Earnings & Valuation: S&P 500 Blue Angels Yardeni Research, Inc. April 14, 2015 Dr. Edward Yardeni 516-972-7683 [email protected] Joe Abbott 732-497-5306 [email protected] Mali Quintana 480-664-1333 [email protected] Please visit our sites at www.yardeni.com blog.yardeni.com thinking outside the box Table Of Contents Table Of Contents S&P 500 Blue Angels April 14, 2015 / Earnings & Valuation: S&P 500 Blue Angels 1-6 Yardeni Research, Inc. www.yardeni.com S&P 500 Blue Angels Figure 1. 2750 2500 2750 S&P 500, FORWARD EARNINGS, & VALUATION (monthly) x20 2500 2250 2250 Mar 2000 S&P 500 1750 S&P 500 Blue Angels Implied Price Index* 2000 x15 1750 1500 1500 x25 1250 x10 1250 1000 1000 750 750 x5 500 500 250 250 yardeni.com 0 0 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 * Implied price index calculated using forward earnings times forward P/Es. Source: Standard & Poor’s Corporation and Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S. Figure 2. 2400 2400 S&P 500, FORWARD EARNINGS, & VALUATION 2200 2200 S&P 500 04/14/15 2000 x17 x16 S&P 500 Blue Angels Implied Price Index* 04/09/15 1800 2000 x15 1800 x14 x13 1600 1600 x12 1400 1400 x11 x10 1200 1200 1000 1000 800 800 yardeni.com 600 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 600 2016 * Implied price index calculated using forward earnings times forward P/Es. Source: Standard & Poor’s Corporation and Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S. Page 1 / April 14, 2015 / Earnings & Valuation: S&P 500 Blue Angels Yardeni Research, Inc. www.yardeni.com S&P 500 Blue Angels Figure 3. 700 700 S&P 500 CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY INDEX, FORWARD EARNINGS, & VALUATION x20 Consumer Discretionary Index Daily: 04/14/15 600 600 Blue Angels Implied Price Index* Weekly: 04/02/15 x16 500 400 500 400 x12 300 300 200 200 yardeni.com 100 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 100 2016 * Implied price index calculated using forward earnings times forward P/Es. Source: Standard & Poor’s Corporation and Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S. Figure 4. 550 550 S&P 500 CONSUMER STAPLES INDEX, FORWARD EARNINGS, & VALUATION x20 Consumer Staples Index Daily: 04/14/15 500 500 Blue Angels Implied Price Index* Weekly: 04/02/15 450 450 400 400 x15 350 350 300 300 x10 250 250 200 200 yardeni.com 150 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 150 2016 * Implied price index calculated using forward earnings times forward P/Es. Source: Standard & Poor’s Corporation and Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S. Page 2 / April 14, 2015 / Earnings & Valuation: S&P 500 Blue Angels Yardeni Research, Inc. www.yardeni.com S&P 500 Blue Angels Figure 5. 1300 1300 S&P 500 ENERGY INDEX, FORWARD EARNINGS, & VALUATION Energy Index Daily: 04/14/15 1100 1100 Blue Angels Implied Price Index* Weekly: 04/02/15 900 900 700 700 500 500 x16 300 300 x12 x6 100 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 yardeni.com 100 2016 * Implied price index calculated using forward earnings times forward P/Es. Source: Standard & Poor’s Corporation and Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S. Figure 6. 650 650 S&P 500 FINANCIALS INDEX, FORWARD EARNINGS, & VALUATION 600 600 550 Financials Index Daily: 04/14/15 500 Blue Angels Implied Price Index* Weekly: 04/02/15 550 500 450 450 400 400 350 350 x14 300 300 x11 250 200 250 200 x8 150 150 100 100 yardeni.com 50 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 50 2016 * Implied price index calculated using forward earnings times forward P/Es. Source: Standard & Poor’s Corporation and Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S. Page 3 / April 14, 2015 / Earnings & Valuation: S&P 500 Blue Angels Yardeni Research, Inc. www.yardeni.com S&P 500 Blue Angels Figure 7. 900 900 S&P 500 HEALTH CARE INDEX, FORWARD EARNINGS, & VALUATION 800 x18 800 Health Care Index Daily: 04/14/15 Blue Angels Implied Price Index* Weekly: 04/02/15 700 700 x14 600 600 500 500 x10 400 400 300 300 yardeni.com 200 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 200 2016 * Implied price index calculated using forward earnings times forward P/Es. Source: Standard & Poor’s Corporation and Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S. Figure 8. 600 600 S&P 500 INDUSTRIALS INDEX, FORWARD EARNINGS, & VALUATION x18 Industrials Index Daily: 04/14/15 Blue Angels Implied Price Index* Weekly: 04/02/15 500 500 x13 400 400 300 300 x8 200 200 yardeni.com 100 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 100 2016 * Implied price index calculated using forward earnings times forward P/Es. Source: Standard & Poor’s Corporation and Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S. Page 4 / April 14, 2015 / Earnings & Valuation: S&P 500 Blue Angels Yardeni Research, Inc. www.yardeni.com S&P 500 Blue Angels Figure 9. 1000 1000 S&P 500 INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY INDEX, FORWARD EARNINGS, & VALUATION Information Technology Index Daily: 04/14/15 900 900 x20 Blue Angels Implied Price Index* Weekly: 04/02/15 800 800 700 700 x15 600 600 500 500 x10 400 400 300 300 200 200 yardeni.com 100 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 100 2016 * Implied price index calculated using forward earnings times forward P/Es. Source: Standard & Poor’s Corporation and Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S. Figure 10. 400 400 S&P 500 MATERIALS INDEX, FORWARD EARNINGS, & VALUATION 350 350 x18 300 300 x14 250 250 200 200 x10 Materials Index Daily: 04/14/15 150 150 Blue Angels Implied Price Index* Weekly: 04/02/15 100 100 yardeni.com 50 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 50 2016 * Implied price index calculated using forward earnings times forward P/Es. Source: Standard & Poor’s Corporation and Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S. Page 5 / April 14, 2015 / Earnings & Valuation: S&P 500 Blue Angels Yardeni Research, Inc. www.yardeni.com S&P 500 Blue Angels Figure 11. 250 250 S&P 500 TELECOMMUNICATION SERVICES INDEX, FORWARD EARNINGS, & VALUATION Telecommunication Services Index Daily: 04/14/15 230 230 x20 Blue Angels Implied Price Index* Weekly: 04/02/15 210 210 190 190 x15 170 170 150 150 130 130 x10 110 110 90 90 yardeni.com 70 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 70 2016 * Implied price index calculated using forward earnings times forward P/Es. Source: Standard & Poor’s Corporation and Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S. Figure 12. 300 300 S&P 500 UTILITIES INDEX, FORWARD EARNINGS, & VALUATION Utilities Index Daily: 04/14/15 275 275 Blue Angels Implied Price Index* Weekly: 04/02/15 250 250 x18 225 225 200 200 x14 175 175 150 150 x10 125 125 yardeni.com 100 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 100 2016 * Implied price index calculated using forward earnings times forward P/Es. Source: Standard & Poor’s Corporation and Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S. Page 6 / April 14, 2015 / Earnings & Valuation: S&P 500 Blue Angels Yardeni Research, Inc. www.yardeni.com Copyright (c) Yardeni Research, Inc. 2015. All rights reserved. The information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but is not necessarily complete and its accuracy cannot be guaranteed. No representation or warranty, express or implied, is made as to the fairness, accuracy, completeness, or correctness of the information and opinions contained herein. 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