● ● ● 金融と株価 (35) oo 22 ))--++ ((,,((,,..00.. The figure is taken from p. 186 of Robert J. Shiller's Irrational Exuberance (2000). ..11 金融と株価 (36) ;; [[ 99== ー :: 55 ) 55 YY aa 55 [[ 44 33 mm tt「== [[ 1991 [John K. Galbraith, A short history of financi al euphoria: financial genius is before the fall, (1990).] oo 22 ))--++ ((,,((,,..00.. vv 88 nn 88mm88「== 55 55 [[ 2004 [Charles P. Kindleberger, Manias, panics, and crashes: a history of financial crises, (1978).] ..11 ..11 金融と株価 (37) 22 ))--++ ((,,((,,..00.. 33 88 (James Tobin) [[ q 33 YY 88tt [[ − 」 NNYY 『 Dt = d; pt+1= pt) aa oo pt = d/(r + ρ) ee 』55 pt , ee oo 44 −d ((,,((,,..00.. jj YY ))--++ 44 22 YY 金融と株価 (38) 33 55 KK NN 。 33 ..11 ・ 44 ..11 33 oo 55 22 ))--++ ((,,((,,..00.. 3333 金融と株価 (39) [[ q oo [[ 22 ))--++ [[ ((,,((,,..00.. '' 金融と株価 (40) 3333 88 // 3333 。PP44 3333333333 33 33 ..11 ;; [[ NN [[ [[ NN 4499 :::: PP [[ PP 金融と株価 (41) [[ [[ [[ [[ 55 ii 99 22 ))--++ [[ ee [[ ((,,((,,..00.. [[ (q<1)'' YYee]]55 PP [[ '' PP oo 3 oo 22 ))--++ ((,,((,,..00.. 4-4 (p. 117) 教科書 (3 版 ) 図 4-4 (p. 117) 金融と株価 (42) (q>1) [[ [[ 44 33 NN ..11 ..11 YY ..11 22 ))--++ ((,,((,,..00.. James Tobin (1918 - 2002) ……By designating the channels of contact between financial and real phenomena, Tobin has indicated, theoretically and empirically, the effects of changes in the real value of financial assets on the volume of consumption. A particularly important aspect is the analysis of factors that affect firms' real investments. Tobin has 金融と株価 (43) oo 金融と株価 (44) succeeded in reformulating an earlier hypothesis that these investments are strongly affected by the relation between the market value of existing real capital and the acquisition cost of corresponding, newly-produced real capital. If the prices of existing real capital, such as share prices, decline when the acquisition costs of new real capital are given or rising, then investments are counter-acted. This relation is confirmed by recent development in several countries….. oo 22 ))--++ ((,,((,,..00.. Excerpt: http://nobelprize.org/nobel_prizes/economics/laureates/1981/press.html ..11 ..11 (1) (2) (3) [[ oo 22 ))--++ ((,,((,,..00.. (medium of account] (numéraire)] (medium of exchange) (store of value) ( 教科書 第 5 章 ) 貨幣の需要と供給 (1) [[ [ #2 #1 88 PP p1/p3 #1 p1/p2 p2/p3 ((,,((,,..00.. #3 22 #2 ))--++ (medium of account) tt[[ p1/p2 oo 55 44 貨幣の需要と供給 (2) 33 (1) 33 66 ..11 p1/p2 ..11 ..11 p /p 1 3 p2/p3 p1/p4 #3 p3/p4 #4 oo 22 ))--++ ((,,((,,..00.. #3 #2 #1 貨幣の需要と供給 (3) #1 #2 p2/p4 M #3 #4 22 ))--++ #3 #2 ((,,((,,..00.. M #1 貨幣の需要と供給 (4) #1 #2 oo #4 #4 #5 #5 ˝© 貨幣の需要と供給 (5) oo 44 22 ))--++ ((,,((,,..00.. (medium of exchange) (medium of settlement)] [[ (barter economy) PP 55 ・ [[ PP [[ [[ doublecoincidence 55 [[ [[ 々 ii PP PP 44 55 NN [[ 44 oo 22 ))--++ ((,,((,,..00.. [[qqtt (monetary economy) 55 jjYY [[ 々 NN55 貨幣の需要と供給 (6) ]] 77 55 of wants) 55 33 (2) 333333 [ 33 77 33 [[ 々 ..11 33 PP 33 ..11 [[ 44 ee 55 PP 44 YY oo NN ii PP YY ))--++ ((,,((,,..00.. , (asset) 55 [[ 44 22 jj 55 55 [[ 55([[ YY * 44 44 (store of value) [[ 貨幣の需要と供給 (7) 55 55 YY [[ 55 [[ 33 (3) 3333 33 33 * ..11
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