MENA IPO Eye Q1 2014 MENA IPO market is set to scale up activity The momentum seen in IPO activity in Middle East and North Africa (MENA) last year, particularly lgoYj\l`]]f\g^*()+$[gflafm]\afI)*(),$[gfÕjeaf_l`]j]lmjfg^afn]klgjkÌ[gfÕ\]f[] lgl`]j]_agf& Mayur Pau MENA IPO Leader The MENA IPO Eye is a imYjl]jdqhmZda[Ylagf [gn]jaf_l`]E=F9AHG eYjc]lk& L`jgm_`l`]hmZda[Ylagf$ o]afl]f\lg`a_`da_`l the latest developments, eYjc]llj]f\k$Yf\Yf gmldggcg^AHGY[lanalqaf l`]j]_agfl`Yl[gmd\Y\\ lgl`]afka_`lk^gjl`gk] [gehYfa]kdggcaf_lg ÖgYlafl`]^mlmj]& >gj^]]\ZY[c$hd]Yk]]eYad eYqmj&hYm8Y]&]q&[ge& I)*(),kYoÕn]afalaYdhmZda[g^^]jaf_kZqE=F9[gehYfa]kjYakaf_MK)&+Z&@go]n]j$ l`akk`go]\Y*)&(\][daf]afnYdm][gehYj]\oal`l`]kYe]imYjl]jdYklq]Yj$oal`fg[`Yf_] afngdme]k&Af*()+$YlglYdg^*.[gjhgjYl]kafE=F9[`gk]l`]AHGjgml]$jYakaf_MK+&)Z$oal` )(g^l`]k][gehYfa]kjmk`af_lgl`]eYjc]llgoYj\l`]q]Yj%]f\^gjMK0)/&/e& Oil and gas tops >gjI)*(),$l`]gadYf\_Ykk][lgjY[[gmfl]\^gjlogakkm]k$oal`l]d][ge$af\mkljaYdeYfm^Y[lmjaf_ Yf\j]lYadk][lgjk[dYaeaf_Yfakkm]]Y[`&LmfakaY`Y\logAHGkafl`]ÕjklimYjl]j$o`ad] Mfal]\9jYZ=eajYl]k M9=!$IYlYjYf\KYm\a9jYZaYj]hgjl]\gf]akkm]]Y[`& IYlYjÌkE]kYa]]\H]ljg[`]ea[Yd@gd\af_;gehYfq EH@;!dYmf[`]\l`]j]_agfÌkdYj_]klakkm]g^l`] imYjl]j$jYakaf_MK1(-eafBYfmYjq*(),&L`akoYkl`]Õjkldaklaf_gfl`][gmfljqÌkklg[c]p[`Yf_] kaf[]*()(&EH@;akYkmZka\aYjqg^IYlYjH]ljgd]meYf\gf]g^l`]j]_agfÌkhj]ea]j\an]jkaÕ]\ h]ljg[`]ea[Yd[gf_dge]jYl]k& Company Domicile Sector Gulf Marine K]jna[]k M9= GadYf\_Yk KglahYha]j Tunisia Industrial eYfm^Y[lmjaf_ KYm\a EYjc]laf_ ;gehYfq KYm\a9jYZaY Retail ;]dd[ge Tunisia Telecommunications EH@; Qatar GadYf\_Yk Total Amount raised (US$m) Listing date Stock exchange (SE) */-&( )1EYj[`*(), )1EYj[`*(), Dgf\gfK= *-&. 11 March 2014 *0EYj[`*(), LmfakK= /*&( *0BYfmYjq*(), ).>]ZjmYjq*(), KYm\aK= .&( )/BYfmYjq*(), *(>]ZjmYjq*(), LmfakK= 1(-&+ *)BYfmYjq*(), *.>]ZjmYjq*(), IYlYjK= 1283.8 Date of IPO closure Current state of play Consistent with global trend L`]af\a[Ylagfg^aehjgn]e]flafE=F9[gjhgjYl]k_gaf_hmZda[ oYk[gfkakl]floal`l`]kljgf_lj]f\afAHGY[lanalq_dgZYddqaf I)*(),$oalf]kkaf_*+1akkm]k^gjMK,,&+Z&?dgZYddq$l`akoYk l`]Z]klh]j^gjeaf_ÕjklimYjl]jkaf[]*())$afl]jekg^Zgl` fmeZ]jg^AHGkYf\[YhalYdjYak]\& L`]afn]klgjkÌ[gfÕ\]f[]Yf\Yhh]lal]^gjAHGkYj]af[j]Yk]\$ oal`l`]EK;AOgjd\=imala]kAf\]pj]Y[`af_Yj][gj\`a_`afEYj[` *(),$oal`eYjc]lngdYladalqlj]f\af_\gof&L`]Yn]jY_]\]Ydkar] k`go]\Y*,&(khac]afl`]imYjl]j$oal`kap\]Ydk^]l[`af_egj] l`YfMK)&(Z]Y[`_dgZYddq& L`][gf\alagfkafE=F9Yj]fg\a^^]j]fl[mjj]fldq$YkYdYj_] fmeZ]jg^[gehYfa]kafl`]j]_agfYffgmf[]\hdYfk^gjAHGk^gj *(),&L`]j]Yj]YdkghdYfklgdYmf[`AHGkg^klYl]%gof]\]flala]k$ 2 | MENA IPO Eye Q1 2014 MENA IPO — Q1 activity (Q1 2011–Q1 2014) 1,800 1,600 1,400 1,200 1,000 800 600 400 200 0 5 5 6 5 4 4 3 3 2 $24.1 Q1-11 $82.8 Q1-12 Capital raised (US$m) $1,621.0 Q1-13 $1,283.8 Q1-14 No. of IPOs DYklq]Yj$YfmeZ]jg^M9=Õjek$af[dm\af_<9E9;J]Yd=klYl] <]n]dghe]flDaeal]\Yf\9dFggj@gkhalYdk?jgmh$km[[]kk^mddq dakl]\gfl`]DK=&L`][gehYfa]kZ]da]n]\l`Yll`akogmd\Yddgo l`]eY[[]kklgYoa\]j_jgmhg^afn]klgjkYf\d]kkkljaf_]fl gof]jk`ahjmd]kl`Yfafl`]`ge]eYjc]l& hYjla[mdYjdqafl`]M9=Yf\IYlYj&=eajYl]kJ]al$hYjlaYddqgof]\Zq <mZYa@gd\af_$akk[`]\md]\lgAHGgfF9K<9Iaf9hjad*(),$o`ad] gl`]jM9=_gn]jfe]fl%gof]\[gehYfa]k[gfka\]jaf_AHGkaf[dm\] FYc`]]d$?]f]jYd@gd\af_;gjhgjYlagf K]fYYl!Yf\KlYf^gj\EYjaf] ?jgmh&AfIYlYj$^gmjkmZka\aYja]kg^IYlYjH]ljgd]me IH!Yj] ]ph][l]\lgdaklgfl`]IYlYj=p[`Yf_]$oal`AHGk^gjY[geZaf]\ eYjc]l[YhalYdarYlagfg^MK)+&/Z& Capital raised (US$m) L`]kaf_d]akkm]^jgel`]M9=$fYe]dq?md^EYjaf]K]jna[]k$ oYkdakl]\gfl`]Dgf\gfKlg[c=p[`Yf_] DK=!afEYj[`*(),& L`akoYkafdaf]oal`Yf]e]j_af_lj]f\Yegf_l`]E=F9 [gjhgjYl]k^gjafl]jfYlagfYddaklaf_$hjaeYjadqlggn]j[ge]l`]dY[c g^daima\alqaf\ge]kla[klg[c]p[`Yf_]^gjZ]ll]jnYdm]& 1 0 Volume (No. of IPOs) Kgmj[]2RYoqY$E]j_]jeYjc]lYf\L`gekgfGf 9dl`gm_`AHGkafE=F9`Yn]kladdfglj]Y[`]\l`]hj]%ÕfYf[aYd [jakakd]n]dkg^*((/$l`]j]`YkZ]]fYfglYZd]aehjgn]e]flaf h]j^gjeYf[]afl`]j]_agf&L`]ngdme]Yf\\]Ydkar]k`go]\Y kl]Y\qaehjgn]e]flgn]jl`]q]Yjk&I)*(),oYkgf]l`]Z]kl h]j^gjeaf_ÕjklimYjl]jkafl`]dYkl^gmjq]Yjkafl]jekg^fmeZ]j g^\]Ydk$eYl[`af_l`Ylg^*()+$Yf\l`]k][gf\Z]klh]j^gjeaf_ imYjl]jafnYdm]& MENA IPO — quaterly activity (Q1 2011–Q1 2014) 12 $1,621.0 $1,283.8 $1,297.1 1,500 9 6 1,000 500 0 $374.8 $218.9 2 Q2-11 Q3-11 4 $226.1 Q4-11 $82.8 Q1-12 Q2-12 $252.3 $339.8 3 1 Q3-12 Q4-12 Capital raised (US$b) 5 6 Q1-13 $482.6 Q2-13 4 5 $150.7 2 Q3-13 10 8 $817.7 4 6 3 $24.1 Q1-11 10 No of IPOs Capital (US$m) 2,000 2 Q4-13 0 Q1-14 Volume (No. of IPOs) Kgmj[]2RYoqY$E]j_]jeYjc]lYf\L`gekgfGf Global IPO — quaterly activity (Q1 2011–Q1 2014) 500 80 296 400 291 326 255 300 242 40 191 204 200 205 239 202 200 163 20 Volume Capital (US $bn) 383 60 100 $46.6 $65.6 $28.6 $29.1 Q1-11 Q2-11 Q3-11 Q4-11 $18.0 $43.8 $29.6 $37.2 $24.4 $46.3 $25.6 $74.9 $44.3 Q4-12 Q1-13 Volume (No. of IPOs) Q2-13 Q3-13 Q4-13 Q1-14 0 0 Q1-12 Q2-12 Capital raised (US$b) Q3-12 Kgmj[]2RYoqY$E]j_]jeYjc]lYf\L`gekgfGf Kljgf__jgol`jgZmklklg[c]p[`Yf_]Zggklafn]klgj[gfÔ\]f[] Kljgf__jgol`Yf\jakaf_]imalqeYjc]lk[gflafm]lg^gkl]jAHG Y[lanalqafE=F9$Ykl`]j]k]]eklg`Yn]Z]]fYhYmk]af^mjl`]j ]k[YdYlagfg^j]_agfYdhgdala[Ydmfj]kll`Yl`Y\o]a_`]\\gof k]flae]flY[jgkkl`]j]_agf& 9[[gj\af_lgl`]dYl]kl=Q;YhalYd;gfÕ\]f[]:Yjge]l]j ;;:! afEYj[`*(),$][gfgea[hjgkh][lkafE=F9`Yn]j]Zgmf\]\Yea\ aehjgn]\hgdala[YdklYZadalq&L`]E=F9[gjhgjYl]d]Y\]jkYj]egj] [gfÕ\]flYZgmlZgl`l`]_dgZYdYf\dg[Yd][gfgea[gmldggcl`Yf l`]qo]j]kapegfl`kY_g& Current state of play — highlights • AHGY[lanalqakha[caf_mhafE=F9$Yf\ak[gfkakl]floal`l`]_dgZYdlj]f\ • I)*(),oYkgf]g^l`]Z]klh]j^gjeaf_ÕjklimYjl]jkafl`]dYkl^gmjq]Yjk • AHGngdme]kYj]YdegklYll`]d]n]dg^hj]%[jakakh]jag\ • =[gfgea[_jgol`Yf\YhYmk]af^mjl`]j]k[YdYlagfaf_]ghgdala[YdlmjZmd]f[]c]]hZmkaf]kk[gfÕ\]f[]]d]nYl]\ MENA IPO Eye Q1 2014 | 3 Key trends impacting MENA IPOs L`]hgdala[YdYf\kg[aYdlmjZmd]f[]afkge]g^l`][gmflja]kafE=F9 af[dm\af_=_qhl$KqjaYYf\DaZqY$`Yn]\]fl]\_jgol`afl`]j]_agf kaf[]*())$Y^l]jk]n]jYdq]Yjkg^jgZmklh]j^gjeYf[]& ?jgol`afl`]gad%]phgjlaf_fYlagfkafE=F9[gfljY[l]\lg*af *()+$o`ad]l`]gad%ja[`?md^;ggh]jYlagf;gmf[ad ?;;!][gfgea]k \][]d]jYl]\ka_faÕ[Yfldq$dg__af_+&/_jgol`[gehYj]\oal`-&* afl`]hj]nagmkq]Yj& L`akoYkeYafdq\m]lgY\][daf]afgad]phgjlj]n]fm]k^jgealk `aklgja[Yd`a_`af*()*$j]kmdlaf_^jgeYeYj_afYd\][daf]af[jm\] gadhjg\m[lagfafKYm\a9jYZaYYf\CmoYalaf*()+&Kladd$Ydd?;; [gmflja]k]p[]hlCmoYalk`go]\`]Ydl`q_jgol`jYl]kdYklq]Yj [gehYj]\oal`egkl\]n]dgh]\][gfgea]k$o`a[`o]j]j][gn]jaf_ ^jgel`]ÕfYf[aYd[jakak&CmoYalÌk?<H_jgol`kdmeh]\lg(&0 af*()+^jge.&*af*()*$aehY[l]\ZqY[gfljY[lagfafalk `q\jg[YjZgfk][lgj& E]Yfo`ad]$af[j]Yk]\_gn]jfe]flkh]f\af_Ydgf_oal`Yj][gn]jq afhjanYl]k][lgj[j]\al_jgol`Zggkl]\l`]fgf%gadk][lgj_jgol`af egklE=F9[gmflja]k& Y-o-y real GDP growth rate Real GDP growth (%) 10 9 8 7 6 5 4.1 4 3.9 3.2 3 2.2 2 1 0 MENA 5.2 3.4 2.0 5.6 3.74.1 2.7 2.7 2.0 1.6 Regional stock exchange take their cue from strong global trend L`]E=F9]imalqeYjc]lkj]eYaf]\jgZmklafj][]flegfl`kYf\$ lYcaf_l`]aj[m]^jgel`]kljgf__dgZYdlj]f\k$[gflafmaf_dYklq]YjÌk kljgf_h]j^gjeYf[]aflg*(),&AfEYj[`*(),$egklj]_agfYd eYjc]lk[dgk]\afl`]j]\[gehYj]\oal`>]ZjmYjq$\m]lgl`] mf[]jlYaflqj]dYl]\lgl`]McjYaf][jakakYf\j]kmdlYflkYf[lagfkgf JmkkaYZql`]MKYf\gl`]jO]kl]jf[gmflja]k& @go]n]j$l`]<mZYaYf\KYm\a9jYZaYfeYjc]lk[gflafm]\lgk`go j]kada]f[]afEYj[`$[daeZaf_-&-Yf\,&(j]kh][lan]dq$[gehYj]\ oal`l`]hjagjegfl`& L`]LY\Yomd9dd%K`Yj]Af\]p[jgkk]\l`]1$,((eYjc$alk`a_`]kl d]n]dkaf[]ea\%*((0$]na\]f[af_l`]`a_`d]n]dkg^Zmkaf]kkYf\ afn]klgj[gfÕ\]f[]afKYm\a9jYZaY&Kgda\]Yjfaf_k_jgol`Yf\l`] Zmad\mhlgl`]Ogjd\=phg*(*(Yffgmf[]e]flhmk`]\l`]<mZYa >afYf[aYdEYjc]lZqYZgml)((q%g%q& E]Yfo`ad]$l`]IYlYj=p[`Yf_]jgk]egj]l`Yf+-q%g%q$Ykl`] ][gfgeq`YkZ]f]Õl]\^jge`m_]af^jYkljm[lmj]kh]f\af_hdYfk j]dYl]\lgl`]>A>9Ogjd\;mhaf*(**& 7.7 5.4 4.6 L`]?;;[gmflja]k`Yn]Z]f]Õl]\^jge`a_`gadj]n]fm]kgn]j l`]hYklk]n]jYdq]Yjk&L`ak`Yk]fYZd]\l`]elghmjkm]Yf ]phYfkagfYjqÕk[Ydhgda[q$d]Y\af_lgeYkkan]af^jYkljm[lmj] kh]f\af_$af[j]Yk]\hjanYl]k][lgjhYjla[ahYlagfYf\$aflmjf$`a_`]j [gjhgjYl]Y[lanalq$]Yjfaf_kYf\[gfÕ\]f[]& 3.9 GCC aggregate market capitalization (US$/m) Q1 2014 Country 1.6 Market cap, March 2014 Market cap, December 2013 % change Quarter On Quarter (q-o-q) CmoYal )(1&. )(-&) ,&+ KYm\a9jYZaY -)*&, ,.-&* )(&) 9Zm<`YZa 0.2 MENA oil exporters 2011 MENA oil importers 2012 GCC 2013e* Non-GCC oil exporters 2014e* Kgmj[]2AE> Fgl]2"]È]ph][l]\ 9[[gj\af_lgl`]AE>$`a_`]jgadhjg\m[lagfYf\af[j]Yk]\ af^jYkljm[lmj]afn]kle]flkYj]dac]dqlghmk`_jgol`afE=F9lg +&*af*(),$[gehYj]\oal`*&*_jgol`af*()+&Gad%\jan]f?;; ?<Hakhjgb][l]\lg_jgo,&)l`akq]Yj$mh^jge+&/af*()+& ))/&/ )(.&. )(&, <mZYa 0,&+ ..&) */&- Qatar )/1&0 )-*&- )/&1 Oman *,&+ *,&- %(&0 Bahrain *(&) )0&/ /&- 1,048.2 938.5 11.7 Total Kgmj[]2?dgZYdJ]k]Yj[` 4 | MENA IPO Eye Q1 2014 L`][geZaf]\eYjc]l[YhalYdarYlagfg^?;;klg[c]p[`Yf_] j]Y[`]\MK)$(,0ZafEYj[`*(),$l`]Za__]kl[gfljaZmlgj ,0&1!Z]af_l`]KYm\aKlg[c=p[`Yf_] LY\Yomd!YlMK-)*&,Z& L`]M9=eYjc]lkY[[gmfl]\^gjY)1&*k`Yj]oal`Y[geZaf]\ eYjc]l[YhalYdarYlagfg^MK*(*Z&IYlYj[dYae]\Y)/&*k`Yj] oal`MK)/1&0Z$o`ad]CmoYal$GeYfYf\:Y`jYaflg_]l`]j Yegmfl]\lgMK)-(&(Z& Attractive valuations and strong corporate earnings keep [gfÔ\]f[]]d]nYl]\ ?;;]imala]k[gflafm]\lgj]eYafYlljY[lan][gehYj]\oal`gl`]j ^jgfla]jYf\c]q]e]j_af_eYjc]lk&AfEYj[`$l`]j]_agfÌkkap klg[c]p[`Yf_]ljY\]\afYhja[]%lg%]Yjfaf_k H=!jYf_]Z]lo]]f 1&.lg)0&/& Corporate earnings 2013 — GCC 60,000 >mjl`]jegj]$l`]Yffgmf[]e]flg^EK;Algmh_jY\]l`]M9=Yf\ IYlYjlg]e]j_af_eYjc]lkklYlmk^jgeBmf]*(),YdkgZggkl]\ hgkalan]k]flae]flafl`]k]eYjc]lk$YlljY[laf_afl]jfYlagfYd afl]j]kl& Gn]jYdd$em[`g^l`]jak]afl`]j]_agfYdklg[c]p[`Yf_]afj][]fl egfl`k[Ye]gfl`]ZY[cg^[gjhgjYl]hjgÕl_jgol`Yf\l`] ]ph][lYlagfkl`Yll`]kmj_]af]Yjfaf_koadd[gflafm]Yk][gfgea]k klYjlj]lmjfaf_lgl`]_jgol`hYl`& Corporate earnings 2013 — growth by GCC country 40% 75,000 <mZYaÌkklg[ceYjc]l`YkYH=jYlagg^)0&/$`a_`]jl`Yfl`]?;;Ìk dYj_]klYf\daima\klg[c]p[`Yf_]$KYm\a9jYZaY&L`akaf\a[Yl]\l`Yl l`]]eajYl]Ìkklg[ck`Yn]klYjl]\lgZ][ge]]ph]fkan]dggcaf_Yl [mjj]fl[gjhgjYl]]Yjfaf_kj]kmdlk&:Yk]\gf<mZYaÌk`a_`H=jYlag$ IYlYjÌkklg[ceYjc]lg^^]jkZ]ll]jghhgjlmfala]koal`YH=jYlagg^ )-&*$Ydl`gm_`l`]]p[`Yf_]akdYj_]dqaddaima\& 20% Total GCC 12.4% Dubai 36.8% US$m Kuwait 45,000 0% 30,000 -20% 23.3% Oman 21.1% Bahrain 18.6% Abu Dhabi 15,000 -40% 0 -60% Qatar Saudi Arabia 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 0.0% 14.5% 9.7% 6.8% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% Y-o-y growth % Kgmj[]2?md^:Yk]Yf\?md^J]k]Yj[` MENA IPO Eye Q1 2014 | 5 ?;;[gjhgjYl]]Yjfaf_kjgk])*&,lgMK.)&0Zaf*()+ÈYdegkl lgl`]hj]%[jakakd]n]dkg^*((/&L`]M9= *)&+!d]\Zq[gfljaZmlaf_ ,&,g^lglYd_jgol`\mjaf_l`]q]Yj&KYm\a9jYZaY #.&0!Yf\ IYlYj #1&/!^gddgo]\$Y[[gmflaf_^gj+&*Yf\)&0j]kh][lan]dq& CmoYal$GeYfYf\:Y`jYafk`go]\q]Yj%gf%q]Yjaf[j]Yk]kg^ *+&+$*)&)Yf\)0&.j]kh][lan]dqaf[gjhgjYl]]Yjfaf_k& Challenges of MENA IPO markets Daima\alqakdaeal]\afegklg^l`]j]_agfÌk]p[`Yf_]k$oal`l`] ]p[]hlagfg^KYm\a9jYZaYYf\CmoYal&L`ak`Yk^gj[]\kge]M9= [gehYfa]klgdYmf[`l`]ajAHGkgfeYjc]lkgmlka\]l`]j]_agf& J]_mdYlgjqj]klja[lagfkYf\kYf[lagfkYj]Yfgl`]jeYbgjgZklY[d] ^gjdaklaf_\ge]kla[Yddq&L`][gf\alagflgÖgYlYld]Ykl--g^k`Yj]k o`]fY[gehYfq_g]khmZda[akg^l]f[gfka\]j]\lgZ]YeYbgj Zdg[cY\]^gjdaklaf_&L`akhgk]kegj]hj]kkmj]gf^YeadqZmkaf]kk]k$ o`a[`Yj]j]dm[lYfllgdgk]eYfY_]e]fl[gfljgdg^l`]ajÕjek& AfKYm\a9jYZaY$l`][gehdaYf[]j]imaj]e]flk[Yfj]kmdlafY dgf_\jYof%gmlhjg[]kk&L`]k]kl]hkYj]Z]af_k]]fYkZ]af_ [meZ]jkge]Yf\lae]%[gfkmeaf_&>gjafklYf[]$l`]Yhhda[Yfl [gehYfa]kYj]j]imaj]\lgkmZealÕfYf[aYdj]lmjfk]n]jqkapegfl`k Yf\j]%kmZealhjghgkYdkaflmf]oal`[`Yf_]kafÕfYf[aYdklYlmk Yf\h]j^gjeYf[]& ;gehYfa]kYj]g^l]ffglj]Y\qlgafljg\m[]l`]d]n]dg^ÕfYf[aYd j]hgjlaf_j]imaj]\Zql`]eYjc]lj]_mdYlgjk& 6 | MENA IPO Eye Q1 2014 L`]nYdmYlagfafj]_agfYdeYjc]lk$hYjla[mdYjdql`]M9=klg[c eYjc]lk$j]Y[`]\j][gj\`a_`kafj][]flegfl`k&L`ak`Ykhml Y\\alagfYdhj]kkmj]gfl`]]eajYl]Ìkklg[c]p[`Yf_]lgk]]ceYbgj 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