A multi-variate approach to discriminate mass on an event-by-event basis in the highest energy cosmic rays seen by the Pierre Auger Observatory Lorenzo Caccianiga LPNHE – UPMC Paris 6 10/7/2014 ISCRA 2014 - Erice 1 PIERRE AUGER OBSERVATORY The largest cosmic rays detector. Area: 3000 km2 . Operating since 2004 (completed in 2008) Total exposure ~ 45000 km2 sr yr (5T5 0-60°) First hybrid detector. Surface Detector (SD) : 1600 Cherenkov detectors (100% duty cycle) Fluorescence Detector (FD): 4 stations with 6 UV telescopes (13% duty cycle) 2 UHECRs The sources of ultra-high energy cosmic rays are still unknown. Above ~50 EeV cosmic rays should interact with the cosmic microwave background losing their energy →GZK suppression Due to magnetic fields deflections we have to study the high-end of the energy spectrum and possibly select low-Z particles This work is focused on events with E>50 EeV 3 COMPOSITION RESULTS Xmax , the depth of shower maximum, can be observed directly only by the Fluorescence Detector (duty cycle 13%) 50 EeV A trend towards heavier composition is suggested, but the interpretation is model-dependent. Not enough Fluorescence Detector data above 50 EeV. Cannot rely on FD for event-by-event studies 4 MASS-SENSITIVE OBSERVABLES Muons e.m. component er of P Nu mb - Longitudinal profile (i.e. number of particles as a function of shower depth) in particular its maximum, Xmax ar tic les Mass-sensitive observables: We cannot access directly the primary mass but we can try to evaluate it through various EAS characteristics: Xmax - Shower width (i.e. Number of particles as a function of the distance from the axis) - Number of muons and depth of muon production. 5 OBSERVABLES: SHOWER DEPTH Xmax is not directly accessible through Surface Detector → it is possible to build Xmax related observables From timing information in SD stations we extract: - the asymmetry of the rise time of the station signal - the rise time at 1000 m from the core (so - called Delta variable), related to the em/μ ratio - the curvature of the shower front 6 OBSERVABLES: SHOWER WIDTH The information on the shower width can be extracted by the Lateral Density Function (LDF) - β: slope of the LDF - Sb: distance-weighted sum of the signals S b=∑ i [ ( r S i⋅ 1000m )] b - Number of Candidate Stations (NCS): footprint of the shower at ground Lateral density function: signal in the stations as a function of distance from the shower impact point. 7 OBSERVABLES: Nμ An estimation of the muonic signal can be extracted by looking at the tank signal traces with algorithms such as the smoothing techique. A simulated trace to show the different behavior of the μ and em components. - Sμ1500 : Signal of μ at 1500 meters. Result of a μ-LDF fit 8 DISCRIMINATING POWER Variables are dependent on zenith and energy: correct for dependencies and bin in zenith allow better discrimination Sb/S1000 β-Fβ Monte Carlo simulations 0-70° EPOS: Curv Sμ1500 NCS*cos(θ) QGSJet: Delta m/q IRON - PROTON Energy 9 EXAMPLE: BIN 4 38°<θ< 45° Monte Carlo simulations - EPOS: Sb/S1000 Curv β-Fβ Sμ1500 QGSJet: NCS*cos(θ) Delta IRON - PROTON m/q Overall agreement between models and fairly good separation But NOT ENOUGH for discriminating. 10 MULTI VARIATE ANALYSIS The studied variables can be combined in order to increase the discriminating power This can be done through Multi-Variate Analysis (MVA) CERN ROOT TMVA package ● ● ● Train different methods on our MC sample (one different MVA in each zenith angle bin) Check results in all different zenith angle bins Fine tuning of the parameters for the most promising methods ● → a Boosted Decision Trees (BDT) method and ● a Multi-Layer Perceptron (MLP, artificial neural network) 11 CAVEAT: MODEL DEPENDENCE We cannot directly test hadronic interaction at such high energies. UHECR simulations are based on extrapolations: different models have been proposed (QGSJET, SIBYLL, EPOS...). Post-LHC models show much better agreement between each other than before Signal Test – Proton EPOS Bkg Test –Iron EPOS Signal Train – Proton QGSJETII Bkg Train –Iron QGSJETII 04 OLD QGSJETII-04 – EPOS LHC MUCH BETTER AGREEMENT! Signal Test – Proton EPOS LHC Signal Train – Proton QGSJETII-04 Bkg Test –Iron EPOS LHC Bkg Train –Iron QGSJETII 04 NEW QGSJETII – EPOS 1.99* *fixed energies Train QGSJET Test EPOS. This check was made with only 5 variables: Sb,β, NCS, m/q,Curv 12 MVA-ANN BIN 4 Signal Test – Proton EPOS Background Test – Iron EPOS 4th Bin 38-45° Signal Train – Proton QGSJET Background Train – Iron QGSJET Efficiency at 90% Proton purity ~75% PRELIMINARY Train QGSJET Test EPOS. All variables: Impressive separation but slight model dependence in Irons. 13 CONCLUSIONS & OUTLOOK -The Surface Detector of the Pierre Auger Observatory can access mass-sensitive variables. -Their discriminating power can be enhanced by removing their energy and zenith dependencies, for example by binning in zenith. -Anyhow one single variable doesn't allow event-by-event mass discrimination. -Multi-Variate Analysis is able to improve our mass discrimination capability in the highest energies cosmic rays. Its main drawback is that it relies totally on simulations -New hadronic models show a good agreement on mass-sensitive variables predictions. Outlook: -Add variables (e.g. Muon Production Depth) -Cross-check with different software for MVA (e.g. R) -Try binning in energy -Check distribution of variables in data. -Apply on Auger highest energy dataset → anisotropy studies on proton-like sample (and FD cross-check if hybrid candidate is find) -Extension to horizontal showers (+ ~1/3 Exposure) 14 BACKUP SLIDES MODELS QGSJetIII-04 EPOS-LHC Conversion of the Xmax and Xμ max observable to <ln(A)> using two different hadronic interaction models EPOS-LHC (left) and QGSJetII-04 (right). While QGSJetIII-04 present a more coherent conversion, EPOS-LHC offers a better description of the rapidity gap distribution of p-p collision at the LHC. The modification of this distribution in EPOS to better reproduce the LHC p-p data is believed to be responsible for the shift in Xμ max. A. Letessier-Selvon for the Pierre Auger Collaboration – ICRC 2013 16 Binned discriminating power SIG−BKG 2 2 σ + σ √ SIG BKG 17
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