Transport Day Africa / BVL am 12. Juli 2016, Mannheim Welcome Coffee & Snacks 16:00-16:30 h 1. Begrüßung Klaus-Dieter Enzenbach, Regionalgruppensprecher Rhein/Neckar Björn Klippel, Geschäftsführer, TIM CONSULT GmbH 10 min 2. Erfahrungen in Afrika – Chancen & Herausforderungen 110 min Panel: Achim Becker, Head of Business Development, Julius Berger Int. GmbH Wolfgang Busch, Africa Business Development Director, Bolloré Group Moderation: Götz von Scheidt, Principal, TIM CONSULT GmbH Nina Marten, Consultant, TIM CONSULT Inc. Themen: - Herausforderungen und Erfahrungen - Märkte und Infrastrukturen - Leben und Arbeiten - Erkenntnisse und Optionen 3. Market Intelligence als Unterstützung für Ihr Afrika-Geschäft Björn Klippel, Geschäftsführer, TIM CONSULT GmbH 20 min Networking & Imbiss ab 18:50 h © TIM CONSULT 2016 Seite 2 Afrika Kontinent der Gegensätze und Vielseitigkeit Zweitgrößter Kontinent der Erde 1.200 - 2.000 gesprochene Sprachen 54 Staaten 1/3 Analphabeten 1,1 Milliarde Menschen © TIM CONSULT 2016 > 3.000 verschiedene Bevölkerungsgruppen 89% der Vorkommen an mineralischen Rohstoffen BIP: 2.200 Mrd. USD Seite 4 Aktuelle und zukünftige Megatrends in Afrika Warum ist Afrika interessant ? Was treibt uns? Welche Aufgaben ergeben sich hieraus? Demografischer & Sozialer Wandel Verdopplung der 1 Bevölkerungszahl bis 2050 Stärkere Nutzung von Bodenschätzen Hohes Wachstumspotential 5 Die neue Mittelschicht ? (Langsam) wachsende Mittelschicht 2 Voranschreitende Verstädterung 3 der größten Städte der Welt in Afrika: Lagos, Kinshasa und Abidjan 6 3 Zunehmende Anzahl „Megacities“ (>10 Mio. EW) 12 der weltweit 30 Megacities in Afrika im Jahr 2025 7 4 8 Zunehmende Technologisierung Stärkere Verbreitung von Internet und Mobiltechnologie BIP Wachstum und Inflation Langsames, stetiges Wachstum Große Infrastrukturprogramme Sub-Sahara: >70 Mrd. USD Investitionen in Straßen- und Schienennetz Quelle: UN Department of Economic and Social Affairs; “Into Africa – The continent’s cities of opportunity” (PWC, März 2015) © TIM CONSULT 2016 Seite 5 Chancen für Handel, Industrie, Politik und Dienstleister in Afrika Stabile Wirtschaft: Moderates BIP-Wachstum und durchschnittliche Inflationsraten Bruttoinlandsprodukt und Inflation BIP (in Mrd. USD) $ Wachstumsrate BIP BIP pro Einwohner $ Inflations$ $ $ rate Afrika Algerien Nigeria Südafrika 2 233 174 465 309 3,5% 3,9% 2,7% 1,3% 1.932 4.371 2.553 5.662 7,4% 4,8% 9,0% 4,5% Quelle: African Statistical Yearbook 2016, Datenstand: 2015; IMF World Economic Outlook April 2016 © TIM CONSULT 2016 Seite 6 Chancen für Handel, Industrie, Politik und Dienstleister in Afrika Bedeutung für Deutschland Die wichtigsten Handelspartner für Deutschland Kurzübersicht Der Außenhandel mit Afrika macht sowohl bei Importen als auch bei Exporten nur etwa 2% am dt. Außenhandelsvolumen aus Damit ist Afrika aktuell ein eher unbedeutender Handelspartner aus deutscher Sicht Aus afrikanischer Sicht stellt Deutschland einen großen und wichtigen Handelspartner dar Allerdings großes Potential durch anhaltendes Wirtschafts- und Bevölkerungswachstum Quelle: Statistisches Bundesamt 2016 © TIM CONSULT 2016 Seite 7 1. Herausforderungen und Erfahrungen Herausforderungen für Handel, Industrie, Politik und Dienstleister in Afrika © TIM CONSULT 2016 Seite 9 12. Juli 2016 | Africa - The New Challenge Logistik in Afrika | Nigeria Achim Becker Nigeria What you know about Nigeria… Nigeria 11 Nigeria Quelle: Google.de, 06.07.2016 12 Nigeria Challenges Bad press Corruption Security Lack of infrastructure Dependency on oil revenues 4-1-9 13 Nigeria … how we know Nigeria… 14 Nigeria Opportunities Democracy Largest economy Population growth Diversification of markets Strengthening of the internal market 15 Logistic How to face logistic challenges Port Bremen South 16 Julius Berger Group How to face logistic challenges Port Warri South 17 Julius Berger Group How to face logistic challenges Port Warri South 18 Julius Berger Group How to face logistic challenges Domestic logistic to sites South 19 Your project. Our solutions. BOLLORÉ, A FAMILY GROUP WITH A LONG-TERM STRATEGY Founded in 1822, the Bolloré Group ranks among the 500 largest companies in the world Managed since 1981 by Vincent Bolloré, from the 6th generation of the Bolloré family Key figures (2014) A listed company, majority owned and controlled by the Bolloré family Bolloré Group has always had a forerunner strategy Stability of shareholding structure allowing to pursue a long-term and ambitious investment strategy 55,500 employees in 152 countries Sales: €10.6bn Net income: €403m Market capitalisation: €14.4bn (Jun. 2014) 22 BOLLORE GROUP MAIN ACTIVITIES Bolloré Transport & Logistics Turnover 8,411 M€ 3 Communication Turnover 1,931 M€ 2014 figures Blue Solutions Turnover 237M€ WORLDWIDE PRESENCE 152 countries 53,600 staff BOLLORE TRANSPORT & LOGISTICS Top 10 Top 5 N°1 N°1 Global BUSINESS UNITS TURNOVER IN MILLION€ STAFF WORLDWIDE COVERED COUNTRIES in France in Europe in Africa RANKING Bolloré Transport & Logistics 550,000 Air freight Tons 835,000 Sea freight TEUs 1,600,000 Sqm Warehousing 6,005,000 containers handled (port operations) Bolloré Ports 25 Bolloré Railways Bolloré Logistics Bolloré Energie 2014 VOLUMES BOLLORÉ PORTS 26 PORTS TERMINALS: A GLOBAL PORT INVESTOR AND OPERATOR We DESIGN We INVEST & BUILD 16 container terminals in Europe, Africa and India 24 general cargo and bulk terminals 6 RoRo terminals 2 ship repair companies in Côte d’Ivoire and Gabon The leading private operator in Africa Total throughput: 4,35 Million TEUs in 2014 Average level of investment on ports: US$ 215M per year 27 We OPERATE & PROMOTE BOLLORÉ LOGISTICS 28 BOLLORE LOGISTICS: A WORLDWIDE NETWORK IN 102 COUNTRIES Europe Americas 45 sites 8 countries 950 staff 157 sites 22 countries 5,710 staff Asia-Pacific 136 sites 24 countries 3,950 staff 600 sites 102 countries 34,300 staff 29 Africa 250 sites 45 countries 23,500 staff 2014 Key Figures Middle East 12 sites 3 countries 190 staff 2. Märkte und Infrastrukturen Chancen für Handel, Industrie, Politik und Dienstleister in Afrika Reichtum an seltenen und wertvollen Bodenschätzen Rohstoffvorkommen Anteil an weltweiten Reserven Erdgas: 8% Erdöl: 9,5% Uran: 20% Kohle: 6% Weitere mineralische Vorkommen: 89% (Bauxit, Chromit, Kobalt, Diamanten, Gold, Platin, Titan, etc.) Weitere wertvolle Rohstoffe wie seltene Hölzer und Erden, Mangan, Nickel uvm. Quelle: BPB, Suchbegriff: Energierohstoffe Afrika, 2016 © TIM CONSULT 2016 Seite 31 Chancen für Handel, Industrie, Politik und Dienstleister in Afrika Wachstum in Landwirtschaft und Industrie Industrie (inkl. Bergbau) Landwirtschaft Wachstumspotenzial: hoch Dienstleistungen Wachstumspotenzial: sehr hoch Quelle: African Statistical Yearbook 2016, Datenstand 2015 © TIM CONSULT 2016 Seite 32 Chancen für Handel, Industrie, Politik und Dienstleister in Afrika Große geplante Investitionen in Verkehrsinfrastrukturen Aktuelle Investitionen in Sub-Sahara Afrika Ausbau des Schienennetzes Häfen: 3,5 Mrd. USD Größtes Segment der Infrastrukturinvestitionen Straßennetz: 9,2 Mrd. USD Aktuelles Projektvolumen: Schienennetz: 14,8 Mrd. USD 48 Mrd. USD Bau von 10 Transport Ziele: korridoren: 28 Mrd. USD Reduzierung der Beanspruchung des Straßennetzes Reduzierung von Transportkosten Anschluss von Binnenländern Herausforderungen Finanzierung: Durch den privaten Sektor oder Spendengelder Fachkräftemangel: Müssen aus dem Ausland geholt werden -> erhöhen Kosten Politische Instabilität & Korruption: Erhöhen das Risiko langfristiger Projekte Ressourcenmangel: Unzuverlässige Versorgung mit Energie und anderen Rohstoffen Quelle: World Bank; “African Infrastructure Development” (Frost&Sullivan, 2012) © TIM CONSULT 2016 Seite 33 Chancen für Handel, Industrie, Politik und Dienstleister in Afrika Stark voranschreitende Technologisierung Internetanschluss Verbreitung Mobiltelefonie >100% 60%-100% 40%-60% <40% 2020: 530% Zunahme internationaler Bandbreite 2000: 2012: 2020: 20 Millionen Verbindungen 650 Millionen Verbindungen 880 Millionen Verbindungen Quelle: World Bank; “New Mega Trends” (Frost&Sullivan, 2012); Wireless Intelligence, “Afrikas mobiles Wirtschaftswunder” (Zeit Online, März 2013) © TIM CONSULT 2016 Seite 34 THE LEADING PORT AND LOGISTICS OPERATOR IN AFRICA €300 M investment/year 25 000 collaborators 46 countries Geographic coverage Corridors network Subsidiaries Port concessions in PPP Bidding for public tender Railway concessions Waterways Airport agencies Chancen für Handel, Industrie, Politik und Dienstleister in Afrika Ausbau unzureichender Infrastrukturen notwendig Übersicht aktueller Verkehrsinfrastruktur Kurzübersicht Investitionen in Infrastruktur (Sub-Sahara Afrika): Total Sub-Sahara Afrika: 363 Mrd. USD • 56% in Transportinfrastruktur • 35% in Energieinfrastruktur Total Südafrika: 145 Mrd. USD Notwendige Investitionen: 810 Mrd. USD in den nächsten 5 Jahren 50 Jahre um flächendeckenden Anschluss zu erreichen Quelle: “Africa gearing up” (PWC, 2013); World Bank; “African Infrastructure Development” (Frost&Sullivan, 2012) © TIM CONSULT 2016 Seite 36 SHIPPING AGENCIES NETWORK Shipping and stevedoring services through a network of 78 shipping agencies located in Africa, the Indian Ocean and Mediterranean Our shipping operations are coordinated by the Paris Head Office with the support of our commercial offices located in China, Dubai, Greece, India, Spain and the USA. Our local teams are available for assistance on a 24 hour basis and aim to offer you a reliable and efficient service. Services to vessels Key figures Regular lines 7 500 calls per year Break bulk and Project 78 agencies Drybulk A central office in Paris with Tankers a dedicated team Offshore Navy, Cruise, Survey & Geophysical 37 Shipping Agency BOLLORÉ RAILWAYS 38 5,000 KM OF RAILWAY IN AFRICA Bolloré Group is the leading operator of public-private partnerships in the rail sector. Our goal is to raise the standards of the railways that we operate above African standards. This is why, in partnership with the governments of the countries concerned, we are investing in the modernization and upkeep of the infrastructures, equipment and rolling stock 39 7/22/2016 ALONG THE RAILWAYS: THE BLUEZONES Bluezones have Lithium Metal Polymer (LMP), a unique technology created and produced by Blue Solutions subsidiary of the Bolloré Group, and photovoltaic panels supplied by Sunpower subsidiary of the Total Group, which when combined together, produce, store and distribute clean and free electricity in places not equipped with electrical networks. KEY FIGURES : Huge success for the 5 Bluezones deployed in Africa Users : 80,407 Events: 134 Partnerships: 19 Internet connection: 32,513 This ecological and inexhaustible electricity provides power to these Bluezones, that will host lit spaces, with potable water, health centers , listening and prevention centers for young people, connected rooms where e-learning courses will be given, sports activities, workshops for artisans … The Kaloum Bluezone at Conakry, Guinea 40 Power generated: 1,800 Kwh/Day Water produced: 50,000 liters/Day The Cacaveli Bluezone next to Lome, Togo The Bluezone of Cotonou in the Zongo district, Benin MULTIMODAL INTERNATIONAL TRANSPORT SOLUTIONS : ROAD 40 land corridors across Africa Secured solutions to or from landlocked countries Land corridors transport solutions All cargo types: FCL, Groupage One document covering multimodal transport modes, Detailed Shipment Monitoring To the final destination including Customs clearance and delivery to door A wide panel of approved land and maritime suppliers. Security ensured: standardized process for each destination, Tracking procedures 41 MULTIMODAL INTERNATIONAL TRANSPORT SOLUTIONS : AIRFREIGHT Insight on Services Provided: Standard range of services: Air Freight Forward Import & Export: consolidation, Door to door, Express, Air Chartering & On Board Couriers Dedicated Air Freight services Air Freight solutions design: as an entire solution or as part of a multimodal logistics project Combined multimodal services: Sea + Air: cashing in on our knowledge of smooth transfers from port to airport Air + Road: Last mile delivery from airport hub to destination Air + Air: Mutualizing our network capabilities in Africa Implementation of targeted Air freight services (mining, oil&gas, International Aid…) Last mile trucking services: from airport to destination, from in-town warehouse to airport Shipment Consolidation in view to Export General Sales Agency for Key Airlines in Africa Bolloré Africa Logistics Airport Agency 42 LOCAL / REGIONAL DISTRIBUTION CENTERS SOLUTIONS Warehousing Services: 683,000 sqm of covered warehouses 281 Warehouses of which 80 offer Value Added Services Knowledge of Bonded storage regulation & bonded warehouses opportunities Safety and security measures implemented: Dangerous & sensitive goods, CCTV, intrusion alarm… Industry best practices (SOP, Advanced receiving and inspection processes, Specialized handling equipment according to the stored goods nature) 43 3. Leben und Arbeiten Chancen für Handel, Industrie, Politik und Dienstleister in Afrika Starkes Bevölkerungswachstum und voranschreitende Urbanisierung Bevölkerung Total (in Mio.) … in der Stadt lebend … mit Zugang zu sauberem Wasser A AlphabetiB sierungsrate C Afrika Algerien Nigeria Südafrika 1.184 40 182 55 40% 71% 48% 65% 76% 84% 69% 93% ♂ / ♀ ♂ / ♀ ♂ / ♀ ♂ / ♀ 63% 80% 60% 94% 71% / 55% 87% / 63% 69% / 50% 95% / 93% Quelle: African Statistical Yearbook 2016, Datenstand: 2015 © TIM CONSULT 2016 Seite 45 12. Juli 2016 | Africa - The New Challenge Living & Working in Africa | Nigeria Achim Becker Nigeria Population 81 m Population 182 m Population 1.2 bn 360,000 km² 925,000 km² 47 Nigeria Population of Africa & Nigeria m 2016 2050 3 000 Today - 2050 2 500 Nigerian population x 2,5 Africa population x2 2 000 Africa 1 500 Nigeria 1 000 500 0 1950 1975 2000 2025 2050 48 Nigeria Politics and Culture Federal Presidential Republic Senate, House of Representatives States 36 + Federal Capital Territory Abuja Ethnics more than 250 ethnic groups Lagos Religions 50 % Muslims, 40 % Christians, 10 % indigenous beliefs 49 Julius Berger Group Eko Bridge Lagos, Nigeria 1965 - 1967 Julius Berger Group History Construction of Eko Bridge in Lagos 1890 1905 1965 First construction of Julius Berger 1969 Julius Berger Nigeria Ltd 1970 1975 Julius Berger Bauboag AG Julius Berger Tiefbau AG Julius Berger International GmbH Julius Berger Nigeria Plc 1991 2001 2006 2012 Bilfinger Berger Aktiengesellschaft Bilfinger + Berger Bauaktiengesellschaft Bilfinger Berger Nigeria GmbH 51 Julius Berger Group 52 Julius Berger Group Employees 2015 Wiesbaden 380 Julius Berger International GmbH 7,550 7,000 local staff 550 international staff Julius Berger Nigeria Plc 53 Julius Berger Group Turnover 2015 Wiesbaden 170 Julius Berger International GmbH M EUR 119 bn NGN Julius Berger Nigeria Plc 54 Julius Berger Group Strategic Locations Bremen Wiesbaden Julius Berger International GmbH Abuja (Federal Capital Territory) West Julius Berger Nigeria Plc South Oil and Gas Industry Warri 55 Julius Berger Group Strategic Locations Bremen Wiesbaden Julius Berger International GmbH Abuja Julius Berger Nigeria Plc Warri 56 Capital Abuja Quarry Life Camp Workshops Utako Camp Headquarter National Assembly Central Bank Idu Yard Stadium & Velodrom Capital Abuja Quarry Life Camp Workshops Utako Camp Headquarter Central Bank Idu Yard Life Stadium Camp & Velodrom Capital Abuja Quarry Life Camp Workshops Utako Camp Headquarter Central Bank Idu Yard Life Stadium Camp & Velodrom Capital Abuja Quarry Life Camp Life Camp Utako Camp Headquarter Educational facilities Central Bank Idu Yard Life Stadium Camp & Velodrom Life Camp Capital Abuja Quarry Life Camp Life Camp Utako Camp Headquarter Medical facilities Central Bank Idu Yard Life Stadium Camp & Velodrom Life Camp Capital Abuja Quarry Life Camp Workshops Utako Camp Headquarter National Assembly Central Bank Idu Yard Stadium & Velodrom Life Camp Capital Abuja Quarry Life Camp Workshops Utako Camp Headquarter National Assembly Central Bank Idu Yard Stadium & Velodrom Life Camp Capital Abuja Quarry Life Camp Workshops Utako Camp Headquarter National Assembly Central Bank Idu Yard Stadium & Velodrom Life Camp Capital Abuja Quarry Life Camp Workshops Utako Camp Headquarter National Assembly Central Bank Idu Yard Stadium & Velodrom Life Camp Capital Abuja Quarry Life Camp Utako Camp Headquarter National Assembly Central Bank Idu Yard Life Camp Stadium & Velodrom Capital Abuja Quarry Life Camp Utako Camp Life Camp Headquarter National Assembly Central Bank Idu Yard Stadium & Velodrom Capital Abuja Quarry Life Camp Utako Camp Life Camp Headquarter National Assembly Central Bank Idu Yard Stadium & Velodrom Abuja Airport Road Capital Abuja Quarry Life Camp Workshops Utako Camp Headquarter National Assembly Central Bank Idu Yard Abuja Airport Road Capital Abuja Quarry Life Camp Utako Camp Headquarter National Assembly Central Bank Idu Yard Abuja Airport Road Security JB‘s Security Concept Security measures Security Management Regular security reports for critical regions Travel Restrictions Vehicles 71 4. Erkentnisse und Optionen Herausforderungen für Handel, Industrie, Politik und Dienstleister in Afrika Kritische Faktoren beim Engagement in Entwicklungsländern Korruption & Betrug Geographische Lage Schlechte Infrastrukturen Kritische Faktoren Rechtliche Hindernisse Schwierige Zollprozeduren Sicherheit & Menschenrechtsverletzungen © TIM CONSULT 2016 Seite 73 TIM CONSULT GmbH L 15, 12–13 68161 Mannheim tel.: +49 (0)621 150 448-0 fax: +49 (0)621 150 448-99 www.timconsult.de TIM CONSULT Inc. 750 Third Avenue, 9th Floor New York, NY 10017 tel. +1-212-847-9838 www.timconsult.com © TIM CONSULT 2016 Björn Klippel Managing Director [email protected] Götz von Scheidt Principal [email protected] Nina-Maria Marten Consultant [email protected] Maximilan Schwab Consultant [email protected]
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