RISK MANAGEMENT HEDGING ALTERNATIVES USING LIVE CATTLE OPTIONS FOR FEBRUARY LIVE CATTLE 2015 HISTORIC AVG VOLATILITY 12.3% PREPARED BY CattleHedging.com HISTORIC AVG RANGE 11.9% to 26.6% 13.1% IMPLIED VOLATILITY STRIKE PRICE implied volatility (%) CALLS PREMIUM (cwt.) INT. VALUE TIME/VOLATILITY PUTS $ COST FLOOR EXPIRES 06-Feb-15 TODAY'S CLOSE $149.00 19.3% $150.00 18.6% $153.05 $151.00 18.2% $152.00 17.8% 20-Jan-15 $153.00 17.9% $154.00 17.8% $155.00 18.0% $4.95 4.05 0.90 $4.20 3.05 1.15 $3.53 2.05 1.47 $2.90 1.05 1.85 $2.38 0.05 2.32 $1.90 0.00 1.90 $1.53 0.00 1.53 $1,980 $1,680 $1,410 $1,160 $950 $760 $610 CALLS PUTS G A M M A D E L T A T H E T A V E G A (HD) $155.00 18.1% $3.48 1.95 1.53 151.53 $1,390 $43 150.48 1.48 156.48 150.73 0.73 155.73 151.05 0.05 155.05 151.43 -0.58 154.43 151.90 -1.10 153.90 152.43 -1.58 153.43 153.05 -1.95 153.05 67% 8% 0.046 0.120 $154.00 17.8% $2.85 0.95 1.90 151.15 $1,140 $36 151.10 2.10 156.10 151.35 1.35 155.35 151.68 0.68 154.68 152.05 0.05 154.05 152.53 -0.48 153.53 153.05 -0.95 153.05 153.68 -1.33 152.68 58% 9% 0.050 0.129 $153.00 17.9% $2.33 0.00 2.33 150.68 $930 $29 151.63 2.63 155.63 151.88 1.88 154.88 152.20 1.20 154.20 152.58 0.58 153.58 153.05 0.05 153.05 153.58 -0.43 152.58 154.20 -0.80 152.20 49% 9% 0.051 0.132 $152.00 17.8% $1.85 0.00 1.85 150.15 $740 $23 152.10 3.10 155.10 152.35 2.35 154.35 152.68 1.68 153.68 153.05 1.05 153.05 153.53 0.53 152.53 154.05 0.05 152.05 154.68 -0.33 151.68 40% 9% 0.049 0.127 $151.00 18.2% $1.48 0.00 1.48 149.53 $590 $18 152.48 3.48 154.48 152.73 2.73 153.73 153.05 2.05 153.05 153.43 1.43 152.43 153.90 0.90 151.90 154.43 0.43 151.43 155.05 0.05 151.05 31% 8% 0.045 0.117 $150.00 107.4% $10.15 0.00 10.15 139.85 $4,060 $127 143.80 -5.20 144.80 144.05 -5.95 144.05 144.38 -6.63 143.38 144.75 -7.25 142.75 145.23 -7.78 142.23 145.75 -8.25 141.75 146.38 -8.63 141.38 23% 7% 0.039 0.101 PUTS PUTS C A DELTA GAMMA L THETA 0.032 0.039 0.045 0.049 0.051 0.050 0.046 L L S VEGA 0.083 0.101 0.117 0.127 0.132 0.129 0.120 L S SELL BUY CALL COST ($) COST/HD MKT UP MKT DN 83% 6% 76% 7% 69% 8% FEBRUARY LIVE CATTLE 2015 $149.00 $1,980 $54.45 ($0.90) $148.10 60% 9% 51% 9% at $153.05 42% 9% 33% C 8% A plus BASIS = HEDGE $150.00 $151.00 $152.00 $153.00 $154.00 $1,680 $1,410 $1,160 $950 $760 $46.20 $38.78 $31.90 $26.13 $20.90 ($1.15) ($1.47) ($1.85) ($2.32) ($2.85) $148.85 $149.53 $150.15 $150.68 $151.15 (LOOK at FEEDER CATTLE CALLS as an ALTERNATIVE) $155.00 $610 $16.78 ($3.47) $151.53 NOTE: $ COSTS DO NOT INCLUDE COMMISSION OR NFA FEES. Prices do not include BASIS or adjust for BASIS RISK. Apply your own local BASIS (CASH-FUTURES). OPTIONS STRATEGIES for LIVE CATTLE CattleHedging.com 866-HEDGE-11 1/20/2015 OPTIONS RISK MANAGEMENT HEDGING ALTERNATIVES USING LIVE CATTLE OPTIONS FOR APRIL LIVE CATTLE 2015 11.0% HISTORIC AVG VOLATILITY HISTORIC AVG RANGE 11.9% to 26.6% 12.7% IMPLIED VOLATILITY STRIKE PRICE implied volatility (%) CALLS PREMIUM (cwt.) INT. VALUE TIME/VOLATILITY PUTS $ COST FLOOR EXPIRES 01-Apr-15 PREPARED BY CattleHedging.com TODAY'S CLOSE $148.00 -3.1% $149.00 -0.6% $151.08 $150.00 1.3% $151.00 2.9% 20-Jan-15 $152.00 4.2% $153.00 5.3% $154.00 9.1% $1.23 3.07 -1.85 $1.08 2.07 -1.00 $0.93 1.07 -0.15 $0.80 0.07 0.73 $0.70 0.00 0.70 $0.60 0.00 0.60 $1.23 0.00 1.23 $490 $430 $370 $320 $280 $240 $490 CALLS D E L T A PUTS G A M M A T H E T A V E G A (HD) $154.00 57.9% $16.45 2.93 13.53 137.55 $6,580 $206 132.78 -15.23 138.78 133.63 -15.38 138.63 134.48 -15.53 138.48 135.35 -15.65 138.35 136.25 -15.75 138.25 137.15 -15.85 138.15 138.78 -15.23 138.78 62% 4% 0.023 0.252 $153.00 55.4% $15.53 1.93 13.60 137.48 $6,210 $194 133.70 -14.30 138.70 134.55 -14.45 138.55 135.40 -14.60 138.40 136.28 -14.73 138.28 137.18 -14.83 138.18 138.08 -14.93 138.08 139.70 -14.30 138.70 58% 5% 0.023 0.260 $152.00 53.5% $14.63 0.93 13.70 137.38 $5,850 $183 134.60 -13.40 138.60 135.45 -13.55 138.45 136.30 -13.70 138.30 137.18 -13.83 138.18 138.08 -13.93 138.08 138.98 -14.03 137.98 140.60 -13.40 138.60 53% 5% 0.024 0.264 $151.00 52.0% $13.73 0.00 13.73 137.28 $5,490 $172 135.50 -12.50 138.50 136.35 -12.65 138.35 137.20 -12.80 138.20 138.08 -12.93 138.08 138.98 -13.03 137.98 139.88 -13.13 137.88 141.50 -12.50 138.50 48% 5% 0.024 0.265 $150.00 51.0% $12.85 0.00 12.85 137.15 $5,140 $161 136.38 -11.63 138.38 137.23 -11.78 138.23 138.08 -11.93 138.08 138.95 -12.05 137.95 139.85 -12.15 137.85 140.75 -12.25 137.75 142.38 -11.63 138.38 44% 5% 0.023 0.262 $149.00 50.3% $12.00 0.00 12.00 137.00 $4,800 $150 137.23 -10.78 138.23 138.08 -10.93 138.08 138.93 -11.08 137.93 139.80 -11.20 137.80 140.70 -11.30 137.70 141.60 -11.40 137.60 143.23 -10.78 138.23 39% 5% 0.023 0.255 PUTS PUTS C A L L S DELTA GAMMA THETA VEGA SELL BUY CALL COST ($) COST/HD MKT UP MKT DN 65% 4% 0.022 0.245 61% 5% 0.023 0.255 56% 5% 0.023 0.262 APRIL LIVE CATTLE 2015 $148.00 $490 $13.48 $1.85 $149.85 51% 5% 0.024 0.265 47% 5% 0.024 0.264 at $151.08 42% 5% 0.023 0.260 38% 4% 0.023 0.252 C A L L S plus BASIS = HEDGE $149.00 $150.00 $151.00 $152.00 $153.00 $430 $370 $320 $280 $240 $11.83 $10.18 $8.80 $7.70 $6.60 $1.00 $0.15 ($0.73) ($1.63) ($2.53) $150.00 $150.15 $150.28 $150.38 $150.48 (LOOK at FEEDER CATTLE CALLS as an ALTERNATIVE) $154.00 $490 $13.48 ($4.15) $149.85 NOTE: $ COSTS DO NOT INCLUDE COMMISSION OR NFA FEES. Prices do not include BASIS or adjust for BASIS RISK. Apply your own local BASIS (CASH-FUTURES). OPTIONS STRATEGIES for LIVE CATTLE CattleHedging.com 866-HEDGE-11 1/20/2015 OPTIONS RISK MANAGEMENT HEDGING ALTERNATIVES USING LIVE CATTLE OPTIONS FOR JUNE LIVE CATTLE 2015 11.0% HISTORIC AVG VOLATILITY HISTORIC AVG RANGE 11.9% to 26.6% 12.7% IMPLIED VOLATILITY STRIKE PRICE implied volatility (%) CALLS PREMIUM (cwt.) INT. VALUE TIME/VOLATILITY PUTS $ COST FLOOR EXPIRES 06-Jun-15 PREPARED BY CattleHedging.com TODAY'S CLOSE $136.00 17.0% $138.00 16.5% $145.13 $140.00 15.9% $142.00 15.5% 20-Jan-15 $144.00 15.2% $146.00 14.9% $148.00 14.6% $11.33 9.13 2.20 $9.83 7.13 2.70 $8.40 5.13 3.28 $7.08 3.13 3.95 $5.90 1.13 4.78 $4.83 0.00 4.83 $3.90 0.00 3.90 $4,530 $3,930 $3,360 $2,830 $2,360 $1,930 $1,560 CALLS D E L T A PUTS G A M M A T H E T A V E G A (HD) $148.00 14.7% $6.78 2.88 3.90 141.23 $2,710 $85 140.55 4.55 152.55 141.05 3.05 151.05 141.63 1.63 149.63 142.30 0.30 148.30 143.13 -0.88 147.13 144.05 -1.95 146.05 145.13 -2.88 145.13 58% 3% 0.016 0.344 $146.00 14.9% $5.70 0.88 4.83 140.30 $2,280 $71 141.63 5.63 151.63 142.13 4.13 150.13 142.70 2.70 148.70 143.38 1.38 147.38 144.20 0.20 146.20 145.13 -0.88 145.13 146.20 -1.80 144.20 51% 4% 0.016 0.352 $144.00 15.2% $4.78 0.00 4.78 139.23 $1,910 $60 142.55 6.55 150.55 143.05 5.05 149.05 143.63 3.63 147.63 144.30 2.30 146.30 145.13 1.13 145.13 146.05 0.05 144.05 147.13 -0.88 143.13 44% 3% 0.016 0.349 $142.00 15.4% $3.95 0.00 3.95 138.05 $1,580 $49 143.38 7.38 149.38 143.88 5.88 147.88 144.45 4.45 146.45 145.13 3.13 145.13 145.95 1.95 143.95 146.88 0.88 142.88 147.95 -0.05 141.95 37% 3% 0.015 0.335 $140.00 15.8% $3.28 0.00 3.28 136.73 $1,310 $41 144.05 8.05 148.05 144.55 6.55 146.55 145.13 5.13 145.13 145.80 3.80 143.80 146.63 2.63 142.63 147.55 1.55 141.55 148.63 0.63 140.63 31% 3% 0.014 0.310 $138.00 16.3% $2.70 0.00 2.70 135.30 $1,080 $34 144.63 8.63 146.63 145.13 7.13 145.13 145.70 5.70 143.70 146.38 4.38 142.38 147.20 3.20 141.20 148.13 2.13 140.13 149.20 1.20 139.20 24% 3% 0.012 0.278 PUTS PUTS C A L L S DELTA GAMMA THETA VEGA SELL BUY CALL COST ($) COST/HD MKT UP MKT DN 80% 2% 0.011 0.240 75% 3% 0.013 0.278 69% 3% 0.014 0.310 JUNE LIVE CATTLE 2015 $136.00 $4,530 $124.58 ($2.20) $133.80 62% 3% 0.015 0.335 55% 3% 0.016 0.349 at $145.13 48% 4% 0.016 0.352 41% 3% 0.016 0.344 C A L L S plus BASIS = HEDGE $138.00 $140.00 $142.00 $144.00 $146.00 $3,930 $3,360 $2,830 $2,360 $1,930 $108.08 $92.40 $77.83 $64.90 $53.08 ($2.70) ($3.28) ($3.95) ($4.78) ($5.70) $135.30 $136.73 $138.05 $139.23 $140.30 (LOOK at FEEDER CATTLE CALLS as an ALTERNATIVE) $148.00 $1,560 $42.90 ($6.78) $141.23 NOTE: $ COSTS DO NOT INCLUDE COMMISSION OR NFA FEES. Prices do not include BASIS or adjust for BASIS RISK. Apply your own local BASIS (CASH-FUTURES). OPTIONS STRATEGIES for LIVE CATTLE CattleHedging.com 866-HEDGE-11 1/20/2015 OPTIONS
© Copyright 2024 ExpyDoc