㹇㹎㹁㹁ࡢᨻᗓᢎㄆࣉࣟࢭࢫࡣᔂቯࡋ࡚࠸ࡿ㸽 Is the IPCC Government Approval Process Broken? By Robert Stavins http://www.robertstavinsblog.org/ [email protected] Translated by Taishi Sugiyama(ᮡᒣᚿヂ) http://www.climatepolicy.jp/ [email protected] 2014 ᖺ 5 ᭶ 1 ᪥ ᮏ✏ࡣࣟࣂ࣮ࢺ࣭ࢫࢱࣂࣥࢫࣁ࣮ࣂ࣮ࢻᏛᩍᤵ㸭IPCC ➨୕㒊⤫ᣓᇳ➹㈐௵ ⪅ࡼࡿࠕ IPCC ➨ 5 ḟホ౯➨㸱㒊ሗ࿌᭩ࠕᨻ⟇Ỵᐃ⪅ྥࡅせ⣙ࠖ࠾ࡅࡿ ᅜ㝿༠ຊ㒊ศ㸦SPM㸳㸬㸰㸧㛵ࡍࡿᨻᗓᢎㄆࣉࣟࢭࢫ㛵ࡍࡿ⪃ᐹࠖ࠸࠺ ࣞࢱ࣮ࡢࠊᮡᒣᚿ IPCC ➨୕㒊⤫ᣓᇳ➹㈐௵⪅ࡼࡿヂ࡛ࡍࠋࢫࢱࣂࣥ ࢫᩍᤵࡼࡾ⩻ヂࡢチྍࢆཷࡅ࡚࠸ࡲࡍࠋ This is the Japanese version of “Thoughts on the Government Approval Process for SPM.5.2 (International Cooperation) of the Summary for Policymakers of Working Group 3, Fifth Assessment Report, Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change” written by Dr. Robert Stavins, Director of the Harvard Environmental Economics Program. Link: Is the IPCC Government Approval Process Broken? http://www.robertstavinsblog.org/ or http://www.huffingtonpost.com/robert-stavins/is-the-ipcc-government-ap_b_5223421.ht ml It is translated by Taishi Sugiyama, a Coordinating Lead Author of IPCC Working Group 3, with permission by Dr. Stavins. *** 2014 ᖺ 4 ᭶ 17 ᪥㸦ᮌ᭙᪥㸧 ༗ᚋ 4:07 TO㸸Ottmar EdenhoferࠊIPCC ➨୕㒊ඹྠ㆟㛗ࠊRamonPichs-Madrugaࠊ 1 ➨୕㒊ඹྠ㆟㛗ࠊYouba Sokonaࠊ➨୕㒊ඹྠ㆟㛗 CC㸸Rajendra Pachauri IPCC ㆟㛗ࠊJan Minx, IPCC ົᒁ࣊ࢵࢻ FROM㸸Robert Stavins ௳ྡ㸸 IPCC ➨ 5 ḟホ౯➨㸱㒊ሗ࿌᭩ࠕᨻ⟇Ỵᐃ⪅ྥࡅせ⣙ࠖ࠾ࡅࡿᅜ㝿 ༠ຊ㒊ศ㸦SPM㸳㸬㸰㸧㛵ࡍࡿᨻᗓᢎㄆࣉࣟࢭࢫ㛵ࡍࡿ⪃ᐹ ⚾ࡣඛ㐌ࡢ࣋ࣝࣜࣥࡢᨻᗓᢎㄆ㆟ࡢࣉࣟࢭࢫ⤖ᯝࡘ࠸࡚ኻᮃࣇࣛࢫࢺ ࣮ࣞࢩࣙࣥࢆ⾲⌧ࡍࡿࡓࡵᮏࣞࢱ࣮ࢆ᭩࠸࡚࠸ࡿࠋྠ㆟ࡣࠊ5 ᪥㛫ࡢኪࡢ 㛗ࡁࢃࡓࡾ㛤ദࡉࢀࡲࡋࡓࠋࡑࡇ࡛ࡣࠊㅖᅜᨻᗓ௦⾲ࡼࡗ࡚ࠊIPCC ➨୕㒊 ࡢᨻ⟇Ỵᐃ⪅ྥࡅせ⣙㸦SPM㸧ࡀࠊ᳨ウࡉࢀࡓࡀࠊᐇୖࡣࠊࡑࡢ୍㒊ࡘ ࠸࡚ࡢ᰿ᮏⓗ࡞ᨵゞ࡞࠸ࡋࡣྰㄆ࡞ࡗࡓࠋࡇࡢᡭ⣬ࡢ୰࡛ࡢ⚾ࡢ↔ⅬࡣࠊSPM ࡢ୰ࡢ 1 ࢭࢡࢩࣙࣥࠊࡘࡲࡾࠕSPM.5.2 ᅜ㝿༠ຊࠖࡔࡅ࠶ࡿࠋ ⚾ࡣ SPM ࡢࡢ㒊ศࡘ࠸࡚ࡣ୍ษ௦⾲ࡍࡿࡶࡢ࡛ࡣ࡞ࡃࠊゝཬࡶࡋ࡞࠸ࠋ ࡲࡓࠊ⚾ࡣࠊ➨୕㒊ඹྠ㆟㛗ࠊWG 3 ົᒁ㸦TSU㸧 ࠊ࠾ࡼࡧ IPCC యࡢࣜ ࣮ࢲ࣮ࢩࢵࣉࡘ࠸࡚ᢈุࡍࡿࡶࡢ࡛ࡣ࡞࠸ࠋ ㏫ࠊ⚾ࡣⓙᵝࡢࡍ࡚ࡀࠊ➨ 5 ḟホ౯㸦AR5㸧ࡢసᴗࡢ 5 ᖺ㛫ࠊ࠾ࡼࡧ࣋ࣝࣜࣥࡢ㸯㐌㛫ࠊ⣲ᬕࡽࡋ࠸ ࢆࡋࡓᛮ࠺ࠋ ⚾ࡀ࠸ࡲ᭩࠸࡚࠸ࡿၥ㢟ࡣࠊⓙᵝࡢඃࢀࡓᣦᑟຊᨭࡶ ࢃࡽࡎⓎ⏕ࡋࡓࡶࡢ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ ࡼࡾᗈࡃ࠸࠼ࡤࠊ⚾ࡀࡇࡢࣞࢱ࣮ࡢ୰࡛ྠᐃࡋࡓၥ㢟ࡣࠊ㛵ಀ⪅ࡢ࠸ࡎࢀࡢ ಶேⓗ࡞ḞⅬࡢ⤖ᯝ࡛ࡣ࡞࠸ࠋ ⚾ࡢពᅗࡣࠊㅖᅜࡢ௦⾲⪅ࠊIPCC ࡢ࣮ࣜࢲ࣮ ࢩࢵࣉࠊົᒁࠊⴭ⪅㸦Lead Authors㸧 ࠊࡲࡓࡣ⤫ᣓᇳ➹㈐௵⪅㸦Coordinating Lead Authors, CLA㸧ࢆᢈุࡍࡿࡇ࡛ࡣ࡞࠸ࠋ⚾ࡀྠᐃࡋࡼ࠺ࡍࡿၥ㢟ࡣࠊ ᵓ㐀ⓗ࡞ࡶࡢ࡛࠶ࡾࠊಶேⓗ࡞ࡶࡢ࡛ࡣ࡞࠸ࠋ ࡉࡽࠊIPCC ሗ࿌ᮏᩥࡢ➨ 13 ❶㸦ᅜ㝿༠ຊ㸸ྜព࠾ࡼࡧᨻ⟇ᡭẁ㸧 ࡢඹྠ ⤫ᣓᇳ➹㈐௵⪅ࡋ࡚ࠊ⚾ࡣ Dr. Zou Ji ඹྠ࡛ࠊSPM.5.2㸦ᅜ㝿༠ຊ㸧ࡢ㉳ ⲡ㈐௵ࢆ㈇ࡗ࡚࠸ࡓࠋ ࡞࠾ࡇࡢࣞࢱ࣮ࡣ Dr. Zou Ji ࡀ㛵ࡍࡿࡶࡢ࡛ࡣ࡞࠸ࠋ Dr. Zou Ji ࢆ⚾ࡣ࠸ᑛᩗࡋ࡚࠸ࡿࡋࠊᙼാࡃࡇࡣᴦࡋࡳ࡛࠶ࡗࡓࠋᙼࡣࠊ ௨ୗ㏙ࡿ⚾ࡢどⅬࢆඹ᭷ࡍࡿࡶࡋࢀ࡞࠸ࡋࠊࡋ࡞࠸ࡶࡋࢀ࡞࠸ࠋ ูࡢὀពⅬࡣࠊ⚾ࡣࡇࡢᡭ⣬ࡢ୰࡛ㄝ᫂ࡍࡿၥ㢟ࡣࠊSPM ࡢ࣮࣋ࢫ࡞ࡗࡓᢏ ⾡ⓗせ⣙㸦Technical Summary㸧ࡸᮏᩥ㸯㸱❶ࡣᙜ࡚ࡣࡲࡽ࡞࠸࠸࠺ࡇ ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ ᐇ㝿ࡢࡇࢁࠊᅜ㝿༠ຊ㛵ࡍࡿࢭࢡࢩࣙࣥ SPM.5.2 ࡣၥ㢟ࡀ࠶ࡿ 2 ࡓࡵࠊ⯆ࡢ࠶ࡿ㛵ಀ⪅ࡣࠊSPM ࡢ௦ࢃࡾᢏ⾡ⓗせ⣙ ࠊ࠶ࡿ࠸ࡣᮏᩥࡢ㸯 㸱❶ࢆㄞࡴࡇࡀ㔜せ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ ࡇࡢࣞࢱ࣮࠾࠸࡚ࡣࠊ⚾ࡣࠊSPM ࡢ 5.2 ௨እࡢ㒊ศᙳ㡪ࢆ࠼ࡓᨻᗓࡢࣞ ࣅ࣮ࣗᨵゞࣉࣟࢭࢫࡘ࠸࡚ࡣࢥ࣓ࣥࢺࡋ࡞࠸ࠋࡔࡀࠊࡓࡔ㸯Ⅼࡔࡅࢆグࡋ ࡚࠾ࡁࡓ࠸ࠋ⚾ࡣࠊ㸯㐌㛫ࡀ⤒㐣ࡋ࡚࠸ࡃࡘࢀ࡚ࠊ⛉Ꮫⓗᇶ┙࡛ࡣ࡞ࡃ⣧⢋ ᨻୖࡢ⌮⏤ࡼࡗ࡚ࠊㅖᅜᨻᗓࡀ SPM ࡢᩥゝࡘ࠸࡚ヲ⣽࡞ኚ᭦ࢆຓゝࡋ ࡓࡾࡣᙉᅛᙇࡋࡓࡾࡍࡿࠊࡑࡢ㐲៖ࡢ࡞ࡉ㦫࠸ࡓࠋ ࢇࡢ㸦࡚࡛ࡣ࡞࠸㸧ᨻᗓ௦⾲ᅋࡢࠊSPM ᨵゞࡢࡓࡵࡢ୍⯡ⓗ࡞ືᶵࡣࠊ యྜ㆟(plenary sessions)࡛ࡍ࡛㠀ᖖ᫂☜࡛࠶ࡗࡓࠋ ࡇࢀࡽࡢືᶵࡣࠊ SPM ࠸࡚ࡃㄽதⓗ࡞㒊ศࡘ࠸࡚㆟ㄽࡍࡿࡓࡵࠊ௦⾲ᇳ➹⪅ᨻᗓ௦ ⾲ᅋࡢᑠࢢ࣮ࣝࣉ࡛ᐦᐊ࡛㛤ദࡉࢀࡓࠕࢥࣥࢱࢡࢺࢢ࣮ࣝࣉ㸦contact groups㸧 ࠖ ࡛ࡣࠊࡼࡾ࠶ࡽࡉࡲ࡞ࡗࡓࠋ ࡇࢀࡽࡢࢥࣥࢱࢡࢺࢢ࣮ࣝࣉ࠾࠸࡚ࠊᨻᗓ ௦⾲ࡣࠊẼೃኚື㛵ࡍࡿᅜ㝿㐃ྜᯟ⤌᮲⣙㸦UNFCCC㸧ࡢୗ࡛ࡢᅜ㝿΅࡛ࠊ ⮬ศࡢ΅ࢫࢱࣥࢫࢆ༴㝤ࡉࡽࡍࡶࡋࢀ࡞࠸ࡼ࠺࡞ᩥゝࢆࠊᢚไࡋࡼ࠺ ࡋࡓࠋ ⚾ࡣㅖᅜᨻᗓࡢ௦⾲ࡀ⮬ᅜࡢ┈ࢆ᧦ㆤࡍࡿࡇࡼࡗ࡚ࠊࡑࢀࡒࢀࡢᨻᗓ ᑐࡋ࡚ࠊࡑࡢ㈐௵ࢆᯝࡓࡑ࠺ࡋ࡚࠸ࡓࡇࢆ⌮ゎࡍࡿࠋࡔࡀሙྜࡼ ࡗ࡚ࡣࠊࡇࢀࡣ IPCC ࡢ SPM ⛉Ꮫⓗ༑ᛶࡢࡓࡵၥ㢟ࡀ࠶ࡿࡇࡀุ᫂ࡋࡓࠋ IPCC ࡢ⛉Ꮫⓗ࡞ࣉࣟࢭࢫࡢࡇࡢࡼ࠺࡞㛵ࠊࡑࡋ࡚ࡣᖸ΅ࡣࠊᅜ㝿༠ຊ 㛵ࡍࡿࢭࢡࢩࣙࣥ SPM.5.2 ࡛≉῝้࡛࠶ࡗࡓࠋࡇࢀࡘ࠸࡚௨ୗ㏙ࡿࠋ 2014 ᖺ 4 ᭶ 7 ᪥㸦᭶᭙᪥㸧ࡢ᪩ᮅࠊSPM.5.2 ࡢࢻࣛࣇࢺࡀᡂࡋࠊ࣋ࣝࣜࣥ ࠸ࡓ CLA ࡓࡕࡼࡗ࡚ᢎㄆࡉࢀࡓࠋ ࢻࣛࣇࢺ㸦ῧ㈨ᩱ A 㸧ࡣࠊୡ⏺ྛᅜ ࡢᨻᗓࡽᐤࡏࡽࢀࡓᗈ⠊ᅖࢃࡓࡿࢥ࣓ࣥࢺᑐᛂࡋ࡚ࠊඛ⾜ࡍࡿᩘࣨ᭶ ࢃࡓࡗ࡚ᨵゞࡉࢀ࡚࠸ࡓ㸦ఱᗘࢃࡓࡿࢻࣛࣇࢺࡣࠊ㏻ᖖࡢ IPCC ࡢࣉࣟࢭ ࢫࡢ୍㒊ࡋ࡚ㅖᅜᨻᗓ㏦ಙࡉࢀ࡚࠸ࡓ㸧 ࠋ ࢻࣛࣇࢺ㸦ῧ㈨ᩱ A 㸧ࡣ IPCC ࡢ࢜ࣥࣛࣥࢩࢫࢸ࣒ PaperSmart ࢆࡋ࡚ 4 ᭶ 7 ᪥ᨻᗓ㏦ࡽࢀࡓࠋ యྜ࠾࠸࡚ࠊᨻᗓ௦⾲ࡣ 4 ᭶ 11 ᪥㔠᭙᪥ࡢ࠾ࡼࡑ༗ᚋ 10 SPM.5.2 ࡢ᳨ウࢆጞࡵࡓࠋ ࡍࡄㅖᅜ௦⾲ࡣయྜ࡛ࡣᩥゝࢆ᳨ウࡋࡓࡀࡽ࡞࠸ࡇ ࡀ᫂ࡽ࡞ࡗࡓࠋࡑࡇ࡛ඹྠ㆟㛗ࡣチᐜྍ⬟࡞ᩥゝࢆ᳨ウࡍࡿࢥࣥࢱࢡࢺࢢ ࣮ࣝࣉࢆタ⨨ࡋࠊ㸰㛫ࢆᮇ㝈ࡋࡓࠋࡓࠋࢥࣥࢱࢡࢺࢢ࣮ࣝࣉࡣࠊࡰ 11 ࠊ ࡑࡢసᴗࢆ㛤ጞࡋࡓ㸦ࡑࡋ࡚ࠊ4 ᭶ 12 ᪥㸦ᅵ᭙᪥㸧 ࡢ༗๓ 1 㐣ࡂࡲ࡛⥆࠸ 3 ࡓ㸧ࠋ ࢥࣥࢱࢡࢺࢢ࣮ࣝࣉࡣࠊᑠᅜࡽᅜࠊ㈋ࡋ࠸ᅜࡽ㇏࡞ᅜ⮳ࡿࡲ࡛ࠊ ከᵝ࡞ᅜࠎࡢ௦⾲ࡀྵࡲࢀ࡚࠸ࡓࠋ ࡋࡓࡀࡗ࡚ࠊ⚾ࡣ⏕ࡲࢀࡓၥ㢟ࡢ㈐௵ࡣࠊ ≉ᐃࡢᅜᖐᒓࡍࡿࠊ࠶ࡿ࠸ࡣ≉ᐃࡢᅜࡢࢢ࣮ࣝࣉ࡛࠶ࡿࡣ⪃࠼࡚࠸࡞࠸ ࠋ ㏫ࠊࡰࡍ࡚ࡢᅜࡣࠊྠࡌどⅬࣉ࣮ࣟࢳࢆඹ᭷ࡋ࡚࠸ࡓࠋࡍ࡞ࢃࡕࠊ ከᅜ㛫΅࠾ࡅࡿ⮬ศࡓࡕࡢ┈ࡸ⨨୍⮴ࡋ࡞࠸⪃࠼ࡽࢀ࡚࠸ࡓࠊ࠶ ࡽࡺࡿᩥゝࡣཷࡅධࢀࡽࢀ࡞࠸ࠊࡋࡓࠋ ᐇ㝿ࡢࡇࢁࠊSPM.5.2 ࢥࣥࢱࢡ ࢺࢢ࣮ࣝࣉෆࡢᅜࡢ㸦࠾ࡑࡽࡃከᩘࡢ㸧࠸ࡃࡘࡢ௦⾲ࡣࠊẼೃኚືᯟ⤌᮲ ⣙㸦UNFCCC㸧ࡢ΅⪅ࡋ࡚⮬ศ⮬㌟ࢆྠᐃࡋ࡚࠸ࡓࠋ ࡇࢀࡽࡢ⤒㦂㇏ᐩ ࡞ UNFCCC ࡢ΅ᢸᙜ⪅ᑐࡋ࡚ࠊᙼࡽ⮬㌟ࡀᐖ㛵ಀ⪅࡛࠶ࡿࡇࢁࡢᢈ ุⓗᏛ⾡ᩥ⊩ࢆホ౯ࡋࡓᩥゝࡢᢎㄆࢆồࡵࡿࡇࡣࠊゎỴྍ⬟࡞ᐖ⾪✺ ࡞ࡗࡓࠋ ࡇࡢࡼ࠺ࡋ࡚ࠊㅖᅜࡢ௦⾲ࡣࠊࣉࣟࢭࢫࡢᛶ㉁ࡼࡗ࡚ࠊགྷ࡞ࠊ ၥ㢟ࡢ࠶ࡿ❧ሙ࠾ࢀࡓࠋ ࢥࣥࢱࢡࢺࢢ࣮ࣝࣉࡢ 2 㛫ࡢᑂ㆟࠾࠸࡚ࠊㅖᅜᨻᗓࡢ௦⾲ࡀ SPM.5.2 ࡢᩥ ゝࢆᢎㄆࡍࡿ၏୍ࡢ᪉ἲࡣࠊࡍ࡚ࡢࠕㄽதⓗ࡞ࠖᩥゝ㸦ࡘࡲࡾࠊ࠸ࡎࢀࡢ ᨻᗓࡢࡓࡵᛌࡔࡗࡓᩥゝ㸧ࡇࡈࡃ๐㝖ࡍࡿࡇࡔุ᫂ࡋࡓࠋࡑࢀࡣࠊ ᩥゝࡢࡰ 75㸣ࢆ๐㝖ࡍࡿࡇ┦ᙜࡍࡿࠋࡇࢀࡣኴᏐࡢぢฟࡋࡢୗࠊࡰ ࡍ࡚ࡢㄝ᫂ࡸࡢ๐㝖࡛ࡶ࠶ࡿࠋ࠶ࡿࡲࡓࡣᩥࡀࠊ1 ࡘ 2 ࡘࡢᅜࡢពᚿ ࡛㝖ཤࡉࢀࡿ࠸࠺ࡇࡶࠊఱᗘࡶ࠶ࡗࡓࠋIPCC ࡢ࣮ࣝࣝࡢୗ࡛ࡣࠊ1 ᅜࡀ ᑐࡍࡿࠊࡑࡢᅜࡀࡑࢀࢆྲྀࡾୗࡆ࡞࠸㝈ࡾࠊ࡚ࡢᢎㄆࣉࣟࢭࢫࢆṆࡵࡿࡇ ࡀฟ᮶ࡿࡽ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ ㅖᅜࡢ௦⾲ࡣࠊ⮬ศࡢࢆࡸࡗ࡚࠸ࡓࡔࡅ࡛࠶ࡿࡇࢆ⌮ゎࡋࡓࡢ࡛ࠊ⚾ࡣ ಶேⓗᙼࡽࢆᢈุࡣࡋ࡞࠸ࠋࡔࡀࠊࡇࡢ IPCC ࡢࣉࣟࢭࢫࡣࠊ⛉Ꮫⓗ࡞༑ ᛶࢆ≛≅ࡋ࡚ࠊᨻⓗ࡞ಙ㢗ᛶ㸦credibility㸧ࢆ㔜どࡍࡿࣉࣟࢭࢫ࡞ࡗࡓࠋ ࢥࣥࢱࢡࢺࢢ࣮ࣝࣉࡀྜពࡋࠊࡑࡢᚋࠊయྜ㸦࠾ࡼࡑ 4 ᭶ 12 ᪥༗๓ 3 㸧 ᢎㄆࡉࢀࡓ SPM.5.2 ࡢ᭱⤊∧ࡣࠊῧᩥ᭩ B ࡋ࡚ࡇࡢᡭ⣬ῧࡉࢀ࡚࠸ ࡿࠋ ࠾ࡼࡑ࠶ࡽࡺࡿᶵ㛵ࡣࠊࡍ࡚ࡢேࠎࡢࡓࡵࠊࡍ࡚ࢆࡍࡿࡇࡣ࡛ࡁ࡞࠸ࠋ ࡇࢀࡣ IPCC ࡶእ࡛ࡣ࡞࠸ࠋࡃࠊIPCC ࡢᅜ㝿༠ຊ㛵ࡍࡿ◊✲ᡂᯝࡢࣞ ࣅ࣮ࣗࡢሙྜࡣࠊ⛉Ꮫⓗ༑ᛶᨻⓗ࡞ಙ㢗ᛶࡢ㛫ࠊ㑊ࡅࡀࡓ࠸➇ྜ ࡀ࠶ࡿࡶࡋࢀ࡞࠸ࠋ ࡶࡋࡶ IPCC ࡀࠊᑗ᮶ࡢホ౯ሗ࿌᭩࠾࠸࡚ࡶᅜ㝿༠ຊ 㛵ࡍࡿᏛ⾡ⓗ▱ぢࢆㄪᰝࡋ⥆ࡅࡿࡢ࡛࠶ࢀࡤࠊIPCC ࡣࠊ୍⮴࡛ࡢᢎㄆࢆ 4 ᚓࡿᩥゝࡢ᳨ウࡢࡓࡵࠊㅖᅜᨻᗓ௦⾲ࢆᛌࡘ᰿ᮏⓗ➽ࡢ㏻ࡽ࡞࠸❧ሙ ⨨ࡃࡁ࡛ࡣ࡞࠸ࠋ ྠᵝ IPCC ࡣࠊᚲ↛ࡋ࡚ SPM ࠾࠸࡚ᨻᗓࡀྰㄆ ࡍࡿࡼ࠺࡞సᴗࡢࡓࡵࠊ」ᩘᖺࡢᮇ㛫ࢃࡓࡗ࡚ࠊ⭾࡞㛫ࢆ↓ൾ࡛ᥦ౪ ࡍࡿࡼ࠺ࠊᇳ➹⪅ࡓࡕ౫㢗ࡍࡿࡁ࡛ࡣ࡞࠸ࠋ ⚾ࡢ┠ⓗࡣࠊᅜࡢ௦⾲ࠊIPCC ࡢ࣮ࣜࢲ࣮ࢩࢵࣉࠊົᒁ TSUࠊⴭ⪅ the Lead Authors,࠶ࡿ࠸ࡣ⤫ᣓᇳ➹㈐௵⪅ or the Coordinating Lead Authors ࢆ㠀㞴ࡍ ࡿࡇ࡛ࡣ࡞࠸ࠋ⚾ࡣࡑࢀࢆ༑ศ᫂ⓑ࡛ࡁࡓࡇࢆ㢪࠺ࠋ ၥ㢟ࡣಶேⓗ࡞ ࡶࡢ࡛ࡣ࡞ࡃࠊᵓ㐀ⓗ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ ⚾ࡢぢゎ࡛ࡣࠊ⌧ᅾࡢᵓ㐀ࡸつ⠊࠾࠸࡚ࡣࠊ ㅖᅜࡢᢎㄆࣉࣟࢭࢫࢆ⏕ࡁṧࡿࡇࡀ࡛ࡁ࡚ࠊࡘࠊᅜ㝿༠ຊࡘ࠸࡚⛉Ꮫⓗ ࡘ࡞ SPM ࢆ᭩ࡃࡇࡣࠊྍ⬟࡛ࡣ࡞࠸ࡶࡋࢀ࡞࠸ࡀࠊᴟࡵ࡚ ࡴࡎࡋ࠸ࠋ ࡼࡾᗈࡃ࠸࠼ࡤࠊ⚾ࡣᨻᗓ㸦࠾ࡼࡧᑓ㛛ᐙ㸧ࡢࢥ࣓ࣥࢺᑐ㇟࡞ࡗࡓࡀࠊᨻᗓ ࡢᢎㄆࢆཷࡅ࡞ࡓࠊ⤫ᣓᇳ➹㈐௵⪅ࡼࡾసᡂࡉࢀࡓᩥ᭩ࡢୡ㛫ࡢὀ┠ࢆ ྥࡅࡿࡇࢆࠊIPCC ᙉࡃせㄳࡍࡿࠋ SPM ࡢ௦ࢃࡾࠊᢏ⾡ⓗせ⣙ࠊᮏᩥ 㸯㸱❶ࡢせ⣙ࢆᗈࡃ▱ࡽࡋࡵࡿࡇࡀࠊබ┈ࡢࡓࡵ࡚ࡶⰋ࠸ࡇࡔ⚾ࡣ ಙࡌ࡚࠸ࡿࠋ Executive Summaries ࡢせ࡞ㄪᰝ⤖ᯝࡢබ⾲㉳ᅉࡍࡿ⪃࠼ ࡚࠸ࡿࠋ ⓙᵝࡣ IPCC ࡢ࣮ࣜࢲ࣮ࡋ࡚ࠊඛ㐌࡞ࡗ࡚ไ⣙ࢆ࠺ࡅࡓ SPM ࡔ ࡅ࡛ࡣ࡞ࡃ࡚ࠊᩘⓒேࡶࡢᇳ➹⪅ࡀ㐣ཤ 5 ᖺ㛫ࢃࡓࡾ┿࡞⛉Ꮫⓗㄪᰝࢆ ⾜࠸ࡲࡵࡓሗ࿌᭩ࡢ⤖ᯝࢆࠊ♫㸦࠾ࡼࡧᨻ⟇❧⪅㸧ᑐࡋ࡚ఏ࠼ࡿ㈐௵ ࡀ࠶ࡿࠋ IPCC ࡢࡣ㔜せ࡛࠶ࡿࠋࡲࡓఱⓒேࡶࡢ➨୕㒊ࡢᇳ➹⪅ࡼࡿ⛉Ꮫⓗ࡞ ࡣࠊ☜࡞ࡶࡢ࡛࠶ࡾࠊ㔜せ࡛࠶ࡗࡓࠋࡑࢀࡣᢏ⾡ⓗせ⣙ᮏᩥ᳨࡛ドࡉ ࢀ࡚࠸ࡿࠋ⚾ࡣࠊࡇࡢࣞࢱ࣮ࡀࠊIPCC ࡢᚋࡢάືࡢࡓࡵᘓタⓗࡘ᭷⏝࡛ ࠶ࡿࡇࢆ㢪ࡗ࡚࠸ࡿࠋ ῧ㈨ᩱ A http://www.hks.harvard.edu/fs/rstavins/IPCC/Item_A.pdf ῧ㈨ᩱ B http://www.hks.harvard.edu/fs/rstavins/IPCC/Item_B.pdf ௨ୖ 5
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