RUHR ECONOMIC PAPERS Jörg Peters Annekathrin Schoofs Maximiliane Sievert Preferences over Bank and Family Loans in Rural Rwanda #588 Imprint Ruhr Economic Papers Published by Ruhr-Universität Bochum (RUB), Department of Economics Universitätsstr. 150, 44801 Bochum, Germany Technische Universität Dortmund, Department of Economic and Social Sciences Vogelpothsweg 87, 44227 Dortmund, Germany Universität Duisburg-Essen, Department of Economics Universitätsstr. 12, 45117 Essen, Germany Rheinisch-Westfälisches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung (RWI) Hohenzollernstr. 1-3, 45128 Essen, Germany Editors Prof. Dr. Thomas K. Bauer RUB, Department of Economics, Empirical Economics Phone: +49 (0) 234/3 22 83 41, e-mail: [email protected] Prof. Dr. Wolfgang Leininger Technische Universität Dortmund, Department of Economic and Social Sciences Economics – Microeconomics Phone: +49 (0) 231/7 55-3297, e-mail: [email protected] Prof. Dr. Volker Clausen University of Duisburg-Essen, Department of Economics International Economics Phone: +49 (0) 201/1 83-3655, e-mail: [email protected] Prof. Dr. Roland Döhrn, Prof. Dr. Manuel Frondel, Prof. Dr. Jochen Kluve RWI, Phone: +49 (0) 201/81 49 -213, e-mail: [email protected] Editorial Office Sabine Weiler RWI, Phone: +49 (0) 201/81 49 -213, e-mail: [email protected] Ruhr Economic Papers #588 Responsible Editor: Manuel Frondel All rights reserved. Bochum, Dortmund, Duisburg, Essen, Germany, 2015 ISSN 1864-4872 (online) – ISBN 978-3-86788-683-3 The working papers published in the Series constitute work in progress circulated to stimulate discussion and critical comments. Views expressed represent exclusively the authors’ own opinions and do not necessarily reflect those of the editors. Ruhr Economic Papers #588 Jörg Peters, Annekathrin Schoofs, and Maximiliane Sievert Preferences over Bank and Family Loans in Rural Rwanda Bibliografische Informationen der Deutschen Nationalbibliothek Die Deutsche Bibliothek verzeichnet diese Publikation in der deutschen Nationalbibliografie; detaillierte bibliografische Daten sind im Internet über: http://dnb.d-nb.de abrufbar. http://dx.doi.org/10.4419/86788683 ISSN 1864-4872 (online) ISBN 978-3-86788-683-3 Jörg Peters, Annekathrin Schoofs, and Maximiliane Sievert1 Preferences over Bank and Family Loans in Rural Rwanda Abstract We study borrowers’ preferences over bank and family loans based on field work undertaken in rural Rwanda. We randomly assigned willingness-to-pay questions for a hypothetical loan offer either by a bank or by a family member to a sample of 480 households. Informal family loans are typically easier to access. Because of the social costs they imply, it is widely believed that family finance is less attractive than formal finance. Our empirical results, however, show no significant difference in preferences over these two choices. This suggests that even if formal credits were widely accessible, people would still also utilize informal finance. JEL Classification: D14, O17 Keywords: Informal finance; family loans; bank loans; social collateral; willingness-to-pay November 2015 1 Jörg Peters, RWI and AMERU, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa; Annekathrin Schoofs, RWI; Maximiliane Sievert, RWI. – The authors gratefully acknowledge the support of special grants (Sondertatbestände) from the German Federal Ministry for Economic Affairs and Energy and the Ministry of Innovation, Science, and Research of the State of North Rhine-Westphalia. The data underlying this research was collected in cooperation with Genesis Analytics and ikapadata for an impact evaluation commissioned by CARE Canada and MasterCard Foundation. The authors are grateful to Nils aus dem Moore for helpful comments and thank Noel Verrinder for valuable input to the study design and fruitful cooperation in implementing the survey. – All correspondence to: Annekathrin Schoofs, RWI (Berlin Office), Invalidenstraße 112, 10115 Berlin, Germany, e-mail: [email protected]. ŗǯ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ¢ȱ ȱ ȱ ¡ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ǻȱ ȱ ǯȱ ŘŖŖşǼǯȱ ȱ ȱ ¢ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ¢ȱ ǻȱ ŘŖŖŖǼǰȱ Ȃȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ¢ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ǰȱ ¢ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ǯȱ ȱ ǰȱ ¢ȱ ǰȱ ǯǯȱ ȱ ȱ ¢ȱ ȱ ǰȱȱȱȱȱȱȱȱȱȱȱȱ ǻ¢ȱ ŗşşŖDzȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ŘŖŖŝDzȱ¢ȱ ȱ ȱ ŘŖŗŖǰȱ û³Ȭȱ ȱ ǯȱ ŘŖŗśǼǰȱ ȱ ¢ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ¢ȱ ȱ ȱ ǻȱ ȱ ȱ ŘŖŗřǼǯȱ ȱȱ¢ȱ·ȱȱǯȱǻŘŖŗŘǼǰȱȱȱȱȱȱȱȱ ȱȱȱǰȱȱȱȱ ȱ¢ȱ¡ȱǯȱȱȱȱ ǰȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ¢ȱ £ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱȱȱȱ¡ȱ¢ȱ¡ȱȱȱȱ ǰȱ ¢ȱ ǰȱ ȱ Ȭȱ ǯȱ ȱ ¡ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱȱȱȱȱȱȱ ȱȱȱȱȱȱ ȱȱ¢ȱȱǰȱǯȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ǰȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ Ȃȱȱȱȱȱȱ¢ȱǯȱȱȱȱȱ ȱ ŚŞŖȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȬȬ¢ȱ ǻǼȱ ȱ ȱ ¢ȱ ȱ ȱȱ¢ȱȱȱ¢ȱȱȱȱȱȱȱȱȱȱȱȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ǯȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ǰȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ Ȃȱ ȱ ȱȱ¡ȱȱȱȱȱȱȱȱǯ Řǯ ȱȱȱ¢ȱȱ ¡ȱȱȱ¡ȱȱȱȱȱȱȱȱȱ¢ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ǯȱ ȱ ¢ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ¢ȱ ¢ȱ ȱ ¢ȱ ȱ ȱ Ȭȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ £ǰȱ ȱ ϰ ǰȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ǻ£ȱ ŗşşŖDzȱ ȱ ŗşşŖDzȱ ȱ ŗşşşǼǯȱ ¡ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ Ȭȱ ȱ ¢ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ¢ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ǻ¢ȱ ȱ ȱŗşşśDzȱȱȱǯȱŘŖŖşǼǯȱȱȱȱǰȱȱȱȱȱȱ ȱȱȱǰȱȱȱȱȱȱȱȱȱȱDZȱ ¢ǰȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ¡ȱ ȱ ǰȱ ȱ ȱ ¢ȱ ǰȱȱ ǰȱȱ ȱ¢ȱȮȱȱȱȱȱ ȱ ǻû³ȬȱȱǯȱŘŖŗśDzȱȱȱȱŘŖŗśǼǯȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ¢ȱ £ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱȱȱȱ¢ȱȱȱȱȱǰȱȱ¢ȱ ȱȱȱȱȱȱȱȱǯȱȱȱȱǰȱ ȱȱȱǻŘŖŗśǼȱȱȱȱȱȱȱȱ ȱ¢ȱ ǯȱȱȱȱǰȱȱ ȱ£ȱȱȱȱȱȱ ȱ¢ϭǰȱ ȱȱ¢ȱȱȱȱȱȱ ȱȱȱ¢ȱȱȱȱȱȱǯȱȱȱȱ¢ȱȱȱ ȱǻŘŖŗřǼȱȱȱȱȱ ȬȱDZȱȱ¢ȱȱȱ ȱȱ ȱȱȱȱȱȱȱ ǯȱȱ¢ȱ ȱȱȱȱȱ ¢ȱ ȱȱ¢ȱȱǯȱȱȱȱȱȱȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ¢ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ¢ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ǯȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱȱ ȱȱ¢ȱȱǯȱ řǯ ¡ȱȱ ȱ ¢ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ǯȱ ȱ ¢ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ¢ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱȱŚŞŖȱȱȱȱ Ȃȱȱǯȱ¢ȱȱ ¢ȱȱȱȱǰȱȱȱȱȱ¢ȱȱȱȱȱȱȱ ȱȱȱȱȱ¢ȱȱȱ¢ȱȱȱȱ ǯȱ ǰȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ 1 ͙ͣǁŚĞŶƚŚĞĚĞďƚŝƐĨƌĞĞŽĨĐŽƐƚ͕ƚŚŝƐŝŵƉůŝĐŝƚůLJŵĞĂŶƐƚŚĂƚƚŚĞĚĞďƚŽƌƐŚŽƵůĚďĞĂďůĞƚŽůĞŶĚŝŶƚƵƌŶǁŚĞŶ ƚŚĞĐƌĞĚŝƚŽƌǁŝůůďĞŝŶŶĞĞĚ͟;'ƵĠƌŝŶĞƚĂů͘ϮϬϭϮ͗ϭϯϯͿ͘ ϱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ǯȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱϮȱȱ¢ȱȱȱȱȱȱ¢ȱȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ¢ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ǻȱ ȱ ŗȱ ȱ ȱ ǼDzȱ ŘřŖȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ǰȱ ŘśŖȱ ȱ ǯϯȱ ȱ ȱ ȃȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ Ȅȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ¢ȱ ¢ȱ ȱ ¢ȱ ȱ ¡ǯȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ǰȱ ȱ ¢ȱ ȱ Ȃȱȱȱȱ¢ȱȱǯȱȱȱȱȱȱ ǰȱȱȱ¢ȱȱ ȱȱȱȱȱȱȱȱȱ ȱȱǯϰȱȱ “Imagine you need 5,000 Rwanda Franc (RWF) in order to pay for the funeral of a relative. A bank / a friend or relative offers you to lend you this money for a period of three months. After three months you have to pay back 5,750 RWF. Would you borrow the money from a bank / a friend or relative?” Figure 1: Structure of willingness-to-pay question EŽƚĞ͗ ϱ͕ϬϬϬ ZǁĂŶĚĂ &ƌĂŶĐ ;Zt&Ϳ ĞƋƵĂƚĞƐ ƚŽ ƌŽƵŐŚůLJ ϲ ƵƌŽ ;hZͿ Ăƚ ĞdžĐŚĂŶŐĞ ƌĂƚĞƐ ;ƵƉĚĂƚĞĚ KĐƚ ϭϲ͕ ϮϬϭϱͿ͘ ^ŽƵƌĐĞ͗WZK&/ZďĂƐĞůŝŶĞĚĂƚĂƐĞƚϮϬϭϱ͕ŽǁŶŝůůƵƐƚƌĂƚŝŽŶ͘ Ϯ dŚĞĚŝŐŝƚĂůƋƵĞƐƚŝŽŶŶĂŝƌĞǁĂƐĨŽƌŵĂƚƚĞĚĨŽƌĂĚŵŝŶŝƐƚƌĂƚŝŽŶŽŶƚĂďůĞƚƐďLJŝŬĂƉĂĚĂƚĂ͕ĂƉĞdŽǁŶ͕^ŽƵƚŚĨƌŝĐĂ͘ ^ĞĞƉƉĞŶĚŝdž͕dĂďůĞϭĨŽƌĚĞƐĐƌŝƉƚŝǀĞƐƚĂƚŝƐƚŝĐƐŽŶƚŚĞďĂůĂŶĐŝŶŐŽĨƚŚĞƚǁŽƐĂŵƉůĞƐ͘ ϰ tŚŝůĞŝƚŝƐƐŽŵĞƚŝŵĞƐĂƌŐƵĞĚƚŚĂƚĨĂŵŝůLJĨŝŶĂŶĐĞŝƐĨƌĞĞŽĨĐŽƐƚƐ͕ŝŶŽƵƌĐĂƐĞĨĂŵŝůLJůŽĂŶƐĂƌĞŚLJƉŽƚŚĞƚŝĐĂůůLJ ŽĨĨĞƌĞĚ ǁŝƚŚ ŝŶƚĞƌĞƐƚ ƌĂƚĞƐ͘ dŚŝƐ ŝƐ ŝŶ ůŝŶĞ ǁŝƚŚ ĞǀŝĚĞŶĐĞ ƉƌŽǀŝĚĞĚ ďLJ 'ƵĠƌŝŶ Ğƚ Ăů͘ ;ϮϬϭϮͿ͘ dŚĞLJ ĨŝŶĚ ĂǀĞƌĂŐĞ ŵŽŶƚŚůLJŝŶƚĞƌĞƐƚƌĂƚĞƐĨŽƌĨĂŵŝůLJĨŝŶĂŶĐĞŽĨĂďŽƵƚϯйĐŽŵƉĂƌĞĚƚŽϭйĨŽƌĂďĂŶŬůŽĂŶ͘ ϯ ϲ Śǯ ȱ ȱȱ Ȃȱ¢ȱȱȱ¢ȱȱȱȱǰȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ¢ȱ ȱ ǯȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱȱ¢ȱ¢ȱȱȱȱȱȱǰȱȱǰȱȱ ȱȱȱ¢ȱȱ¢ȱǯȱȱȬȱȱ ȱ ¢ȱ ȱ ȱ şȱ ǯϱȱ ǰȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ¡ȱ ȱ ¢ȱ ȱȱȱȱȱȱ¢ȱȱȱȱȱȱ¢ȱȱ ¢ȱ ȱ ȱ Ȃȱ ȱ ǻȱ ȱ ŗǼǯȱ ȱ Ȭȱ ȱȱȱȱȱȱȱȱȱȱȱǯȱȱȱ ȱȱ ȱȱȱȱǰȱǯ śǯ ȱȱȱ ȱ ȱ ¢ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ £ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱǰȱȃȱȱȱ¢ȱǰȱȱ¡ȱȱȱȱ£ȱ ȱȱȱȱȄȱǻȱȱǯȱŘŖŖşDZȱśŚǼǯȱȱȱȱȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ¢ȱ ȱ ȱ ǰȱ ǰȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ¢ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ¢ȱ ȱ ȱ ǯȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȬȬ¢ȱ ȱ ȱ ¢ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ¢ȱ ¢ȱ ȱ ǯȱ ȱ ȱ ȱȱȱȱȱȱȱ ȱȱ¢ȱȱǰȱȱȱ ¢ǰȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ¢ǯȱ ǰȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ¢ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ǰȱ ȱ ȱ ¢ȱ ȱ £ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱȱȱȱ¢ǯ ϱ dŚĞƐĞƌĞƐƉŽŶĚĞŶƚƐƌĞĨƵƐĞĚƚŽĂŶƐǁĞƌƚŚŝƐƋƵĞƐƚŝŽŶ͘ ϳ dĂďůĞϭ͗^ŽƵƌĐĞŽĨĨŝŶĂŶĐĞĂŶĚŝƚƐĞĨĨĞĐƚŽŶƚŚĞǁŝůůŝŶŐŶĞƐƐͲƚŽͲƉĂLJ ĂŶŬĨŝŶĂŶĐĞڻ &ŝŶĂŶĐŝĂůůŝƚĞƌĂĐLJ ,ŝŐŚĨŝŶĂŶĐŝĂůůŝƚĞƌĂĐLJප >ŽǁĨŝŶĂŶĐŝĂůůŝƚĞƌĂĐLJප ĞŵŽŐƌĂƉŚŝĐƐ ŐĞ ŐĞΔϮͬϭϬϬ DĂůĞڻ ,,ƐŝnjĞ DĂƌŝƚĂůƐƚĂƚƵƐŽĨƌĞƐƉŽŶĚĞŶƚ tŝĚŽǁĞĚڻ ŝǀŽƌĐĞĚڻ DĂƌƌŝĞĚڻ ĚƵĐĂƚŝŽŶŽĨƌĞƐƉŽŶĚĞŶƚ ^ĞĐŽŶĚĂƌLJĞĚƵĐĂƚŝŽŶ ĂŶĚŵŽƌĞڻ ;ϭͿ Ͳϰϱ͘ϯϰϱ ;Ϭ͘ϯϬϯͿ ;ϮͿ Ͳϰϲ͘ϴϴϴ ;Ϭ͘ϮϴϳͿ Ͳϵϭ͘ϮϵϴΎ ;Ϭ͘ϬϲϲͿ Ͳϴϱ͘ϵϲϱ ;Ϭ͘ϰϰϲͿ ;ϯͿ ͲϯϬ͘ϴϴϰ ;Ϭ͘ϱϬϳͿ ͲϭϬϲ͘ϯϭϮΎΎ ;Ϭ͘ϬϰϬͿ ϮϮ͘ϬϭϮ ;Ϭ͘ϴϱϴͿ Ͳϭϵ͘Ϭϰϳ ;Ϭ͘ϭϯϴͿ ϭϲ͘ϯϲϵ ;Ϭ͘ϮϮϮͿ Ͳϯ͘ϭϰϰ ;Ϭ͘ϵϱϰͿ ϭϴ͘ϭϰϱ ;Ϭ͘ϭϵϭͿ Ϯϳϭ͘ϯϴϮΎΎ ;Ϭ͘ϬϯϬͿ ϭϳϵ͘Ϯϵϱ ;Ϭ͘ϭϲϳͿ ϭϱϴ͘ϭϳϭΎ ;Ϭ͘ϬϴϭͿ ϳ͘ϵϭϵ ;Ϭ͘ϵϮϬͿ >ŝƚĞƌĂĐLJڻ ,ŽƵƐĞŚŽůĚǁĞĂůƚŚŽĨƌĞƐƉŽŶĚĞŶƚ KǁŶƐůĂŶĚ ;ŵŽƌĞƚŚĂŶϭŚĞĐƚĂƌĞͿڻ KǁŶƐďŝĐLJĐůĞڻ KǁŶƐŵŽƚŽƌĐLJĐůĞڻ KǁŶƐĐŽǁƐڻ KǁŶƐŐŽĂƚƐڻ KďƐĞƌǀĂƚŝŽŶƐ ZΔϮ ϰϰϴ Ϭ͘ϬϬϮ ϰϰϴ Ϭ͘Ϭϭϭ ϴϴ͘ϬϱϰΎ ;Ϭ͘ϬϵϵͿ ϲϯ͘ϵϴϯ ;Ϭ͘ϰϬϳͿ Ϯ͘ϲϱϵ ;Ϭ͘ϵϲϱͿ ͲϭϮϳ͘Ϭϭϰ ;Ϭ͘ϱϱϭͿ ϲϭ͘ϲϵϱ ;Ϭ͘ϭϵϴͿ ͲϭϬ͘ϲϱϰ ;Ϭ͘ϴϮϯͿ ϰϭϰ Ϭ͘Ϭϰϰ Ύ ΎΎ ΎΎΎ EŽƚĞ͗ sĂůƵĞƐ ĚĞŶŽƚĞĞƐƚŝŵĂƚĞĚĐŽĞĨĨŝĐŝĞŶƚƐ ǁŝƚŚ ƉͲǀĂůƵĞƐ ŝŶ ƉĂƌĞŶƚŚĞƐĞƐ͘ Ɖ ф Ϭ͘ϭϬ͕ Ɖ ф Ϭ͘Ϭϱ͕ Ɖ ф Ϭ͘Ϭϭ ĚĞŶŽƚĞƐƚĂƚŝƐƚŝĐĂůƐŝŐŶŝĨŝĐĂŶĐĞĂŶĚڻŝƐĨŽƌĂĚŝƐĐƌĞƚĞĚƵŵŵLJǀĂƌŝĂďůĞ;ϬͬϭͿ͘tĞƵƐĞĚĨŽƵƌƋƵĞƐƚŝŽŶƐƚĂŬĞŶĨƌŽŵ ƚŚĞ >ƵƐĂƌĚŝ ĂŶĚ DŝƚĐŚĞůů ;ϮϬϭϭͿ ĂƐ ǁĞůů ĂƐ ƚŚĞ ŽůĞ Ğƚ Ăů͘ ;ϮϬϭϭͿͲŵĞƚŚŽĚŽůŽŐLJ ƚŽ ŵĞĂƐƵƌĞ ĨŝŶĂŶĐŝĂů ůŝƚĞƌĂĐLJ ප ;ĚĞŶŽƚĞĚďLJ Ϳ͕ĂĚĂƉƚĞĚƚŽƚŚĞZǁĂŶĚĂŶĐŽŶƚĞdžƚ͘tĞĐŽĚĞĚĂŚŽƵƐĞŚŽůĚĂƐ͞,ŝŐŚĨŝŶĂŶĐŝĂůůŝƚĞƌĂĐLJ͟ŝĨĂůůĨŽƵƌ ƋƵĞƐƚŝŽŶƐǁĞƌĞĐŽƌƌĞĐƚůLJĂŶƐǁĞƌĞĚĂŶĚĂƐ͞>ŽǁĨŝŶĂŶĐŝĂůůŝƚĞƌĂĐLJ͟ŝĨŶŽŶĞŽĨƚŚĞĨŽƵƌƋƵĞƐƚŝŽŶƐǁĂƐĐŽƌƌĞĐƚůLJ ĂŶƐǁĞƌĞĚ͘^ŽƵƌĐĞ͗WZK&/ZďĂƐĞůŝŶĞĚĂƚĂƐĞƚϮϬϭϱ͕ŽǁŶĐĂůĐƵůĂƚŝŽŶ͘ ϴ ƉƉĞŶĚŝdž dĂďůĞϭ͗^ĂŵƉůĞĐŚĂƌĂĐƚĞƌŝƐƚŝĐƐďLJƚLJƉĞŽĨŚLJƉŽƚŚĞƚŝĐĂůůĞŶĚĞƌ dLJƉĞŽĨůĞŶĚĞƌ͗ &ĂŵŝůLJĨŝŶĂŶĐĞ DĞĂŶ^ƚ͘Ğǀ͘ tdW ĂŶŬĨŝŶĂŶĐĞ DĞĂŶ^ƚ͘Ğǀ͘ ŝĨĨ͘ ƉͲǀĂůƵĞ ϱϱϳϮ͘ϯϰ ϰϱϱ͘ϯϲ ϱϱϮϳ͘ϬϬ ϰϳϱ͘ϯϳ ϰϱ͘ϯϱ Ϭ͘ϯϬϯϮ ŐĞ ϰϭ͘ϯϭ ϭϯ͘ϯϲ ϰϯ͘ϰϯ ϭϰ͘ϮϬ ͲϮ͘ϭϮ Ϭ͘ϭϬϱϰ DĂůĞڻ Ϭ͘Ϯϰ Ϭ͘ϰϯ Ϭ͘Ϯϴ Ϭ͘ϰϱ ͲϬ͘Ϭϰ Ϭ͘ϯϰϳϰ ,,ƐŝnjĞ ϰ͘ϴϵ Ϯ͘ϭϬ ϰ͘ϴϭ ϭ͘ϴϲ Ϭ͘Ϭϴ Ϭ͘ϲϴϬϳ Ϭ͘ϭϭ Ϭ͘ϯϭ Ϭ͘Ϭϴ Ϭ͘Ϯϴ Ϭ͘ϬϮ * ĞŵŽŐƌĂƉŚŝĐƐ DĂƌŝƚĂůƐƚĂƚƵƐ ŽĨƌĞƐƉŽŶĚĞŶƚ ^ŝŶŐůĞڻ Ϭ͘ϰϮϱϬ tŝĚŽǁĞĚڻ Ϭ͘ϭϮ Ϭ͘ϯϯ Ϭ͘ϭϵ Ϭ͘ϯϵ ͲϬ͘Ϭϲ Ϭ͘ϬϲϮϮ ŝǀŽƌĐĞĚڻ Ϭ͘Ϭϳ Ϭ͘Ϯϱ Ϭ͘Ϭϳ Ϭ͘Ϯϱ Ϭ͘ϬϬ Ϭ͘ϵϭϭϯ DĂƌƌŝĞĚڻ Ϭ͘ϳϬ Ϭ͘ϰϲ Ϭ͘ϲϲ Ϭ͘ϰϳ Ϭ͘Ϭϰ Ϭ͘ϯϳϵϬ ĚƵĐĂƚŝŽŶΘ>ŝƚĞƌĂĐLJ ŽĨƌĞƐƉŽŶĚĞŶƚ WƌŝŵĂƌLJĂŶĚůĞƐƐڻ Ϭ͘ϴϲ Ϭ͘ϯϱ Ϭ͘ϴϵ Ϭ͘ϯϭ ͲϬ͘Ϭϰ Ϭ͘Ϯϳϰϰ ^ĞĐŽŶĚĂƌLJĂŶĚŵŽƌĞڻ Ϭ͘ϭϮ Ϭ͘ϯϮ Ϭ͘Ϭϴ Ϭ͘Ϯϴ Ϭ͘Ϭϯ Ϭ͘ϮϰϯϬ KƚŚĞƌڻ Ϭ͘Ϭϯ Ϭ͘ϭϲ Ϭ͘Ϭϯ Ϭ͘ϭϲ Ϭ͘ϬϬ Ϭ͘ϵϯϲϴ ** >ŝƚĞƌĂĐLJڻ &ŝŶĂŶĐŝĂůĚĞĐŝƐŝŽŶŵĂŬŝŶŐ ΘtĞĂůƚŚŽĨƌĞƐƉŽŶĚĞŶƚ ,ŝŐŚĨŝŶĂŶĐŝĂůůŝƚĞƌĂĐLJප ප Ϭ͘ϲϲ Ϭ͘ϰϳ Ϭ͘ϱϲ Ϭ͘ϱϬ Ϭ͘ϭϬ Ϭ͘Ϭϯϲϴ Ϭ͘Ϯϳ Ϭ͘ϰϱ Ϭ͘Ϯϴ Ϭ͘ϰϱ ͲϬ͘ϬϬ Ϭ͘ϵϭϮϱ Ϭ͘ϮϮ Ϭ͘Ϭϯ Ϭ͘ϭϳ Ϭ͘ϬϮ Ϭ͘Ϯϭϴϳ >ŽǁĨŝŶĂŶĐŝĂůůŝƚĞƌĂĐLJ Ϭ͘Ϭϱ ZĞƐƉŽŶĚĞŶƚƚĂŬĞƐĚĞĐŝƐŝŽŶŽŶ ĐƌĞĚŝƚڻ ,ŽƵƐĞŚŽůĚŽǁŶƐůĂŶĚ ;хϭŚĞĐƚĂƌĞͿڻ ,ŽƵƐĞŚŽůĚŽǁŶƐďŝĐLJĐůĞڻ Ϭ͘ϯϳ Ϭ͘ϰϴ Ϭ͘ϰϮ Ϭ͘ϰϵ ͲϬ͘Ϭϱ Ϭ͘ϮϲϮϬ Ϭ͘ϭϮ Ϭ͘ϯϯ Ϭ͘ϭϬ Ϭ͘ϯϬ Ϭ͘ϬϮ Ϭ͘ϰϬϲϬ Ϭ͘Ϯϯ Ϭ͘ϰϮ Ϭ͘ϭϰ Ϭ͘ϯϰ Ϭ͘Ϭϵ** Ϭ͘Ϭϭϰϱ ,ŽƵƐĞŚŽůĚŽǁŶƐŵŽƚŽƌĐLJĐůĞڻ Ϭ͘Ϭϭ Ϭ͘Ϭϵ Ϭ͘Ϭϭ Ϭ͘ϭϮ ͲϬ͘Ϭϭ Ϭ͘ϱϳϱϵ ,ŽƵƐĞŚŽůĚŽǁŶƐĐŽǁƐڻ Ϭ͘ϱϯ Ϭ͘ϱϬ Ϭ͘ϰϱ Ϭ͘ϱϬ Ϭ͘Ϭϴ* Ϭ͘Ϭϴϲϯ ,ŽƵƐĞŚŽůĚŽǁŶƐŐŽĂƚƐڻ Ϭ͘ϱϱ Ϭ͘ϱϬ Ϭ͘ϱϴ Ϭ͘ϱϬ ͲϬ͘Ϭϯ Ϭ͘ϱϰϰϯ KďƐĞƌǀĂƚŝŽŶƐ Ϯϯϱ Ϯϭϯ ϰϰϴ EŽƚĞ͗ ΎƉфϬ͘ϭϬ͕ ΎΎƉфϬ͘Ϭϱ͕ ΎΎΎƉфϬ͘ϬϭĚĞŶŽƚĞƐƚĂƚŝƐƚŝĐĂůƐŝŐŶŝĨŝĐĂŶĐĞĂŶĚڻŝƐĨŽƌĂĚŝƐĐƌĞƚĞĚƵŵŵLJǀĂƌŝĂďůĞ ;ϬͬϭͿ͘ tĞ ƵƐĞĚ ĨŽƵƌ ƋƵĞƐƚŝŽŶƐ ƚĂŬĞŶ ĨƌŽŵ ƚŚĞ >ƵƐĂƌĚŝ ĂŶĚ DŝƚĐŚĞůů ;ϮϬϭϭͿ ĂƐ ǁĞůů ĂƐ ƚŚĞ ŽůĞ Ğƚ Ăů͘ ;ϮϬϭϭͿͲ ප ŵĞƚŚŽĚŽůŽŐLJ ƚŽ ŵĞĂƐƵƌĞ ĨŝŶĂŶĐŝĂů ůŝƚĞƌĂĐLJ ;ĚĞŶŽƚĞĚ ďLJ Ϳ͕ ĂĚĂƉƚĞĚ ƚŽ ƚŚĞ ZǁĂŶĚĂŶ ĐŽŶƚĞdžƚ͘ tĞ ĐŽĚĞĚ Ă ŚŽƵƐĞŚŽůĚ ĂƐ ͞,ŝŐŚ ĨŝŶĂŶĐŝĂů ůŝƚĞƌĂĐLJ͟ ŝĨ Ăůů ĨŽƵƌ ƋƵĞƐƚŝŽŶƐ ǁĞƌĞ ĐŽƌƌĞĐƚůLJ ĂŶƐǁĞƌĞĚ ĂŶĚ ĂƐ ͞>Žǁ ĨŝŶĂŶĐŝĂů ůŝƚĞƌĂĐLJ͟ŝĨŶŽŶĞŽĨƚŚĞĨŽƵƌƋƵĞƐƚŝŽŶƐǁĂƐĐŽƌƌĞĐƚůLJĂŶƐǁĞƌĞĚ͘ ^ŽƵƌĐĞ͗WZK&/ZďĂƐĞůŝŶĞĚĂƚĂƐĞƚϮϬϭϱ͕ŽǁŶĐĂůĐƵůĂƚŝŽŶ͘ ϵ ȱȱȱȱȱȱ¢ȱ¡ǰȱȱȱȱ¢ȱȱȱ ¢ȱȱȱȱ¢ȱȱ¢ȱȱ¢ǯȱǰȱȱȱȱȱȱȱ ȱȱ ȬȬ¢ȱ ȱȱ ȱǯȱ &ŝŐƵƌĞϭ͗ǀĞƌĂŐĞǁŝůůŝŶŐŶĞƐƐͲƚŽͲƉĂLJĂŶĚĨŝŶĂŶĐŝĂůůŝƚĞƌĂĐLJŝŶĚĞdžȱ Willingness-to-pay (mean) 6,250 6,000 5,750 5,500 5,250 5,000 0 1 2 Financial literacy index Bank loan 3 4 Family loan EŽƚĞ͗ dŚĞ ƐƚƌĂŝŐŚƚ ůŝŶĞ Ăƚ ϱ͕ϳϱϬ Zt& ĚŽĐƵŵĞŶƚƐ ƚŚĞ ƐƚĂƌƚŝŶŐ ƉŽŝŶƚ ŝŶ ƚŚĞ ďŝĚĚŝŶŐ ƉƌŽĐĞĚƵƌĞ͘ tĞ ƵƐĞĚ ĨŽƵƌ ƋƵĞƐƚŝŽŶƐƚĂŬĞŶĨƌŽŵƚŚĞ>ƵƐĂƌĚŝĂŶĚDŝƚĐŚĞůů;ϮϬϭϭͿĂƐǁĞůůĂƐƚŚĞŽůĞĞƚĂů͘;ϮϬϭϭͿͲŵĞƚŚŽĚŽůŽŐLJƚŽŵĞĂƐƵƌĞ ĨŝŶĂŶĐŝĂůůŝƚĞƌĂĐLJ͕ĂĚĂƉƚĞĚƚŽƚŚĞZǁĂŶĚĂŶĐŽŶƚĞdžƚ͘&ŽƌĞĂĐŚͣLJĞƐ͞ƚŚĞƌĞƐƉŽŶĚĞŶƚŐĞƚƐŽŶĞƉŽŝŶƚ͕ƐŽƚŚĂƚƚŚĞ ƌĂŶŐĞŽĨƚŚĞĨŝŶĂŶĐŝĂůůŝƚĞƌĂĐLJŝŶĚĞdžŝƐĨƌŽŵnjĞƌŽƚŽĨŽƵƌ͘ ^ŽƵƌĐĞ͗WZK&/ZďĂƐĞůŝŶĞĚĂƚĂƐĞƚϮϬϭϱ͕ŽǁŶĐĂůĐƵůĂƚŝŽŶ͘ ȱ ȱ ȬȬ¢ȱȱȱ¢ȱȱȱ¢ȱȱȱȱ¢ȱȱ¢ȱȱ ȱȱȱȱȱȱȱȱȱǯȱ &ŝŐƵƌĞϮ͗ǀĞƌĂŐĞǁŝůůŝŶŐŶĞƐƐͲƚŽͲƉĂLJĂŶĚĨŽƌŵĂůĨŝŶĂŶĐŝĂůŝŶĐůƵƐŝŽŶȱ Willingness-to-pay (mean) 6,250 6,000 5,750 5,500 5,250 5,000 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 Formal financial inclusion Bank loan 0.8 1.0 Family loan EŽƚĞ͗dŚĞƐƚƌĂŝŐŚƚůŝŶĞĂƚϱ͕ϳϱϬZt&ĚŽĐƵŵĞŶƚƐƚŚĞƐƚĂƌƚŝŶŐƉŽŝŶƚŝŶƚŚĞďŝĚĚŝŶŐƉƌŽĐĞĚƵƌĞ͘ ^ŽƵƌĐĞ͗WZK&/ZďĂƐĞůŝŶĞĚĂƚĂƐĞƚϮϬϭϱ͕ŽǁŶĐĂůĐƵůĂƚŝŽŶ͘ ϭϬ ȱȱ ǰȱ ǯȱ ǯǰȱ ǭȱ ǰȱ ǯȱ ǻŘŖŖŝǼǯȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ǯȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱǰȱŘŗǻŗǼǰȱŗŚŗǯȱ ¢ǰȱ ǯǰȱ ǭȱ ǰȱ ǯȱ ǻŗşşśǼǯȱ ȱ ǰȱ ¢ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ǯȱȱȱȱǰȱŚŜǻŗǼǰȱŗȬŗŞǯȱ ǰȱǯǰȱǰȱǯǰȱǭȱǰȱǯȱǻŘŖŗŗǼǯȱȱȱ ǵȱȱȱȱȱ ȱȱȱȱǵȱȱȱǰȱŜŜǰȱŗşřřȬŗşŜŝǯȱ ǰȱ ǯǰȱ ǰȱ ǯǰȱ ǰȱ ǯǰȱ ǭȱ ǰȱ ǯȱ ǻŘŖŖşǼǯȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ DZȱ ȱȱȇȱȱȱȱǞŘȱȱ¢ǰȱDZȱȱ¢ȱǯȱ û³ȬǰȱǯǰȱǰȱǯǰȱǰȱǯǰȱǭȱȱǰȱǯȱǻŘŖŗśǼǯȱȱȱ ¡ȱȱŘŖŗŚDZȱȱȱȱȱȱ ǰȱȱȱǰȱ ǚǯȱŝŘśśǯȱȱ ·ǰȱǯǰȱǰȱǯǰȱǰȱǯǰȱǭȱȇǰȱǯȱǻŘŖŗŘǼǯȱȱȱ ȱȱȱ ǵȱȱ¢ȱȱ ȱȱȱȱȱȱȱ ǯȱȱȱȱǰȱŘŚǻŗǼǰȱŗŘŘȬŗřŝǯȱ ǰȱ ǯȱ ǻŗşşşǼǯȱ ¢ȱ ǯȱ ȬDZȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ǯȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ǰȱ śşǻŘǼǰȱ ŚŗşȬ ŚŚŚǯȱ ǰȱ ǯǰȱ ǭȱ ǰȱ ǯȱ ǻŘŖŗśǼǯȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ DZȱ ¢ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ǻǼȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ǯȱ ȱ ǰȱ ȱ ȱ¢ȱǯȱ ǰȱǯǰȱǰȱǯǰȱǰȱǯǰȱǭȱ£ǰȱǯȱǻŘŖŖşǼǯȱȱȱȱǯȱ ȱ¢ȱȱȱǰȱŗŘŚǻřǼǰȱŗřŖŝȬŗřŜŗǯȱ ǰȱǯȱǭȱǰȱǯȱǻŘŖŗřǼǯȱȱȱ¢ȱȱǯȱȱȱȱ ȱȱǰȱǚǯȱřśŞȦŘŖŗřǯȱȱ ϭϭ ǰȱǯǰȱǭȱǰȱǯȱǯȱǻŘŖŗŗǼǯȱȱ¢ȱȱDZȱȱȱ ȱ ǯȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ǰȱ ǚǯȱ ŗŝŖŝŞǯȱ £ǰȱǯȱǯȱǻŗşşŖǼǯȱȱȱȱȱǯȱȱȱȱ ǰȱ ŚǻřǼǰȱřśŗȬřŜŜǯȱ ¢ǰȱ ǯȱ ǯǰȱ ǭȱ ǰȱ ǯȱ ǻŘŖŗŖǼǯȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ DZȱ ȱȱȱȱȱǵȱȱȱ ǰȱŘŗǻŚǼǰȱśŚŚȬśśŜǯȱ ¢ǰȱ ǯȱ ǻŗşşŖǼǯȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ DZȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ȱ ¢ǯȱȱȱȱ ǰȱŚǻřǼǰȱŘśŗȬŘŜşǯȱ ǰȱ ǯȱǯȱǻŗşşŖǼǯȱȱȱ ȱȱǯȱȱȱȱȱ ȱȱǻǼȱȦȱȱûȱȱȱ ǰȱŗśřȬŗŝŚǯȱ ǰȱǯȱǻŘŖŖŖǼǯȱȱȱȱȱȱȱǯȱȱȱȱ ǰȱśŞǻŗǼǰȱŗŞŝȬŘŗŚǯȱ ϭϮ
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