INSTITUTIONAL RACISM MAKES (ALMOST) EVERONE LESS HAPPY: EVIDENCE FROM THE END OF APARTHEID IN SOUTH AFRICA+ Ben Fitch-Fleischmann* University of Oregon Jeffrey T. Bookwalter University of Montana Douglas R. Dalenberg University of Montana October, 2014 Abstract In addition to getting utility from outcomes, people may also get “procedural” utility from the process by which these outcomes arise. This paper examines the impact of a large social regime change on well-being independently from the change’s direct impact on observable outcomes. We use a Blinder-Oaxaca style decomposition for models of life satisfaction before and after the end of apartheid in South Africa, and find that the observed increase in life satisfaction should not be attributed to improvements in socioeconomic conditions, but to changes in the life satisfaction derived from given levels of these conditions. These results suggest that institutions, specifically institutionalized racism, can have important impacts on life satisfaction independently from any direct influence they have on outcomes. JEL Codes: D60, D63, I31 Keywords: procedural utility, outcome utility, subjective well-being, apartheid + For useful comments and suggestions, we would like to thank, without implicating, Richard Barrett and participants of the Southern Africa Labour and Development Research Unit seminar series at the University of Cape Town and the applied microeconomics workshop at the University of Oregon. * Corresponding Author. Email: [email protected]. 1 I. Introduction Traditional utility theory considers outcomes—such as tangible goods and services, and leisure—as the only inputs into utility functions. However, the processes that lead to these outcomes are also likely to influence utility. Frey et al. (2004) give a theoretical introduction to this notion of procedural utility. Frey and Stutzer (2005) show, as evidence of the existence of procedural utility, that having participation (voting) rights corresponds to increased life satisfaction whereas actual participation through use of these rights does not. Economic models of subjective well-being typically consider social and economic measures, but how much might be missed by failing to account for procedural utility? In this paper we consider the potential magnitude of procedural utility relative to outcome utility by comparing models of life satisfaction between different social regimes. Utility is neither observable nor directly measurable and empirical analysis of well-being requires a proxy. Survey-based measures of subjective well-being, through reports of life satisfaction or happiness, are increasingly used as proxies for utility.1 Though economists often prefer to consider revealed preferences, there are a number of reasons to study subjective well-being.2 For policy makers, the knowledge of what makes their constituents happiest, or contributes the most to their life satisfaction, ought to guide the allocation of scarce 1 Kahneman and Krueger (2006) point out that over 100 papers were written analyzing self-reported subjective well-being data over the period 2001-2005, including seminal work on the Moving To Opportunity for Fair Housing program and the Rand Health Insurance experiments (Kling et al. 2007). 2 A deep body of literature has examined the relationship between stated happiness or life satisfaction and other outward individual characteristics, finding that self-reported happy people are likelier to be rated as happy by family or friends (Sandvik et al. 1993) and spouses (Costa and McRae, 1988), to smile more (Fernandez-Dols and Ruiz-Belda, 1995), and subjective well-being measures are reasonably stable within individuals, though sensitive to changes in life situations (Ehrhardt et al. 2000). 2 public resources. Understanding the varying degrees to which employment and other social and economic conditions impact individual life satisfaction should be an important policy consideration. For example, determining the optimal level of unemployment insurance should account for the fact that the subjective cost of unemployment is far greater than the associated loss of income (Clark and Oswald, 1994; Oswald, 1997; and Di Tella et al. 2001). A large economic literature provides in-depth discussion of how the study of subjective well-being can inform policy decisions and, consequently, improve the lives of people around the world (see, e.g., Ferrer-i-Carbonell and Frijters (2004), Helliwell (2003), Kahneman et al. (2004), Kahneman and Krueger (2006), Ng (1997), Sen (2000), and Veenhoven (2002), among many others). Given evidence that the procedures through which outcomes are determined indeed influence utility (e.g. Frey and Stutzer, 2005), it seems natural that societal institutions or social regimes might play a role in life satisfaction beyond the impact they have on outcomes. How large might this role be, relative to outcomes such as socioeconomic conditions? This paper presents evidence that societal and governmental structures can have a large influence on life satisfaction independently of resource allocations or material, educational, health, and other outcomes. We compare models of life satisfaction under different social regimes to address this question. To avoid crosscultural comparisons, which are complicated by differences in language and culture, we compare models estimated for the same country five years apart. We use the significant changes in South African society brought about by the end of apartheid to examine the potential magnitude of the impact that social regimes may have on utility, controlling for the social and economic measures typically considered in models of subjective well- 3 being. II. Background South Africa presents a particularly interesting case to understand the determinants of subjective well-being. In the 1980s and 1990s, South Africa experienced wrenching social and political change as apartheid came to a negotiated end and was replaced with an admittedly flawed multi-racial democracy. Through this period and still today, South Africa has one of the most unequal distributions of material well-being, with the juxtaposition of first-world levels of wealth alongside some of the poorest areas in the world. South Africa’s apartheid history began when Dutch sailors arrived at the Cape of Good Hope in 1652. Between then and the British takeover of the Cape in 1806, black South Africans found themselves increasingly disadvantaged at the hands of the colonial powers. After the discovery of gold and diamonds in the late 1800s, there began a decades long process of designating ‘homelands’ to which indigenous groups were forcibly moved. While these homelands bore some relationship to the historic ranges of indigenous people, they generally only included the least economically desirable lands. The National Party came to power in 1948 and marked the beginning of the official apartheid era. The rhetoric surrounding apartheid was that separate racial groups should be allowed to develop separately. In practice, apartheid prohibited black South Africans from participating in most parts of the economy and society. Economic failure, increasingly onerous international sanctions, and a rising tide of violence forced the apartheid government to consider some reforms in the 1980s. The first steps in dismantling apartheid began in the final years of the 1980s and, under State President 4 F.W. De Klerk, apartheid was slowly rolled back. The De Klerk administration sought public support for dismantling apartheid and in a whites-only ballot referendum in March, 1992, an overwhelming majority of the population voted to negotiate the end of apartheid. In November of 1993 an interim constitution was drafted, outlining the process by which the first non-racial elections would take place. In April of 1994, Nelson Mandela’s African National Congress received nearly two-thirds of the votes and took over as the leading party in the Government of National Unity. In the four years following the end of apartheid, the percentage of South Africans reporting neutral or better life satisfaction increased for every racial group, with the largest increase found, not surprisingly, among black South Africans. Figure 1 depicts the change in life satisfaction over this period by racial groups. Only 33 percent of black South Africans reported neutral or better life satisfaction in 1993, but 77 percent reported so in 1998. Over this same period, reports of neutral or better life satisfaction increased for Coloureds (mixed black-white heritage), Indians/Asians, and whites by 30, 17, and 8 percentage points, respectively. Figure 1. Percentage of respondents reporting neutral or better life satisfaction Note: Data are from the South African Labour and Development Research Unit (1994) and Statistics South Africa (1998). 5 Did the end of apartheid provide so many new opportunities, so much new economic and social wealth for black South Africans, that it could cause a 44 percentage point increase in the number no longer dissatisfied with their lives? Could this rising tide of economic inclusion also improve the lives of white South Africans, whose previously favored status had been removed? We argue against this. The end of apartheid indeed brought many changes, but we argue that economic and social conditions did not change enough in the five years following the end of apartheid to explain these substantial changes in life satisfaction. We make the assumption that variation in a nation’s social and governmental structures are exogenous to current life satisfaction, at least in the short run. Since large, explicit changes in government structures are relatively rare, constructing a direct test of the causal impact of institutional changes on life satisfaction is challenging. Despite this, we argue that the substantial improvement in life satisfaction in South Africa, which accompanies a large procedural change, suggests that process alone can have enormous impacts on utility. The rest of this paper lays out our argument. Section III describes our strategy for measuring the portion of the life satisfaction change due to changes in observable conditions. Section IV describes the data we use, and Section V presents our models and discusses their connection to procedural utility. Section VI concludes. III. Modeling life satisfaction Comparisons of subjective well-being, perhaps more than cross-country comparisons along other lines, are likely complicated by language and cultural 6 differences. Thus, we compare models within the same country. To examine the change in reported levels of subjective well-being across different social regimes we estimate models of life satisfaction for black and white South Africans separately for 1993 and 1998, controlling for factors commonly considered in models of subjective well-being. We focus on blacks and whites because they are the racial groups for whom apartheid had the most distinct consequences. These groups together comprise 88 percent of our total sample. If the gain in life satisfaction over the study period is due primarily to changes in economic and social outcomes, we expect that the 1998 levels of social and economic characteristics could be used in the 1993 model to form a reasonable prediction of the life satisfaction reported in 1998. We use a decomposition technique introduced by Oaxaca (1973) to identify the portion of the life satisfaction increase attributable to changes in levels of the conditions we include in our models. III. A. Estimating the impact of observable characteristics on life satisfaction The large subjective well-being literature in economics suggests many contributors to life satisfaction, including income, wealth, employment, housing, education, and family characteristics, to name just a few. In our models we incorporate observable conditions covering all of these areas, including household and family characteristics and the household’s surrounding environment. The dependent variable is the response, by the head of the household, to the question, “Taking everything into account, how satisfied is this household with the way it 7 lives these days?”3 Responses are on a five-point scale that we have ordered: very dissatisfied (1), dissatisfied (2), neutral (3), satisfied (4), and very satisfied (5).4 The results from an ordered probit model are qualitatively similar to a simpler linear model, so we focus on the linear model to ease interpretation. Ferrer-i-Carbonell and Frijters (2004) examine the effects of modeling methodology on estimates of the determinants of life satisfaction and find that the estimates from a linear model differ surprisingly little from an ordered model, and thus assuming cardinality “makes little difference to the results” (p 642). Helliwell (2003) finds that the change from one “level” of happiness to the next is the same across the entire scale and that “the results do not depend importantly on whether the measures of subjective well-being are treated as ordinal or cardinal” (p 354). The primary advantage of the OLS model is that the estimated coefficients are easily interpreted as the change on the five-point life-satisfaction scale resulting from a one-unit change in the respective independent variable. III. B. Life satisfaction changes not captured by observable characteristics After estimating life satisfaction models for 1993 and 1998, we use the time gap between the surveys and apply the decomposition technique developed by Oaxaca (1973) to determine how much of the increase in life satisfaction can be attributed to observable economic and social outcomes, and how much can be attributed to factors unrelated to these outcomes. We include a comprehensive set of economic outcome variables in our 3 Bookwalter et al. (2006) show a stronger link between subjective well-being and household characteristics than between subjective well-being and individual head of household characteristics, suggesting that household heads do represent the entire household in their answers. 4 The original data codes the responses to the question in descending order, from very dissatisfied (5) through very satisfied (1). We reordered them so that increasing response values correspond to increasing life satisfaction. 8 models, and any changes in life satisfaction left unexplained by observable conditions we attribute to changes in South African society and institutions—processes—that do not affect outcomes. That is, the increase in life satisfaction is decomposed into two parts: one part due to procedural utility and a remaining portion attributable to changes in outcome utility. An alternative explanation for the increases in life satisfaction which cannot be attributed to changes in outcomes might be optimism. This is unlikely, though, because any optimism felt by South Africans, especially blacks, due to the end of apartheid seems likelier to influence reports of life satisfaction in 1993 than it would in 1998, four years after apartheid's end. In our results we consider decompositions separately by groups that might be expected to differ in the degree to which they are forward-looking. The Oaxaca decomposition was originally used as a method of decomposing wage differentials into one part attributed to differences in mean characteristics of the groups (male and female in Oaxaca’s original article) and another part attributed to differences in the payoffs to those characteristics to tease out evidence of discrimination. This tool has proven useful for a wider set of topics, including the decomposition of student test scores (Krieg and Storer, 2006, and McEwan and Marshall, 2004), home ownership rates (DeSilva and Elmelech, 2012), and changes in subjective well-being (Knight and Gunatilaka, 2010). For further discussion of the Oaxaca decomposition, see Oaxaca (1973), Blinder (1973) or Borjas (2008)5. 5 See Bauer and Sinning (2008) and Sinning et al. (2008) for application of the Oaxaca decomposition to nonlinear regression models. 9 To apply the Oaxaca decomposition to differences in subjective well-being over time, suppose that life satisfaction in each year is determined only by income. A simple model of life satisfaction in year t can be written: (1) Where S is the level of life satisfaction, I is a measure of income, t denotes the year and is a constant. Following Oaxaca’s wage example, the average difference in life satisfaction between two years can then be written: . By adding and subtracting the term (2) from the right side, equation (2) can be written: . (3) If income influences life satisfaction the same in each year, then . Similarly, if life satisfaction levels for people with no income are the same in both years, then . Thus the first term in square brackets in equation (3) is the portion of the change in life satisfaction due to changes in the way that income influences life satisfaction (the coefficient effect), and the second term in square brackets is the portion of the life satisfaction difference due to changes in the average levels of income in 1993 and 1998 (the endowment effect). If changes in utility are indeed due to differences in processes, rather than outcomes, we would expect to see that only a small portion of the life-satisfaction increase is attributable to changes in outcomes. The change in process in this study—the end of institutional discrimination of black South Africans—affected all South Africans. However, it could be that changes in process affect only the utility of those who perceive that the changes in processes have been in their favor. We consider decompositions 10 separately by race, as well as for different demographic groupings, to explore this possibility. IV. Data We use data from representative cross-sectional household surveys conducted in South Africa in 1993-1994 and 1998. The earlier survey was conducted by the Southern African Labour and Development Research Unit at the University of Capetown and supported by the World Bank’s Project for Statistics on Living Standards and Development (SALDRU, 1994). A sample of approximately 9,000 households was surveyed in late 1993 and early 1994. The 1998 data are from Statistics South Africa’s October Household Survey, conducted each year from 1995 to 1999 (Statistics South Africa, 1998). Slightly less than 20,000 households were surveyed. We use the data from 1998 because they provide the largest temporal gap from 1993 for which the majority of variables, particularly the life satisfaction reports, are comparable to the 1993 data. During the study period there were huge improvements in reported life satisfaction across all South African racial groups. For black South Africans, not only did the percentage reporting neutral or better life satisfaction increase dramatically, the entire distribution of responses to the life satisfaction question, shown in Figure 2, shifted in a positive direction. 11 Figure 2. Reported life satisfaction for black South Africans in 1993 and 1998. Many variables across the two data sets are directly comparable and we have made adjustments where the original answer codes were not. Appendix A provides a concordance of our coding. The dependent variable reflects household-level life satisfaction, so we collapse characteristics of individual household members to the household level. Household characteristics include household size, children per adult, whether the household head is male, and whether the household is in an urban environment. The income measure we use is the real monthly income per adult equivalent unit measured in 1,000 Rand (base year 2008). Employment is measured as the percentage of household members over 18 years old that were employed. We also include variables indicating whether any household member was the recent victim of a crime, or was ill or injured in the two weeks prior to the survey. Household levels of education are captured through a measure of the highest level of education achieved by the most educated household member. Housing characteristics include dwelling type, ownership, rooms per person, 12 cooking energy, and access to water. Descriptive statistics are presented in Table 1. [Table 1 about here] The changes in observable conditions for black South Africans were mixed between 1993 and 1998, but generally showed improvement. On average, employment fell but income increased. For blacks, average monthly income increased by 270 Rand ($54 at the 1998 Dollar/Rand exchange rate), though household employment fell by 4 percentage points. Whites experienced an increase in monthly income of 580 Rand ($116 USD) per household member, and a 12 percentage point drop in employment. Despite similar trends for blacks and whites in income (positive) and employment (negative), education levels appear to have increased for blacks but decreased for whites. The number of black households with the most educated member attending some high school increased by 6 percentage points, with a corresponding fall (4 percentage points) in those with little or no education. White South Africans also experienced an increase in the number of households with the most educated member having some high school education, but this comes from a fall in the number having some college education rather than improvements for those at lower levels. For blacks, there was also a 12 percentage point increase in dwelling ownership, and a 13 percentage point increase in the number living in houses (the highest dwelling category). These are modest improvements overall, though they do not appear as dramatic as might have been expected given the end of apartheid and the jump in life satisfaction. 13 V. Changes in the determinants of life satisfaction from 1993 to 1998 The coefficient estimates from OLS models of life satisfaction for black and white South Africans are presented in Table 2. The coefficients represent the expected change on the five-point life satisfaction scale given a change in the independent variable. In 1993, for example, living in an urban environment, relative to rural, corresponds to a fall in expected life satisfaction of 0.25 points. Overall, the estimation results in this study are similar to past models of subjective well-being. Having a household member who is ill, injured, or the victim of a crime corresponds to a lower life satisfaction. Improved housing conditions, better cooking energy, and easier access to water all correspond to higher levels of life satisfaction. Higher levels of education are associated with increased life satisfaction, though the life satisfaction “payoffs” from higher education decrease (from 1993 to 1998) relative to those from basic education. Residing in an urban area has large negative effects in both years. For black South Africans, being categorized as urban often corresponds to living in a township adjacent to one of South Africa’s large urban areas (such as Soweto or Alexandra). These townships are very poor, have little infrastructure and high rates of crime and violence. [Table 2 about here] The estimated impact of income on life satisfaction is insignificant, though employment has a large positive effect for blacks. Compared to the larger effects of other variables, our results suggest that income plays a surprisingly small role in determining life satisfaction in South Africa during the period considered. Bookwalter and Dalenberg 14 (2004) argue that income, at the margin, does little to improve the factors most important to South African households, many of which have a large public good component. There is a noticeable pattern of lower level improvements having smaller effects in 1998 than in 1993. For example, living in a hut (relative to a shack) corresponds to an increase of 0.48 points in expected life satisfaction in 1993, but only a 0.13 point increase in 1998. A possible interpretation is that as housing and infrastructure improve from 1993 to 1998, it takes higher order improvements to get the equivalent increase in subjective well-being. Similarly, the negative impact on life satisfaction due to a household member’s illness, injury, or crime victimization is much bigger in 1998 than 1993. These patterns are consistent with the idea of hedonic adaptation: rising income or improved living conditions may generate additional subjective well-being in the short run, but over time households adapt to these new conditions and require further improvements to achieve and maintain a corresponding gain in subjective well-being. Can the changes in education, income, unemployment, and living conditions explain the increase in life satisfaction? The results of the Oaxaca decompositions for whites and blacks are presented in Table 3. We find that only 9.4 percent of the increase in life satisfaction for black South Africans can be explained by improvements in the levels of income, education, and other outcomes. In other words, if we were to use the 1993 model to predict life satisfaction based on the 1998 levels, we would predict only a 9.4 percent increase in the average reported life satisfaction for black households. A larger portion of the life satisfaction increase experienced by whites—36 percent—is attributable to changes in levels, but this still leaves nearly two-thirds of the increase attributable to non-outcome sources of utility. 15 [Table 3 about here] Over 90 percent of the improvement in life satisfaction for blacks, and over 60 percent for whites, is not attributable to differences, over time, in the levels of socioeconomic outcomes. In other words, controlling for outcomes, a change in processes has brought about an enormous increase in life satisfaction. This is true for both blacks and whites. It seems reasonable that a change in procedural utility would be largest for the group that the procedural change was expected to benefit the most—even if these expectations were not realized in the form of outcomes—and blacks indeed show the larger increase not attributable to changes in outcomes. The non-outcome increase in life satisfaction for whites, though, is far from trivial. In Table 4 we separate out the decompositions along demographic lines representing groups that we might expect to be differentially affected by the end of apartheid. (The models on which these decompositions are based are available upon request.) To get a sense of how the degree to which a household is forward-looking might relate to changes in procedural utility, we look at households with and without children, as well as across different age bins. We also differentiate households by gender composition. [Table 4 about here] The decomposition results done separately by different demographic groups suggest two stories. The first is that, among black South Africans, the outcome (endowment) increase in life satisfaction is remarkably consistent across all groups, staying between 6 and 12 percent. This suggests no differences in the degree to which optimism might be driving the increase in life satisfaction. As we mentioned before, we 16 do not put much stock in this idea, since optimism should be reflected at least as much in 1993 as in 1998. The consistency of the decomposition results for blacks suggests no difference across groups in the degree to which we might expect optimism, in the form of forward-looking behavior, to influence life satisfaction. The second story revealed by these results is that there is a set of white households whose life satisfaction increase is in fact due mostly to changes in outcomes. White households with children are quite similar to black households in that their life satisfaction increase was not driven much by changes in outcomes. However, the life satisfaction increases in older, white households, and white households without children, were driven mostly by changes in the levels of outcome variables. Whites with and without children experienced about the same increase due to changes in levels, but white households with children experienced an additional increase in life satisfaction independent from changes in outcomes. The same is true when looking separately at households by gender—both male dominated and female dominated white households experienced a life satisfaction increase driven by outcomes, but female dominated households saw an additional, non-outcome-related increase roughly twice as big as that experienced by male dominated households. These results suggest that the change in utility brought about by a procedural change is closely tied to how much certain groups might expect the change to benefit them, even if the expected improvements in outcomes are not realized. The older, male, white households, and those without children, show the least change in what determines their happiness, while the white households with children and the younger white households, similar to black households, show a substantial increase in life satisfaction 17 that is not due to changes in outcomes. These results are consistent with a story of integration led by the younger generations. VI. Concluding Remarks In this paper, we consider the magnitude of the effect that processes or institutions might have on utility independently from their effects on outcomes. We analised the change in life satisfaction experienced by South Africans that accompanied the end of apartheid, and decomposed the increase in life satisfaction into one portion attributable to changes in the levels of outcomes (income, education, health, etc.), and a second portion which we attribute to changes in the life satisfaction “payoff” associated with a given level of these outcomes. Over the study period, which begins just before the end of apartheid, South Africans of all races experienced substantial increases in life satisfaction. Some indicators of material well-being, education, health, housing and infrastructure improved over this time period, but the results presented in this paper suggest that these changes can explain only about ten percent of the increase in life satisfaction experienced by black South Africans. A very dynamic relationship between outcomes and life satisfaction is a possible explanation. However, there was an enormous shift during this time period from a severely discriminatory institutional structure and social regime to a system with much fairer processes. This suggests that the utility derived from processes can be substantially larger than the utility derived from the outcomes these processes generated. For black South Africans, this result is remarkably consistent across ages, genders, and households with and without children. We also consider the increase in life satisfaction for white South Africans, who experience, on average, a life satisfaction increase of which only about one-third is driven 18 by changes in outcomes. However, when we look within whites across demographic groups, we find that white households with more males, with older members, and without children do not experience nearly as large of an increase in non-outcome related life satisfaction. The fact that younger white households and those with children share in the improvements due only to procedural changes is consistent with a story of racial integration led by the young. Taken altogether, our results suggest that all individuals governed by a particular institution or process do not equally experience procedural utility. However, all South Africans in this period experienced some life satisfaction increase driven by procedural changes. It seems reasonable that those whom a procedural change is most expected to benefit would experience greater increases in life satisfaction, but our main point remains that these increases were in fact driven by the procedural changes themselves and not by any subsequent outcomes. Blanchflower and Oswald (2005) state directly that in countries where people are starving, “food comes first and philosophizing second.” They argue that richer economies should question the need for further riches. 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(2002). ‘Why social policy needs subjective indicators’, Social Indicators Research, vol. 58(1/3), pp. 33-45. 22 Table 1: Descriptive Statistics Dependent Variable Satisfied? 1=very dissatisfied, 5=very satisfied Household characteristics Household size Children per adult Male head of household Urban dweller Income and income potential Real monthly income in 1000 rand Pct. of household adults employed Injury or illness Crime victim No or less than High School Some High School (Base Case) Completed High School or beyond Housing Characteristics Shack (Base Case) Hut or other House or flat Owns dwelling Rooms per person Cook with other material (Base case) Cook with wood or dung Cook with electricity or gas Water at distance Water outside but close (Base case) Water piped into house n Blacks 1993/4 Blacks 1998 Whites 1993/4 Whites 1998 2.31 (1.19) 3.43 (1.09) 3.75 (1.08) 3.93 (0.89) 5.39 (3.57) 0.82 (0.96) 0.69 (0.46) 0.42 (0.49) 4.57 (2.81) 0.90 (1.05) 0.57 (0.49) 0.45 (0.50) 3.16 (1.58) 0.40 (0.55) 0.85 (0.36) 0.95 (0.22) 2.91 (1.47) 0.35 (0.54) 0.79 (0.41) 0.92 (0.27) 0.66 (1.16) 0.41 (0.38) 0.30 (0.46) 0.08 (0.27) 0.52 (0.50) 0.41 (0.49) 0.07 (0.25) 0.93 (2.54) 0.37 (0.38) 0.29 (0.45) 0.04 (0.20) 0.47 (0.50) 0.47 (0.50) 0.07 (0.25) 4.69 (8.04) 0.65 (0.37) 0.27 (0.45) 0.19 (0.39) 0.05 (0.22) 0.45 (0.50) 0.50 (0.50) 5.27 (9.54) 0.53 (0.40) 0.19 (0.39) 0.10 (0.30) 0.04 (0.19) 0.58 (0.49) 0.38 (0.49) 0.14 (0.35) 0.39 (0.49) 0.47 (0.50) 0.66 (0.48) 0.94 (0.99) 0.35 (0.48) 0.37 (0.48) 0.28 (0.45) 0.28 (0.45) 0.55 (0.50) 0.17 (0.38) 6,332 0.13 (0.34) 0.27 (0.44) 0.60 (0.49) 0.78 (0.42) 1.08 (0.98) 0.29 (0.46) 0.28 (0.45) 0.43 (0.49) 0.36 (0.48) 0.43 (0.50) 0.21 (0.41) 13,607 0.002 (0.04) 0.002 (0.04) 0.996 (0.06) 0.70 (0.46) 2.48 (1.43) 0.004 (0.06) 0.003 (0.05) 0.99 (0.08) 0.01 (0.04) 0.001 (0.04) 1.00 (0.05) 1,345 0.001 (0.03) 0.05 (0.22) 0.95 (0.22) 0.71 (0.45) 2.49 (1.44) 0.001 (0.04) 0.001 (0.03) 0.997 (0.05) 0.02 (0.12) 0.00 (0.04) 0.98 (0.13) 2,269 23 Note: Sample means with standard deviations in parenthesis. 24 Table 2: OLS estimation Dependent Variable Satisfied? 1=v.dis. 5=v.sat. Household characteristics Household size Children per adult Male head of household Urban dweller Income and income potential Real monthly income in 1000 rand Pct. of household adults employed Injury or illness Crime victim No or less than High School Completed High School or beyond Blacks 1993/4 Blacks 1998 Whites 1993/4 Whites 1998 0.001 (0.005) -0.037* (0.017) 0.099** (0.032) -0.251** (0.045) -0.023** (0.004) 0.031** (0.011) -0.010 (0.020) -0.164** (0.025) 0.024 (0.032) -0.116 (0.074) 0.180* (0.091) -0.047 (0.132) -0.019 (0.021) -0.009 (0.048) -0.009 (0.050) -0.201** (0.067) -0.021 (0.017) 0.389** (0.052) 0.008 (0.033) -0.114* (0.057) -0.078* (0.033) 0.151* (0.066) 0.006 (0.004) 0.162** (0.030) -0.143** (0.021) -0.324** (0.050) -0.060** (0.021) 0.082* (0.039) 0.000 (0.004) -0.048 (0.090) -0.162* (0.069) -0.076 (0.075) 0.075 (0.131) 0.276** (0.060) -0.002 (0.002) 0.000 (0.055) -0.079 (0.050) -0.390** (0.066) -0.073 (0.112) 0.111** (0.039) Housing Characteristics Hut or other 0.481** 0.133** 1.451 0.519** (0.053) (0.035) (0.877) (0.166) House or flat 0.263** 0.248** 1.799** 0.211 (0.049) (0.033) (0.540) (0.154) Own dwelling 0.035 0.047 0.225** 0.084 (0.037) (0.026) (0.067) (0.045) Rooms per person -0.037* 0.044** 0.095** -0.014 (0.015) (0.010) (0.026) (0.016) Cook with wood or dung -0.174** 0.040 1.036 -1.022 (0.041) (0.028) (0.541) (0.661) Cook with electricity or gas 0.150** 0.245** 1.101* 0.628 (0.046) (0.025) (0.495) (0.538) Water at distance -0.060 -0.139** -0.740 -0.226 (0.042) (0.024) (1.391) (0.306) Water piped into house 0.021 0.004 -0.098 -0.160 (0.053) (0.028) (0.406) (0.129) Constant 2.018** 3.279** 0.379 3.482** (0.083) (0.054) (0.569) (0.567) n 6,332 13,607 1,345 2,269 R-square 0.053 0.058 0.079 0.037 F test 18.22** 46.58** 7.834** 5.579** Note: Robust standard errors in parenthesis. Base case is: Shack, cook with other material, water outside but close, and highest education level is some high school. * p<.05, ** p<.01. 25 Table 3: Oaxaca Decomposition results Blacks Whites OLS Estimates Percentage Estimates Percentage Raw Differential 1.12 0.17 Endowments 0.10 9.4% 0.06 36.3% Coefficients 1.02 90.6% 0.11 63.7% Note: n is 6332 for Blacks in 1993 and 13607 in 1998; n is 1345 for Whites in 1993 and 2269 in 1998. Table 4: Oaxaca Decompositions by different demographic groups Est. Pct. Est. Pct. Est. Pct. Blacks without kids Blacks with kids White without kids Raw Differential 1.08 1.14 0.10 Endowments 0.07 6.1% 0.12 10.3% 0.06 62.7% Coefficients 1.01 93.9% 1.02 89.7% 0.04 37.3% Est. Pct. Whites with kids 0.25 0.06 24.3% 0.19 75.7% Raw Differential Endowments Coefficients Blacks Age 0-20 1.13 0.13 12.0% 1.00 88.0% Blacks Age 21-27 1.10 0.10 8.9% 1.00 91.1% Blacks Age 28-35 1.13 0.09 7.7% 1.04 92.3% Blacks Age 35+ 1.13 0.09 7.5% 1.04 92.5% Raw Differential Endowments Coefficients Whites Age 0-20 0.26 0.03 11.3% .023 88.7% Whites Age 21-27 0.23 0.03 12.4% 0.20 87.6% Whites Age 28-35 0.15 0.12 81.7% 0.03 18.1% Whites Age 35+ 0.11 0.06 54.4% 0.05 45.6% Blacks Blacks Whites Whites <=1/2 female >1/2 female <=1/2 female >1/2 female Raw Differential 1.10 1.17 0.14 0.23 Endowments 0.09 8.2% 0.12 10.0% 0.06 42.8% 0.05 22.3% Coefficients 1.01 91.8% 1.05 90.0% 0.08 57.4% 0.18 77.7% Note: Categories are based on household composition (average household age and percent of household members that are female). For Blacks, n ranges from a low of 1235 to a high of 9636, while for Whites, n ranges from a low of 203 to a high of 1228. 26 Appendix A: Survey coding concordance for housing and infrastructure SALDRU OHS Shack (Base Case) Shack. Informal dwelling / shack, in backyard / shack not in back yard, e.g. in an informal squatter settlement, caravan / tent. Hut or other Hut / traditional dwelling hostel, outbuilding, combination of buildings, other. Traditional dwelling / hut / structure made of traditional materials, dwelling / house / flat / room in backyard, room / flatlet, unit in retirement village, other. House House / part of a house flat, maisonette. Dwelling / house or brick structure on a separate stand or yard, flat or apartment in a block of flats, town / cluster / semi-detached house. Cook with other Charcoal / coal, paraffin. material (Base case) Coal, paraffin. Cook with wood or dung Wood, dung. Wood, dung. Cook with electricity or gas Electricity from grid, electricity from generator, town gas (piped), gas from bottle. Electricity, gas. Water at distance Public tap (free), public tap (paid for), borehole, flowing river / stream, dam / stagnant water, well (non-borehole), protected spring, other. Public tap, borehole off site / commercial, flowing water stream, dam / pool / stagnant water, well, spring, other. Water outside but close (Base case) Piped - yard tap, water carrier / tanker, rainwater tank. Piped water, on site or in yard water carrier / tanker, borehole on site, rainwater tank on site. Water piped into house Piped – internal. Piped water in dwelling. 27 Appendix B: Estimation Results by Sub-groups (Available from Authors - Not to be included in paper) Table B1: OLS estimation for Black households with and without children Dependent Variable Blacks Blacks Satisfied? 1=v.dis. 5=v.sat. w/o kids w/o kids 1993/4 1998 Household characteristics Household size -0.006 -0.028 (0.031) (0.019) Children per adult Male head of household Urban dweller Income and income potential Real monthly income in 1000 rand Pct. of household adults employed Injury or illness Crime victim No or little schooling Completed High School or beyond Blacks w/ kids 1993/4 Blacks w/ kids 1998 -0.019** (0.005) 0.029* (0.012) -0.017 (0.024) -0.173** (0.032) 0.007 (0.008) 0.191** (0.039) -0.177** (0.024) -0.372** (0.062) -0.078** (0.025) 0.070 (0.045) -0.167* (0.067) -0.350** (0.078) 0.025 (0.038) -0.121** (0.041) 0.018** (0.006) -0.003 (0.019) 0.182** (0.036) -0.156** (0.054) -0.061* (0.024) 0.540** (0.094) 0.156* (0.073) -0.129 (0.112) -0.031 (0.073) 0.627** (0.161) 0.006 (0.005) 0.128* (0.051) -0.049 (0.042) -0.225** (0.086) 0.001 (0.038) 0.076 (0.080) 0.037 (0.028) 0.246** (0.063) -0.020 (0.036) -0.107 (0.065) -0.098* (0.038) 0.008 (0.072) Housing Characteristics Hut or other 0.844** 0.124* 0.228** 0.139** (0.094) (0.062) (0.064) (0.044) House or flat 0.404** 0.230** 0.133* 0.242** (0.090) (0.060) (0.059) (0.040) Own dwelling 0.108 0.109* 0.035 -0.008 (0.076) (0.044) (0.046) (0.036) Rooms per person -0.085** 0.022 0.205** 0.118** (0.017) (0.012) (0.047) (0.029) Cook with wood or dung -0.412** 0.127* -0.089 0.004 (0.093) (0.058) (0.046) (0.033) Cook with electricity or gas 0.137 0.422** 0.045 0.163** (0.076) (0.043) (0.058) (0.031) Water at distance -0.112 -0.071 -0.013 -0.159** (0.080) (0.046) (0.050) (0.028) Water piped into house -0.004 0.028 -0.001 -0.011 (0.083) (0.045) (0.068) (0.036) Constant 2.094** 3.068** 1.765** 3.326** (0.169) (0.100) (0.105) (0.074) n 1769 3968 4563 9639 R-square 0.146 0.066 0.033 0.058 Note: Robust standard errors in parenthesis. Base case is: Shack, cook with other material, water outside but close, and attended some high school. * p<.05, ** p<.01. 28 Table B2: OLS estimation for White households with and without children Dependent Variable Whites Whites Satisfied? 1=v.dis. 5=v.sat. w/o kids w/o kids 1993/4 1998 Household characteristics Household size -0.045 -0.013 (0.060) (0.035) Children per adult Male head of household Urban dweller Income and income potential Real monthly income in 1000 rand Pct. of household adults employed Injury or illness Crime victim No or little schooling Completed High School or beyond Whites w/ kids 1993/4 Whites w/ kids 1998 0.001 (0.032) -0.019 (0.064) 0.008 (0.090) -0.307* (0.125) 0.001 (0.003) 0.054 (0.100) -0.086 (0.082) -0.488** (0.116) 0.018 (0.457) 0.026 (0.061) 0.157 (0.102) 0.176 (0.194) -0.005 (0.060) -0.150 (0.078) 0.110* (0.049) -0.103 (0.097) 0.315 (0.199) -0.301 (0.174) -0.003 (0.006) -0.059 (0.114) -0.206* (0.104) -0.133 (0.100) 0.021 (0.161) 0.286** (0.083) -0.003 (0.002) -0.041 (0.070) -0.060 (0.062) -0.308** (0.079) -0.057 (0.117) 0.148** (0.051) 0.006 (0.003) -0.028 (0.168) -0.092 (0.094) 0.025 (0.115) 0.166 (0.237) 0.226** (0.087) Housing Characteristics Hut or other 2.279** 0.690** 0.256 (0.716) (0.200) (0.158) House or flat 2.879** 0.380 1.444** 0.092 (0.224) (0.196) (0.307) (0.065) Own dwelling 0.094 -0.047 0.321** 0.227** (0.095) (0.060) (0.104) (0.070) Rooms per person 0.054 -0.013 0.307** 0.075 (0.030) (0.018) (0.091) (0.049) Cook with wood or dung -0.121 -1.594** 2.338** (0.224) (0.418) (0.366) Cook with electricity or gas -0.237 -0.039 1.801** 1.734** (0.216) (0.084) (0.358) (0.521) Water at distance -0.832 -0.530 0.522 (1.405) (0.297) (0.266) Water piped into house -0.059 -0.292 0.066 (0.249) (0.154) (0.221) Constant 0.820* 4.135** -0.799 2.033** (0.373) (0.142) (0.673) (0.518) n 720 1358 625 911 R-square 0.068 0.039 0.116 0.062 Note: Robust standard errors in parenthesis. Base case is: Shack, cook with other material, water outside but close, and attended is some high school. * p<.05, ** p<.01. 29 Table B3: OLS estimation for Black households with average household age less than 21 and between 21 and 27 Dependent Variable Blacks age Blacks age Blacks age Blacks age Satisfied? 1=v.dis. 5=v.sat. category 1 category 1 category 2 category 2 1993/4 1998 1993/4 1998 Household characteristics Household size 0.011 -0.022** 0.013 -0.001 (0.010) (0.008) (0.009) (0.008) Children per adult -0.007 0.031 -0.061 0.036 (0.027) (0.016) (0.040) (0.031) Male head of household 0.275** -0.004 0.100 -0.041 (0.061) (0.039) (0.056) (0.038) Urban dweller -0.200* -0.183** -0.213** -0.147** (0.088) (0.050) (0.083) (0.050) Income and income potential Real monthly income in 1000 rand 0.081 0.018 0.010 -0.008 (0.058) (0.010) (0.034) (0.010) Pct. of household adults employed 0.304** 0.037 0.334** 0.364** (0.099) (0.054) (0.093) (0.061) Injury or illness 0.043 -0.217** -0.026 -0.126** (0.061) (0.039) (0.058) (0.040) Crime victim -0.137 -0.443** -0.064 -0.337** (0.117) (0.095) (0.103) (0.097) No or little schooling -0.145* -0.071 -0.026 -0.053 (0.064) (0.039) (0.059) (0.043) Completed High School or beyond 0.008 0.182* 0.079 0.013 (0.143) (0.074) (0.109) (0.069) Housing Characteristics Hut or other 0.176 0.071 0.468** 0.132 (0.102) (0.067) (0.096) (0.070) House or flat 0.046 0.231** 0.249** 0.267** (0.095) (0.060) (0.089) (0.065) Own dwelling 0.010 -0.093 0.036 0.083 (0.076) (0.052) (0.068) (0.052) Rooms per person 0.184* 0.061 -0.020 0.116** (0.079) (0.044) (0.032) (0.028) Cook with wood or dung -0.172* 0.023 -0.134 -0.067 (0.077) (0.049) (0.074) (0.055) Cook with electricity or gas -0.124 0.188** 0.218* 0.194** (0.100) (0.048) (0.086) (0.050) Water at distance -0.114 -0.145** -0.032 -0.132** (0.084) (0.042) (0.075) (0.047) Water piped into house -0.131 0.044 0.043 -0.069 (0.123) (0.063) (0.101) (0.054) Constant 2.012** 3.491** 1.859** 3.041** (0.175) (0.106) (0.152) (0.109) n 1576 3936 1940 3700 R-square 0.046 0.066 0.050 0.062 Note: Robust standard errors in parenthesis. Base case is: Shack, cook with other material, water outside but close, and attended some high school. Age category 1 is average household age less than 21, age category 2 is 21 up to 27. * p<.05, ** p<.01. 30 Table B4: OLS estimation for Black households with average household age 27 up to 35 and 35 and over Dependent Variable Satisfied? 1=v.dis. 5=v.sat. Household characteristics Household size Children per adult Male head of household Urban dweller Income and income potential Real monthly income in 1000 rand Pct. of household adults employed Injury or illness Crime victim No or little schooling Completed High School or beyond Blacks age category 3 1993/4 Blacks age category 3 1998 Blacks age category 4 1993/4 Blacks age category 4 1998 0.002 (0.012) 0.054 (0.070) -0.013 (0.067) -0.268** (0.088) -0.032** (0.011) 0.176** (0.046) -0.032 (0.042) -0.175** (0.051) -0.020 (0.025) -0.022 (0.119) 0.029 (0.077) -0.297** (0.103) -0.035* (0.016) 0.156* (0.075) 0.040 (0.043) -0.124* (0.049) 0.040 (0.032) 0.359** (0.115) 0.072 (0.067) -0.296** (0.102) -0.019 (0.066) 0.082 (0.124) 0.012 (0.009) 0.255** (0.072) -0.168** (0.047) -0.365** (0.102) -0.116* (0.046) 0.067 (0.078) -0.124** (0.028) 0.554** (0.116) -0.103 (0.082) 0.052 (0.132) -0.203* (0.098) 0.410* (0.173) 0.003 (0.006) 0.094 (0.062) -0.072 (0.044) -0.099 (0.106) -0.058 (0.048) 0.022 (0.097) Housing Characteristics Hut or other 0.638** 0.172* 0.686** 0.153* (0.108) (0.077) (0.126) (0.074) House or flat 0.407** 0.214** 0.354** 0.240** (0.097) (0.072) (0.121) (0.071) Own dwelling 0.031 0.081 0.086 0.091 (0.073) (0.057) (0.092) (0.057) Rooms per person -0.044 0.049* -0.087** 0.010 (0.027) (0.023) (0.024) (0.014) Cook with wood or dung -0.213* 0.101 -0.198 0.137* (0.084) (0.065) (0.104) (0.062) Cook with electricity or gas 0.259** 0.282** 0.076 0.325** (0.089) (0.054) (0.097) (0.050) Water at distance -0.012 -0.130* -0.155 -0.127* (0.083) (0.052) (0.103) (0.053) Water piped into house -0.055 -0.023 0.114 0.079 (0.097) (0.056) (0.109) (0.054) Constant 1.816** 3.212** 2.275** 3.218** (0.167) (0.119) (0.204) (0.121) n 1581 2988 1235 2983 R-square 0.078 0.073 0.099 0.051 Note: Robust standard errors in parenthesis. Base case is: Shack, cook with other material, water outside but close, and attended some high school. Age category 3 is 27 up to 35, and age category 4 is 35 and over. * p<.05, ** p<.01. 31 Table B5: OLS estimation for White households with average household age less than 21 and between 21 and 27 Dependent Variable Whites age Whites age Whites age Whites age Satisfied? 1=v.dis. 5=v.sat. category 1 category 1 category 2 category 2 1993/4 1998 1993/4 1998 Household characteristics Household size -0.110 0.013 0.032 -0.076* (0.136) (0.073) (0.066) (0.038) Children per adult -0.112 -0.077 -0.116 -0.049 (0.242) (0.131) (0.169) (0.093) Male head of household 0.522 0.278 -0.143 -0.076 (0.487) (0.205) (0.179) (0.113) Urban dweller -0.354 -0.451* -0.023 -0.169 (0.341) (0.181) (0.367) (0.217) Income and income potential Real monthly income in 1000 rand 0.013 0.001 0.000 -0.005 (0.022) (0.007) (0.017) (0.003) Pct. of household adults employed -0.252 -0.093 0.388 0.096 (0.277) (0.180) (0.274) (0.159) Injury or illness -0.110 -0.256 0.103 0.034 (0.153) (0.161) (0.140) (0.124) Crime victim -0.255 -0.155 -0.057 -0.425** (0.175) (0.194) (0.160) (0.142) No or little schooling -0.032 0.205 -0.078 -1.883** (0.330) (0.163) (0.370) (0.104) Completed High School or beyond 0.144 0.044 0.238 0.034 (0.152) (0.110) (0.122) (0.095) Housing Characteristics Hut or other -0.090 0.327 (0.223) (0.206) House or flat 0.291 0.157 (0.731) (0.084) Own dwelling 0.461** 0.306** 0.251 0.235* (0.167) (0.117) (0.145) (0.101) Rooms per person 0.128 0.114 0.158** 0.029 (0.187) (0.068) (0.046) (0.051) Cook with wood or dung Cook with electricity or gas 2.634** (0.387) 1.987** (0.302) Water at distance Water piped into house 0.275 0.984 (0.247) (0.874) Constant 1.181 3.633** -0.357 (0.630) (0.494) (0.781) n 203 284 313 R-square 0.175 0.090 0.116 Note: Robust standard errors in parenthesis. Base case is: Shack, cook with other material, water outside but close, and attended some high school. Age category 1 is average household age less than 21, age category 2 is 21 up to 27. * p<.05, ** p<.01. 32 1.136* (0.519) 0.734 (0.471) 3.398** (0.566) 370 0.096 Table B6: OLS estimation for White households with average household age 27 up to 35 and 35 and over Dependent Variable Whites age Whites age Whites age Whites age Satisfied? 1=v.dis. 5=v.sat. category 3 category 3 category 4 category 4 1993/4 1998 1993/4 1998 Household characteristics Household size 0.129 0.062 0.016 -0.007 (0.070) (0.051) (0.059) (0.037) Children per adult -0.114 0.005 -0.327 -0.108 (0.212) (0.131) (0.340) (0.217) Male head of household 0.173 -0.078 0.235 0.002 (0.210) (0.126) (0.132) (0.065) Urban dweller -0.253 -0.296 0.061 -0.146 (0.170) (0.186) (0.193) (0.084) Income and income potential Real monthly income in 1000 rand 0.001 0.004 0.002 -0.004 (0.006) (0.004) (0.007) (0.003) Pct. of household adults employed -0.063 0.044 -0.231 -0.034 (0.313) (0.150) (0.135) (0.080) Injury or illness -0.342* 0.042 -0.185 -0.097 (0.172) (0.133) (0.111) (0.064) Crime victim 0.152 -0.534** -0.184 -0.345** (0.150) (0.173) (0.126) (0.093) No or little schooling -0.344 -1.093** 0.156 -0.011 (0.433) (0.325) (0.165) (0.116) Completed High School or beyond 0.226 0.025 0.337** 0.154** (0.141) (0.099) (0.099) (0.055) Housing Characteristics Hut or other 0.577* 0.765** (0.228) (0.204) House or flat 2.588** 0.440* (0.371) (0.195) Own dwelling 0.205 0.162 0.218 -0.076 (0.146) (0.123) (0.125) (0.065) Rooms per person 0.246** 0.048 0.055 -0.013 (0.074) (0.059) (0.039) (0.019) Cook with wood or dung 0.399 -0.005 -0.860 (0.482) (0.381) (0.714) Cook with electricity or gas -0.365 0.022 0.667 (0.489) (0.371) (0.591) Water at distance 1.069** -0.596* (0.327) (0.288) Water piped into house 2.307** -0.210 -0.055 -0.382** (0.198) (0.180) (0.288) (0.136) Constant 0.757 3.985** 0.665 3.456** (0.526) (0.394) (0.498) (0.606) n 304 387 525 1228 R-square 0.107 0.073 0.096 0.047 Note: Robust standard errors in parenthesis. Base case is: Shack, cook with other material, water outside but close, and attended some high school. Age category 3 is 27 up to 35, and age category 4 is 35 and over. * p<.05, ** p<.01. 33 Table B7: OLS estimation for Blacks by percentage of household that is female Dependent Variable Blacks female Blacks female Blacks female Blacks female Satisfied? 1=v.dis. 5=v.sat. pct <=50% pct <=50% pct >50% pct >50% 1993/4 1998 1993/4 1998 Household characteristics Household size -0.006 -0.019** 0.012 -0.030** (0.008) (0.006) (0.008) (0.006) Children per adult -0.012 0.038* -0.050 0.026 (0.024) (0.016) (0.025) (0.015) Male head of household 0.064 -0.032 0.165** 0.050 (0.051) (0.031) (0.046) (0.031) Urban dweller -0.307** -0.148** -0.183** -0.175** (0.057) (0.032) (0.070) (0.040) Income and income potential Real monthly income in 1000 rand -0.010 0.009 -0.019 -0.001 (0.020) (0.005) (0.037) (0.007) Pct. of household adults employed 0.363** 0.209** 0.406** 0.102* (0.070) (0.040) (0.078) (0.045) Injury or illness 0.028 -0.096** -0.014 -0.205** (0.044) (0.029) (0.048) (0.031) Crime victim -0.081 -0.230** -0.164* -0.453** (0.076) (0.064) (0.082) (0.080) No or little schooling -0.101* -0.047 -0.032 -0.078* (0.045) (0.028) (0.050) (0.032) Completed High School or beyond 0.276** 0.109* -0.046 0.053 (0.090) (0.053) (0.094) (0.056) Housing Characteristics Hut or other 0.537** 0.119* 0.408** 0.165** (0.069) (0.047) (0.081) (0.055) House or flat 0.232** 0.203** 0.282** 0.310** (0.066) (0.043) (0.073) (0.051) Own dwelling 0.085 0.076* -0.049 -0.004 (0.049) (0.034) (0.058) (0.042) Rooms per person -0.061** 0.034** 0.074 0.062** (0.017) (0.013) (0.039) (0.017) Cook with wood or dung -0.208** 0.070 -0.137* 0.001 (0.055) (0.039) (0.063) (0.041) Cook with electricity or gas 0.114* 0.262** 0.176* 0.215** (0.058) (0.033) (0.076) (0.039) Water at distance -0.086 -0.159** -0.025 -0.117** (0.057) (0.032) (0.064) (0.036) Water piped into house -0.076 0.009 0.200* -0.010 (0.066) (0.036) (0.087) (0.044) Constant 2.132** 3.227** 1.802** 3.358** (0.115) (0.074) (0.129) (0.082) n 3822 7665 2510 5942 R-square 0.061 0.055 0.059 0.067 Note: Robust standard errors in parenthesis. Base case is: Shack, cook with other material, water outside but close, and attended some high school. * p<.05, ** p<.01. 34 Table B8: OLS estimation for Whites by percentage of household that is female Dependent Variable White female White female White female White female Satisfied? 1=v.dis. 5=v.sat. pct <=50% pct <=50% pct >50% pct >50% 1993/4 1998 1993/4 1998 Household characteristics Household size 0.003 -0.027 0.083 0.024 (0.045) (0.026) (0.053) (0.039) Children per adult -0.112 0.007 -0.112 -0.030 (0.099) (0.058) (0.117) (0.082) Male head of household 0.230 0.037 0.102 -0.169 (0.189) (0.085) (0.165) (0.094) Urban dweller -0.041 -0.227** -0.067 -0.140 (0.141) (0.073) (0.327) (0.152) Income and income potential Real monthly income in 1000 rand -0.001 -0.003 0.002 0.001 (0.006) (0.002) (0.005) (0.003) Pct. of household adults employed -0.036 0.058 -0.039 -0.103 (0.111) (0.063) (0.165) (0.111) Injury or illness -0.148 -0.103 -0.205 -0.012 (0.083) (0.062) (0.125) (0.083) Crime victim -0.114 -0.483** 0.014 -0.117 (0.088) (0.078) (0.148) (0.125) No or little schooling 0.024 0.090 0.179 -0.240 (0.171) (0.143) (0.211) (0.168) Completed High School or beyond 0.292** 0.084 0.215 0.184* (0.071) (0.047) (0.116) (0.071) Housing Characteristics Hut or other 2.755** 0.417* 0.439** (0.720) (0.164) (0.128) House or flat 3.079** 0.213 -0.008 (0.215) (0.147) (0.165) Own dwelling 0.312** 0.111* 0.042 0.019 (0.081) (0.055) (0.123) (0.081) Rooms per person 0.088** -0.009 0.118* -0.019 (0.034) (0.020) (0.046) (0.027) Cook with wood or dung 1.171 -2.321** 0.151 (0.635) (0.084) (0.801) Cook with electricity or gas 0.890 -0.124 2.318** 1.067 (0.624) (0.070) (0.214) (0.780) Water at distance -2.595 0.027 -0.617 (1.340) (0.171) (0.489) Water piped into house -1.944** -0.108 0.309 -0.320 (0.279) (0.144) (0.414) (0.273) Constant 1.115 4.152** 0.501 3.338** (0.756) (0.184) (0.438) (0.807) n 914 1535 431 734 R-square 0.096 0.050 0.064 0.041 Note: Robust standard errors in parenthesis. Base case is: Shack, cook with other material, water outside but close, and attended some high school. * p<.05, ** p<.01. 35
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