expectation
tZ
2.20
SF
CR2
Uncertainty of channel
16
±0.00
±0.00
±0.08
±0.00
±0.00
±0.03
±0.00
±0.06
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.04
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±2.18
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.10
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±76.28
±529.68
±390.87
±271.27
±125.66
±90.25
±60.19
±55.73
±50.04
±41.61
±38.91
±36.20
±33.40
±28.77
±18.60
±10.96
±10.26
±8.01
±5.55
±5.37
±5.13
±5.08
±3.63
±2.25
±2.18
±1.50
±0.78
±0.73
±0.52
±0.45
±0.35
±0.33
±0.21
±0.15
±0.10
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
Total background error
mu tt̄SF
α systtt̄Xsec
Jet energy scale
γ shape mcstat F akes CR obs BDTG bin 0
α tt̄ISRFSR
CellOut energy scale
α systW tXsec
Lumi
α tt̄GenPlusPS
α ZGenerator
α JVF
α PileUp
α W W Generator
γ shape mcstat tt̄ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t CR obs BDTG bin 0
α systZXsec
Jet energy resolution
α systTplusXsec
α F akesSyst
CellOut energy resolution
α W ZGenerator
α ZZGenerator
γ shape mcstat Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
α systtZXsec
γ shape mcstat DY CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
α systW W Xsec
γ shape mcstat W Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H CR obs BDTG bin 0
α systW ZXsec
γ shape mcstat ZZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
α systZZXsec
γ shape mcstat tZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
Wt
±0.00
±0.00
±16.68
±0.00
±0.00
±3.73
±55.73
±7.83
±0.00
±0.00
±4.99
±5.11
±0.00
±0.00
±10.96
±0.00
±3.24
±0.00
±0.00
±1.64
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±60.36
280.84
H
±0.00
±0.00
±0.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.10
±0.00
±0.11
±0.00
±0.00
±0.03
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.13
±0.00
±0.00
±0.04
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.35
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.41
4.10
WW
±0.00
±0.00
±0.89
±0.00
±0.00
±0.08
±0.00
±0.41
±0.00
±0.00
±0.15
±0.26
±28.77
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.58
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.78
±0.73
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±28.82
14.71
ZZ
±0.00
±0.00
±0.09
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.08
±0.00
±0.00
±0.06
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.17
±0.00
±0.00
±0.04
±0.00
±3.63
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.21
±0.15
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±3.64
2.96
±0.00
±0.00
±0.21
±0.00
±0.00
±0.09
±0.00
±0.13
±0.00
±0.00
±0.08
±0.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.27
±0.00
±0.00
±0.08
±5.08
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.52
±0.00
±0.00
±0.33
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±5.13
4.68
WZ
±0.00
±0.00
±0.73
±0.00
±0.00
±0.15
±0.00
±0.71
±0.00
±0.00
±0.06
±0.30
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.39
±5.55
±0.00
±0.14
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.45
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±5.69
25.42
tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W
DY
±0.00
±0.00
±0.26
±0.00
±0.00
±0.05
±0.00
±0.12
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.27
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.08
±0.00
±0.00
±0.10
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±1.50
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±1.56
4.26
Z
±0.00
±0.00
±1.90
±0.00
±0.00
±2.71
±0.00
±1.92
±0.00
±38.91
±0.44
±0.52
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±10.26
±4.14
±0.00
±0.00
±0.51
±0.00
±0.00
±2.25
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±40.72
68.86
tt̄
±529.68
±390.87
±250.40
±0.00
±90.25
±53.23
±0.00
±0.00
±41.61
±0.00
±30.37
±28.53
±0.00
±18.60
±0.00
±0.00
±7.70
±0.00
±0.00
±6.27
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±176.00
3951.70
F akes
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±125.66
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±38.67
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±5.37
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±131.57
1387.64
Table 16: Breakdown of the dominant systematic uncertainties on background estimates in CR2SF after the fit. Note
that the individual uncertainties can be correlated, and do not necessarily add up quadratically to the total background
uncertainty. The percentages show the size of the uncertainty relative to the total expected background.
±2.18
5747.37
Total background expectation
tZ
2.20
SF
CR2
Uncertainty of channel
17
±0.00
±0.08
±0.00
±0.00
±0.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.06
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.03
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±2.19
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.11
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±723.55
±565.95
±382.98
±127.59
±126.07
±83.29
±59.58
±56.35
±50.04
±49.83
±46.71
±39.39
±28.83
±26.79
±11.03
±10.36
±7.62
±7.16
±5.58
±5.40
±4.97
±3.63
±2.27
±2.19
±1.50
±0.79
±0.74
±0.57
±0.52
±0.45
±0.35
±0.33
±0.21
±0.15
±0.11
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
Total background error
α systtt̄Xsec
Jet energy scale
α tt̄ISRFSR
γ shape mcstat F akes CR obs BDTG bin 0
CellOut energy scale
α tt̄GenPlusPS
α systW tXsec
Lumi
α JVF
α PileUp
α ZGenerator
α W W Generator
γ shape mcstat tt̄ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t CR obs BDTG bin 0
α systZXsec
CellOut energy resolution
Jet energy resolution
α systTplusXsec
α F akesSyst
α W ZGenerator
α ZZGenerator
γ shape mcstat Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
α systtZXsec
γ shape mcstat DY CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
α systW W Xsec
mu tt̄SF
γ shape mcstat W Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H CR obs BDTG bin 0
α systW ZXsec
γ shape mcstat ZZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
α systZZXsec
γ shape mcstat tZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
Wt
±0.00
±17.29
±0.00
±0.00
±3.68
±0.00
±56.35
±7.89
±5.21
±5.12
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±11.03
±0.00
±0.80
±3.65
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±61.15
281.74
H
±0.00
±0.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.10
±0.00
±0.00
±0.11
±0.03
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.04
±0.13
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.35
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.41
4.10
WW
±0.00
±0.87
±0.00
±0.00
±0.08
±0.00
±0.00
±0.41
±0.15
±0.25
±0.00
±28.83
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.60
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.79
±0.74
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±28.87
14.76
ZZ
±0.00
±0.09
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.08
±0.06
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.04
±0.18
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±3.63
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.21
±0.15
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±3.65
2.96
±0.00
±0.22
±0.00
±0.00
±0.09
±0.00
±0.00
±0.13
±0.08
±0.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.08
±0.27
±0.00
±0.00
±4.97
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.52
±0.00
±0.00
±0.33
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±5.03
4.69
WZ
±0.00
±0.74
±0.00
±0.00
±0.13
±0.00
±0.00
±0.71
±0.06
±0.33
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.14
±0.45
±5.58
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.45
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±5.72
25.36
tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W
DY
±0.00
±0.26
±0.00
±0.00
±0.05
±0.00
±0.00
±0.12
±0.00
±0.43
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.10
±0.08
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±1.50
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±1.60
4.29
Z
±0.00
±2.04
±0.00
±0.00
±2.68
±0.00
±0.00
±1.93
±0.45
±0.67
±39.39
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±10.36
±0.65
±4.43
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±2.27
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±41.23
69.08
tt̄
±565.95
±361.35
±127.59
±0.00
±76.42
±59.58
±0.00
±0.00
±43.78
±42.13
±0.00
±0.00
±26.79
±0.00
±0.00
±7.77
±6.94
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.57
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±693.59
5659.54
F akes
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±126.07
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±38.58
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±5.40
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±131.95
1377.83
Table 17: Breakdown of the dominant systematic uncertainties on background estimates in CR3SF before the fit. Note
that the individual uncertainties can be correlated, and do not necessarily add up quadratically to the total background
uncertainty. The percentages show the size of the uncertainty relative to the total expected background.
±2.20
7446.55
Total background expectation
tZ
2.20
SF
CR3
Uncertainty of channel
18
±0.00
±0.00
±0.08
±0.00
±0.00
±0.03
±0.00
±0.06
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.03
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±2.18
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.10
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±76.24
±532.75
±393.05
±272.51
±125.28
±90.31
±59.95
±55.93
±49.80
±41.40
±39.13
±36.44
±33.83
±28.68
±18.63
±10.97
±10.29
±5.54
±5.37
±5.25
±5.04
±4.94
±3.61
±2.25
±2.18
±1.50
±0.78
±0.73
±0.52
±0.45
±0.35
±0.33
±0.21
±0.15
±0.10
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
Total background error
mu tt̄SF
α systtt̄Xsec
Jet energy scale
γ shape mcstat F akes CR obs BDTG bin 0
α tt̄ISRFSR
CellOut energy scale
α systW tXsec
Lumi
α tt̄GenPlusPS
α ZGenerator
α JVF
α PileUp
α W W Generator
γ shape mcstat tt̄ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t CR obs BDTG bin 0
α systZXsec
α systTplusXsec
α F akesSyst
CellOut energy resolution
Jet energy resolution
α W ZGenerator
α ZZGenerator
γ shape mcstat Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
α systtZXsec
γ shape mcstat DY CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
α systW W Xsec
γ shape mcstat W Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H CR obs BDTG bin 0
α systW ZXsec
γ shape mcstat ZZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
α systZZXsec
γ shape mcstat tZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
Wt
±0.00
±0.00
±17.17
±0.00
±0.00
±3.66
±55.93
±7.85
±0.00
±0.00
±5.17
±5.08
±0.00
±0.00
±10.97
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.79
±3.62
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±60.70
281.74
H
±0.00
±0.00
±0.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.10
±0.00
±0.11
±0.00
±0.00
±0.03
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.04
±0.13
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.35
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.41
4.10
WW
±0.00
±0.00
±0.86
±0.00
±0.00
±0.08
±0.00
±0.41
±0.00
±0.00
±0.15
±0.25
±28.68
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.60
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.78
±0.73
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±28.72
14.72
ZZ
±0.00
±0.00
±0.09
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.08
±0.00
±0.00
±0.06
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.04
±0.17
±0.00
±3.61
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.21
±0.15
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±3.63
2.96
±0.00
±0.00
±0.21
±0.00
±0.00
±0.09
±0.00
±0.13
±0.00
±0.00
±0.08
±0.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.08
±0.27
±4.94
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.52
±0.00
±0.00
±0.33
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±4.99
4.69
WZ
±0.00
±0.00
±0.74
±0.00
±0.00
±0.13
±0.00
±0.71
±0.00
±0.00
±0.06
±0.32
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±5.54
±0.00
±0.14
±0.44
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.45
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±5.68
25.36
tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W
DY
±0.00
±0.00
±0.26
±0.00
±0.00
±0.05
±0.00
±0.12
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.42
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.10
±0.08
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±1.50
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±1.59
4.28
Z
±0.00
±0.00
±2.02
±0.00
±0.00
±2.66
±0.00
±1.93
±0.00
±39.13
±0.44
±0.66
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±10.29
±0.00
±0.00
±0.64
±4.40
±0.00
±0.00
±2.25
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±40.96
69.08
tt̄
±532.75
±393.05
±251.03
±0.00
±90.31
±53.13
±0.00
±0.00
±41.40
±0.00
±30.43
±29.27
±0.00
±18.63
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±5.40
±4.82
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±175.79
3957.84
F akes
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±125.28
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±38.40
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±5.37
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±131.12
1377.82
Table 18: Breakdown of the dominant systematic uncertainties on background estimates in CR3SF after the fit. Note
that the individual uncertainties can be correlated, and do not necessarily add up quadratically to the total background
uncertainty. The percentages show the size of the uncertainty relative to the total expected background.
±2.19
5744.80
Total background expectation
tZ
2.20
SF
CR3
Uncertainty of channel
19
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.04
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.36
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.04
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±414.05
±293.88
±130.63
±117.55
±113.49
±111.19
±79.30
±64.18
±60.58
±58.20
±52.85
±48.59
±43.41
±39.37
±35.40
±21.49
±19.36
±18.41
±15.93
±10.43
±7.61
±4.96
±2.55
±2.19
±2.04
±1.47
±1.17
±0.94
±0.39
±0.36
±0.29
±0.28
±0.21
±0.16
±0.04
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
Total background error
α systtt̄Xsec
α tt̄Generator
α tt̄PartonShower
CellOut energy scale
α trigger
α ZGenerator
α JVF
α PileUp
α W W Generator
α tt̄ISRFSR
α systW tXsec
α systZXsec
CellOut energy resolution
Jet energy scale
Lumi
γ shape mcstat tt̄ CR obs BDTG bin 0
Jet energy resolution
γ shape mcstat Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t CR obs BDTG bin 0
α systW W Xsec
γ shape mcstat DY CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
α W ZGenerator
α systTplusXsec
α ZZGenerator
α systW ZXsec
γ shape mcstat W Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H CR obs BDTG bin 0
α systtZXsec
mu tt̄SF
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
α systZZXsec
γ shape mcstat tZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
α F akesSyst
γ shape mcstat tt̄ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
Wt
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±4.02
±7.29
±0.00
±7.68
±0.16
±0.00
±0.00
±48.59
±0.00
±7.45
±4.47
±6.80
±0.00
±5.55
±0.00
±10.43
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±52.45
242.97
H
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.39
±0.12
±0.00
±0.04
±0.15
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.26
±0.18
±0.11
±0.00
±0.10
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.39
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.68
4.08
WW
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±3.29
±4.57
±0.00
±7.30
±0.71
±58.20
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.40
±6.37
±4.26
±0.00
±13.85
±0.00
±0.00
±7.61
±0.00
±2.55
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±61.55
152.18
ZZ
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.07
±0.10
±0.00
±0.20
±0.06
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.04
±0.10
±0.09
±0.00
±0.30
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±1.47
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.21
±0.16
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±1.55
3.23
WZ
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.59
±0.50
±0.00
±0.34
±0.52
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.21
±0.04
±0.47
±0.00
±1.13
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±2.19
±0.00
±0.00
±1.17
±0.94
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±3.09
16.74
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.03
±0.28
±0.00
±0.01
±0.05
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.03
±0.10
±0.26
±0.00
±0.43
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±2.04
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.28
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±2.14
9.27
tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W
DY
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±5.95
±1.48
±0.00
±1.13
±8.60
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±5.59
±6.96
±1.38
±0.00
±9.68
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±4.96
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±17.69
49.42
Z
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±52.23
±8.68
±79.30
±22.98
±49.06
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±43.41
±27.46
±16.17
±8.10
±0.00
±23.35
±15.93
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±125.66
289.37
tt̄
±293.88
±130.63
±117.55
±46.96
±88.16
±0.00
±24.51
±3.11
±0.00
±52.85
±0.00
±0.00
±0.99
±23.40
±0.00
±19.36
±5.86
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.29
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±362.75
2938.79
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
F akes
Table 19: Breakdown of the dominant systematic uncertainties on background estimates in CR4SF before the fit. Note
that the individual uncertainties can be correlated, and do not necessarily add up quadratically to the total background
uncertainty. The percentages show the size of the uncertainty relative to the total expected background.
±0.36
3706.41
Total background expectation
tZ
0.36
SF
CR4
Uncertainty of channel
20
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.04
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.36
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.04
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±64.70
±456.46
±323.58
±144.37
±129.77
±120.18
±118.07
±78.73
±66.46
±60.50
±57.84
±55.69
±48.29
±43.05
±39.00
±37.76
±21.40
±21.40
±18.92
±15.82
±10.39
±7.58
±4.95
±2.54
±2.17
±2.03
±1.46
±1.16
±0.93
±0.39
±0.36
±0.27
±0.21
±0.16
±0.04
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
Total background error
mu tt̄SF
α systtt̄Xsec
α tt̄Generator
α tt̄PartonShower
α trigger
CellOut energy scale
α ZGenerator
α JVF
α PileUp
α W W Generator
α tt̄ISRFSR
α systW tXsec
α systZXsec
CellOut energy resolution
Jet energy scale
Lumi
γ shape mcstat tt̄ CR obs BDTG bin 0
Jet energy resolution
γ shape mcstat Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t CR obs BDTG bin 0
α systW W Xsec
γ shape mcstat DY CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
α W ZGenerator
α systTplusXsec
α ZZGenerator
α systW ZXsec
γ shape mcstat W Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H CR obs BDTG bin 0
α systtZXsec
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
α systZZXsec
γ shape mcstat tZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
α F akesSyst
γ shape mcstat tt̄ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
Wt
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±7.24
±3.99
±0.00
±7.64
±0.16
±0.00
±0.00
±48.29
±0.00
±7.41
±4.44
±6.78
±0.00
±5.52
±0.00
±10.39
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±52.13
243.24
H
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.12
±0.38
±0.00
±0.04
±0.15
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.26
±0.17
±0.11
±0.00
±0.10
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.39
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.68
4.09
WW
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±4.54
±3.27
±0.00
±7.25
±0.71
±57.84
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.40
±6.32
±4.25
±0.00
±13.76
±0.00
±0.00
±7.58
±0.00
±2.54
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±61.16
152.57
ZZ
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.10
±0.07
±0.00
±0.20
±0.06
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.04
±0.09
±0.09
±0.00
±0.29
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±1.46
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.21
±0.16
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±1.54
3.23
WZ
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.50
±0.59
±0.00
±0.34
±0.52
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.20
±0.04
±0.47
±0.00
±1.12
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±2.17
±0.00
±0.00
±1.16
±0.93
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±3.07
16.75
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.28
±0.03
±0.00
±0.01
±0.05
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.03
±0.10
±0.26
±0.00
±0.43
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±2.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.27
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±2.13
9.27
tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W
DY
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±1.47
±5.92
±0.00
±1.12
±8.55
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±5.56
±6.92
±1.38
±0.00
±9.62
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±4.95
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±17.59
49.51
Z
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±8.60
±51.89
±78.73
±22.82
±48.71
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±43.05
±27.27
±16.05
±8.05
±0.00
±23.18
±15.82
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±124.78
288.88
tt̄
±456.46
±323.58
±144.37
±129.77
±97.31
±51.97
±0.00
±27.06
±3.43
±0.00
±55.69
±0.00
±0.00
±1.09
±25.85
±0.00
±21.40
±6.48
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±176.21
3266.96
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
F akes
Table 20: Breakdown of the dominant systematic uncertainties on background estimates in CR4SF after the fit. Note
that the individual uncertainties can be correlated, and do not necessarily add up quadratically to the total background
uncertainty. The percentages show the size of the uncertainty relative to the total expected background.
±0.36
4034.85
Total background expectation
tZ
0.36
SF
CR4
Uncertainty of channel
21
±0.00
±0.07
±0.00
±0.00
±0.05
±0.05
±0.00
±0.00
±0.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.05
±0.01
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±1.76
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.09
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±1212.90
±661.50
±485.16
±459.16
±440.63
±238.55
±198.81
±191.24
±178.57
±156.33
±116.03
±80.64
±71.64
±67.32
±54.41
±39.36
±23.27
±16.05
±15.20
±12.38
±11.49
±8.11
±3.79
±3.64
±2.75
±2.26
±1.76
±1.42
±1.21
±0.92
±0.55
±0.25
±0.23
±0.09
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
α systtt̄Xsec
Jet energy scale
α tt̄PartonShower
α tt̄Generator
α trigger
CellOut energy scale
α ZGenerator
α systZXsec
Jet energy resolution
α JVF
α systW tXsec
α W W Generator
Lumi
CellOut energy resolution
α PileUp
γ shape mcstat tt̄ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t CR obs BDTG bin 0
α systW W Xsec
γ shape mcstat DY CR obs BDTG bin 0
α tt̄ISRFSR
α systTplusXsec
α ZZGenerator
γ shape mcstat W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
α systW ZXsec
α W ZGenerator
α systtZXsec
γ shape mcstat W Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
mu tt̄SF
γ shape mcstat H CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
α systZZXsec
γ shape mcstat tZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
α F akesSyst
γ shape mcstat tt̄ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
Wt
±0.00
±30.76
±0.00
±0.00
±17.40
±7.10
±0.00
±0.00
±2.82
±10.28
±116.03
±0.00
±16.24
±6.54
±0.41
±0.00
±0.00
±16.05
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±124.26
580.16
H
±0.00
±1.54
±0.00
±0.00
±0.73
±0.48
±0.00
±0.00
±0.35
±0.14
±0.00
±0.00
±0.68
±0.23
±0.08
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.92
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±2.15
24.26
WW
±0.00
±18.95
±0.00
±0.00
±9.12
±2.02
±0.00
±0.00
±8.33
±8.36
±0.00
±80.64
±8.51
±0.00
±4.19
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±15.20
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±3.64
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±86.15
303.91
ZZ
±0.00
±0.30
±0.00
±0.00
±0.14
±0.18
±0.00
±0.00
±0.14
±0.21
±0.00
±0.00
±0.13
±0.09
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±3.79
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.25
±0.23
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±3.84
4.68
WZ
±0.00
±2.09
±0.00
±0.00
±1.18
±0.06
±0.00
±0.00
±1.07
±0.65
±0.00
±0.00
±1.10
±0.27
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±2.75
±2.26
±0.00
±1.42
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±4.83
39.26
±0.00
±0.93
±0.00
±0.00
±1.11
±0.04
±0.00
±0.00
±0.47
±0.07
±0.00
±0.00
±1.03
±0.15
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±8.11
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.55
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±8.33
36.84
tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W
DY
±0.00
±12.25
±0.00
±0.00
±8.79
±42.55
±0.00
±0.00
±36.42
±3.13
±0.00
±0.00
±8.20
±12.79
±36.07
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±12.38
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±71.13
292.89
Z
±0.00
±75.89
±0.00
±0.00
±38.25
±114.31
±198.81
±191.24
±114.03
±36.64
±0.00
±0.00
±35.70
±28.91
±113.70
±0.00
±23.27
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±355.40
1274.94
tt̄
±1212.90
±518.72
±485.16
±459.16
±363.87
±71.74
±0.00
±0.00
±34.00
±96.84
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±18.81
±91.48
±39.36
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±11.49
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±1.21
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±1531.30
12128.96
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
F akes
Table 21: Breakdown of the dominant systematic uncertainties on background estimates in CR5SF before the fit. Note
that the individual uncertainties can be correlated, and do not necessarily add up quadratically to the total background
uncertainty. The percentages show the size of the uncertainty relative to the total expected background.
±1.76
±1665.52
Total background error
tZ
1.77
14687.67
SF
CR5
Total background expectation
Uncertainty of channel
22
±0.00
±0.00
±0.07
±0.00
±0.00
±0.05
±0.05
±0.00
±0.00
±0.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.05
±0.01
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±1.75
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.09
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±1713.69
±1227.58
±668.20
±491.65
±465.33
±444.97
±238.91
±197.51
±189.95
±178.06
±157.38
±115.26
±80.11
±71.33
±67.25
±52.24
±39.94
±26.16
±23.15
±15.97
±15.10
±12.31
±8.05
±3.77
±3.62
±2.73
±2.24
±1.75
±1.42
±0.91
±0.55
±0.24
±0.23
±0.09
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
mu tt̄SF
α systtt̄Xsec
Jet energy scale
α tt̄PartonShower
α tt̄Generator
α trigger
CellOut energy scale
α ZGenerator
α systZXsec
Jet energy resolution
α JVF
α systW tXsec
α W W Generator
Lumi
CellOut energy resolution
α PileUp
γ shape mcstat tt̄ CR obs BDTG bin 0
α tt̄ISRFSR
γ shape mcstat Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t CR obs BDTG bin 0
α systW W Xsec
γ shape mcstat DY CR obs BDTG bin 0
α systTplusXsec
α ZZGenerator
γ shape mcstat W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
α systW ZXsec
α W ZGenerator
α systtZXsec
γ shape mcstat W Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
α systZZXsec
γ shape mcstat tZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
α F akesSyst
γ shape mcstat tt̄ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
Wt
±0.00
±0.00
±30.59
±0.00
±0.00
±17.29
±7.07
±0.00
±0.00
±2.80
±10.23
±115.26
±0.00
±16.17
±6.50
±0.40
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±15.97
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±123.44
580.31
H
±0.00
±0.00
±1.53
±0.00
±0.00
±0.72
±0.48
±0.00
±0.00
±0.34
±0.14
±0.00
±0.00
±0.68
±0.23
±0.08
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.91
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±2.14
24.27
WW
±0.00
±0.00
±18.84
±0.00
±0.00
±9.06
±2.01
±0.00
±0.00
±8.27
±8.32
±0.00
±80.11
±8.47
±0.00
±4.16
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±15.10
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±3.62
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±85.59
304.03
ZZ
±0.00
±0.00
±0.29
±0.00
±0.00
±0.14
±0.18
±0.00
±0.00
±0.14
±0.21
±0.00
±0.00
±0.13
±0.09
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±3.77
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.24
±0.23
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±3.81
4.68
WZ
±0.00
±0.00
±2.08
±0.00
±0.00
±1.17
±0.06
±0.00
±0.00
±1.07
±0.65
±0.00
±0.00
±1.09
±0.27
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±2.73
±2.24
±0.00
±1.42
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±4.80
39.27
±0.00
±0.00
±0.92
±0.00
±0.00
±1.10
±0.04
±0.00
±0.00
±0.46
±0.07
±0.00
±0.00
±1.03
±0.15
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±8.05
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.55
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±8.28
36.85
tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W
DY
±0.00
±0.00
±12.20
±0.00
±0.00
±8.73
±42.35
±0.00
±0.00
±36.18
±3.12
±0.00
±0.00
±8.17
±12.70
±35.83
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±12.31
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±70.71
292.99
Z
±0.00
±0.00
±75.50
±0.00
±0.00
±38.00
±113.79
±197.51
±189.95
±113.27
±36.43
±0.00
±0.00
±35.54
±28.72
±112.96
±0.00
±0.00
±23.15
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±352.95
1275.39
tt̄
±1713.69
±1227.58
±526.17
±491.65
±465.33
±368.71
±72.85
±0.00
±0.00
±34.45
±98.23
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±19.06
±92.70
±39.94
±26.16
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±474.61
12376.40
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
F akes
Table 22: Breakdown of the dominant systematic uncertainties on background estimates in CR5SF after the fit. Note
that the individual uncertainties can be correlated, and do not necessarily add up quadratically to the total background
uncertainty. The percentages show the size of the uncertainty relative to the total expected background.
±1.76
±129.93
Total background error
tZ
1.77
14935.96
SF
CR5
Total background expectation
Uncertainty of channel
23
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±25.51
±19.81
±11.48
±6.55
±5.18
±4.64
±3.78
±2.86
±1.76
±1.61
±1.34
±1.23
±1.20
±0.92
±0.75
±0.70
±0.68
±0.24
±0.18
±0.17
±0.09
±0.08
±0.07
±0.06
±0.03
±0.02
±0.01
±0.01
±0.01
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
Total background error
γ shape mcstat F akes V R obs BDTG bin 0
Jet energy scale
α systtt̄Xsec
α tt̄GenPlusPS
α ZGenerator
α tt̄ISRFSR
γ shape mcstat tt̄ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t V R obs BDTG bin 0
CellOut energy scale
Lumi
α PileUp
α systW tXsec
CellOut energy resolution
γ shape mcstat Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
α systZXsec
α JVF
α W W Generator
α systTplusXsec
Jet energy resolution
α F akesSyst
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
α W ZGenerator
γ shape mcstat H V R obs BDTG bin 0
α systW ZXsec
α systtZXsec
α systW W Xsec
mu tt̄DF
γ shape mcstat tZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
α ZZGenerator
α systZZXsec
γ shape mcstat DY V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
Wt
±0.00
±0.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±1.76
±0.08
±0.17
±0.30
±1.20
±0.10
±0.00
±0.00
±0.08
±0.00
±0.00
±1.25
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±2.50
6.02
H
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
0.02
±0.00
±0.06
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.24
±0.00
±0.04
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.06
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.26
0.14
WW
ZZ
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.07
±0.00
±0.00
±0.07
±0.00
±0.03
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.11
0.12
WZ
±0.00
±0.09
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.04
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.18
±0.10
±0.00
±0.08
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.24
0.81
tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W
DY
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
Z
±0.00
±0.41
±0.00
±0.00
±4.64
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.13
±0.41
±0.00
±0.28
±0.75
±0.70
±0.09
±0.00
±0.00
±0.22
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±4.80
4.64
tt̄
±0.00
±10.92
±6.55
±5.18
±0.00
±3.78
±2.86
±0.00
±1.47
±0.00
±0.52
±0.00
±0.56
±0.00
±0.00
±0.51
±0.00
±0.00
±1.66
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±14.74
65.53
±19.81
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±1.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.09
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±19.83
36.08
F akes
Table 23: Breakdown of the dominant systematic uncertainties on background estimates in V R1DF before the fit. Note
that the individual uncertainties can be correlated, and do not necessarily add up quadratically to the total background
uncertainty. The percentages show the size of the uncertainty relative to the total expected background.
±0.01
113.37
Total background expectation
tZ
0.01
DF
V R1
Uncertainty of channel
24
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±19.81
±8.28
±6.36
±4.62
±4.60
±3.67
±2.45
±2.04
±1.76
±1.33
±1.19
±1.18
±1.07
±0.76
±0.75
±0.69
±0.53
±0.30
±0.24
±0.18
±0.09
±0.08
±0.07
±0.06
±0.03
±0.02
±0.01
±0.01
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
γ shape mcstat F akes V R obs BDTG bin 0
Jet energy scale
mu tt̄DF
α systtt̄Xsec
α ZGenerator
α tt̄GenPlusPS
α tt̄ISRFSR
γ shape mcstat tt̄ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t V R obs BDTG bin 0
Lumi
α systW tXsec
CellOut energy scale
α PileUp
CellOut energy resolution
γ shape mcstat Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
α systZXsec
α JVF
Jet energy resolution
α W W Generator
α systTplusXsec
α F akesSyst
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
α W ZGenerator
γ shape mcstat H V R obs BDTG bin 0
α systW ZXsec
α systtZXsec
α systW W Xsec
γ shape mcstat tZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
α ZZGenerator
α systZZXsec
γ shape mcstat DY V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
Wt
±0.00
±0.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±1.76
±0.17
±1.19
±0.08
±0.29
±0.10
±0.00
±0.00
±0.08
±1.25
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±2.49
6.02
H
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
0.02
±0.00
±0.06
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.04
±0.24
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.06
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.26
0.14
WW
ZZ
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.07
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.07
±0.00
±0.03
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.11
0.12
WZ
±0.00
±0.09
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.04
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.10
±0.00
±0.18
±0.00
±0.08
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.24
0.81
tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W
DY
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
Z
±0.00
±0.41
±0.00
±0.00
±4.60
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.13
±0.00
±0.02
±0.41
±0.27
±0.75
±0.69
±0.08
±0.22
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±4.77
4.63
tt̄
±0.00
±7.73
±6.36
±4.62
±0.00
±3.67
±2.45
±2.04
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±1.04
±0.37
±0.40
±0.00
±0.00
±0.36
±1.18
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±6.22
46.79
±19.81
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±1.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.09
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±19.83
36.08
F akes
Table 24: Breakdown of the dominant systematic uncertainties on background estimates in V R1DF after the fit. Note
that the individual uncertainties can be correlated, and do not necessarily add up quadratically to the total background
uncertainty. The percentages show the size of the uncertainty relative to the total expected background.
±0.01
±21.41
Total background error
tZ
0.01
94.63
DF
V R1
Total background expectation
Uncertainty of channel
25
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±23.69
±17.15
±11.49
±7.18
±5.58
±4.55
±3.07
±2.01
±1.97
±1.89
±1.62
±1.59
±1.24
±1.08
±1.06
±0.77
±0.73
±0.68
±0.36
±0.18
±0.08
±0.08
±0.08
±0.07
±0.03
±0.02
±0.01
±0.01
±0.01
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
Total background error
γ shape mcstat F akes V R obs BDTG bin 0
Jet energy scale
α systtt̄Xsec
α tt̄GenPlusPS
α ZGenerator
γ shape mcstat tt̄ V R obs BDTG bin 0
Jet energy resolution
CellOut energy scale
α PileUp
CellOut energy resolution
γ shape mcstat W t V R obs BDTG bin 0
α tt̄ISRFSR
α systW tXsec
Lumi
α JVF
γ shape mcstat Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
α systZXsec
α W W Generator
α systTplusXsec
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
α F akesSyst
γ shape mcstat W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
α W ZGenerator
γ shape mcstat H V R obs BDTG bin 0
α systW ZXsec
α systW W Xsec
α systtZXsec
mu tt̄DF
γ shape mcstat tZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
α ZZGenerator
α systZZXsec
γ shape mcstat DY V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
Wt
±0.00
±0.50
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.59
±0.35
±0.60
±0.14
±1.59
±0.00
±1.08
±0.15
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±2.19
5.41
H
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.03
0.03
±0.00
±0.04
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.02
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.36
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.08
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.37
0.19
WW
ZZ
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.07
±0.03
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.08
0.13
WZ
±0.00
±0.06
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.11
±0.03
±0.02
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.18
±0.08
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.24
0.82
tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W
DY
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
Z
±0.00
±0.87
±0.00
±0.00
±4.55
±0.00
±0.47
±0.14
±0.30
±0.36
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.13
±0.03
±0.73
±0.68
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±4.78
4.55
tt̄
±0.00
±11.02
±7.18
±5.58
±0.00
±3.07
±2.01
±2.13
±0.96
±1.39
±0.00
±1.24
±0.00
±0.00
±0.74
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±15.06
71.76
±17.15
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.75
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.08
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±17.17
26.82
F akes
Table 25: Breakdown of the dominant systematic uncertainties on background estimates in V R2DF before the fit. Note
that the individual uncertainties can be correlated, and do not necessarily add up quadratically to the total background
uncertainty. The percentages show the size of the uncertainty relative to the total expected background.
±0.01
109.72
Total background expectation
tZ
0.01
DF
V R2
Uncertainty of channel
26
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±17.15
±8.26
±6.96
±5.06
±4.52
±3.97
±2.20
±1.60
±1.59
±1.43
±1.36
±1.22
±1.07
±1.06
±0.73
±0.68
±0.56
±0.55
±0.36
±0.18
±0.08
±0.08
±0.08
±0.07
±0.03
±0.02
±0.01
±0.01
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
γ shape mcstat F akes V R obs BDTG bin 0
Jet energy scale
mu tt̄DF
α systtt̄Xsec
α ZGenerator
α tt̄GenPlusPS
γ shape mcstat tt̄ V R obs BDTG bin 0
α PileUp
γ shape mcstat W t V R obs BDTG bin 0
Jet energy resolution
CellOut energy scale
CellOut energy resolution
α systW tXsec
Lumi
γ shape mcstat Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
α systZXsec
α JVF
α tt̄ISRFSR
α W W Generator
α systTplusXsec
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
α F akesSyst
γ shape mcstat W Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
α W ZGenerator
γ shape mcstat H V R obs BDTG bin 0
α systW W Xsec
α systW ZXsec
α systtZXsec
γ shape mcstat tZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
α ZZGenerator
α systZZXsec
γ shape mcstat DY V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
Wt
±0.00
±0.49
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.60
±1.59
±0.59
±0.35
±0.14
±1.07
±0.15
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±2.19
5.41
H
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.03
0.03
±0.00
±0.04
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.02
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.36
±0.00
±0.00
±0.08
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.37
0.19
WW
ZZ
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.07
±0.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.08
0.13
WZ
±0.00
±0.06
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.11
±0.03
±0.01
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.18
±0.08
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.24
0.82
tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W
DY
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
Z
±0.00
±0.86
±0.00
±0.00
±4.52
±0.00
±0.00
±0.30
±0.00
±0.46
±0.14
±0.36
±0.00
±0.13
±0.73
±0.68
±0.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±4.75
4.54
tt̄
±0.00
±7.80
±6.96
±5.06
±0.00
±3.97
±2.20
±0.69
±0.00
±1.43
±1.52
±0.99
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.53
±0.55
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±6.42
51.39
±17.15
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.75
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.08
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±17.17
26.82
F akes
Table 26: Breakdown of the dominant systematic uncertainties on background estimates in V R2DF after the fit. Note
that the individual uncertainties can be correlated, and do not necessarily add up quadratically to the total background
uncertainty. The percentages show the size of the uncertainty relative to the total expected background.
±0.01
±19.00
Total background error
tZ
0.01
89.34
DF
V R2
Total background expectation
Uncertainty of channel
27
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±9.29
±5.93
±4.05
±3.27
±2.63
±2.24
±2.00
±1.22
±1.08
±0.81
±0.74
±0.64
±0.52
±0.44
±0.34
±0.27
±0.11
±0.09
±0.08
±0.07
±0.06
±0.03
±0.02
±0.01
±0.01
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
γ shape mcstat F akes V R obs BDTG bin 0
Jet energy scale
α tt̄ISRFSR
α systtt̄Xsec
α tt̄GenPlusPS
α ZGenerator
γ shape mcstat tt̄ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t V R obs BDTG bin 0
CellOut energy scale
α systW tXsec
Jet energy resolution
α PileUp
γ shape mcstat Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
Lumi
α systZXsec
α JVF
CellOut energy resolution
α systTplusXsec
α W W Generator
γ shape mcstat W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
α F akesSyst
γ shape mcstat H V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
α W ZGenerator
α systW W Xsec
α systtZXsec
mu tt̄DF
γ shape mcstat tZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
α systW ZXsec
α systZZXsec
γ shape mcstat ZZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY V R obs BDTG bin 0
α ZZGenerator
γ shape mcstat tt̄ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
Wt
±0.00
±0.94
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±1.22
±0.10
±0.81
±0.19
±0.07
±0.00
±0.11
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±1.76
4.07
H
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.03
0.03
±0.00
±0.04
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.01
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.08
±0.07
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.12
0.14
WW
ZZ
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
0.01
WZ
±0.00
±0.05
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.04
±0.00
±0.05
±0.02
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.05
±0.09
±0.00
±0.00
±0.06
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.15
0.42
tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W
DY
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
Z
±0.00
±0.38
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±2.24
±0.00
±0.00
±0.04
±0.00
±0.12
±0.25
±0.52
±0.06
±0.34
±0.00
±0.11
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±2.38
2.24
tt̄
±0.00
±4.51
±4.05
±3.27
±2.63
±0.00
±2.00
±0.00
±0.89
±0.00
±0.60
±0.29
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.27
±0.06
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±7.72
32.72
±9.29
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.24
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±9.29
8.68
F akes
Table 27: Breakdown of the dominant systematic uncertainties on background estimates in V R3DF before the fit. Note
that the individual uncertainties can be correlated, and do not necessarily add up quadratically to the total background
uncertainty. The percentages show the size of the uncertainty relative to the total expected background.
±0.00
±13.02
Total background error
tZ
0.00
48.32
DF
V R3
Total background expectation
Uncertainty of channel
28
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±9.29
±4.59
±3.17
±2.70
±2.30
±2.23
±1.87
±1.43
±1.22
±0.82
±0.81
±0.57
±0.55
±0.52
±0.44
±0.33
±0.19
±0.12
±0.09
±0.08
±0.07
±0.06
±0.03
±0.02
±0.01
±0.01
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
γ shape mcstat F akes V R obs BDTG bin 0
Jet energy scale
mu tt̄DF
α tt̄ISRFSR
α systtt̄Xsec
α ZGenerator
α tt̄GenPlusPS
γ shape mcstat tt̄ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t V R obs BDTG bin 0
CellOut energy scale
α systW tXsec
Jet energy resolution
α PileUp
γ shape mcstat Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
Lumi
α systZXsec
α JVF
CellOut energy resolution
α systTplusXsec
α W W Generator
γ shape mcstat W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
α F akesSyst
γ shape mcstat H V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
α W ZGenerator
α systW W Xsec
α systtZXsec
γ shape mcstat tZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
α systW ZXsec
α systZZXsec
γ shape mcstat DY V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
α ZZGenerator
γ shape mcstat tt̄ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
Wt
±0.00
±0.93
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±1.22
±0.10
±0.81
±0.19
±0.07
±0.00
±0.11
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±1.76
4.08
H
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.03
0.03
±0.00
±0.04
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.01
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.08
±0.07
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.11
0.14
WW
ZZ
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
0.01
WZ
±0.00
±0.05
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.04
±0.00
±0.05
±0.02
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.05
±0.09
±0.00
±0.00
±0.06
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.15
0.42
tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W
DY
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
Z
±0.00
±0.37
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±2.23
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.04
±0.00
±0.11
±0.24
±0.52
±0.06
±0.33
±0.00
±0.11
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±2.36
2.25
tt̄
±0.00
±3.19
±3.17
±2.70
±2.30
±0.00
±1.87
±1.43
±0.00
±0.63
±0.00
±0.43
±0.21
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.19
±0.04
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±3.46
23.39
±9.29
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.24
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±9.29
8.68
F akes
Table 28: Breakdown of the dominant systematic uncertainties on background estimates in V R3DF after the fit. Note
that the individual uncertainties can be correlated, and do not necessarily add up quadratically to the total background
uncertainty. The percentages show the size of the uncertainty relative to the total expected background.
±0.00
±10.53
Total background error
tZ
0.00
39.00
DF
V R3
Total background expectation
Uncertainty of channel
29
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.16
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±291.33
±246.11
±106.52
±75.50
±53.60
±38.14
±30.20
±27.59
±19.20
±18.29
±11.35
±11.08
±9.99
±6.20
±6.09
±5.58
±5.02
±4.98
±4.61
±3.01
±2.09
±1.85
±1.38
±1.29
±0.41
±0.28
±0.27
±0.16
±0.16
±0.08
±0.08
±0.04
±0.02
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
Total background error
α tt̄ISRFSR
Jet energy scale
α systtt̄Xsec
α tt̄Generator
Jet energy resolution
α tt̄PartonShower
α trigger
CellOut energy scale
α ZGenerator
α W W Generator
α systW tXsec
γ shape mcstat tt̄ V R obs BDTG bin 0
α PileUp
CellOut energy resolution
α JVF
α systZXsec
γ shape mcstat W t V R obs BDTG bin 0
Lumi
α systW W Xsec
α systTplusXsec
α W ZGenerator
γ shape mcstat W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
α systW ZXsec
α systtZXsec
γ shape mcstat H V R obs BDTG bin 0
α ZZGenerator
mu tt̄DF
γ shape mcstat ZZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
α systZZXsec
γ shape mcstat DY V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
α F akesSyst
γ shape mcstat W Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
Wt
±0.00
±5.98
±0.00
±0.00
±1.53
±0.00
±1.66
±0.22
±0.00
±0.00
±11.08
±0.00
±1.99
±0.60
±0.36
±0.00
±4.98
±1.55
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±13.98
55.39
H
±0.00
±0.19
±0.00
±0.00
±0.05
±0.00
±0.05
±0.05
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.06
±0.03
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.05
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.16
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.28
1.72
WW
±0.00
±4.95
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±1.81
±0.39
±0.00
±11.35
±0.00
±0.00
±0.65
±0.34
±0.90
±0.00
±0.00
±1.69
±3.01
±0.00
±0.00
±1.38
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±13.11
60.22
ZZ
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.08
±0.00
±0.04
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.09
0.11
±0.00
±0.23
±0.00
±0.00
±0.19
±0.00
±0.12
±0.04
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.07
±0.09
±0.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.11
±0.00
±0.00
±1.85
±0.00
±0.00
±0.41
±0.00
±0.27
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±1.95
3.92
WZ
±0.00
±0.62
±0.00
±0.00
±0.18
±0.00
±0.28
±0.04
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.12
±0.01
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.27
±0.00
±2.09
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.28
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±2.24
9.48
tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W
DY
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
Z
±0.00
±5.01
±0.00
±0.00
±3.21
±0.00
±1.00
±0.20
±18.29
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.44
±0.44
±0.39
±5.02
±0.00
±0.94
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±1.29
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±19.98
33.49
tt̄
±246.11
±89.51
±75.50
±53.60
±32.96
±30.20
±22.65
±18.70
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±9.99
±5.41
±5.78
±3.87
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.08
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±283.19
755.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
F akes
Table 29: Breakdown of the dominant systematic uncertainties on background estimates in V R4DF before the fit. Note
that the individual uncertainties can be correlated, and do not necessarily add up quadratically to the total background
uncertainty. The percentages show the size of the uncertainty relative to the total expected background.
±0.17
919.53
Total background expectation
tZ
0.16
DF
V R4
Uncertainty of channel
30
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.16
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±219.10
±212.13
±114.58
±97.98
±68.20
±48.47
±34.96
±27.28
±25.36
±18.17
±17.41
±11.27
±11.00
±9.08
±5.67
±5.53
±5.20
±4.99
±4.98
±4.58
±2.99
±2.07
±1.84
±1.38
±1.29
±0.41
±0.28
±0.27
±0.16
±0.16
±0.08
±0.04
±0.02
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
Total background error
α tt̄ISRFSR
mu tt̄DF
Jet energy scale
α systtt̄Xsec
α tt̄Generator
Jet energy resolution
α tt̄PartonShower
α trigger
α ZGenerator
CellOut energy scale
α W W Generator
α systW tXsec
γ shape mcstat tt̄ V R obs BDTG bin 0
α PileUp
CellOut energy resolution
α JVF
α systZXsec
γ shape mcstat W t V R obs BDTG bin 0
Lumi
α systW W Xsec
α systTplusXsec
α W ZGenerator
γ shape mcstat W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
α systW ZXsec
α systtZXsec
γ shape mcstat H V R obs BDTG bin 0
α ZZGenerator
γ shape mcstat ZZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
α systZZXsec
γ shape mcstat DY V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
α F akesSyst
γ shape mcstat W Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
Wt
±0.00
±0.00
±5.95
±0.00
±0.00
±1.52
±0.00
±1.65
±0.00
±0.22
±0.00
±11.00
±0.00
±1.98
±0.59
±0.36
±0.00
±4.98
±1.54
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±13.90
55.39
H
±0.00
±0.00
±0.19
±0.00
±0.00
±0.05
±0.00
±0.05
±0.00
±0.05
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.06
±0.03
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.05
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.16
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.28
1.72
WW
±0.00
±0.00
±4.93
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±1.79
±0.00
±0.39
±11.27
±0.00
±0.00
±0.65
±0.34
±0.89
±0.00
±0.00
±1.68
±2.99
±0.00
±0.00
±1.38
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±13.03
60.22
ZZ
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.08
±0.04
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.09
0.11
±0.00
±0.00
±0.23
±0.00
±0.00
±0.19
±0.00
±0.12
±0.00
±0.04
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.07
±0.08
±0.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.11
±0.00
±0.00
±1.84
±0.00
±0.00
±0.41
±0.00
±0.27
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±1.93
3.92
WZ
±0.00
±0.00
±0.62
±0.00
±0.00
±0.18
±0.00
±0.28
±0.00
±0.04
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.12
±0.01
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.26
±0.00
±2.07
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.28
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±2.23
9.48
tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W
DY
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
Z
±0.00
±0.00
±4.99
±0.00
±0.00
±3.19
±0.00
±1.00
±18.17
±0.20
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.43
±0.44
±0.39
±4.99
±0.00
±0.93
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±1.29
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±19.85
33.49
tt̄
±212.13
±114.58
±81.06
±68.20
±48.47
±29.80
±27.28
±20.46
±0.00
±16.91
±0.00
±0.00
±9.08
±4.89
±5.22
±3.50
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±215.66
686.50
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
F akes
Table 30: Breakdown of the dominant systematic uncertainties on background estimates in V R4DF after the fit. Note
that the individual uncertainties can be correlated, and do not necessarily add up quadratically to the total background
uncertainty. The percentages show the size of the uncertainty relative to the total expected background.
±0.17
850.99
Total background expectation
tZ
0.16
DF
V R4
Uncertainty of channel
31
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.04
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±29.06
±16.94
±11.83
±11.70
±10.20
±9.27
±4.73
±4.17
±3.84
±3.49
±2.92
±1.99
±1.76
±1.70
±1.68
±1.30
±0.58
±0.54
±0.50
±0.49
±0.38
±0.25
±0.14
±0.12
±0.05
±0.05
±0.04
±0.04
±0.03
±0.02
±0.01
±0.01
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
Total background error
α tt̄Generator
α systtt̄Xsec
CellOut energy scale
Jet energy resolution
α PileUp
α tt̄PartonShower
α trigger
γ shape mcstat tt̄ V R obs BDTG bin 0
CellOut energy resolution
α tt̄ISRFSR
γ shape mcstat W t V R obs BDTG bin 0
α W W Generator
α systW tXsec
α JVF
Jet energy scale
Lumi
γ shape mcstat W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
α W ZGenerator
α systW W Xsec
α systTplusXsec
α ZGenerator
γ shape mcstat W Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
α systtZXsec
α systZXsec
α systW ZXsec
γ shape mcstat ZZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
mu tt̄DF
α ZZGenerator
α systZZXsec
γ shape mcstat DY V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
α F akesSyst
γ shape mcstat W Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
Wt
±0.00
±0.00
±0.54
±1.88
±1.91
±0.00
±0.26
±0.00
±0.58
±0.00
±1.99
±0.00
±1.70
±0.06
±0.57
±0.24
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±3.89
8.51
H
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.01
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.05
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.06
0.14
±0.00
±0.00
±0.25
±0.26
±0.16
±0.00
±0.29
±0.00
±0.14
±0.00
±0.00
±1.76
±0.00
±0.40
±0.15
±0.27
±0.54
±0.00
±0.49
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±2.04
9.71
WW
ZZ
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.09
±0.03
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.50
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.14
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.53
0.41
WZ
±0.00
±0.00
±0.06
±0.07
±0.03
±0.00
±0.05
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.05
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.38
±0.00
±0.00
±0.12
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.41
1.72
tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W
DY
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
Z
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.25
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.05
±0.00
±0.04
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.26
0.25
tt̄
±16.94
±11.83
±10.83
±8.42
±7.15
±4.73
±3.55
±3.84
±3.03
±2.92
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±1.22
±2.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±27.19
118.28
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
F akes
Table 31: Breakdown of the dominant systematic uncertainties on background estimates in V R5DF before the fit. Note
that the individual uncertainties can be correlated, and do not necessarily add up quadratically to the total background
uncertainty. The percentages show the size of the uncertainty relative to the total expected background.
±0.04
139.08
Total background expectation
tZ
0.04
DF
V R5
Uncertainty of channel
32
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.04
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±18.82
±24.08
±19.74
±13.79
±13.48
±11.57
±10.43
±5.51
±4.75
±4.50
±3.99
±2.01
±1.99
±1.88
±1.75
±1.69
±1.64
±0.58
±0.54
±0.50
±0.48
±0.38
±0.25
±0.14
±0.12
±0.05
±0.05
±0.04
±0.04
±0.03
±0.02
±0.01
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
Total background error
mu tt̄DF
α tt̄Generator
α systtt̄Xsec
CellOut energy scale
Jet energy resolution
α PileUp
α tt̄PartonShower
α trigger
γ shape mcstat tt̄ V R obs BDTG bin 0
CellOut energy resolution
α tt̄ISRFSR
γ shape mcstat W t V R obs BDTG bin 0
α JVF
α W W Generator
α systW tXsec
Jet energy scale
Lumi
γ shape mcstat W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
α W ZGenerator
α systW W Xsec
α systTplusXsec
α ZGenerator
γ shape mcstat W Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
α systtZXsec
α systZXsec
α systW ZXsec
γ shape mcstat ZZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
α ZZGenerator
α systZZXsec
γ shape mcstat F akes V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
α F akesSyst
γ shape mcstat W Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
Wt
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.54
±1.87
±1.90
±0.00
±0.25
±0.00
±0.57
±0.00
±1.99
±0.06
±0.00
±1.69
±0.57
±0.24
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±3.87
8.51
H
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.01
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.05
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.06
0.14
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.25
±0.26
±0.16
±0.00
±0.29
±0.00
±0.14
±0.00
±0.00
±0.40
±1.75
±0.00
±0.15
±0.27
±0.54
±0.00
±0.48
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±2.02
9.71
WW
ZZ
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.09
±0.03
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.50
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.14
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.53
0.41
WZ
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.06
±0.07
±0.03
±0.00
±0.05
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.05
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.38
±0.00
±0.00
±0.12
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.41
1.72
tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W
DY
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
Z
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.25
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.05
±0.00
±0.04
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.26
0.26
tt̄
±24.08
±19.74
±13.79
±12.62
±9.81
±8.33
±5.51
±4.13
±4.50
±3.53
±2.01
±0.00
±1.42
±0.00
±0.00
±2.35
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±17.56
138.65
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
F akes
Table 32: Breakdown of the dominant systematic uncertainties on background estimates in V R5DF after the fit. Note
that the individual uncertainties can be correlated, and do not necessarily add up quadratically to the total background
uncertainty. The percentages show the size of the uncertainty relative to the total expected background.
±0.04
159.46
Total background expectation
tZ
0.04
DF
V R5
Uncertainty of channel
33
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.06
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±48.61
±29.13
±25.37
±14.72
±14.52
±12.48
±9.66
±7.57
±5.89
±5.65
±4.87
±4.37
±2.69
±2.57
±2.43
±1.59
±1.15
±1.05
±1.01
±0.83
±0.81
±0.58
±0.39
±0.23
±0.15
±0.12
±0.07
±0.07
±0.06
±0.02
±0.02
±0.01
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
Total background error
α tt̄Generator
α tt̄ISRFSR
α systtt̄Xsec
Jet energy resolution
CellOut energy scale
α PileUp
Jet energy scale
α tt̄PartonShower
α trigger
α W W Generator
γ shape mcstat tt̄ V R obs BDTG bin 0
α systW tXsec
α ZGenerator
γ shape mcstat W t V R obs BDTG bin 0
α JVF
Lumi
α systW W Xsec
α W ZGenerator
CellOut energy resolution
γ shape mcstat W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
α systTplusXsec
α systZXsec
γ shape mcstat W Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
α systW ZXsec
γ shape mcstat H V R obs BDTG bin 0
α systtZXsec
γ shape mcstat ZZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
mu tt̄DF
α ZZGenerator
α systZZXsec
γ shape mcstat DY V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
α F akesSyst
γ shape mcstat W Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
Wt
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±4.16
±0.64
±1.56
±0.34
±0.00
±0.40
±0.00
±0.00
±2.69
±0.00
±2.43
±0.06
±0.38
±0.00
±0.00
±0.14
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±5.81
13.47
H
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.05
±0.00
±0.02
±0.05
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.07
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.10
0.33
WW
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.23
±0.48
±0.01
±1.57
±0.00
±0.63
±4.87
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.49
±0.59
±1.05
±0.00
±0.14
±0.81
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±5.41
21.10
ZZ
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
0.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.06
±0.02
±0.16
±0.14
±0.00
±0.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.03
±0.00
±1.01
±0.21
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.23
±0.00
±0.00
±0.07
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±1.08
1.05
WZ
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.07
±0.02
±0.01
±0.08
±0.00
±0.08
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.07
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.58
±0.00
±0.00
±0.15
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.62
2.63
tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W
DY
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
Z
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.06
±0.01
±0.07
±0.28
±0.00
±0.08
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±2.57
±0.00
±0.02
±0.07
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.39
±0.00
±0.00
±0.12
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±2.62
2.57
tt̄
±29.13
±25.37
±14.72
±10.35
±11.34
±8.01
±5.79
±5.89
±4.42
±0.00
±4.37
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±1.13
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.63
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±46.02
147.21
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
F akes
Table 33: Breakdown of the dominant systematic uncertainties on background estimates in V R6DF before the fit. Note
that the individual uncertainties can be correlated, and do not necessarily add up quadratically to the total background
uncertainty. The percentages show the size of the uncertainty relative to the total expected background.
±0.06
188.44
Total background expectation
tZ
0.06
DF
V R6
Uncertainty of channel
34
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.06
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±34.74
±55.08
±40.80
±39.66
±20.31
±18.20
±16.36
±12.52
±9.74
±8.07
±7.27
±6.01
±4.84
±2.67
±2.54
±2.43
±2.00
±1.15
±1.06
±1.05
±1.00
±0.81
±0.58
±0.38
±0.23
±0.15
±0.12
±0.07
±0.07
±0.06
±0.02
±0.02
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
Total background error
mu tt̄DF
α tt̄ISRFSR
α tt̄Generator
α systtt̄Xsec
Jet energy resolution
CellOut energy scale
α PileUp
Jet energy scale
α tt̄PartonShower
α trigger
γ shape mcstat tt̄ V R obs BDTG bin 0
α W W Generator
α systW tXsec
α ZGenerator
γ shape mcstat W t V R obs BDTG bin 0
α JVF
Lumi
CellOut energy resolution
α systW W Xsec
α W ZGenerator
γ shape mcstat W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
α systTplusXsec
α systZXsec
γ shape mcstat W Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
α systW ZXsec
γ shape mcstat H V R obs BDTG bin 0
α systtZXsec
γ shape mcstat ZZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
α ZZGenerator
α systZZXsec
γ shape mcstat F akes V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
α F akesSyst
γ shape mcstat W Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
Wt
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±4.13
±0.63
±1.55
±0.36
±0.00
±0.40
±0.00
±0.00
±2.67
±0.00
±2.43
±0.06
±0.37
±0.14
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±5.78
13.44
H
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.05
±0.00
±0.02
±0.05
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.07
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.10
0.33
WW
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.23
±0.48
±0.01
±1.59
±0.00
±0.63
±0.00
±4.84
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.49
±0.59
±0.14
±1.05
±0.00
±0.81
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±5.38
21.07
ZZ
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
0.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.06
±0.02
±0.16
±0.14
±0.00
±0.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.03
±0.21
±0.00
±1.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.23
±0.00
±0.00
±0.07
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±1.07
1.05
WZ
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.07
±0.02
±0.01
±0.08
±0.00
±0.08
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.07
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.58
±0.00
±0.00
±0.15
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.61
2.63
tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W
DY
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
Z
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.06
±0.01
±0.07
±0.28
±0.00
±0.08
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±2.54
±0.00
±0.02
±0.07
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.38
±0.00
±0.00
±0.12
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±2.59
2.57
tt̄
±55.08
±40.80
±39.66
±20.31
±14.06
±15.25
±10.88
±7.97
±8.07
±6.05
±6.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±1.54
±0.00
±0.86
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±33.02
202.73
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
F akes
Table 34: Breakdown of the dominant systematic uncertainties on background estimates in V R6DF after the fit. Note
that the individual uncertainties can be correlated, and do not necessarily add up quadratically to the total background
uncertainty. The percentages show the size of the uncertainty relative to the total expected background.
±0.06
243.91
Total background expectation
tZ
0.06
DF
V R6
Uncertainty of channel
35
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±24.49
±17.15
±12.49
±8.70
±6.85
±2.98
±2.69
±1.73
±1.43
±1.31
±0.96
±0.93
±0.93
±0.86
±0.37
±0.31
±0.28
±0.22
±0.21
±0.20
±0.16
±0.08
±0.07
±0.07
±0.03
±0.03
±0.01
±0.01
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
Total background error
γ shape mcstat F akes V R obs BDTG bin 0
α tt̄GenPlusPS
Jet energy scale
α systtt̄Xsec
γ shape mcstat tt̄ V R obs BDTG bin 0
α tt̄ISRFSR
Jet energy resolution
α ZGenerator
γ shape mcstat W t V R obs BDTG bin 0
α PileUp
Lumi
CellOut energy scale
α systW tXsec
α W ZGenerator
γ shape mcstat Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
CellOut energy resolution
α W W Generator
α systZXsec
α systTplusXsec
α JVF
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
α F akesSyst
α ZZGenerator
γ shape mcstat W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
mu tt̄SF
α systW ZXsec
α systtZXsec
γ shape mcstat H V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
α systW W Xsec
γ shape mcstat ZZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
α systZZXsec
γ shape mcstat DY V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY CR obs BDTG bin 0
Wt
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.55
±0.00
±1.31
±0.39
±0.12
±0.27
±0.86
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.18
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±1.74
4.32
H
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.04
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.22
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.23
0.04
WW
ZZ
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.03
0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.06
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.37
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.07
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.39
0.08
WZ
±0.00
±0.00
±0.07
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.03
±0.03
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.20
±0.00
±0.08
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.23
0.90
tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W
DY
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
Z
±0.00
±0.00
±0.47
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.03
±1.43
±0.00
±0.08
±0.04
±0.11
±0.00
±0.00
±0.31
±0.09
±0.00
±0.21
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±1.56
1.43
tt̄
±0.00
±12.49
±8.10
±6.85
±2.98
±2.69
±2.29
±0.00
±0.00
±1.45
±0.00
±0.52
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.21
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.33
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±17.10
68.55
±17.15
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.74
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.07
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±17.17
26.54
F akes
Table 35: Breakdown of the dominant systematic uncertainties on background estimates in V R1SF before the fit. Note
that the individual uncertainties can be correlated, and do not necessarily add up quadratically to the total background
uncertainty. The percentages show the size of the uncertainty relative to the total expected background.
±0.01
101.87
Total background expectation
tZ
0.01
SF
V R1
Uncertainty of channel
36
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±19.78
±17.15
±8.68
±6.43
±6.20
±4.74
±2.09
±2.08
±1.42
±1.31
±1.03
±0.93
±0.86
±0.76
±0.52
±0.37
±0.31
±0.22
±0.21
±0.21
±0.20
±0.08
±0.07
±0.07
±0.06
±0.03
±0.03
±0.01
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
Total background error
γ shape mcstat F akes V R obs BDTG bin 0
α tt̄GenPlusPS
mu tt̄SF
Jet energy scale
α systtt̄Xsec
γ shape mcstat tt̄ V R obs BDTG bin 0
α tt̄ISRFSR
α ZGenerator
γ shape mcstat W t V R obs BDTG bin 0
Jet energy resolution
Lumi
α systW tXsec
CellOut energy scale
α PileUp
α W ZGenerator
γ shape mcstat Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
α W W Generator
CellOut energy resolution
α systZXsec
α systTplusXsec
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
α F akesSyst
α JVF
α ZZGenerator
γ shape mcstat W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
α systW ZXsec
α systtZXsec
γ shape mcstat H V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
α systW W Xsec
γ shape mcstat ZZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
α systZZXsec
γ shape mcstat DY V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY CR obs BDTG bin 0
Wt
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±1.31
±0.55
±0.12
±0.86
±0.27
±0.38
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.18
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±1.73
4.32
H
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.04
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.22
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.23
0.04
WW
ZZ
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.03
0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.06
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.37
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.07
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.39
0.08
WZ
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.07
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.03
±0.03
±0.00
±0.02
±0.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.20
±0.08
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.23
0.90
tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W
DY
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
Z
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.47
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±1.42
±0.00
±0.03
±0.04
±0.00
±0.11
±0.08
±0.00
±0.31
±0.00
±0.09
±0.21
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±1.55
1.43
tt̄
±0.00
±8.68
±6.43
±5.61
±4.74
±2.09
±2.08
±0.00
±0.00
±1.59
±0.00
±0.00
±0.36
±1.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.14
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.23
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±9.70
47.95
±17.15
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.74
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.07
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±17.17
26.54
F akes
Table 36: Breakdown of the dominant systematic uncertainties on background estimates in V R1SF after the fit. Note
that the individual uncertainties can be correlated, and do not necessarily add up quadratically to the total background
uncertainty. The percentages show the size of the uncertainty relative to the total expected background.
±0.01
81.27
Total background expectation
tZ
0.01
SF
V R1
Uncertainty of channel
37
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±23.12
±14.01
±12.34
±9.97
±6.81
±3.82
±2.97
±2.78
±1.67
±1.61
±1.13
±1.09
±0.74
±0.55
±0.42
±0.33
±0.30
±0.29
±0.22
±0.19
±0.08
±0.07
±0.07
±0.05
±0.03
±0.03
±0.02
±0.01
±0.01
±0.01
±0.01
±0.01
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
Total background error
γ shape mcstat F akes V R obs BDTG bin 0
Jet energy scale
α tt̄GenPlusPS
α systtt̄Xsec
α tt̄ISRFSR
γ shape mcstat tt̄ V R obs BDTG bin 0
α ZGenerator
α PileUp
γ shape mcstat W t V R obs BDTG bin 0
α systW tXsec
Jet energy resolution
Lumi
γ shape mcstat Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
α systZXsec
α JVF
α W ZGenerator
CellOut energy scale
α W W Generator
α systTplusXsec
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
α F akesSyst
γ shape mcstat W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
CellOut energy resolution
α ZZGenerator
γ shape mcstat DY V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H V R obs BDTG bin 0
α systtZXsec
γ shape mcstat tZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
mu tt̄SF
α systW ZXsec
α systW W Xsec
γ shape mcstat ZZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
α systZZXsec
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY CR obs BDTG bin 0
Wt
±0.00
±0.96
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.19
±1.61
±1.13
±0.60
±0.16
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.15
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.56
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±2.35
5.65
H
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.03
0.02
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.04
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.22
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.05
±0.07
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.24
0.11
WW
ZZ
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.03
0.00
±0.00
±0.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.07
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.30
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.07
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.32
0.08
WZ
±0.00
±0.10
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.10
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.19
±0.08
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.25
0.87
tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W
DY
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.09
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.09
0.02
Z
±0.00
±0.67
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±2.78
±0.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.03
±0.08
±0.55
±0.42
±0.04
±0.00
±0.05
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.22
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±2.95
2.78
tt̄
±0.00
±10.57
±9.97
±6.81
±3.82
±2.97
±0.00
±1.61
±0.00
±0.00
±1.64
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.30
±0.00
±0.21
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.89
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±16.95
68.09
±14.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.47
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.07
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±14.02
16.95
F akes
Table 37: Breakdown of the dominant systematic uncertainties on background estimates in V R2SF before the fit. Note
that the individual uncertainties can be correlated, and do not necessarily add up quadratically to the total background
uncertainty. The percentages show the size of the uncertainty relative to the total expected background.
±0.02
94.58
Total background expectation
tZ
0.01
SF
V R2
Uncertainty of channel
38
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±17.45
±14.01
±9.07
±6.92
±6.38
±4.70
±2.98
±2.76
±2.08
±1.61
±1.17
±1.12
±0.74
±0.59
±0.55
±0.41
±0.30
±0.24
±0.23
±0.22
±0.21
±0.19
±0.08
±0.07
±0.07
±0.05
±0.03
±0.02
±0.01
±0.01
±0.01
±0.01
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
Total background error
γ shape mcstat F akes V R obs BDTG bin 0
Jet energy scale
α tt̄GenPlusPS
mu tt̄SF
α systtt̄Xsec
α tt̄ISRFSR
α ZGenerator
γ shape mcstat tt̄ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t V R obs BDTG bin 0
α PileUp
α systW tXsec
Lumi
Jet energy resolution
γ shape mcstat Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
α systZXsec
α W ZGenerator
α JVF
CellOut energy resolution
CellOut energy scale
α W W Generator
α systTplusXsec
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
α F akesSyst
γ shape mcstat W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
α ZZGenerator
γ shape mcstat DY V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H V R obs BDTG bin 0
α systtZXsec
γ shape mcstat tZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
α systW ZXsec
α systW W Xsec
γ shape mcstat ZZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
α systZZXsec
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY CR obs BDTG bin 0
Wt
±0.00
±0.95
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±1.61
±0.19
±1.12
±0.16
±0.59
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.56
±0.15
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±2.34
5.65
H
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.03
0.02
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.04
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.07
±0.00
±0.21
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.05
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.24
0.11
WW
ZZ
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.03
0.00
±0.00
±0.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.06
±0.00
±0.00
±0.30
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.07
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.31
0.08
WZ
±0.00
±0.10
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.02
±0.10
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.19
±0.08
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.25
0.87
tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W
DY
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.09
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.09
0.02
Z
±0.00
±0.66
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±2.76
±0.00
±0.00
±0.03
±0.00
±0.08
±0.03
±0.55
±0.41
±0.00
±0.04
±0.22
±0.05
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±2.93
2.78
tt̄
±0.00
±7.32
±6.92
±6.38
±4.70
±2.98
±0.00
±2.08
±0.00
±1.12
±0.00
±0.00
±1.13
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.21
±0.61
±0.14
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±9.24
47.57
±14.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.47
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.07
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±14.02
16.95
F akes
Table 38: Breakdown of the dominant systematic uncertainties on background estimates in V R2SF after the fit. Note
that the individual uncertainties can be correlated, and do not necessarily add up quadratically to the total background
uncertainty. The percentages show the size of the uncertainty relative to the total expected background.
±0.02
74.06
Total background expectation
tZ
0.01
SF
V R2
Uncertainty of channel
39
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±25.80
±17.15
±12.83
±10.24
±7.39
±3.37
±3.16
±3.13
±2.56
±1.53
±1.28
±1.15
±1.14
±1.02
±0.99
±0.53
±0.52
±0.38
±0.28
±0.25
±0.23
±0.09
±0.07
±0.07
±0.07
±0.04
±0.01
±0.01
±0.01
±0.01
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
Total background error
γ shape mcstat F akes V R obs BDTG bin 0
Jet energy scale
α tt̄GenPlusPS
α systtt̄Xsec
α tt̄ISRFSR
Jet energy resolution
γ shape mcstat tt̄ V R obs BDTG bin 0
α ZGenerator
γ shape mcstat W t V R obs BDTG bin 0
CellOut energy scale
CellOut energy resolution
α PileUp
α systW tXsec
Lumi
γ shape mcstat Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
α W ZGenerator
α systZXsec
α JVF
α W W Generator
α systTplusXsec
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
α F akesSyst
γ shape mcstat W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
α ZZGenerator
γ shape mcstat H V R obs BDTG bin 0
α systW W Xsec
mu tt̄SF
α systtZXsec
α systW ZXsec
γ shape mcstat tZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
α systZZXsec
γ shape mcstat DY V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY CR obs BDTG bin 0
Wt
±0.00
±0.62
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.93
±0.00
±0.00
±1.53
±0.22
±0.00
±0.27
±1.02
±0.14
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.18
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±2.19
5.12
H
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.03
0.02
±0.00
±0.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.25
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.07
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.27
0.17
WW
ZZ
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.04
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.04
0.00
±0.00
±0.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.06
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.52
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.07
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.53
0.08
WZ
±0.00
±0.11
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.04
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.04
±0.00
±0.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.23
±0.09
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.28
1.03
tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W
DY
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
Z
±0.00
±0.45
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.24
±0.00
±2.56
±0.00
±0.00
±0.10
±0.11
±0.00
±0.07
±0.53
±0.00
±0.38
±0.04
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±2.69
2.56
tt̄
±0.00
±11.57
±10.24
±7.39
±3.37
±2.51
±3.13
±0.00
±0.00
±1.06
±1.08
±0.77
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.42
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±17.99
73.92
±17.15
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.74
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.07
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±17.17
26.55
F akes
Table 39: Breakdown of the dominant systematic uncertainties on background estimates in V R3SF before the fit. Note
that the individual uncertainties can be correlated, and do not necessarily add up quadratically to the total background
uncertainty. The percentages show the size of the uncertainty relative to the total expected background.
±0.01
109.44
Total background expectation
tZ
0.01
SF
V R3
Uncertainty of channel
40
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±20.18
±17.15
±9.29
±7.11
±6.96
±5.14
±2.75
±2.54
±2.39
±2.19
±1.53
±1.02
±0.99
±0.96
±0.90
±0.82
±0.53
±0.52
±0.38
±0.25
±0.22
±0.15
±0.09
±0.07
±0.07
±0.07
±0.04
±0.01
±0.01
±0.01
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
Total background error
γ shape mcstat F akes V R obs BDTG bin 0
Jet energy scale
α tt̄GenPlusPS
mu tt̄SF
α systtt̄Xsec
α tt̄ISRFSR
α ZGenerator
Jet energy resolution
γ shape mcstat tt̄ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t V R obs BDTG bin 0
α systW tXsec
Lumi
CellOut energy scale
α PileUp
CellOut energy resolution
γ shape mcstat Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
α W ZGenerator
α systZXsec
α W W Generator
α systTplusXsec
α JVF
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
α F akesSyst
γ shape mcstat W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
α ZZGenerator
γ shape mcstat H V R obs BDTG bin 0
α systW W Xsec
α systtZXsec
α systW ZXsec
γ shape mcstat tZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
α systZZXsec
γ shape mcstat DY V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY CR obs BDTG bin 0
Wt
±0.00
±0.62
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.93
±0.00
±1.53
±1.02
±0.14
±0.22
±0.26
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.18
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±2.18
5.12
H
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.03
0.02
±0.00
±0.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.25
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.07
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.27
0.17
WW
ZZ
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.04
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.04
0.00
±0.00
±0.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.06
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.52
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.07
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.53
0.08
WZ
±0.00
±0.11
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.04
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.03
±0.00
±0.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.22
±0.00
±0.09
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.27
1.03
tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W
DY
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
Z
±0.00
±0.45
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±2.54
±0.24
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.07
±0.00
±0.11
±0.10
±0.53
±0.00
±0.38
±0.00
±0.00
±0.04
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±2.68
2.56
tt̄
±0.00
±8.04
±7.11
±6.96
±5.14
±2.75
±0.00
±1.74
±2.19
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.74
±0.54
±0.75
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.29
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±9.57
51.73
±17.15
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.74
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.07
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±17.17
26.55
F akes
Table 40: Breakdown of the dominant systematic uncertainties on background estimates in V R3SF after the fit. Note
that the individual uncertainties can be correlated, and do not necessarily add up quadratically to the total background
uncertainty. The percentages show the size of the uncertainty relative to the total expected background.
±0.01
87.26
Total background expectation
tZ
0.01
SF
V R3
Uncertainty of channel
41
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.09
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±36.77
±19.47
±17.42
±13.70
±11.44
±8.92
±7.23
±6.97
±6.68
±5.84
±4.70
±4.40
±3.62
±3.26
±2.80
±2.27
±2.13
±1.87
±1.86
±0.67
±0.64
±0.57
±0.47
±0.46
±0.45
±0.44
±0.37
±0.20
±0.16
±0.12
±0.09
±0.08
±0.06
±0.02
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
Total background error
CellOut energy scale
α systtt̄Xsec
α PileUp
α ZGenerator
Jet energy scale
α trigger
α tt̄PartonShower
α tt̄Generator
Jet energy resolution
γ shape mcstat tt̄ V R obs BDTG bin 0
α JVF
α systZXsec
γ shape mcstat DY V R obs BDTG bin 0
CellOut energy resolution
γ shape mcstat W t V R obs BDTG bin 0
α systW tXsec
Lumi
γ shape mcstat Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
α W W Generator
γ shape mcstat W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
α tt̄ISRFSR
α systW W Xsec
α ZZGenerator
α W ZGenerator
γ shape mcstat W Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
α systTplusXsec
α systW ZXsec
γ shape mcstat ZZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
α systtZXsec
α systZZXsec
γ shape mcstat H V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
mu tt̄SF
γ shape mcstat F akes V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t CR obs BDTG bin 0
α F akesSyst
γ shape mcstat tt̄ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
Wt
±2.55
±0.00
±1.16
±0.00
±1.34
±0.32
±0.00
±0.00
±0.67
±0.00
±0.26
±0.00
±0.00
±0.85
±2.27
±2.13
±0.30
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±4.56
10.67
H
±0.02
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.04
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.06
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.09
0.34
±0.46
±0.00
±0.22
±0.00
±0.07
±0.28
±0.00
±0.00
±0.33
±0.00
±0.58
±0.00
±0.00
±0.10
±0.00
±0.00
±0.26
±0.00
±0.67
±0.64
±0.00
±0.47
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±1.39
9.39
WW
ZZ
±0.03
±0.00
±0.06
±0.00
±0.04
±0.05
±0.00
±0.00
±0.18
±0.00
±0.07
±0.00
±0.00
±0.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.05
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.46
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.16
±0.00
±0.00
±0.08
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.54
1.64
±0.04
±0.00
±0.04
±0.00
±0.10
±0.09
±0.00
±0.00
±0.18
±0.00
±0.04
±0.00
±0.00
±0.04
±0.00
±0.00
±0.08
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.45
±0.44
±0.00
±0.20
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.70
2.92
WZ
±0.03
±0.00
±0.04
±0.00
±0.01
±0.05
±0.00
±0.00
±0.06
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.05
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.37
±0.00
±0.00
±0.12
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.40
1.67
tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W
DY
±1.85
±0.00
±0.11
±0.00
±1.53
±0.48
±0.00
±0.00
±0.05
±0.00
±0.53
±0.00
±3.26
±0.23
±0.00
±0.00
±0.45
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±4.14
16.07
Z
±1.83
±0.00
±2.16
±11.44
±3.93
±0.72
±0.00
±0.00
±0.75
±0.00
±1.38
±3.62
±0.00
±0.20
±0.00
±0.00
±0.67
±1.86
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±13.20
24.11
tt̄
±12.66
±17.42
±10.02
±0.00
±2.11
±5.23
±6.97
±6.68
±6.23
±4.70
±1.53
±0.00
±0.00
±3.75
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.57
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±27.69
174.17
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
F akes
Table 41: Breakdown of the dominant systematic uncertainties on background estimates in V R4SF before the fit. Note
that the individual uncertainties can be correlated, and do not necessarily add up quadratically to the total background
uncertainty. The percentages show the size of the uncertainty relative to the total expected background.
±0.10
241.08
Total background expectation
tZ
0.09
SF
V R4
Uncertainty of channel
42
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.09
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±27.18
±27.06
±20.78
±19.18
±14.73
±11.36
±9.10
±7.77
±7.69
±7.38
±6.50
±5.22
±4.54
±3.61
±3.26
±3.20
±2.28
±2.12
±1.87
±1.87
±1.17
±0.67
±0.64
±0.47
±0.46
±0.45
±0.44
±0.37
±0.20
±0.16
±0.12
±0.09
±0.08
±0.06
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
Total background error
mu tt̄SF
CellOut energy scale
α systtt̄Xsec
α PileUp
α ZGenerator
Jet energy scale
α trigger
α tt̄PartonShower
α tt̄Generator
Jet energy resolution
γ shape mcstat tt̄ V R obs BDTG bin 0
α JVF
α systZXsec
γ shape mcstat DY V R obs BDTG bin 0
CellOut energy resolution
γ shape mcstat W t V R obs BDTG bin 0
α systW tXsec
Lumi
γ shape mcstat Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
α tt̄ISRFSR
α W W Generator
γ shape mcstat W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
α systW W Xsec
α ZZGenerator
α W ZGenerator
γ shape mcstat W Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
α systTplusXsec
α systW ZXsec
γ shape mcstat ZZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
α systtZXsec
α systZZXsec
γ shape mcstat H V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ CR obs BDTG bin 0
α F akesSyst
γ shape mcstat tt̄ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
Wt
±0.00
±2.54
±0.00
±1.16
±0.00
±1.34
±0.32
±0.00
±0.00
±0.67
±0.00
±0.26
±0.00
±0.00
±0.85
±2.28
±2.12
±0.30
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±4.55
10.70
H
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.04
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.06
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.08
0.34
±0.00
±0.46
±0.00
±0.22
±0.00
±0.07
±0.28
±0.00
±0.00
±0.32
±0.00
±0.57
±0.00
±0.00
±0.10
±0.00
±0.00
±0.26
±0.00
±0.00
±0.67
±0.64
±0.47
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±1.39
9.40
WW
ZZ
±0.00
±0.03
±0.00
±0.06
±0.00
±0.04
±0.05
±0.00
±0.00
±0.18
±0.00
±0.07
±0.00
±0.00
±0.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.05
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.46
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.16
±0.00
±0.00
±0.08
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.54
1.64
±0.00
±0.04
±0.00
±0.04
±0.00
±0.10
±0.09
±0.00
±0.00
±0.18
±0.00
±0.04
±0.00
±0.00
±0.04
±0.00
±0.00
±0.08
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.45
±0.44
±0.00
±0.20
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.70
2.92
WZ
±0.00
±0.03
±0.00
±0.03
±0.00
±0.01
±0.05
±0.00
±0.00
±0.06
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.05
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.37
±0.00
±0.00
±0.12
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.40
1.67
tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W
DY
±0.00
±1.84
±0.00
±0.10
±0.00
±1.52
±0.48
±0.00
±0.00
±0.05
±0.00
±0.53
±0.00
±3.26
±0.22
±0.00
±0.00
±0.45
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±4.13
16.08
Z
±0.00
±1.82
±0.00
±2.15
±11.36
±3.90
±0.72
±0.00
±0.00
±0.74
±0.00
±1.37
±3.61
±0.00
±0.20
±0.00
±0.00
±0.67
±1.87
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±13.12
24.20
tt̄
±27.06
±14.00
±19.18
±11.08
±0.00
±2.33
±5.77
±7.69
±7.38
±6.89
±5.22
±1.69
±0.00
±0.00
±4.15
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±1.17
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±16.13
193.69
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
F akes
Table 42: Breakdown of the dominant systematic uncertainties on background estimates in V R4SF after the fit. Note
that the individual uncertainties can be correlated, and do not necessarily add up quadratically to the total background
uncertainty. The percentages show the size of the uncertainty relative to the total expected background.
±0.10
260.75
Total background expectation
tZ
0.09
SF
V R4
Uncertainty of channel
43
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.01
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.02
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.23
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±244.83
±170.88
±109.34
±71.58
±68.35
±60.66
±49.72
±23.81
±22.59
±22.38
±15.88
±14.91
±14.73
±14.57
±12.11
±8.77
±6.90
±5.79
±4.51
±3.76
±3.09
±1.61
±1.55
±1.39
±0.76
±0.72
±0.53
±0.41
±0.23
±0.23
±0.23
±0.19
±0.18
±0.17
±0.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
Total background error
α systtt̄Xsec
α tt̄Generator
CellOut energy scale
α tt̄PartonShower
α trigger
Jet energy resolution
α W W Generator
α systW tXsec
Jet energy scale
α PileUp
α JVF
γ shape mcstat tt̄ V R obs BDTG bin 0
α ZGenerator
α systZXsec
Lumi
γ shape mcstat W t V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY V R obs BDTG bin 0
α tt̄ISRFSR
α systW W Xsec
γ shape mcstat W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
α ZZGenerator
α systTplusXsec
γ shape mcstat W Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
α systW ZXsec
CellOut energy resolution
α W ZGenerator
γ shape mcstat ZZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
α systtZXsec
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H V R obs BDTG bin 0
α systZZXsec
mu tt̄SF
γ shape mcstat tZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t CR obs BDTG bin 0
α F akesSyst
γ shape mcstat tt̄ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
Wt
±0.00
±0.00
±0.09
±0.00
±3.39
±0.06
±0.00
±22.59
±1.45
±1.49
±1.63
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±3.16
±6.90
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±2.57
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±24.35
112.96
H
±0.00
±0.00
±0.12
±0.00
±0.05
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.09
±0.01
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.04
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.06
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.19
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.26
1.61
WW
±0.00
±0.00
±1.50
±0.00
±1.86
±2.88
±23.81
±0.00
±2.75
±0.36
±2.05
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±1.73
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±3.09
±1.61
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.32
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±24.66
61.89
ZZ
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.11
±0.40
±0.00
±0.00
±0.05
±0.10
±0.15
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.10
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±1.55
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.08
±0.00
±0.23
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.18
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±1.65
3.60
WZ
±0.00
±0.00
±0.21
±0.00
±0.31
±0.51
±0.00
±0.00
±0.30
±0.07
±0.12
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.29
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.76
±0.72
±0.02
±0.41
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±1.36
10.27
±0.00
±0.00
±0.06
±0.00
±0.19
±0.09
±0.00
±0.00
±0.07
±0.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.18
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±1.39
±0.00
±0.00
±0.07
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.23
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±1.44
6.32
tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W
DY
±0.00
±0.00
±5.91
±0.00
±1.07
±3.50
±0.00
±0.00
±2.94
±3.78
±0.23
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.99
±0.00
±0.00
±4.51
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±1.35
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±9.72
35.53
Z
±0.00
±0.00
±12.37
±0.00
±2.42
±9.44
±0.00
±0.00
±3.39
±9.88
±2.22
±0.00
±14.57
±12.11
±2.26
±0.00
±5.79
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.07
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±27.56
80.71
tt̄
±170.88
±109.34
±51.50
±68.35
±51.27
±39.36
±0.00
±0.00
±24.01
±0.57
±8.49
±14.73
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±3.76
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±4.28
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.17
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±231.42
1708.83
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
F akes
Table 43: Breakdown of the dominant systematic uncertainties on background estimates in V R5SF before the fit. Note
that the individual uncertainties can be correlated, and do not necessarily add up quadratically to the total background
uncertainty. The percentages show the size of the uncertainty relative to the total expected background.
±0.23
2021.95
Total background expectation
tZ
0.23
SF
V R5
Uncertainty of channel
44
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.01
±0.02
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.23
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±106.63
±241.37
±172.90
±110.81
±72.27
±69.25
±61.26
±50.17
±23.66
±22.73
±22.44
±15.79
±15.36
±15.03
±14.99
±14.47
±12.02
±8.73
±6.90
±5.79
±4.51
±3.08
±1.61
±1.54
±1.38
±0.76
±0.71
±0.62
±0.40
±0.23
±0.23
±0.23
±0.19
±0.18
±0.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
Total background error
mu tt̄SF
α systtt̄Xsec
α tt̄Generator
CellOut energy scale
α tt̄PartonShower
α trigger
Jet energy resolution
α W W Generator
Jet energy scale
α systW tXsec
α PileUp
α tt̄ISRFSR
γ shape mcstat tt̄ V R obs BDTG bin 0
α JVF
α ZGenerator
α systZXsec
Lumi
γ shape mcstat W t V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY V R obs BDTG bin 0
α systW W Xsec
γ shape mcstat W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
α ZZGenerator
α systTplusXsec
γ shape mcstat W Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
α systW ZXsec
CellOut energy resolution
α W ZGenerator
γ shape mcstat ZZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
α systtZXsec
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H V R obs BDTG bin 0
α systZZXsec
γ shape mcstat tZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ CR obs BDTG bin 0
α F akesSyst
γ shape mcstat tt̄ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
Wt
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.09
±0.00
±3.37
±0.06
±0.00
±1.43
±22.44
±1.48
±0.00
±0.00
±1.62
±0.00
±0.00
±3.15
±6.90
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±2.55
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±24.20
112.97
H
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.12
±0.00
±0.05
±0.02
±0.00
±0.09
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.04
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.06
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.19
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.26
1.61
WW
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±1.49
±0.00
±1.84
±2.86
±23.66
±2.73
±0.00
±0.36
±0.00
±0.00
±2.04
±0.00
±0.00
±1.73
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±3.08
±1.61
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.31
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±24.50
61.91
ZZ
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.11
±0.40
±0.00
±0.05
±0.00
±0.10
±0.00
±0.00
±0.14
±0.00
±0.00
±0.10
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±1.54
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.08
±0.00
±0.23
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.18
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±1.64
3.61
WZ
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.21
±0.00
±0.31
±0.51
±0.00
±0.30
±0.00
±0.07
±0.00
±0.00
±0.12
±0.00
±0.00
±0.29
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.76
±0.71
±0.02
±0.40
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±1.36
10.28
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.06
±0.00
±0.19
±0.09
±0.00
±0.07
±0.00
±0.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.18
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±1.38
±0.00
±0.00
±0.07
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.23
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±1.43
6.32
tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W
DY
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±5.89
±0.00
±1.06
±3.47
±0.00
±2.93
±0.00
±3.76
±0.00
±0.00
±0.23
±0.00
±0.00
±0.99
±0.00
±0.00
±4.51
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±1.35
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±9.68
35.53
Z
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±12.32
±0.00
±2.40
±9.38
±0.00
±3.37
±0.00
±9.82
±0.00
±0.00
±2.21
±14.47
±12.02
±2.25
±0.00
±5.79
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.07
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±27.39
80.72
tt̄
±241.37
±172.90
±110.81
±52.29
±69.25
±51.93
±39.88
±0.00
±24.36
±0.00
±0.58
±15.36
±15.03
±8.61
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±4.34
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±105.44
1743.20
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
F akes
Table 44: Breakdown of the dominant systematic uncertainties on background estimates in V R5SF after the fit. Note
that the individual uncertainties can be correlated, and do not necessarily add up quadratically to the total background
uncertainty. The percentages show the size of the uncertainty relative to the total expected background.
±0.23
2056.37
Total background expectation
tZ
0.23
SF
V R5
Uncertainty of channel
45
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±1.33
±0.86
±0.79
±0.73
±0.46
±0.37
±0.29
±0.25
±0.11
±0.10
±0.09
±0.08
±0.07
±0.04
±0.03
±0.03
±0.03
±0.02
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
α tt̄GenPlusPS
γ shape mcstat tt̄ SR obs BDTG bin 0
Jet energy scale
Jet energy resolution
α systtt̄Xsec
γ shape mcstat W t SR obs BDTG bin 0
α ZGenerator
α tt̄ISRFSR
α W W Generator
α PileUp
γ shape mcstat Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
CellOut energy resolution
α systW tXsec
α systZXsec
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
α systTplusXsec
α JVF
Lumi
γ shape mcstat H SR obs BDTG bin 0
CellOut energy scale
α systtZXsec
γ shape mcstat tZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
mu tt̄DF
α systW ZXsec
α systW W Xsec
α systZZXsec
γ shape mcstat W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
α ZZGenerator
γ shape mcstat W t CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
α W ZGenerator
γ shape mcstat DY V R obs BDTG bin 0
α F akesSyst
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes V R obs BDTG bin 0
Wt
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.32
±0.00
±0.37
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.07
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.49
0.37
H
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.11
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.11
0.00
WW
ZZ
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
WZ
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.03
±0.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.05
0.13
tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W
DY
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
Z
±0.00
±0.00
±0.10
±0.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.29
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.09
±0.02
±0.00
±0.04
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.06
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.33
0.29
tt̄
±1.33
±0.86
±0.69
±0.44
±0.46
±0.00
±0.00
±0.25
±0.00
±0.11
±0.00
±0.10
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.06
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±1.86
4.56
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
F akes
Table 45: Breakdown of the dominant systematic uncertainties on background estimates in SR1SF before the fit. Note
that the individual uncertainties can be correlated, and do not necessarily add up quadratically to the total background
uncertainty. The percentages show the size of the uncertainty relative to the total expected background.
±0.00
±2.05
Total background error
tZ
0.00
5.37
SRDF
1
Total background expectation
Uncertainty of channel
46
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.95
±0.61
±0.60
±0.58
±0.44
±0.37
±0.32
±0.29
±0.15
±0.11
±0.09
±0.07
±0.07
±0.05
±0.04
±0.03
±0.03
±0.02
±0.02
±0.01
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
α tt̄GenPlusPS
γ shape mcstat tt̄ SR obs BDTG bin 0
Jet energy resolution
Jet energy scale
mu tt̄DF
γ shape mcstat W t SR obs BDTG bin 0
α systtt̄Xsec
α ZGenerator
α tt̄ISRFSR
α W W Generator
γ shape mcstat Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
α systW tXsec
α PileUp
CellOut energy resolution
α systZXsec
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
α systTplusXsec
Lumi
α JVF
CellOut energy scale
γ shape mcstat H SR obs BDTG bin 0
α systtZXsec
γ shape mcstat tZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
α systW ZXsec
α systW W Xsec
α systZZXsec
γ shape mcstat W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
α ZZGenerator
γ shape mcstat W t CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
α W ZGenerator
γ shape mcstat DY V R obs BDTG bin 0
α F akesSyst
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes V R obs BDTG bin 0
Wt
±0.00
±0.00
±0.31
±0.00
±0.00
±0.37
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.07
±0.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.49
0.37
H
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.11
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.11
0.00
WW
ZZ
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
WZ
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.03
±0.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.05
0.13
tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W
DY
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
Z
±0.00
±0.00
±0.03
±0.10
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.29
±0.00
±0.00
±0.09
±0.00
±0.02
±0.02
±0.04
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.06
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.33
0.29
tt̄
±0.95
±0.61
±0.31
±0.49
±0.44
±0.00
±0.32
±0.00
±0.15
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.08
±0.07
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.04
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±1.25
3.26
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
F akes
Table 46: Breakdown of the dominant systematic uncertainties on background estimates in SR1SF after the fit. Note
that the individual uncertainties can be correlated, and do not necessarily add up quadratically to the total background
uncertainty. The percentages show the size of the uncertainty relative to the total expected background.
±0.00
±1.45
Total background error
tZ
0.00
4.07
SRDF
1
Total background expectation
Uncertainty of channel
47
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±1.36
±1.16
±0.60
±0.57
±0.50
±0.40
±0.26
±0.14
±0.12
±0.10
±0.05
±0.02
±0.02
±0.02
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
Jet energy scale
Jet energy resolution
α tt̄GenPlusPS
γ shape mcstat tt̄ SR obs BDTG bin 0
α tt̄ISRFSR
CellOut energy resolution
α systtt̄Xsec
α PileUp
CellOut energy scale
α ZGenerator
γ shape mcstat Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
α systZXsec
α systTplusXsec
Lumi
mu tt̄DF
α systW tXsec
α systW ZXsec
α systW W Xsec
α systZZXsec
γ shape mcstat tZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
α systtZXsec
γ shape mcstat H SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
α ZZGenerator
γ shape mcstat W t CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
α JVF
γ shape mcstat DY CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
α W ZGenerator
γ shape mcstat DY V R obs BDTG bin 0
α F akesSyst
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
α W W Generator
γ shape mcstat tZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes V R obs BDTG bin 0
Wt
±0.31
±0.11
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.28
±0.00
±0.00
±0.25
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.50
0.00
H
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
WW
ZZ
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
WZ
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.03
0.07
tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W
DY
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
Z
±0.03
±0.23
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.01
±0.02
±0.10
±0.05
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.26
0.10
tt̄
±0.99
±0.82
±0.60
±0.57
±0.50
±0.11
±0.26
±0.13
±0.11
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±1.64
2.63
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
F akes
Table 47: Breakdown of the dominant systematic uncertainties on background estimates in SR2DF before the fit. Note
that the individual uncertainties can be correlated, and do not necessarily add up quadratically to the total background
uncertainty. The percentages show the size of the uncertainty relative to the total expected background.
±0.00
±2.10
Total background error
tZ
0.00
2.81
DF
SR2
Total background expectation
Uncertainty of channel
48
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±1.06
±0.92
±0.43
±0.41
±0.37
±0.32
±0.25
±0.18
±0.15
±0.11
±0.10
±0.05
±0.02
±0.02
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
Jet energy scale
Jet energy resolution
α tt̄GenPlusPS
γ shape mcstat tt̄ SR obs BDTG bin 0
CellOut energy resolution
α tt̄ISRFSR
mu tt̄DF
α systtt̄Xsec
CellOut energy scale
α PileUp
α ZGenerator
γ shape mcstat Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
α systZXsec
α systTplusXsec
Lumi
α systW tXsec
α systW ZXsec
α systZZXsec
α systW W Xsec
γ shape mcstat tZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
α systtZXsec
γ shape mcstat ZZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t SR obs BDTG bin 0
α ZZGenerator
γ shape mcstat W t CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
α JVF
γ shape mcstat DY CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
α W ZGenerator
γ shape mcstat DY V R obs BDTG bin 0
α F akesSyst
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
α W W Generator
γ shape mcstat ZZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes V R obs BDTG bin 0
Wt
±0.30
±0.11
±0.00
±0.00
±0.27
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.25
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.49
0.00
H
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
WW
ZZ
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
WZ
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.03
0.07
tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W
DY
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
Z
±0.03
±0.22
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.01
±0.10
±0.05
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.26
0.10
tt̄
±0.70
±0.58
±0.43
±0.41
±0.07
±0.32
±0.25
±0.18
±0.08
±0.09
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±1.07
1.88
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
F akes
Table 48: Breakdown of the dominant systematic uncertainties on background estimates in SR2DF after the fit. Note
that the individual uncertainties can be correlated, and do not necessarily add up quadratically to the total background
uncertainty. The percentages show the size of the uncertainty relative to the total expected background.
±0.00
±1.53
Total background error
tZ
0.00
2.06
DF
SR2
Total background expectation
Uncertainty of channel
49
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.97
±0.53
±0.46
±0.36
±0.19
±0.15
±0.08
±0.07
±0.05
±0.04
±0.02
±0.02
±0.02
±0.01
±0.01
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
α tt̄GenPlusPS
Jet energy scale
γ shape mcstat tt̄ SR obs BDTG bin 0
α tt̄ISRFSR
Jet energy resolution
α systtt̄Xsec
α PileUp
α ZGenerator
α W W Generator
CellOut energy resolution
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t SR obs BDTG bin 0
CellOut energy scale
α systZXsec
α systTplusXsec
Lumi
α systW tXsec
γ shape mcstat tZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
α systtZXsec
mu tt̄DF
α systW ZXsec
α systW W Xsec
α systZZXsec
γ shape mcstat H SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
α ZZGenerator
γ shape mcstat W t CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
α JVF
γ shape mcstat DY CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
α W ZGenerator
γ shape mcstat DY V R obs BDTG bin 0
α F akesSyst
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes V R obs BDTG bin 0
Wt
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.12
±0.00
±0.06
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.13
0.02
H
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.05
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.05
0.00
WW
ZZ
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
0.00
WZ
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
0.04
tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W
DY
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
Z
±0.00
±0.04
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.07
±0.00
±0.05
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.10
0.08
tt̄
±0.97
±0.48
±0.46
±0.36
±0.31
±0.15
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±1.27
1.51
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
F akes
Table 49: Breakdown of the dominant systematic uncertainties on background estimates in SR3DF before the fit. Note
that the individual uncertainties can be correlated, and do not necessarily add up quadratically to the total background
uncertainty. The percentages show the size of the uncertainty relative to the total expected background.
±0.00
±1.28
Total background error
tZ
0.00
1.65
DF
SR3
Total background expectation
Uncertainty of channel
50
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.69
±0.39
±0.33
±0.24
±0.15
±0.11
±0.10
±0.07
±0.07
±0.05
±0.04
±0.02
±0.02
±0.02
±0.01
±0.01
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
α tt̄GenPlusPS
Jet energy scale
γ shape mcstat tt̄ SR obs BDTG bin 0
α tt̄ISRFSR
mu tt̄DF
α systtt̄Xsec
Jet energy resolution
α ZGenerator
α PileUp
α W W Generator
CellOut energy resolution
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t SR obs BDTG bin 0
α systZXsec
CellOut energy scale
α systTplusXsec
Lumi
α systW tXsec
γ shape mcstat tZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
α systtZXsec
α systW ZXsec
α systZZXsec
α systW W Xsec
γ shape mcstat W Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
α ZZGenerator
γ shape mcstat W t CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
α JVF
γ shape mcstat DY CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
α W ZGenerator
γ shape mcstat DY V R obs BDTG bin 0
α F akesSyst
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes V R obs BDTG bin 0
Wt
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.11
±0.00
±0.06
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.13
0.02
H
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.05
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.05
0.00
WW
ZZ
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
0.00
WZ
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
0.04
tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W
DY
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
Z
±0.00
±0.04
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.07
±0.00
±0.00
±0.05
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.10
0.08
tt̄
±0.69
±0.34
±0.33
±0.24
±0.15
±0.11
±0.22
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.88
1.08
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
F akes
Table 50: Breakdown of the dominant systematic uncertainties on background estimates in SR3DF after the fit. Note
that the individual uncertainties can be correlated, and do not necessarily add up quadratically to the total background
uncertainty. The percentages show the size of the uncertainty relative to the total expected background.
±0.00
±0.88
Total background error
tZ
0.00
1.22
DF
SR3
Total background expectation
Uncertainty of channel
51
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.73
±0.69
±0.62
±0.49
±0.28
±0.24
±0.18
±0.17
±0.13
±0.13
±0.11
±0.11
±0.09
±0.05
±0.05
±0.05
±0.05
±0.04
±0.04
±0.02
±0.02
±0.02
±0.01
±0.01
±0.01
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
α tt̄Generator
CellOut energy scale
γ shape mcstat tt̄ SR obs BDTG bin 0
Jet energy scale
α systtt̄Xsec
Jet energy resolution
γ shape mcstat W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
α PileUp
α trigger
α tt̄ISRFSR
α tt̄PartonShower
γ shape mcstat W t SR obs BDTG bin 0
α systTplusXsec
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
α JVF
α systW W Xsec
α W W Generator
Lumi
CellOut energy resolution
α systW tXsec
α ZGenerator
γ shape mcstat ZZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
α ZZGenerator
γ shape mcstat Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
α W ZGenerator
α systtZXsec
α systZXsec
γ shape mcstat tZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
α systZZXsec
α systW ZXsec
mu tt̄DF
γ shape mcstat H SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY V R obs BDTG bin 0
α F akesSyst
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes V R obs BDTG bin 0
Wt
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.11
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.11
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.15
0.11
H
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
±0.00
±0.07
±0.00
±0.10
±0.00
±0.00
±0.18
±0.02
±0.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.05
±0.05
±0.03
±0.04
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.23
0.97
WW
ZZ
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
0.01
WZ
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.02
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.09
±0.05
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.11
0.39
tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W
DY
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
Z
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
0.02
tt̄
±0.73
±0.61
±0.62
±0.37
±0.28
±0.26
±0.00
±0.07
±0.09
±0.13
±0.11
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.05
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.08
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±1.27
2.84
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
F akes
Table 51: Breakdown of the dominant systematic uncertainties on background estimates in SR4DF before the fit. Note
that the individual uncertainties can be correlated, and do not necessarily add up quadratically to the total background
uncertainty. The percentages show the size of the uncertainty relative to the total expected background.
±0.00
±1.38
Total background error
tZ
0.00
4.35
DF
SR4
Total background expectation
Uncertainty of channel
52
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.66
±0.63
±0.56
±0.46
±0.43
±0.26
±0.22
±0.18
±0.17
±0.12
±0.11
±0.11
±0.10
±0.08
±0.05
±0.05
±0.05
±0.04
±0.04
±0.03
±0.02
±0.02
±0.02
±0.01
±0.01
±0.01
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
α tt̄Generator
CellOut energy scale
γ shape mcstat tt̄ SR obs BDTG bin 0
Jet energy scale
mu tt̄DF
α systtt̄Xsec
Jet energy resolution
γ shape mcstat W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
α PileUp
α trigger
α tt̄ISRFSR
γ shape mcstat W t SR obs BDTG bin 0
α tt̄PartonShower
α systTplusXsec
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
α systW W Xsec
α W W Generator
α JVF
Lumi
CellOut energy resolution
α systW tXsec
α ZGenerator
γ shape mcstat ZZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
α ZZGenerator
γ shape mcstat Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
α W ZGenerator
α systtZXsec
α systZXsec
γ shape mcstat tZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
α systZZXsec
α systW ZXsec
γ shape mcstat DY SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY V R obs BDTG bin 0
α F akesSyst
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes V R obs BDTG bin 0
Wt
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.11
±0.00
±0.00
±0.11
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.15
0.11
H
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
±0.00
±0.07
±0.00
±0.10
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.18
±0.02
±0.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.05
±0.05
±0.00
±0.03
±0.04
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.23
0.97
WW
ZZ
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
0.01
WZ
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.02
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.08
±0.05
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.11
0.39
tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W
DY
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
Z
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
0.02
tt̄
±0.66
±0.55
±0.56
±0.33
±0.43
±0.26
±0.24
±0.00
±0.06
±0.08
±0.11
±0.00
±0.10
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.04
±0.00
±0.07
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.98
2.59
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
F akes
Table 52: Breakdown of the dominant systematic uncertainties on background estimates in SR4DF after the fit. Note
that the individual uncertainties can be correlated, and do not necessarily add up quadratically to the total background
uncertainty. The percentages show the size of the uncertainty relative to the total expected background.
±0.00
±1.07
Total background error
tZ
0.00
4.09
DF
SR4
Total background expectation
Uncertainty of channel
53
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±3.62
±1.43
±0.94
±0.74
±0.73
±0.66
±0.47
±0.43
±0.37
±0.25
±0.23
±0.22
±0.17
±0.15
±0.14
±0.12
±0.10
±0.10
±0.09
±0.08
±0.07
±0.02
±0.02
±0.01
±0.01
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
α tt̄Generator
α W W Generator
Jet energy resolution
γ shape mcstat tt̄ SR obs BDTG bin 0
α PileUp
CellOut energy resolution
CellOut energy scale
α systtt̄Xsec
γ shape mcstat W t SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
α trigger
α W ZGenerator
α tt̄PartonShower
α systTplusXsec
Jet energy scale
α JVF
γ shape mcstat W Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
α systW W Xsec
Lumi
α systW tXsec
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
α systW ZXsec
γ shape mcstat Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
α ZZGenerator
α ZGenerator
α systtZXsec
γ shape mcstat tZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
α systZZXsec
α systZXsec
mu tt̄DF
γ shape mcstat H SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ V R obs BDTG bin 0
α tt̄ISRFSR
γ shape mcstat tZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY V R obs BDTG bin 0
α F akesSyst
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes V R obs BDTG bin 0
Wt
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.07
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.37
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.08
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.39
0.41
H
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
0.00
±0.00
±1.43
±0.04
±0.00
±0.03
±0.12
±0.05
±0.00
±0.00
±0.25
±0.06
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.06
±0.03
±0.00
±0.10
±0.05
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±1.46
1.91
WW
ZZ
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.03
±0.03
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.22
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.10
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.25
0.23
WZ
±0.00
±0.00
±0.03
±0.00
±0.01
±0.01
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.15
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.07
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.17
0.68
tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W
DY
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
Z
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
0.01
tt̄
±3.62
±0.00
±1.00
±0.74
±0.71
±0.50
±0.43
±0.43
±0.00
±0.00
±0.13
±0.00
±0.17
±0.00
±0.07
±0.06
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±3.98
4.28
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
F akes
Table 53: Breakdown of the dominant systematic uncertainties on background estimates in SR5DF before the fit. Note
that the individual uncertainties can be correlated, and do not necessarily add up quadratically to the total background
uncertainty. The percentages show the size of the uncertainty relative to the total expected background.
±0.00
±4.29
Total background error
tZ
0.00
7.54
DF
SR5
Total background expectation
Uncertainty of channel
54
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±4.22
±1.42
±1.10
±0.87
±0.86
±0.84
±0.74
±0.54
±0.50
±0.37
±0.25
±0.25
±0.22
±0.20
±0.15
±0.15
±0.13
±0.10
±0.09
±0.09
±0.08
±0.07
±0.03
±0.02
±0.02
±0.01
±0.01
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
α tt̄Generator
α W W Generator
Jet energy resolution
mu tt̄DF
γ shape mcstat tt̄ SR obs BDTG bin 0
α PileUp
CellOut energy resolution
CellOut energy scale
α systtt̄Xsec
γ shape mcstat W t SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
α trigger
α W ZGenerator
α tt̄PartonShower
α systTplusXsec
Jet energy scale
α JVF
γ shape mcstat W Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
α systW W Xsec
Lumi
α systW tXsec
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
α tt̄ISRFSR
γ shape mcstat ZZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
α systW ZXsec
γ shape mcstat Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
α ZZGenerator
α ZGenerator
α systtZXsec
γ shape mcstat tZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
α systZZXsec
α systZXsec
γ shape mcstat H SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY V R obs BDTG bin 0
α F akesSyst
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes V R obs BDTG bin 0
Wt
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.07
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.37
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.08
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.39
0.41
H
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
0.00
±0.00
±1.42
±0.04
±0.00
±0.00
±0.03
±0.12
±0.05
±0.00
±0.00
±0.25
±0.06
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.06
±0.03
±0.00
±0.09
±0.05
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±1.45
1.91
WW
ZZ
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.03
±0.03
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.22
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.10
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.25
0.23
WZ
±0.00
±0.00
±0.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.01
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.15
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.07
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.17
0.68
tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W
DY
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
Z
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
0.01
tt̄
±4.22
±0.00
±1.16
±0.87
±0.86
±0.82
±0.59
±0.50
±0.50
±0.00
±0.00
±0.15
±0.00
±0.20
±0.00
±0.08
±0.07
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±4.19
5.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
F akes
Table 54: Breakdown of the dominant systematic uncertainties on background estimates in SR5DF after the fit. Note
that the individual uncertainties can be correlated, and do not necessarily add up quadratically to the total background
uncertainty. The percentages show the size of the uncertainty relative to the total expected background.
±0.00
±4.44
Total background error
tZ
0.00
8.26
DF
SR5
Total background expectation
Uncertainty of channel
55
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±1.11
±0.65
±0.37
±0.35
±0.29
±0.25
±0.21
±0.20
±0.18
±0.16
±0.13
±0.13
±0.10
±0.09
±0.09
±0.08
±0.08
±0.06
±0.06
±0.06
±0.03
±0.03
±0.02
±0.02
±0.01
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
α tt̄Generator
α W W Generator
γ shape mcstat W t SR obs BDTG bin 0
Jet energy resolution
Jet energy scale
γ shape mcstat tt̄ SR obs BDTG bin 0
α W ZGenerator
γ shape mcstat W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
α PileUp
CellOut energy scale
CellOut energy resolution
α tt̄ISRFSR
γ shape mcstat W Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
α systTplusXsec
α trigger
α systW tXsec
α systtt̄Xsec
Lumi
α systW W Xsec
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
α tt̄PartonShower
α JVF
γ shape mcstat ZZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
α ZZGenerator
α systW ZXsec
α systtZXsec
γ shape mcstat tZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
α systZZXsec
α systZXsec
mu tt̄DF
γ shape mcstat H SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY V R obs BDTG bin 0
α F akesSyst
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
α ZGenerator
γ shape mcstat W t V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes V R obs BDTG bin 0
Wt
±0.00
±0.00
±0.37
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.07
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.08
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.39
0.41
H
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
0.00
±0.00
±0.65
±0.00
±0.12
±0.13
±0.00
±0.00
±0.20
±0.02
±0.01
±0.09
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.04
±0.00
±0.00
±0.03
±0.06
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.71
1.23
WW
ZZ
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.03
0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.21
±0.00
±0.05
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.10
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.24
0.21
WZ
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.03
±0.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.01
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.09
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.06
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.12
0.42
tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W
DY
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
Z
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
tt̄
±1.11
±0.00
±0.00
±0.20
±0.10
±0.25
±0.00
±0.00
±0.17
±0.14
±0.23
±0.13
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.08
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±1.21
0.76
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
F akes
Table 55: Breakdown of the dominant systematic uncertainties on background estimates in SR6DF before the fit. Note
that the individual uncertainties can be correlated, and do not necessarily add up quadratically to the total background
uncertainty. The percentages show the size of the uncertainty relative to the total expected background.
±0.01
±1.51
Total background error
tZ
0.01
3.07
DF
SR6
Total background expectation
Uncertainty of channel
56
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±1.51
±0.64
±0.42
±0.37
±0.35
±0.33
±0.28
±0.24
±0.22
±0.21
±0.20
±0.20
±0.14
±0.10
±0.10
±0.10
±0.09
±0.08
±0.06
±0.06
±0.06
±0.04
±0.03
±0.02
±0.02
±0.01
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
α tt̄Generator
α W W Generator
Jet energy resolution
γ shape mcstat W t SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ SR obs BDTG bin 0
Jet energy scale
mu tt̄DF
α PileUp
CellOut energy resolution
α W ZGenerator
CellOut energy scale
γ shape mcstat W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
α tt̄ISRFSR
α systtt̄Xsec
α trigger
γ shape mcstat W Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
α systTplusXsec
α systW tXsec
Lumi
α systW W Xsec
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
α tt̄PartonShower
α JVF
γ shape mcstat ZZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
α ZZGenerator
α systW ZXsec
α systtZXsec
γ shape mcstat tZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
α systZZXsec
α systZXsec
γ shape mcstat Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY V R obs BDTG bin 0
α F akesSyst
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
α ZGenerator
γ shape mcstat W t V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes V R obs BDTG bin 0
Wt
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.37
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.07
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.08
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.39
0.41
H
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
0.00
±0.00
±0.64
±0.12
±0.00
±0.00
±0.14
±0.00
±0.02
±0.09
±0.00
±0.01
±0.20
±0.00
±0.00
±0.04
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.03
±0.06
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.71
1.23
WW
ZZ
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.03
0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.05
±0.00
±0.21
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.10
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.24
0.21
WZ
±0.00
±0.00
±0.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.03
±0.00
±0.02
±0.01
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.09
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.06
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.12
0.42
tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W
DY
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
Z
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
tt̄
±1.51
±0.00
±0.27
±0.00
±0.35
±0.14
±0.28
±0.23
±0.32
±0.00
±0.18
±0.00
±0.14
±0.10
±0.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.04
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±1.56
1.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
F akes
Table 56: Breakdown of the dominant systematic uncertainties on background estimates in SR6DF after the fit. Note
that the individual uncertainties can be correlated, and do not necessarily add up quadratically to the total background
uncertainty. The percentages show the size of the uncertainty relative to the total expected background.
±0.01
±1.79
Total background error
tZ
0.01
3.34
DF
SR6
Total background expectation
Uncertainty of channel
57
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±2.83
±2.04
±1.04
±0.89
±0.83
±0.77
±0.33
±0.24
±0.14
±0.14
±0.11
±0.10
±0.09
±0.06
±0.04
±0.04
±0.04
±0.03
±0.01
±0.01
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
α tt̄GenPlusPS
Jet energy scale
γ shape mcstat tt̄ SR obs BDTG bin 0
α systtt̄Xsec
α tt̄ISRFSR
α ZGenerator
Jet energy resolution
γ shape mcstat Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
α JVF
CellOut energy scale
α systZXsec
α PileUp
α W ZGenerator
γ shape mcstat W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
α W W Generator
α systTplusXsec
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
Lumi
γ shape mcstat W Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
CellOut energy resolution
α ZZGenerator
α systW W Xsec
γ shape mcstat H SR obs BDTG bin 0
α systW ZXsec
mu tt̄SF
γ shape mcstat tZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
α systtZXsec
α systW tXsec
α systZZXsec
γ shape mcstat DY SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
α F akesSyst
γ shape mcstat tZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
Wt
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
H
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.05
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.06
±0.04
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.09
0.08
WW
ZZ
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.09
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.09
0.01
WZ
±0.00
±0.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.04
±0.04
±0.01
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.07
0.19
tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W
DY
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
Z
±0.00
±0.26
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.77
±0.09
±0.24
±0.02
±0.00
±0.11
±0.04
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.28
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.90
0.77
tt̄
±2.83
±1.73
±1.04
±0.89
±0.83
±0.00
±0.22
±0.00
±0.12
±0.15
±0.00
±0.04
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.30
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±3.70
8.87
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
F akes
Table 57: Breakdown of the dominant systematic uncertainties on background estimates in SR1SF before the fit. Note
that the individual uncertainties can be correlated, and do not necessarily add up quadratically to the total background
uncertainty. The percentages show the size of the uncertainty relative to the total expected background.
±0.00
±3.94
Total background error
tZ
0.00
9.92
SF
SR1
Total background expectation
Uncertainty of channel
58
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±1.97
±1.50
±0.83
±0.76
±0.73
±0.61
±0.53
±0.26
±0.24
±0.11
±0.11
±0.09
±0.09
±0.09
±0.08
±0.06
±0.04
±0.04
±0.04
±0.03
±0.01
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
α tt̄GenPlusPS
Jet energy scale
mu tt̄SF
α ZGenerator
γ shape mcstat tt̄ SR obs BDTG bin 0
α systtt̄Xsec
α tt̄ISRFSR
Jet energy resolution
γ shape mcstat Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
α systZXsec
α JVF
CellOut energy scale
α W ZGenerator
α PileUp
CellOut energy resolution
γ shape mcstat W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
α W W Generator
α systTplusXsec
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
Lumi
γ shape mcstat W Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
α ZZGenerator
α systW W Xsec
γ shape mcstat H SR obs BDTG bin 0
α systW ZXsec
γ shape mcstat tZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
α systtZXsec
α systW tXsec
α systZZXsec
γ shape mcstat ZZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
α F akesSyst
γ shape mcstat tZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
Wt
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
H
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.05
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.06
±0.04
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.09
0.08
WW
ZZ
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.09
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.09
0.01
WZ
±0.00
±0.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.04
±0.04
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.07
0.19
tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W
DY
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
Z
±0.00
±0.26
±0.00
±0.76
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.09
±0.24
±0.11
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.04
±0.27
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.90
0.77
tt̄
±1.97
±1.20
±0.83
±0.00
±0.73
±0.61
±0.53
±0.15
±0.00
±0.00
±0.09
±0.10
±0.00
±0.03
±0.21
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±2.25
6.20
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
F akes
Table 58: Breakdown of the dominant systematic uncertainties on background estimates in SR1SF after the fit. Note
that the individual uncertainties can be correlated, and do not necessarily add up quadratically to the total background
uncertainty. The percentages show the size of the uncertainty relative to the total expected background.
±0.00
±2.49
Total background error
tZ
0.00
7.25
SF
SR1
Total background expectation
Uncertainty of channel
59
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±1.43
±0.97
±0.72
±0.72
±0.72
±0.69
±0.54
±0.48
±0.26
±0.25
±0.14
±0.14
±0.14
±0.11
±0.08
±0.05
±0.05
±0.05
±0.04
±0.03
±0.02
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
Jet energy scale
γ shape mcstat tt̄ SR obs BDTG bin 0
α systtt̄Xsec
α tt̄ISRFSR
α ZGenerator
CellOut energy resolution
CellOut energy scale
Jet energy resolution
α tt̄GenPlusPS
γ shape mcstat Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
α PileUp
α W ZGenerator
α JVF
α systZXsec
γ shape mcstat W t SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
α systTplusXsec
α W W Generator
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
Lumi
α systW tXsec
γ shape mcstat W Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
α systW W Xsec
α systtZXsec
α systW ZXsec
mu tt̄SF
α systZZXsec
γ shape mcstat tZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
α ZZGenerator
γ shape mcstat DY V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
α F akesSyst
γ shape mcstat tZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
Wt
±0.14
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.19
±0.00
±0.19
±0.00
±0.00
±0.08
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.08
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.33
0.10
H
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.07
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.05
±0.00
±0.05
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.11
0.07
WW
ZZ
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.14
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.14
0.01
WZ
±0.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.05
±0.00
±0.04
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.08
0.23
tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W
DY
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
Z
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.72
±0.02
±0.00
±0.03
±0.00
±0.25
±0.03
±0.00
±0.02
±0.11
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.77
0.72
tt̄
±1.24
±0.97
±0.72
±0.72
±0.00
±0.55
±0.53
±0.34
±0.26
±0.00
±0.17
±0.00
±0.12
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±2.08
7.20
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
F akes
Table 59: Breakdown of the dominant systematic uncertainties on background estimates in SR2SF before the fit. Note
that the individual uncertainties can be correlated, and do not necessarily add up quadratically to the total background
uncertainty. The percentages show the size of the uncertainty relative to the total expected background.
±0.00
±2.40
Total background error
tZ
0.00
8.34
SF
SR2
Total background expectation
Uncertainty of channel
60
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±1.05
±0.71
±0.68
±0.67
±0.52
±0.50
±0.44
±0.38
±0.37
±0.25
±0.18
±0.14
±0.11
±0.10
±0.09
±0.08
±0.05
±0.05
±0.05
±0.04
±0.03
±0.02
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
Jet energy scale
α ZGenerator
γ shape mcstat tt̄ SR obs BDTG bin 0
mu tt̄SF
CellOut energy resolution
α systtt̄Xsec
α tt̄ISRFSR
Jet energy resolution
CellOut energy scale
γ shape mcstat Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
α tt̄GenPlusPS
α W ZGenerator
α systZXsec
α JVF
α PileUp
γ shape mcstat W t SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
α systTplusXsec
α W W Generator
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
Lumi
α systW tXsec
γ shape mcstat W Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
α systW W Xsec
α systtZXsec
α systW ZXsec
α systZZXsec
γ shape mcstat tZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
α ZZGenerator
γ shape mcstat DY V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
α F akesSyst
γ shape mcstat tZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
Wt
±0.14
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.19
±0.00
±0.00
±0.19
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.08
±0.08
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.33
0.10
H
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.07
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.05
±0.00
±0.05
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.11
0.07
WW
ZZ
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.14
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.14
0.01
WZ
±0.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.05
±0.00
±0.04
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.08
0.23
tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W
DY
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
Z
±0.01
±0.71
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.03
±0.00
±0.25
±0.00
±0.00
±0.11
±0.02
±0.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.76
0.72
tt̄
±0.86
±0.00
±0.68
±0.67
±0.38
±0.50
±0.44
±0.23
±0.37
±0.00
±0.18
±0.00
±0.00
±0.08
±0.12
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±1.10
5.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
F akes
Table 60: Breakdown of the dominant systematic uncertainties on background estimates in SR2SF after the fit. Note
that the individual uncertainties can be correlated, and do not necessarily add up quadratically to the total background
uncertainty. The percentages show the size of the uncertainty relative to the total expected background.
±0.00
±1.48
Total background error
tZ
0.00
6.16
SF
SR2
Total background expectation
Uncertainty of channel
61
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.72
±0.62
±0.57
±0.55
±0.30
±0.29
±0.24
±0.13
±0.11
±0.11
±0.07
±0.06
±0.06
±0.06
±0.06
±0.03
±0.03
±0.02
±0.01
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
α ZGenerator
γ shape mcstat tt̄ SR obs BDTG bin 0
α tt̄ISRFSR
Jet energy scale
α systtt̄Xsec
Jet energy resolution
γ shape mcstat Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
CellOut energy resolution
α systZXsec
α tt̄GenPlusPS
CellOut energy scale
α JVF
α W W Generator
α W ZGenerator
α PileUp
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
α systTplusXsec
Lumi
γ shape mcstat W Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
α ZZGenerator
α systtZXsec
γ shape mcstat H SR obs BDTG bin 0
α systW ZXsec
mu tt̄SF
α systW tXsec
α systW W Xsec
α systZZXsec
γ shape mcstat tZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
α F akesSyst
γ shape mcstat tZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
Wt
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.04
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.04
0.00
H
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.06
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.06
0.00
WW
ZZ
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.06
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.06
0.01
WZ
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.03
±0.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.05
0.12
tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W
DY
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
Z
±0.72
±0.00
±0.00
±0.11
±0.00
±0.08
±0.24
±0.02
±0.11
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.78
0.72
tt̄
±0.00
±0.62
±0.57
±0.44
±0.30
±0.35
±0.00
±0.15
±0.00
±0.11
±0.07
±0.04
±0.00
±0.00
±0.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±1.07
2.98
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
F akes
Table 61: Breakdown of the dominant systematic uncertainties on background estimates in SR3SF before the fit. Note
that the individual uncertainties can be correlated, and do not necessarily add up quadratically to the total background
uncertainty. The percentages show the size of the uncertainty relative to the total expected background.
±0.00
±1.35
Total background error
tZ
0.00
3.85
SF
SR3
Total background expectation
Uncertainty of channel
62
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.72
±0.43
±0.42
±0.35
±0.28
±0.24
±0.21
±0.18
±0.11
±0.08
±0.07
±0.06
±0.06
±0.05
±0.05
±0.05
±0.03
±0.03
±0.02
±0.01
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
α ZGenerator
γ shape mcstat tt̄ SR obs BDTG bin 0
Jet energy scale
α tt̄ISRFSR
mu tt̄SF
γ shape mcstat Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
α systtt̄Xsec
Jet energy resolution
α systZXsec
CellOut energy resolution
α tt̄GenPlusPS
α W W Generator
α W ZGenerator
α PileUp
α JVF
CellOut energy scale
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
α systTplusXsec
Lumi
γ shape mcstat W Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
α ZZGenerator
α systtZXsec
γ shape mcstat H SR obs BDTG bin 0
α systW ZXsec
α systW tXsec
α systZZXsec
α systW W Xsec
γ shape mcstat tZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
α F akesSyst
γ shape mcstat tZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
Wt
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.04
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.04
0.00
H
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.06
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.06
0.00
WW
ZZ
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.06
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.06
0.01
WZ
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.03
±0.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.05
0.12
tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W
DY
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
Z
±0.72
±0.00
±0.11
±0.00
±0.00
±0.24
±0.00
±0.08
±0.11
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.03
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.78
0.72
tt̄
±0.00
±0.43
±0.30
±0.35
±0.28
±0.00
±0.21
±0.24
±0.00
±0.10
±0.07
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.03
±0.05
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.63
2.08
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
F akes
Table 62: Breakdown of the dominant systematic uncertainties on background estimates in SR3SF after the fit. Note
that the individual uncertainties can be correlated, and do not necessarily add up quadratically to the total background
uncertainty. The percentages show the size of the uncertainty relative to the total expected background.
±0.00
±0.99
Total background error
tZ
0.00
2.95
SF
SR3
Total background expectation
Uncertainty of channel
63
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.71
±0.62
±0.61
±0.56
±0.47
±0.46
±0.44
±0.42
±0.29
±0.20
±0.20
±0.20
±0.18
±0.15
±0.12
±0.12
±0.11
±0.09
±0.08
±0.07
±0.06
±0.05
±0.05
±0.05
±0.05
±0.04
±0.02
±0.02
±0.02
±0.01
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
Jet energy scale
α tt̄Generator
γ shape mcstat tt̄ SR obs BDTG bin 0
CellOut energy scale
α PileUp
α W W Generator
α ZZGenerator
α W ZGenerator
α systtt̄Xsec
γ shape mcstat W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
Jet energy resolution
α trigger
CellOut energy resolution
α tt̄PartonShower
γ shape mcstat ZZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
α ZGenerator
Lumi
γ shape mcstat W t SR obs BDTG bin 0
α systTplusXsec
α JVF
α systW ZXsec
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
α systW W Xsec
α systZZXsec
γ shape mcstat H SR obs BDTG bin 0
α systZXsec
α systW tXsec
α systtZXsec
γ shape mcstat tZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
mu tt̄SF
γ shape mcstat F akes SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H CR obs BDTG bin 0
α tt̄ISRFSR
γ shape mcstat W t CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
α F akesSyst
γ shape mcstat tZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
Wt
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.10
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.08
±0.00
±0.04
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.13
0.08
H
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.03
0.03
±0.06
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.04
±0.46
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.20
±0.00
±0.11
±0.03
±0.06
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.05
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.53
0.92
WW
ZZ
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.05
±0.00
±0.44
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.08
±0.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.12
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.04
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.04
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.47
0.83
±0.05
±0.00
±0.00
±0.03
±0.08
±0.00
±0.00
±0.42
±0.00
±0.00
±0.20
±0.12
±0.02
±0.07
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.03
±0.05
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.50
0.74
WZ
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.07
±0.00
±0.00
±0.05
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.09
0.32
tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W
DY
±0.51
±0.00
±0.00
±0.12
±0.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.08
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.53
0.00
Z
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.06
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.19
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.11
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.05
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.23
0.11
tt̄
±0.07
±0.62
±0.61
±0.43
±0.24
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.29
±0.00
±0.00
±0.24
±0.09
±0.14
±0.12
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±1.09
2.95
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
F akes
Table 63: Breakdown of the dominant systematic uncertainties on background estimates in SR4SF before the fit. Note
that the individual uncertainties can be correlated, and do not necessarily add up quadratically to the total background
uncertainty. The percentages show the size of the uncertainty relative to the total expected background.
±0.02
±1.64
Total background error
tZ
0.01
6.00
SF
SR4
Total background expectation
Uncertainty of channel
64
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.71
±0.69
±0.67
±0.60
±0.49
±0.46
±0.46
±0.44
±0.41
±0.32
±0.22
±0.21
±0.20
±0.19
±0.17
±0.13
±0.12
±0.11
±0.09
±0.08
±0.07
±0.06
±0.05
±0.05
±0.05
±0.05
±0.04
±0.02
±0.02
±0.02
±0.01
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
Jet energy scale
α tt̄Generator
γ shape mcstat tt̄ SR obs BDTG bin 0
CellOut energy scale
α PileUp
mu tt̄SF
α W W Generator
α ZZGenerator
α W ZGenerator
α systtt̄Xsec
Jet energy resolution
γ shape mcstat W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
α trigger
CellOut energy resolution
α tt̄PartonShower
γ shape mcstat ZZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
α ZGenerator
Lumi
γ shape mcstat W t SR obs BDTG bin 0
α systTplusXsec
α JVF
α systW ZXsec
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
α systW W Xsec
α systZZXsec
γ shape mcstat H SR obs BDTG bin 0
α systZXsec
α systW tXsec
α systtZXsec
γ shape mcstat tZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
α tt̄ISRFSR
γ shape mcstat DY SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
α F akesSyst
γ shape mcstat tZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
Wt
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.10
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.08
±0.00
±0.04
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.13
0.08
H
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.03
0.03
±0.06
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.04
±0.00
±0.46
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.11
±0.21
±0.00
±0.03
±0.06
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.05
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.52
0.93
WW
ZZ
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.05
±0.00
±0.00
±0.44
±0.00
±0.00
±0.08
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.12
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.04
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.04
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.47
0.83
±0.05
±0.00
±0.00
±0.03
±0.08
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.41
±0.00
±0.12
±0.00
±0.20
±0.02
±0.07
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.03
±0.05
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.50
0.74
WZ
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.07
±0.00
±0.00
±0.05
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.09
0.32
tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W
DY
±0.51
±0.00
±0.00
±0.11
±0.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.08
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.53
0.00
Z
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.06
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.19
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.11
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.05
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.23
0.11
tt̄
±0.08
±0.69
±0.67
±0.47
±0.26
±0.46
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.32
±0.27
±0.00
±0.00
±0.10
±0.15
±0.13
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±1.03
3.27
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
F akes
Table 64: Breakdown of the dominant systematic uncertainties on background estimates in SR4SF after the fit. Note
that the individual uncertainties can be correlated, and do not necessarily add up quadratically to the total background
uncertainty. The percentages show the size of the uncertainty relative to the total expected background.
±0.02
±1.57
Total background error
tZ
0.01
6.33
SF
SR4
Total background expectation
Uncertainty of channel
65
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±1.27
±0.70
±0.63
±0.56
±0.50
±0.38
±0.34
±0.23
±0.23
±0.20
±0.20
±0.17
±0.16
±0.15
±0.14
±0.11
±0.10
±0.09
±0.07
±0.07
±0.07
±0.05
±0.05
±0.04
±0.01
±0.01
±0.01
±0.01
±0.01
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
α tt̄Generator
γ shape mcstat tt̄ SR obs BDTG bin 0
CellOut energy scale
CellOut energy resolution
α PileUp
α systtt̄Xsec
γ shape mcstat W t SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY SR obs BDTG bin 0
Jet energy resolution
α W ZGenerator
α ZZGenerator
α W W Generator
α trigger
α tt̄PartonShower
Jet energy scale
γ shape mcstat W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
α ZGenerator
γ shape mcstat Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
α systTplusXsec
γ shape mcstat W Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
α systW tXsec
γ shape mcstat ZZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
Lumi
α systZXsec
α systW W Xsec
α systZZXsec
α systW ZXsec
α JVF
α systtZXsec
γ shape mcstat tZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
mu tt̄SF
γ shape mcstat H SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H CR obs BDTG bin 0
α tt̄ISRFSR
γ shape mcstat W t CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
α F akesSyst
γ shape mcstat tZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
Wt
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.34
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.07
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.35
0.34
H
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.13
±0.00
±0.00
±0.17
±0.01
±0.00
±0.01
±0.11
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.24
0.24
WW
ZZ
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.20
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.05
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.21
0.19
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.06
±0.08
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.20
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.07
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.24
0.13
WZ
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.04
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.07
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.05
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.10
0.33
tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W
DY
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.14
±0.00
±0.00
±0.23
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.27
0.23
Z
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.10
±0.09
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.13
0.10
tt̄
±1.27
±0.70
±0.61
±0.50
±0.31
±0.38
±0.00
±0.00
±0.31
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.12
±0.15
±0.16
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.04
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±1.77
3.84
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
F akes
Table 65: Breakdown of the dominant systematic uncertainties on background estimates in SR5SF before the fit. Note
that the individual uncertainties can be correlated, and do not necessarily add up quadratically to the total background
uncertainty. The percentages show the size of the uncertainty relative to the total expected background.
±0.01
±1.92
Total background error
tZ
0.01
5.42
SF
SR5
Total background expectation
Uncertainty of channel
66
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±1.29
±0.71
±0.64
±0.56
±0.54
±0.51
±0.39
±0.34
±0.23
±0.23
±0.20
±0.20
±0.17
±0.16
±0.16
±0.15
±0.11
±0.10
±0.09
±0.07
±0.07
±0.07
±0.05
±0.05
±0.04
±0.04
±0.01
±0.01
±0.01
±0.01
±0.01
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
α tt̄Generator
γ shape mcstat tt̄ SR obs BDTG bin 0
CellOut energy scale
CellOut energy resolution
mu tt̄SF
α PileUp
α systtt̄Xsec
γ shape mcstat W t SR obs BDTG bin 0
Jet energy resolution
γ shape mcstat DY SR obs BDTG bin 0
α W ZGenerator
α ZZGenerator
α W W Generator
α trigger
α tt̄PartonShower
Jet energy scale
γ shape mcstat W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
α ZGenerator
γ shape mcstat Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
α systTplusXsec
γ shape mcstat W Z SR obs BDTG bin 0
α systW tXsec
γ shape mcstat ZZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W SR obs BDTG bin 0
Lumi
α tt̄ISRFSR
α systZXsec
α systW W Xsec
α systZZXsec
α systW ZXsec
α JVF
α systtZXsec
γ shape mcstat tZ SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes SR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
α F akesSyst
γ shape mcstat tZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat ZZ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W t V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tZ CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat H V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat F akes CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat tt̄ V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat DY CR obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W W V R obs BDTG bin 0
γ shape mcstat W Z V R obs BDTG bin 0
Wt
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.34
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.07
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.35
0.34
H
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.02
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.13
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.17
±0.01
±0.00
±0.01
±0.11
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.24
0.24
WW
ZZ
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.20
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.05
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.21
0.19
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.06
±0.00
±0.08
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.20
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.07
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.03
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.24
0.13
WZ
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.04
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.07
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.05
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.10
0.33
tt̄W + tt̄Z + tt̄W W
DY
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.14
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.23
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.27
0.23
Z
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.10
±0.09
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.01
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.13
0.10
tt̄
±1.29
±0.71
±0.62
±0.50
±0.54
±0.31
±0.39
±0.00
±0.31
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.12
±0.16
±0.16
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.04
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.04
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±1.63
3.92
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
±0.00
0.00
F akes
Table 66: Breakdown of the dominant systematic uncertainties on background estimates in SR5SF after the fit. Note
that the individual uncertainties can be correlated, and do not necessarily add up quadratically to the total background
uncertainty. The percentages show the size of the uncertainty relative to the total expected background.
±0.01
±1.78
Total background error
tZ
0.01
5.50
SF
SR5
Total background expectation
Uncertainty of channel

pagine dedicate ai progetti.