A Philosophy of Equipment Costing. February 2014. C.E.M.P. Central Inc. Construction Equipment Management Program Mike Vorster. CEMPCENTRAL, Inc. [email protected] www.cempcentral.com © CEMPCentral Inc. 1 A Philosophy of Equipment Costing February 2014 Mike Vorster. CEMPCENTRAL, Inc. [email protected] www.cempcentral.com © CEMPCentral Inc. A Philosophy of Equipment Costing 2 Yes, I do have a philosophy. And… It is very simple. Mike Vorster. CEMPCENTRAL, Inc. [email protected] www.cempcentral.com © CEMPCentral Inc. 2014. 1 © CEMPCentral Inc. 3 A Philosophy of Equipment Costing 1. Owning and operating costs have different DNA. Manage each with the skill it deserves. 2. With cost, actions speak louder than budgets. Produce actionable cost information 3. Age management is critical. Know your sweet spot, manage it 4. It is not as complicated as it looks. Understand the bumper stickers 5. A picture is worth a million numbers. Develop them, use them © CEMPCentral Inc. 4 A Philosophy of Equipment Costing A lot of it is in here Mike Vorster. CEMPCENTRAL, Inc. [email protected] www.cempcentral.com © CEMPCentral Inc. 2014. 2 © CEMPCentral Inc. 5 A Philosophy of Equipment Costing 1. Owning and operating costs have different DNA. Manage each with the skill it deserves. © CEMPCentral Inc. 1. O&O costs have different DNA OWNING COSTS The cost of bringing a machine into your fleet and keeping it there. 6 OPERATING COSTS The cost of turning the key and putting it to work. They have different DNA © CEMPCentral Inc. 2014. 3 © CEMPCentral Inc. 1. O&O costs have different DNA OWNING COSTS Buy - Borrow – Lease Sell License, Insurance Tax 7 OPERATING COSTS Fuel Wear parts, tires, tracks Maintenance Repair parts and labor They have different DNA © CEMPCentral Inc. 1. O&O costs have different DNA OWNING COSTS Come in BIG chunks at the beginning, the end, annually or monthly. Fixed when you ink the deal. © CEMPCentral Inc. 2014. 8 OPERATING COSTS Come constantly or at random intervals for repairs and rebuilds. Depend on age, application or operation. 4 © CEMPCentral Inc. 1. O&O costs have different DNA OWNING COSTS Have to do with finance and cost of capital. Are the province of specialists in accounting. 9 OPERATING COSTS Have to do with oil, grease, parts and labor. Are the province of field operations specialists. They have different DNA © CEMPCentral Inc. 1. O&O costs have different DNA Acquire One very big one or several big ones every month regardless. Buy Borrow Lease Rent © CEMPCentral Inc. 2014. Keep A large number of small ones every month regardless. License Insurance Property Tax Interest 10 Sell One big one, hopefully, at the end. Residual market value Auction price Sale price Trade in 5 © CEMPCentral Inc. 1. O&O costs have different DNA 11 Owning 1. Depreciation Equipment is a depreciating asset. The value of our investment decreases with age - you must recognize this and set funds aside to replace the asset 2. Interest Our investment in equipment must provide a return on the amount we have invested 3. Other Owning There will be additional costs for keeping a machine in our fleet. These include the cost of licenses, insurances, property taxes and the like Have to do with accounting, finance and administration. © CEMPCentral Inc. 1. O&O costs have different DNA 12 Owning Hourly owning cost goes down with age. It depends on the rate at which residual market value decreases and the number of hours worked in a year. Owning Cost $18 $ per hour $16 $14 $12 $10 $8 $6 5000 6000 7000 8000 9000 Hours Worked © CEMPCentral Inc. 2014. 6 © CEMPCentral Inc. 1. O&O costs have different DNA 13 Operating Acquire and Keep Run Sell Fix A very large number of small ones every hour that the machine works Fuel Wear parts Tracks Service and P.M. A small number (hopefully) of big ones depending on hours worked. Repair labor Repair parts Rebuilds © CEMPCentral Inc. 1. O&O costs have different DNA 14 Operating 1. Fuel Cost times factor times consumption 2. Wear parts (implement) Cost times factor times life 3. Tires or tracks (traction) Cost times factor times life 4. Preventive maintenance Cost times interval 5. Repair parts and labor The big uncertainty - comes in chunks - increases with age - dependent on conditions © CEMPCentral Inc. 2014. Constant 7 © CEMPCentral Inc. 1. O&O costs have different DNA 966 loaders Plot the data andRepair cost growth ‐ add a trend line 15 y = 423.59x2 + 1,837.41x R² = 0.94 $160,000 $140,000 $120,000 $100,000 1756 Maint cost $80,000 to date 1942 1992 $60,000 $40,000 $20,000 $0 0.000 2.000 4.000 6.000 8.000 10.000 12.000 14.000 16.000 18.000 Meter reading in hours © CEMPCentral Inc. 1. O&O costs have different DNA 16 Linear Component of cost Exponential Component of cost The final result 2 y = 0.0022x + 3.0292x 2 R = 0.9544 Cumulative Repair Costs $520,000 $480,000 $440,000 Cumulative Repair Cost $400,000 $360,000 All 101 102 103 104 105 Poly. (All) $320,000 $280,000 $240,000 $200,000 $160,000 $120,000 $80,000 $40,000 $0 0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000 Hours worked © CEMPCentral Inc. 2014. 8 © CEMPCentral Inc. 1. O&O costs have different DNA 17 The final result Cumulative cost of repair parts and labor = A X age + B Linear Component X age 2 Exponential Component © CEMPCentral Inc. 1. O&O costs have different DNA 18 Total cost = Ax + Bx2 Total Repair Cost $ A is the linear component. Measures expenditure with age Increasing A Age, x © CEMPCentral Inc. 2014. 9 © CEMPCentral Inc. 1. O&O costs have different DNA 19 Total cost = Ax + Bx2 Total Repair Cost $ B is the exponential component. Measures increasing expenditure with increasing age Increasing B Age, x © CEMPCentral Inc. 1. O&O costs have different DNA 20 You will have an “A” Measures expenditure with age $ per hour stays the same as the machine ages You MUST manage “B” Measures increase in expenditure with increase in age $ per hour increases as the machine ages © CEMPCentral Inc. 2014. 10 © CEMPCentral Inc. 21 CAT PHB Edition 42 Yes, but do you know your “A”s and “B”s © CEMPCentral Inc. 1. O&O costs have different DNA 22 What A and B Tell Us “A” measures the rate at which total cost increases with age. If “A” is small then the line is relatively straight and the cost per hour does not increase a lot with age. If “A” is big then the line slopes more but does not curve more. The cost per hour will be higher but it will not increase quickly with age. Increasing maintenance expenditure and taking action that prevents failure results in a high value of “A” but the line is relatively straight. Under these conditions, cost per hour will be higher but it will increase slowly with age. Higher costs that do not increase with age are better than low hourly costs that increase rapidly. Money invested in “A” reduces “B.” Well built and maintained machines working within their design capability have higher values of “A” but low values for “B.” 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 0 © CEMPCentral Inc. 2014. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 “B” measures the rate at which total cost increases with increasing age. In other words, it measures the curvature as opposed to the slope of the line. 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 If “B” is big, the line curves a lot. Not only does the total cost increase rapidly with age but the cost per hour also increases rapidly as the machine ages. High values of “B” occur when machines are working beyond their capability or when action taken to prevent failure is not producing the desired results. Under these conditions, cost per hour increases rapidly with age. Hourly costs that increase rapidly with age give good reason to sell the machine. P 98 Machines with high values of “B” have a short economic life. Under all conditions – work to reduce “B.” 11 © CEMPCentral Inc. 1. O&O costs have different DNA 23 Lets be clear – cumulative cost to date $140 $120 $100 Total cost of Repair parts $80 and labor, $60 Life to date Life to date costs and cost per hour Period costs and cost per hour $40 $20 $0 0 4 8 12 16 20 Age, Life to date © CEMPCentral Inc. 1. O&O costs have different DNA 24 Repair parts and labor cost $500,000 $450,000 Total cost to date $400,000 $350,000 $300,000 $250,000 $200,000 Average rate to 16,000 hours = $200,000 ÷ 16,000 = $12.50 per hour $150,000 $100,000 $50,000 $0 0 4,000 8,000 12,000 16,000 20,000 24,000 28,000 Hours worked © CEMPCentral Inc. 2014. 12 © CEMPCentral Inc. 1. O&O costs have different DNA 25 Repair parts and labor cost $500,000 $450,000 Average rate 16,000 – 24,000 hours = ( $450,000 - $200,000 )÷ 8,000 = $250,000 ÷ 8,000 = $31.25 per hour Total cost to date $400,000 $350,000 $300,000 $250,000 $200,000 Average rate to 16,000 hours = $200,000 ÷ 16,000 = $12.50 per hour $150,000 $100,000 $50,000 $0 0 4,000 8,000 12,000 16,000 20,000 24,000 28,000 Hours worked © CEMPCentral Inc. 1. O&O costs have different DNA 26 Operating Hourly operating cost goes up with age. It depends on the rate at which expenditure on repair parts and labor increases as the machine ages. 2 y = 0.0022x + 3.0292x Cumulative Parts and Labor Cost 2 R = 0.9544 $500,000 $450,000 $400,000 Cumulative costs $350,000 We must be able to define the relationship between cost and age and determine the rate at which costs increase with age. $300,000 $250,000 $200,000 $150,000 $100,000 $50,000 $0 0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000 Cumulative hours worked © CEMPCentral Inc. 2014. 13 © CEMPCentral Inc. 1. O&O costs have different DNA OWNING COSTS Have to do with finance and cost of capital. Are the province of specialists in accounting. 27 OPERATING COSTS Have to do with oil, grease, parts and labor. Are the province of field operations specialists. They have different DNA © CEMPCentral Inc. 28 A Philosophy of Equipment Costing 2. With cost, actions speak louder than budgets. Produce actionable cost information © CEMPCentral Inc. 2014. 14 © CEMPCentral Inc. 2. Actions speak louder than budgets Use actionable information and understand variances. When someone shouts FIRE know which door to take. © CEMPCentral Inc. 2. Actions speak louder than budgets 30 Define Set budgets using best available information. Act Measure Control risk. Optimize the future. Minimize the downside. Monitor and record actual costs. Calculate earned values. Predict Highlight trends. Forecast future earning and spending. © CEMPCentral Inc. 2014. Compare Analyze variances. Understand reasons and causes. 15 © CEMPCentral Inc. 2. Actions speak louder than budgets Horizontal slicing. All units All costs Total 1 2 3 4 If you have enough things then on the average the 5 6 34 35 36 37 average will be 123 average. 124 125 234 235 236 237 Budget Actual Variance © CEMPCentral Inc. 2. Actions speak louder than budgets Horizontal slicing. Manage by category Each category and class looks after itself. No cross subsidizing. © CEMPCentral Inc. 2014. Cat Class A1 1 A1 1 A1 1 A1 2 A1 2 A1 3 A1 A2 1 A2 2 A2 2 A2 3 A2 C4 1 C4 1 C4 1 C4 D7 1 D7 1 D7 2 D7 2 D7 All costs B A V B A V B A V B A V Budget Actual Variance 16 © CEMPCentral Inc. 2. Actions speak louder than budgets 33 The curse of the one liner Unit Z 225 Z 238 Life to date Year to date This month Hours Revenue Cost G/L Hours Revenue Cost G/L Hours Revenue Cost G/L 7,852 $ 392,600 $ 422,016 $ (29,416) 458 $ 23,358 $ 15,489 $ 7,869 80 $ 4,160 $ 1,600 $ 2,560 3200 $ 160,000 $ 227,000 $ (67,000) 678 $ 34,578 $ 56,200 $ (21,622) 120 $ 6,240 $ 35,000 $ (28,760) What does this all mean. Age (too young, too old) Utilization Application Operation The so what barrier. © CEMPCentral Inc. 2. Actions speak louder than budgets 34 The Rate Splits. Owning and Operating costs $55.79 per hour $15.35 Owning costs Operating Costs $37.64 Depreciation $10.50 Fuel Interest Wear parts $6.24 Tires $2.61 P. M. $4.16 $2.05 Licenses, insurance etc. $2.80 Only at 4yrs and 8,000 hours $14.87 Repair parts and labor $9.91 And $2.80 to the overhead account © CEMPCentral Inc. 2014. 17 © CEMPCentral Inc. 2. Actions speak louder than budgets Earned value budgets. A 1 B C D E F EQUIPMENT COST REPORT SUMMARIZED BY PRINCIPAL COST TYPE 2 Equipment Category/Class 3 Unit EX G H I Life to date PERIOD M 0703 6 Owning costs $13.78 3,721 Earned Value Budget $51,275 7 Operating costs $24.97 3,721 $92,913 $88,600 $4,313 $24.97 $23.81 95.4% 8 Fuel $14.87 3,721 $55,331 $60,750 ($5,419) $14.87 $16.33 109.8% 9 Contribution to overhead $2.80 3,721 $10,419 $11,461 ($1,042) $2.80 $3.08 110.0% 10 TOTALS $56.42 $209,939 $221,011 -$11,072 $56.42 $59.40 105.3% 4 Budget Hours Rate Worked 5 Rate per hour Actual Cost G/L on Budget Budget Actual Act/Bud % $60,200 ($8,925) $13.78 $16.18 117.4% Generate earned value budgets for at least 4 principal cost types. Compare these with actual costs in each principal cost type. P 212 Information at one level finer than your decision. © CEMPCentral Inc. 2. Actions speak louder than budgets Vertical slicing. Cat Class Owning Manage by category and cost type Each category, class and cost type looks after itself. No cross subsidizing between categories, classes and cost types. A1 A1 A1 A1 A1 A1 Operating Repairs Fuel OHD Total 1 1 1 2 2 3 A1 A2 A2 A2 A2 BAV BAV BAV B AV BAV B A V BAV BAV BAV B AV BAV B A V BAV BAV BAV B AV BAV B A V 1 2 2 3 A2 C4 C4 C4 1 1 1 C4 D7 D7 D7 D7 1 1 2 2 D7 BAV Budget Actual Variance © CEMPCentral Inc. 2014. Constant BAV Budget Actual Variance BAV B AV BAV B A V Budget Actual Variance Budget Actual Variance Budget Actual Variance Budget Actual Variance 18 © CEMPCentral Inc. 2. Actions speak louder than budgets Variances. OWNING COSTS Closely aligned to accounting and finance. OPERATING COSTS Closely aligned to operations in the field. Expert in acquisition, finance and disposal. Expert in maintenance, and shop operations. Set by the quality of the deal when you bought it. Set by age, operation and application. Occur on an annual basis because you have the machine in your fleet. Occur on an hourly basis because you have put the machine to work. © CEMPCentral Inc. 2. Actions speak louder than budgets Variances. © CEMPCentral Inc. 2014. Owning cost variances VOLUME VARIANCES Operating cost variances BUYING VARIANCES Annual costs - largely predetermined when you ink the deal. Costs are mostly proportional to hours worked. Uncertainty is the number of hours worked per year. Uncertainty is the actual cost of the resources used. 19 © CEMPCentral Inc. 2. Actions speak louder than budgets Manage by categories. Cat Class Owning Volume variance. Buying, operation, over application or waste. A1 A1 A1 A1 A1 A1 Age, operation or over application. Buying or waste. C4 C4 C4 Operating Repairs Fuel OHD Total 1 1 1 2 2 3 A1 A2 A2 A2 A2 Constant BAV BAV BAV B AV BAV B A V BAV BAV BAV B AV BAV B A V BAV BAV BAV B AV BAV B A V 1 2 2 3 A2 1 1 1 C4 D7 D7 D7 D7 1 1 2 2 D7 BAV Budget Actual Variance BAV Budget Actual Variance BAV B AV BAV B A V Budget Actual Variance Budget Actual Variance Budget Actual Variance Budget Actual Variance © CEMPCentral Inc. Class or category cost information © CEMPCentral Inc. 2014. 40 20 © CEMPCentral Inc. 2. Actions speak louder than budgets Figure 12.7 Category EX : Class M $12,000 Well utilized Expensive to operate Well utilized Economical to operate G/L: Owning Cost Budget $8,000 EX M 0605 $4,000 0701 0702 $0 0703 0801 0802 ($4,000) 0803 0804 ($8,000) Under utilized Expensive to operate ($12,000) ($12,000) ($8,000) Under utilized Economical to operate ($4,000) $0 $4,000 $8,000 $12,000 G/L: Operating Cost Budget Units above the line have a positive owning cost variance and are well utilized. Units to the right have a positive owning cost variance and are operating within budget. P 215 © CEMPCentral Inc. 2. Actions speak louder than budgets Benchmark owning and operating costs $ per hour for owning costs. How do I recover the fixed costs of ownership. Depends on utilization and life $ per hour for operating costs. How do I recover the costs of running it and fixing it. Depends on day to day field decisions © CEMPCentral Inc. 2014. 21 © CEMPCentral Inc. 2. Actions speak louder than budgets 43 Actions speak louder than budgets. Budgets, budgeting and cost control are important. But actions speak louder than budgets and get the job done. Nothing is achieved by walking up to the plate, kicking off the dust and staring firmly at the score board while the umpire calls “Play Ball” Keep your eye on the ball not the scoreboard This won’t win the game – no matter how often you look at it ! P 225 © CEMPCentral Inc. 2. Actions speak louder than budgets Use actionable information and understand variances. When someone shouts FIRE know which door to take. © CEMPCentral Inc. 2014. 22 © CEMPCentral Inc. 45 A Philosophy of Equipment Costing 1. Owning and operating costs have different DNA. Manage each with the skill it deserves. 2. With cost, actions speak louder than budgets. Produce actionable cost information 3. Age management is critical. Know your sweet spot, manage it 4. It is not as complicated as it looks. Understand the bumper stickers 5. A picture is worth a million numbers. Develop them, use them © CEMPCentral Inc. 46 A Philosophy of Equipment Costing 3. Age management is critical. Know your sweet spot, manage it © CEMPCentral Inc. 2014. 23 © CEMPCentral Inc. 3. Age management 47 Owning costs go down with age as we accumulate an ever larger number of hours worked over which to spread the purchase price. Operating costs go up with age we accumulate ever higher repair parts and labor costs. Economic life is that period which ends when the average owning and operating costs to date reach a minimum. © CEMPCentral Inc. 3. Age management 48 Hourly owning cost goes down with age. Hourly operating cost goes up with age. It depends on the rate at which residual market value decreases and the number of hours worked in a year. It depends on the rate at which expenditure on repair parts and labor increases as the machine ages. 120 100 80 Total cost / total hours 60 C* 40 20 0 0 © CEMPCentral Inc. 2014. 1 2 3 4 L* 5 6 7 8 9 Total hours 24 © CEMPCentral Inc. 3. Age management 49 A Formal Definition of Economic Life Many texts define economic life as “That period that ends when the average hourly cost to date reaches a minimum.” That period that ends when the average hourly cost reaches a minimum 200 Costt The terms used in the formal description are shown in the diagram on the left. 150 Minimum hourly cost to date 100 50 0 0 1 2 Hourly Owning As can be seen from the diagram on the right there is very little difference. Sweet spot is a broader, softer, more easily understood and accepted term. 4 5 6 7 8 Hourly O&O 200 Timing of the sweet spot 150 Costt We use the term “sweet spot” to avoid the quantitative precision and narrowness of definition implied in the term “economic life.” There is much more to the concept of an economic ownership period than is captured in the formal definition. 3 Hourly Operating Magnitude of the sweet spot 100 P 110 50 0 0 1 2 Hourly Owning 3 4 Hourly Operating 5 6 7 8 Hourly O&O © CEMPCentral Inc. 50 © CEMPCentral Inc. 2014. 25 © CEMPCentral Inc. 51 © CEMPCentral Inc. 3. Age management 52 $120 Owning Total Constant Oper Lifetime Equipment Rate ($/hr) $100 Repair Operating $80 $60 $40 $20 $‐ 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Total Hours Worked (in thousands) © CEMPCentral Inc. 2014. 26 © CEMPCentral Inc. COST MANAGEMENT Magnitude of the sweet spot $ per hour Depends on how long you keep it 3. Age management $120 Owning Total Constant Oper $100 Lifetime Equipment Rate ($/hr) How much does it cost ?? Repair Operating $80 $60 $40 $20 $‐ 0 10 20 30 40 Total Hours Worked (in thousands) Timing of the sweet spot Life in hours Depends on cost 50 How long do I keep it?? 60 70 FLEET AGE MANAGEMENT © CEMPCentral Inc. 3. Age management Age benchmarks are critical. There must be a formal process of defining and measuring where we are relative to fleet average age. It is a three step process 1. Establish your benchmark ages 2. Collect your actuals 3. Produce actionable information © CEMPCentral Inc. 2014. 27 © CEMPCentral Inc. 3. Age management 1. Establishing benchmark ages Cost per hour - Life to Date $70.00 $60.00 Intuition Analysis Cost per hour $50.00 $40.00 Total Operating $30.00 Repairs Owning $20.00 $10.00 $0.00 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000 16,000 18,000 Hours Worked It does not matter how you do it – you must know: HOW LONG YOU PLAN TO KEEP IT WHEN IT WILL BECOME PROGRESSIVLY MORE COSTLY WHEN IT WILL BE DONE P 109 © CEMPCentral Inc. 3. Age management Age benchmarks are critical. There must be a formal process of defining and measuring where we are relative to fleet average age. It is a three step process 1. Establish your benchmark ages 2. Collect your actuals 3. Produce actionable information It is not as easy as it sounds: Collect the hours worked to generate the earned value budget and drive the fleet age system – You can mess them both up. © CEMPCentral Inc. 2014. 28 © CEMPCentral Inc. 3. Age management A B Unit numbe Current age 7002 7003 7001 7004 7022 7150 7161 7157 7160 7152 C D Expected age at end of E F Now +1 Now + 3 Now + 4 18092 Se ll 15304 < 2 Now + 2 13326 15126 < S e ll 1 12317 14117 15817 10374 12174 13874 15574 < Se ll 1 7156 8956 10656 12356 14056 6182 7982 9682 11382 13082 4921 6721 8421 10121 11821 4875 6675 8375 10075 11775 4588 6388 8088 9788 11488 Buy 1700 3400 5100 6800 2 > 1700 3400 5100 6800 Buy 1 > 1700 3400 5100 Buy 1 > 1700 3400 Buy 1 > 1700 < Se ll 1 P112 © CEMPCentral Inc. 3. Age management Anticipated maximum life for class Anticipated annual utilization for class 6,000 500 Green 0.6 to 0.8 Target Unit Make Model Hours now 1 185 CFM Air Compressor - Diesel 20-1637 D INGERSOLL RAND P185WJD 3,748 4,248 20-2031 INGERSOLL RAND P185WJD 3,386 3,886 20-2010 INGERSOLL RAND P185WJD 3,215 3,715 20-1970 INGERSOLL RAND P185WJD 3,012 3,512 20-2078 D INGERSOLL RAND P185WJD 3,000 3,500 20-1973 INGERSOLL RAND P185WJD 2,929 3,429 20-2033 INGERSOLL RAND P185WJD 2,472 2,972 20-2215 Ingersoll-Rand P185WJD 2,410 2,910 20-2014 INGERSOLL RAND P185WJD 2,001 2,501 20-2032 INGERSOLL RAND P185WJD 1,799 2,299 20-2237 Ingersoll-Rand P185WJD 1,664 2,164 20-2236 Ingersoll-Rand P185WJD 1,454 1,954 20-2225 Ingersoll-Rand P185WJD 989 1,489 20-2226 Ingersoll-Rand P185WJD 911 1,411 375 CFM Air Compressor - Diesel 20-1888 SULLAIR DPQ JD 5,653 6,153 20-2065 D INGERSOLL RAND P375WJD 2,806 3,306 400 CFM Air Compressor (High Pressure)- Diesel 20-2124 INGERSOLL RAND VHP400WCU 5,345 5,845 © CEMPCentral Inc. 2014. Orange Red 0.8 - 1.2 Target More than 1.2 Target Expected hours in the given number of years ahead 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 4,748 4,386 4,215 4,012 4,000 3,929 3,472 3,410 3,001 2,799 2,664 2,454 1,989 1,911 5,248 4,886 4,715 4,512 4,500 4,429 3,972 3,910 3,501 3,299 3,164 2,954 2,489 2,411 5,748 5,386 5,215 5,012 5,000 4,929 4,472 4,410 4,001 3,799 3,664 3,454 2,989 2,911 6,248 5,886 5,715 5,512 5,500 5,429 4,972 4,910 4,501 4,299 4,164 3,954 3,489 3,411 6,748 6,386 6,215 6,012 6,000 5,929 5,472 5,410 5,001 4,799 4,664 4,454 3,989 3,911 7,248 6,886 6,715 6,512 6,500 6,429 5,972 5,910 5,501 5,299 5,164 4,954 4,489 4,411 7,748 7,386 7,215 7,012 7,000 6,929 6,472 6,410 6,001 5,799 5,664 5,454 4,989 4,911 6,653 3,806 7,153 4,306 7,653 4,806 8,153 5,306 8,653 5,806 9,153 6,306 9,653 6,806 6,345 6,845 7,345 7,845 8,345 8,845 9,345 29 © CEMPCentral Inc. 3. Age management Age benchmarks are critical. There must be a formal process of defining and measuring where we are relative to fleet average age. It is a three step process 1. Establish your benchmark ages 2. Collect your actuals 3. Produce actionable information 16,000 Age 18,000 20,000 22,000 Hours in Inventory © CEMPCentral Inc. 3. Age management Hours in inventory ‐ Five units ‐ Rate class 22‐3 60,000 Busy year 40,000 20,000 Quiet year ‐ Buy one Rebuild one Buy two (20,000) Rebuild one (40,000) Date Living off the new fleet © CEMPCentral Inc. 2014. Maintaining the fleet 30 © CEMPCentral Inc. 3. Age management Enter the Burnolator Current Hours Unit # Worked End Yr 1 "Hours" 1st Year In stock Action "Worked" In stock 1 13,000 0 R 1,000 11,000 2 12,000 0 B 6,000 6,000 3 9,000 3,000 11,000 1,000 4 8,000 4,000 10,000 2,000 5 6,000 6,000 8,000 4,000 6 9,000 3,000 V 6,000 6,000 7 7,500 4,500 9,500 2,500 8 8,000 4,000 V 5,000 7,000 9 7,000 5,000 9,000 3,000 10 3,000 9,000 5,000 7,000 11 2,000 10,000 4,000 8,000 12 1,000 11,000 3,000 Total hours in stock 59,500 Average Hours in stock 9,000 66,500 4,958 5,542 Replacements $150,000 Capitalized rebuilds & renovations $210,000 Total cost $360,000 © CEMPCentral Inc. 3. Age management Enter the Burnolator Annual Spending and Hours in Stock 12,000 8,000 5,000 3,500 2,500 10,000 9,000 8,000 7,000 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 0 2005 2006 Total for Five Year Plan Replacements Capitalized rebuilds & renovns Expensed renovations Total cost Cost per hour Ave Ave Hours in Stock Ave Stock $1,000,000 $900,000 $800,000 $700,000 $12.50 $11.25 $600,000 $12.00 $500,000 $14.29 $400,000 $14.00 $300,000 $200,000 $100,000 $0 Annual Spending 6 2,000 12,000 12 $150,000 $90,000 $60,000 $50,000 $35,000 2007 2008 2009 Hours per Unit in Stock Spend Expected life, yrs Hours per year Expected hours # units in fleet Replace, R Capitalized Rebuild, B Capitalized Renovate, V Expensed Heavy, H Expensed Light, L $450,000 $1,170,000 $0 $1,620,000 $13.50 6,000 2010 Year 2006 End 2005 Hours End 2006 "Hours" Action "Worked" In stock Unit # Worked In stock 1 13,000 0 R 1,000 11,000 2 12,000 0 R 1,000 11,000 3 9,000 3,000 11,000 1,000 4 8,000 4,000 10,000 2,000 5 6,000 6,000 8,000 4,000 6 9,000 3,000 V 6,000 6,000 7 7,500 4,500 9,500 2,500 8 8,000 4,000 V 5,000 7,000 9 7,000 5,000 9,000 3,000 10 3,000 9,000 5,000 7,000 11 2,000 10,000 4,000 8,000 12 1,000 11,000 3,000 9,000 59,500 71,500 Total hours in stock 4,958 5,958 Ave Hours in stock Replacements $300,000 Capitalized rebuilds & renovations $120,000 Expensed renovations $0 Total cost $420,000 © CEMPCentral Inc. 2014. 2007 Action B B B $0 $270,000 $0 $270,000 End 2007 "Hours" "Worked" In stock 3,000 9,000 3,000 9,000 5,000 7,000 4,000 8,000 10,000 2,000 8,000 4,000 3,500 8,500 7,000 5,000 11,000 1,000 7,000 5,000 6,000 6,000 5,000 7,000 71,500 5,958 2008 Action B B B $0 $270,000 $0 $270,000 End 2008 "Hours" "Worked" In stock 5,000 7,000 5,000 7,000 7,000 5,000 6,000 6,000 4,000 8,000 2,000 10,000 5,500 6,500 9,000 3,000 5,000 7,000 9,000 3,000 8,000 4,000 7,000 5,000 71,500 5,958 2009 Action V B B $0 $240,000 $0 $240,000 End 2009 "Hours" "Worked" In stock 7,000 5,000 7,000 5,000 9,000 3,000 8,000 4,000 6,000 6,000 4,000 8,000 7,500 4,500 6,000 6,000 7,000 5,000 3,000 9,000 2,000 10,000 9,000 3,000 68,500 5,708 2010 Action B B R B End 2010 "Hours" "Worked" In stock 9,000 3,000 9,000 3,000 3,000 9,000 2,000 10,000 8,000 4,000 6,000 6,000 1,000 11,000 8,000 4,000 9,000 3,000 5,000 7,000 4,000 8,000 3,000 9,000 77,000 6,417 $150,000 $270,000 $0 $420,000 31 © CEMPCentral Inc. 3. Age management (Burnolator) Annual Spending and Hours in Stock Spend $1,000,000 $900,000 $800,000 $700,000 $600,000 $500,000 $400,000 $300,000 $200,000 $100,000 $0 10,000 9,000 8,000 7,000 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 0 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Annual Spending Ave Stock Hours per Unit in Stock Annual Spending Spend Ave Stock $1,000,000 $900,000 $800,000 $700,000 $600,000 $500,000 $400,000 $300,000 $200,000 $100,000 $0 2010 10,000 9,000 8,000 7,000 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 0 2005 2006 2007 Year 2008 2009 Hours per Unit in Stock Annual Spending and Hours in Stock 2010 Year And many more Annual Spending and Hours in Stock Annual Spending and Hours in Stock 10,000 9,000 8,000 7,000 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 0 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Annual Spending Spend $1,000,000 $900,000 $800,000 $700,000 $600,000 $500,000 $400,000 $300,000 $200,000 $100,000 $0 Ave Stock $1,000,000 $900,000 $800,000 $700,000 $600,000 $500,000 $400,000 $300,000 $200,000 $100,000 $0 2010 Year 10,000 9,000 8,000 7,000 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 0 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Hours per Unit in Stock Ave Stock Hours per Unit in Stock Annual Spending Spend 2010 Year © CEMPCentral Inc. 64 A Philosophy of Equipment Costing 4. It is not as complicated as it looks. Understand the bumper stickers © CEMPCentral Inc. 2014. 32 © CEMPCentral Inc. 4. It is not as complicated as it looks Understand the bumper stickers! You do not reduce equipment costs by: Capitalizing repairs. You do reduce equipment costs by: Repairing it right the first time. © CEMPCentral Inc. 4. It is not as complicated as it looks Understand the bumper stickers! You do not reduce equipment costs by: Changing the depreciation schedule. © CEMPCentral Inc. 2014. You do reduce equipment costs by: Selling at the right time for the right price. 33 © CEMPCentral Inc. 4. It is not as complicated as it looks Understand the bumper stickers! You do not reduce equipment costs by: Deferring replacement. You do reduce equipment costs by: Managing age. © CEMPCentral Inc. 4. It is not as complicated as it looks Understand the bumper stickers! You do not reduce equipment costs by: Underreporting hours worked. © CEMPCentral Inc. 2014. You do reduce equipment costs by: Using reliable data effectively. 34 © CEMPCentral Inc. 4. It is not as complicated as it looks Understand the bumper stickers! You do not reduce equipment costs by: Reducing the internal rate. You do reduce equipment costs by: Attacking the causes of cost. © CEMPCentral Inc. 70 A Philosophy of Equipment Costing 5. A picture is worth a million numbers. Develop them, use them © CEMPCentral Inc. 2014. 35 © CEMPCentral Inc. 5. A picture is worth a million numbers Edward Tufte © CEMPCentral Inc. 5. A picture is worth a million numbers Anticipated maximum life for class Anticipated annual utilization for class 6,000 500 Green 0.6 to 0.8 Target Unit Make Model Hours now 1 185 CFM Air Compressor - Diesel 20-1637 D INGERSOLL RAND P185WJD 3,748 4,248 20-2031 INGERSOLL RAND P185WJD 3,386 3,886 20-2010 INGERSOLL RAND P185WJD 3,215 3,715 20-1970 INGERSOLL RAND P185WJD 3,012 3,512 20-2078 D INGERSOLL RAND P185WJD 3,000 3,500 20-1973 INGERSOLL RAND P185WJD 2,929 3,429 20-2033 INGERSOLL RAND P185WJD 2,472 2,972 20-2215 Ingersoll-Rand P185WJD 2,410 2,910 20-2014 INGERSOLL RAND P185WJD 2,001 2,501 20-2032 INGERSOLL RAND P185WJD 1,799 2,299 20-2237 Ingersoll-Rand P185WJD 1,664 2,164 20-2236 Ingersoll-Rand P185WJD 1,454 1,954 20-2225 Ingersoll-Rand P185WJD 989 1,489 20-2226 Ingersoll-Rand P185WJD 911 1,411 375 CFM Air Compressor - Diesel 20-1888 SULLAIR DPQ JD 5,653 6,153 20-2065 D INGERSOLL RAND P375WJD 2,806 3,306 400 CFM Air Compressor (High Pressure)- Diesel 20-2124 INGERSOLL RAND VHP400WCU 5,345 5,845 © CEMPCentral Inc. 2014. Orange Red 0.8 - 1.2 Target More than 1.2 Target Expected hours in the given number of years ahead 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 4,748 4,386 4,215 4,012 4,000 3,929 3,472 3,410 3,001 2,799 2,664 2,454 1,989 1,911 5,248 4,886 4,715 4,512 4,500 4,429 3,972 3,910 3,501 3,299 3,164 2,954 2,489 2,411 5,748 5,386 5,215 5,012 5,000 4,929 4,472 4,410 4,001 3,799 3,664 3,454 2,989 2,911 6,248 5,886 5,715 5,512 5,500 5,429 4,972 4,910 4,501 4,299 4,164 3,954 3,489 3,411 6,748 6,386 6,215 6,012 6,000 5,929 5,472 5,410 5,001 4,799 4,664 4,454 3,989 3,911 7,248 6,886 6,715 6,512 6,500 6,429 5,972 5,910 5,501 5,299 5,164 4,954 4,489 4,411 7,748 7,386 7,215 7,012 7,000 6,929 6,472 6,410 6,001 5,799 5,664 5,454 4,989 4,911 6,653 3,806 7,153 4,306 7,653 4,806 8,153 5,306 8,653 5,806 9,153 6,306 9,653 6,806 6,345 6,845 7,345 7,845 8,345 8,845 9,345 36 © CEMPCentral Inc. 5. A picture is worth a million numbers Hours in inventory ‐ Five units ‐ Rate class 22‐3 60,000 The replace decision depends on current inventory and future activity. 40,000 20,000 ‐ (20,000) (40,000) Date Future Past © CEMPCentral Inc. 5. A picture is worth a million numbers Ford F150 milage travelled Now 2 years time 250,000 Miles travelled 200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000 0 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 Number in the fleet © CEMPCentral Inc. 2014. 37 © CEMPCentral Inc. Repair and Maintenance Hours per Hour W orked 5. A picture is worth a million numbers 0.28 Labor Factor 0.26 0.24 0.22 0.20 0.18 0.16 0.14 0.12 0.10 0.08 0.06 0.04 0.02 96 rT 3' ire s Lo ad Tr en er s ch R ol Tr le uc rs ks C -D om um pa p ct or s -D irt D oz er Ex s ca va to Tr rs uc ks -F A ue rt W ic l he s el -V ed ol vo Ex ca Tr va uc to ks rs -T ra ct or s B ac kh oe 's G ra de rs R ub be sp ha Tr lt ac k D ril ls Pa ns -A C om pa ct or s B ro om s 0.00 Fleet © CEMPCentral Inc. 5. A picture is worth a million numbers Mitchell Curve Category Bell B30D - Discard Application 2009 Rate Poly. (Bell B30D - Discard Application) R 5,000,000 R 4,500,000 R 4,000,000 Cumulative Cost R 3,500,000 y = 0.004x2 + 19.346x + 1,418,872.556 R² = 0.912 R 3,000,000 R 2,500,000 R 2,000,000 R 1,500,000 R 1,000,000 R 500,000 R0 Life (Hours) © CEMPCentral Inc. 2014. 38 © CEMPCentral Inc. 5. A picture is worth a million numbers Mitchell Curve Category Bell2706 - Coal _(Machines now at Manganese site) R 5,000,000 R 4,500,000 Cumulative Cost R 4,000,000 R 3,500,000 R 3,000,000 y = 0.004x2 + 15.723x + 1,663,942.969 R² = 0.954 R 2,500,000 R 2,000,000 R 1,500,000 R 1,000,000 R 500,000 R0 Life (Hours) © CEMPCentral Inc. 5. A picture is worth a million numbers © CEMPCentral Inc. 2014. 39 © CEMPCentral Inc. 5. A picture is worth a million numbers Fleet Utilization 60 50 40 % of fleet 30 reporting Production Support 20 On road 10 0 0 to 60 hrs 60 to 120 hrs 120 to 160 hrs Over 160 hrs Hours worked in last 4 weeks © CEMPCentral Inc. 5. A picture is worth a million numbers © CEMPCentral Inc. 2014. 40 © CEMPCentral Inc. 5. A picture is worth a million numbers $2,500,000 y = 0.5804x + 720830 R² = 0.7517 $2,000,000 y = 0.0944x + 625167 R² = 0.2742 y = 0.2226x R² = 0.5837 $1,500,000 y = 0.1636x R² = 0.5994 Cost $1,000,000 y = 0.0999x + 95663 R² = 0.3358 Total cost $500,000 Owning costs Operating costs $0 Fuel costs $0 $500,000 $1,000,000 $1,500,000 $2,000,000 $2,500,000 Equipment revenue Overhead costs P 159 © CEMPCentral Inc. 82 A Philosophy of Equipment Costing 1. Owning and operating costs have different DNA. Manage each with the skill it deserves. 2. With cost, actions speak louder than budgets. Produce actionable cost information 3. Age management is critical. Know your sweet spot, manage it 4. It is not as complicated as it looks. Understand the bumper stickers 5. A picture is worth a million numbers. Develop them, use them © CEMPCentral Inc. 2014. 41 © CEMPCentral Inc. A Philosophy of Equipment Costing 83 Yes, I do have a philosophy. And… It is very simple. What I want you to take home Mike Vorster. CEMPCENTRAL, Inc. [email protected] www.cempcentral.com © CEMPCentral Inc. O&O costs have different DNA 84 Owning Hourly owning cost goes down with age. It depends on the rate at which residual market value decreases and the number of hours worked in a year. Owning Cost $18 $ per hour $16 $14 $12 $10 $8 $6 5000 6000 7000 8000 9000 Hours Worked © CEMPCentral Inc. 2014. 42 © CEMPCentral Inc. O&O costs have different DNA 85 Operating Hourly operating cost goes up with age. It depends on the rate at which expenditure on repair parts and labor increases as the machine ages. 2 y = 0.0022x + 3.0292x Cumulative Parts and Labor Cost 2 R = 0.9544 $500,000 $450,000 $400,000 Cumulative costs $350,000 We must be able to define the relationship between cost and age and determine the rate at which costs increase with age. $300,000 $250,000 $200,000 $150,000 $100,000 $50,000 $0 0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000 Cumulative hours worked © CEMPCentral Inc. Actions speak louder than budgets 86 Define Set budgets using best available information. Act Measure Control risk. Optimize the future. Minimize the downside. Monitor and record actual costs. Calculate earned values. Predict Highlight trends. Forecast future earning and spending. © CEMPCentral Inc. 2014. Compare Analyze variances. Understand reasons and causes. 43 © CEMPCentral Inc. Actions speak louder than budgets Manage by categories. Cat Class Owning Volume variance. Buying, operation, over application or waste. A1 A1 A1 A1 A1 A1 Age, operation or over application. Buying or waste. C4 C4 C4 Operating Repairs Fuel OHD Total 1 1 1 2 2 3 A1 A2 A2 A2 A2 Constant BAV BAV BAV B AV BAV B A V BAV BAV BAV B AV BAV B A V BAV BAV BAV B AV BAV B A V 1 2 2 3 A2 1 1 1 C4 D7 D7 D7 D7 1 1 2 2 D7 BAV Budget Actual Variance BAV Budget Actual Variance BAV B AV BAV B A V Budget Actual Variance Budget Actual Variance Budget Actual Variance Budget Actual Variance © CEMPCentral Inc. Actions speak louder than budgets Use actionable information and understand variances. When someone shouts FIRE know which door to take. © CEMPCentral Inc. 2014. 44 © CEMPCentral Inc. Age management 1. Establishing benchmark ages Cost per hour - Life to Date $70.00 $60.00 Intuition Analysis Cost per hour $50.00 $40.00 Total Operating $30.00 Repairs Owning $20.00 $10.00 $0.00 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000 16,000 18,000 Hours Worked It does not matter how you do it – you must know: HOW LONG YOU PLAN TO KEEP IT WHEN IT WILL BECOME PROGRESSIVLY MORE COSTLY WHEN IT WILL BE DONE P 109 © CEMPCentral Inc. Age management Hours in inventory ‐ Five units ‐ Rate class 22‐3 60,000 Busy year 40,000 20,000 Quiet year ‐ Buy one Rebuild one Buy two (20,000) Rebuild one (40,000) Date Living off the new fleet © CEMPCentral Inc. 2014. Maintaining the fleet 45 © CEMPCentral Inc. It is not as complicated as it looks Understand the bumper stickers! You do not reduce equipment costs by: You do reduce equipment costs by: Capitalizing repairs. Changing the depreciation schedule. Deferring replacement. Underreporting the hours worked. Reducing the internal rate. © CEMPCentral Inc. A picture is worth a million numbers Edward Tufte © CEMPCentral Inc. 2014. 46 © CEMPCentral Inc. A picture is worth a million numbers Fleet Utilization 60 50 40 % of fleet 30 reporting Production Support 20 On road 10 0 0 to 60 hrs 60 to 120 hrs 120 to 160 hrs Over 160 hrs Hours worked in last 4 weeks © CEMPCentral Inc. People often ask.... Owning cost $ per hour to have the machine in your fleet. © CEMPCentral Inc. 2014. Hours in inventory Fleet average age relative to “the sweet spot”. Operating cost $ per hour to put it to work and keep it working. 47 © CEMPCentral Inc. People often ask….. Owning cost Hours in inventory Operating cost Labor factor Technology gradient Red work orders $ per hour to have the machine in your fleet. Labor hours spent on the machine per operating hour. © CEMPCentral Inc. 2014. Fleet average age relative to “the sweet spot”. Are new machines safer, more reliable and more productive. $ per hour to put it to work and keep it working. Number of “red work orders” per operating hour. 48
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