Future Platform for Mobile Communication ISQED March. 27, 2001 Hajime Sasaki Chairman of the Board NEC Corporation C NEC Corporation 2001 Mobile Communication Network Infrastructure Terminal C NEC Corporation 2001 BLACKOUT? Achille’s Heel of IT Society IT Society Mobile & Internet Network Infrastructure Operating 24 Hours a Day Global Environmental Problem Network Expands Rapidly Results in Sudden Electric Power Supply Problem C NEC Corporation 2001 In the US, the Internet will be the largest power consumer… Power Consumption Share of the Internet 1999 ? 2009 0% 0% 20% 20% 40% 40% 60% 80% 60% 100% 80% 100% Servers PCs Routers Others In 10 years, the power consumption share of the Internet will surpass 50% ! C NEC Corporation 2001 Internet Penetration and Development 3rd Wave （Internet Era） 2nd Wave Growth 1st Wave （PC Era） Internet Society （Mainframe Era） ARPANET Ethernet E-Commerce WWW E-Business Next Generation Internet IMT2000/Optics 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 C NEC Corporation 2001 Simulation in Japan…. By 2010, electric power consumption will increase by…. 30 x nuclear power plant 285Bwh C NEC Corporation 2001 = 2MB 1 lb E-mail is not Eco-mail but Ego-mail? C NEC Corporation 2001 100000 Power(Watts) 10000 1000 ＣＰＵ becomes the Sun? 100 Pentium Processors 10 486 8086 286 386 8085 8008 1 8080 4004 0.1 1971 ISSCC2001 1974 1978 1985 1992 2000 2004 2008 C NEC Corporation 2001 American IT vs. Energy Needs Oil Ratio Tons 10K Units 310 Energy Consumption as ratio of GDP（Left） 300 5000 4500 1/3 of Contribution to Energy Efficiency is Attributed to Change in Industry Structure 4000 3500 290 3000 280 270 2500 2000 Internet Hosts（Right） 1500 1000 260 500 250 2/3 of Contribution to Energy Efficiency is Attributed to Internet Economy 0 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 CY The portion of low energy consumption industry increased (Textile Software Industry） Decrease in excess production (SCM) Reduction in logistic costs (home office, EC) C NEC Corporation 2001 The Inescapable Two “E’s” E-economy Environment C NEC Corporation 2001 Low power consumption Macro Needs Micro Needs C NEC Corporation 2001 The Networked Society is Coming… New Utility Created Independently of Time or Place Business (Office) Consumer (Home) ＳＣＭ ＥＤＩ Remote Education Government Telework Cyber Market Remote Medical Treatment EDI: Electronic Data Interchange C NEC Corporation 2001 Regional Difference of Penetration between Internet and Mobile in Developing Stage (CYE1999 Est.) Excluding North America, Mobile Penetration Exceeds Internet Penetration 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% (Source: Global Mobile, Nua Ltd.) Canada US Germany France Spain Japan UK Italy Sweden Norway Finland 0% C NEC Corporation 2001 Comparison between PC & Mobile 1000 Capacity of Mobile Phone follows that of Laptop PC (5-7year time log) ［ＭＨｚ］ ［ＭＢ］ 100 PC clock ＰＣ ＲＡＭ 10 MobileROM ROM MobileRAM RAM 1 1989 Mobile clock 1994 1999 2004 0.1 Processing Power Doubles Every One and Half Years C NEC Corporation 2001 Internet Connectable Mobile Phone Subscribers in Japan Surpassed 30 million in 2 years (million subscribers) 35 i mode Ez web J-sky 30 25 <Provides＞ Imode；NTT Docomo 20 EZWeb：AU J-Sky；J Phone 15 10 5 0 2 3 4 Free from Keyboard 5 6 7 1999 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 2000 Easy to Operate 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 2001 Slow Adoption of PC InternetC NEC Corporation 2001 Creation of New Mobile Services Development of Mobile Services Core Areas of Mobile Services VALUE 3G Information Video Appliance Quasi-Video 2G Data Mobile Phone 1G Voice Interactive GPS Personal Combination Real Time“Push” Portable Type Info Wireless Communication C NEC Corporation 2001 Future Functions of Mobile Terminal Large Display Processing Capacity Agent GPS Certification/Security Power Small Size Integration of CPU and DSP into 1 chip LCD, EL CPU, Software LSI Battery Mounting PCB Lithium ion Rechargeable Battery C NEC Corporation 2001 Key Devices for IT Society Semiconductor Memory MPU SOC Thinking/Processing （Brain/Nerve） Flat Panel Display ＬＣＤ ＰＤＰ Interface （Face/Expression） Energy Device Li-Ion Power Supply （Blood circulation） Total Solution C NEC Corporation 2001 The IT Revolution Internet Revolution IT Revolution Semiconductor Technology Mobile Revolution C NEC Corporation 2001 Requirement for Next Generation’s Terminal Devices C NEC Corporation 2001 Paradigm Shift End of PC Oriented Era PC Oriented Era: Seeking high performance and low cost based on chip shrink technology What Paradigm Will Be in the Mobile & Internet Era? Keyboard culture Ten-keys culture C NEC Corporation 2001 Paradigm change in Mobile & Internet Era Supreme Command Low power consumption From PC oriented device (shrink technology) To Mobile oriented device (energy saving technology) C NEC Corporation 2001 Paradigm change in Mobile & Internet Era Supreme Command Low power consumption From seeds oriented device (shrink technology) To needs oriented device (energy saving technology) C NEC Corporation 2001 Technology Roadmap ITRS '99 MPU Gate Length(nm) Equivalent physical oxcide thickness Tox(nm) Number of metal levels Conductor effective resistivity Cu wiring(μΩ-cm) Interlevel metal insulatoreffective dielectric constnat(k) 2001 2005 2008 100 65 45 1.5-1.9 1.0-1.5 0.8-1.2 7 8-9 9 2.2 2.2 1.8 2.7-3.5 1.6-2.2 1.5 C NEC Corporation 2001 Start of Mass Production 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11 SOC Performance （GHz＊MTr ／W ） 103 New Concept LSI 2 10 101 100 400 Equivalent Scaling Conventional Scaling 200 10080 60 40 20 10 Gate Length (nm) C NEC Corporation 2001 New Paradigm q Equivalent device scaling New processes, New materials q Equivalent system scaling New architecture, New Circuits q Synergetic device/circuit co-design Flexible parameter CMOS SOC C NEC Corporation 2001 MP98：Single-Chip Multiprocessor qNovel multi-thread architecture qSoftware for parallel architecture qSophisticated power management 10.5mm q 0.15um 14 Million Trs. 125MHz x 4PEs x 2-way Superscalar 10.5mm １GIPS＠１W, Vdd=1.3V q Dynamic power control of PEs On-chip power switch Idling:25mW, Sleep:0.2mW C NEC Corporation 2001 Power Management in MP98 qMulti-oxide/-Vt for high-speed and low-power circuits qSoftware controlled power management circuit Power SW Power(W) 10 Ctrl Cap. SW Cd Cache data Internal Circuits Block 1.0 0.01 0.0002 Control Power Circuits SW De-coupling Capacitors Normal mode Idle Sleep Leak Current t 38.8µm 25ms 80ｕｓ 333µm C NEC Corporation 2001 Power Comparison (Source: NEC for P98) VIDEO CODEC Latest 1GIPS MPU Transmeta TM5400 MP98(4PE) (5W) (2W, 1/2.5) (1W, 1/5) Idle Mode Latest 1GIPS MPU (0.9W, 1/4) Transmeta TM5400 MP98 (25mW, <1/100) Sleep (Off/Instant On) Latest 1GIPS MPU (N.A.) Transmeta TM5400 MP98(Power Switch Off) (200mW, <1/10) Power (Ratio) (4W) (8mW) 1 C NEC Corporation 2001 Processor Map # of Application Programs 10000 MPU Ｐｅｎｔｉｕｍ ● 1000 DRL 100 10 MCU DSP ASIC 1 101 102 103 104 Power Efficiency (MIPS/W) 105 Reconfigurable Computing Task 1 A D Task N Task 1 W Task N B X C •External control style E Time Customize hardware dynamically Y Z •Internal control style Controller W A Y H I JB D C ZE X Reconfigurable Hardware Controller Task N Time Task 1 4 Phases of Competition Key Word Market Phase Age of Sweat Emerging Age of Money Age of Speed Aspect of Competition Yield Ratio Variable Cost Value Engineering Oriented Management Productivity Competitiveness Based On Outside Know-how Growth Investment Timing Productivity Competitiveness Based on Selfdeveloped Know-how Age of Knowledge Global Competition Purpose Know-how High Volume Production Focused on Spreading Fixed Costs Relative Customer Satisfaction Management Absolute Customer Satisfaction Management C NEC Corporation 2001 4 Methods for Core Competence Advantage in Result Characteristic Production System how Process ・Individual Dependent Mass ・Patent Strategy Production ・Dependent on Current Technology Growth ・Corporate Culture Profitability Dependent ・Difficult to Imitate what Market ・First Mover Advantage Product Concept Penetration ・Patent Strategy Basic ・Serendipity Materials Performance ・First Mover Advantage C NEC Corporation 2001 Competent Semiconductor Industry Develop. of New Business Model Self Development Core Competence Technology Buy or Sell Joint Development C NEC Corporation 2001
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