Investor Relations Bi-Weekly

Investor Relations Bi-Weekly
Friday, September 5, 2014
Vol. 12:12
Performance, Valuation Metrics, And Analyst Estimates
CAD Banks
CIBC
Royal Bank
Bank of Montreal
Scotiabank
TD Bank
National Bank
Ticker
Market
Cap (($B))
Share
Price (($))
Rating
g
Target
Price (($))
13A
14E
CM
RY
BMO
BNS
TD
NA
42.07
116.42
54.52
87.72
106.01
17.34
105.96
80.76
84.34
72.07
57.48
52.87
Hold
Hold
Hold
Hold
Buy
Hold
107.78
85.97
86.11
76.54
61.56
52.62
8.78
5.58
6.30
5.14
3.73
4.21
8.79
6.17
6.60
5.55
4.35
4.48
Cash EPS Adj ($)
YoY ((%))
15E
0.1
10.6
4.8
7.9
16.5
6.4
9.27
6.54
7.00
5.90
4.66
4.74
7.7
Big 6 Average
S&P/TSX Banks
STBANKX
436.09
2,865.14
CAD Insurers
ManuLife
SunLife
Industrial Alliance
GreatWest Lifeco.
MFC
SLF
IAG
GWO
40.73
25.17
4.80
32.11
21.92
41.15
48.00
32.15
S&P/TSX Insurers
S&P/TSX Fin'ls
S&P/TSX Comp
STINSU
STFINL
SPTSX
161.31
728.40
2,148.53
1,241.64
2,337.04
15,569.92
BAC
FITB
JPM
GS
C
WFC
168.46
16.99
225.34
81.83
158.56
269.63
16.02
20.37
59.91
179.75
52.30
51.65
BKX
BPRBANK
BEBANKS
BWBANK
1,236.25
2,141.36
1,194.06
6,180.50
71.81
165.85
111.61
140.80
US Money Centres
Bank of America
Fifth Third
JP Morgan Chase
Goldman Sachs
Citibank
Wells Fargo
US Banks
Asian Banks
European Banks
World Banks
YoY ((%))
T1Q
5.5
6.0
6.0
6.5
7.2
5.9
12.1
14.5
13.4
14.0
15.4
12.6
6.2
13.7
P/E Ratio
14E
15E
Dividend
Yield ((%))
Next
Ex-Div
BVPS
(($))
Price to
Book
12.1
13.1
12.8
13.0
13.2
11.8
11.4
12.3
12.1
12.2
12.3
11.2
3.68
3.42
3.60
3.50
3.12
3.47
9/25/2014
10/23/2014
10/30/2014
10/3/2014
10/1/2014
9/23/2014
43.02
32.58
46.69
36.34
27.44
25.23
2.46
2.48
1.81
1.98
2.10
2.10
23.3
18.6
19.7
17.0
23.4
20.6
115.0
73.6
104.4
95.6
104.1
115.7
12.7
11.9
3.47
35.22
2.15
20.42
101.4
3.52
1339.14
2.14
20.2
94.5
2.49
3.50
2.14
3.83
14.92
25.38
32.47
16.04
1.47
1.62
1.48
2.00
21.8
21.6
4.9
3.7
20.2
66.9
91.5
60.6
2.98
3.32
2.65
802.23
1252.18
7452.46
1.55
1.87
2.09
15.4
18.6
19.3
46.1
85.9
63.0
0.50
2.41
2.57
1.22
0.08
2.52
21.16
18.32
55.53
164.34
66.76
30.88
0.76
1.11
1.08
1.09
0.78
1.67
15.2
8.9
18.6
13.2
7.3
24.4
-4.3
111.9
56.9
17.4
8.2
112.6
1.84
4.71
3.18
3.36
63.80
141.05
113.78
120.00
1.13
1.18
0.98
1.17
13.8
6.5
7.9
8.0
72.6
46.8
6.5
47.5
13.4
Buy
Hold
Buy
Hold
25.06
43.80
52.75
33.73
1.34
2.73
3.47
2.08
1.59
3.01
3.68
2.50
19.0
10.3
6.1
20.1
1.86
3.25
4.20
2.77
16.9
7.9
14.0
10.8
10.9
12.5
11.9
14.1
13.8
13.7
13.0
12.9
11.8
12.7
11.4
11.6
12.8
13.8
20.0
Hold
Hold
Buy
Hold
Buy
Hold
17.77
23.23
66.61
180.13
58.08
54.98
1.16
1.99
5.70
16.10
4.34
3.89
1.38
1.71
5.54
16.48
4.79
4.10
1.51
1.80
6.01
17.14
5.39
4.28
1 8.6
-1 4.0
-2.8
2.3
1 0.4
5.3
9.6
5.2
8.5
4.0
12.4
4.3
10.4
10.3
9.7
10.2
10.1
12.8
11.6
11.9
10.8
10.9
10.9
12.6
10.6
11.3
10.0
10.5
9.7
12.1
12.5
7.3
57.6
11.4
CIBC P/BV Ratio vs. Average of Big 6 Banks (Ex. CM)
CIBC Performance vs. Banks Index
CM
1.00
Big 6
Sept. 5, 2014
2.46
2.6
0.95
TSR (%)
F-YTD
5-Yr
Sept. 5, 2014
0.91
2.4
2.2
2.0
0.90
1.8
Sept. 5, 2014
2.09
1.6
0.85
1.4
1.2
0.80
Nov
2011
1.0
Jan
Mar
2012 2012
May
2012
Jul
2012
Sep
2012
Nov
2012
Jan
Mar
2013 2013
May
2013
Jul
2013
Sep
2013
Nov
2013
Jan
Mar
2014 2014
May
2014
Jul
2014
Sep
2014
Jan
2012
CIBC YTD Dividend Yield vs. 10 Year Bond Yield
Mar
2012
May
2012
Jul
2012
Sep
2012
Nov
2012
Jan
2013
Mar
2013
May
2013
Jul
2013
Sep
2013
Nov
2013
Jan
2014
Mar
2014
May
2014
Jul
2014
Sep
2014
CIBC P/E Ratio vs. Average of Big 6 Banks (Ex. CM)
3.00
2.80
Sept. 5, 2014
1.78
2.60
2.40
0.98
Sept. 5, 2014
0.95
2.20
2.00
1.80
+1 Std Dev
0.93
1.60
1.40
10 Yr Historical average
10-Yr
1.20
1.00
0.88
0.80
-1 Std Dev
0.60
0.40
0.20
Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep
2012 2012 2012 2012 2013 2013 2013 2013 2013 2013 2013 2013 2013 2013 2013 2013 2014 2014 2014 2014 2014 2014 2014 2014 2014
For internal use only
0.83
Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep
12 12 12 12 12 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14
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