GORDON CAPITAL PTY LTD Lvl 9, 440 Collins St, Melbourne, Vic, 3000 Ph: (03) 9607 1371 www.gordoncapital.com.au HEEMSKIRK CONSOLIDATED LIMITED (HSK) UPDATE HEEMSKIRK BANKS ON LETHBRIDGE SALE TO FINANCE MOBERLY DIRECTORS & MANAGEMENT Graham Lenzner, Non-Executive Chairman Peter Bird, Managing Director Garry Cameron, Non-Executive Director William Hansen, Non-Executive Director John Taylor, Non-Executive Director Stephen Gray, Company Secretary Mark Flook, EGM Investments Alan Minty, President - Heemskirk Canada MARKET DATA ASX Code: Current Price 52 wk Range: Market Capitalisation: HSK $0.07 $0.06 - $0.17 ~$10.9 million CAPITAL STRUCTURE (as at 31/01/14) Shares on Issue: Convertible Notes 154.1 million 1.889 million MAJOR SHAREHOLDERS (as at 19/12/13) First Samuel Limited Taurus Funds Management 16.5% 7.0% SHARE PRICE CHART 0.16 0.14 0.12 0.10 0.08 0.06 0.04 Stuart Glazebrook +61 402 216 835 February 2014 Gordon Capital Pty Ltd Heemskirk Consolidated Limited (ASX: HSK) has signed an agreement for the sale of its Lethbridge processing facility and current inventory in Alberta Canada. The sale – yet to be approved by shareholders – will net Heemskirk around A$12 million (pre-tax) inclusive of a cash advance of CAD$250,000. The transaction price was done on a 4x historic EBITDA multiple. Proceeds of the sale, along with Heemskirk’s current A$13 million in liquid assets, puts the company closer to selffunding the CAD$26 million redevelopment of its flagship Moberly Project in Golden, British Columbia, which the company estimates has an NPV of CAD$65 million. The sale of Lethbridge significantly de-risks the financing options for the Moberly Project and is a materially transformative transaction for the company. A successful sale will allow Heemskirk to advance its development and commissioning of Moberly. With a capitalisation of almost A$11 million, Heemskirk will have a cash and liquids war chest of over A$25 million or 2.3x its current market value. Moberly’s attractiveness as a future high-purity hydraulic frac sand producer remains underpinned by sustained strong proppant demand growth from likely end users, industry peer capacity expansion and the rapid acceleration of frac sand as a key cost-effective component of lateral well completions in unconventional energy exploration drilling and production. Source: ASX SENIOR ANALYST KEY POINTS Moberly is expected to produce 300,000 tonnes per year (at current design capacity) from a 32 million tonne resource and with scalable production capacity leveraging off its geographic position adjacent to the Western Canadian Sedimentary Basin and to key road and rail infrastructure. Page 1 of 11 RECENT EVENTS Heemskirk signs Sale Agreement for Lethbridge On January 21 2014 Heemskirk Consolidated (ASX:HSK) announced it had signed a Binding Sale Agreement with Canadian drilling services company Marquis Alliance Energy Group Inc. (a wholly owned subsidiary of TSX-listed Secure Energy Services Inc. [TSX:SES]) for the company’s Lethbridge mineral processing plant in Alberta province Canada. Heemskirk signs agreement to sell Lethbridge for a total consideration of CAD$12 million Total consideration for the sale is CAD$12 million (before tax) with an initial cash payment of CAD$8.44 million plus CAD$3.56 million for the plant’s current inventory of barite, gypsum and zeolite. This transaction is being completed at an historic EBITDA multiple of around 4 times. Included in the sale is the optioned Monitor barite exploration interest in Nevada in the United States. Following an advance of CAD$250,000 from Marquis Alliance, Heemskirk will also be liable to pay a break fee of CAD$500,000 should a superior competing offer from a third party be forthcoming and accepted and Marquis Alliance has not exercised its preemptive right to match any offer. Heemskirk December 2013 Quarterly Report December 2013 quarter industrial minerals production up 51% Industrial minerals revenue up 71% On January 30 Heemskirk Consolidated (ASX: HSK) delivered its December quarter 2013 results. Canadian industrial minerals production up 51% to 27,314 tonnes on the previous corresponding period and up 11% on the September quarter. These were inline with normal seasonal variations and growing demand. Canadian division revenue was up 71% on the December 2012 quarter to CAD$8.9 million and up 12% on the September 2013 quarter, in-line with the seasonal changes and increasing customer demand. Canadian Industrial Minerals Production Revenue Revenue per tonne sold Cost of Sales Cost of Sales per tonne sold Margin Source: Heemskirk Gordon Capital Pty Ltd Tonnes CAD$M CAD$/t CAD$M CAD$/t % DecQ 2013 27,314 8.88 320 8.10 292 9% SepQ 2013 24,580 7.90 311 6.76 266 14% YTD* 2014 27,314 8.88 320 8.10 292 9% YTD* 2013 18,104 5.20 298 4.71 270 9% *September year end Page 2 of 11 Industrial Minerals Product Sales (Tonnes) - 3-Year Historical Track + Current Source: Heemskirk ANALYSIS AND COMMENT Moberly Financing Moves Closer Lethbridge sale de-risks Moberly Project financing The pending sale of Lethbridge is another key milestone toward financing the upgrade and development of Heemskirk’s 100%-owned Moberly Sand Operation in Golden, British Columbia. Redevelopment of the processing facilities at Moberly has been costed at CAD$26 million with expected production of 300,000 tonnes of high purity silica “frac” sand per year (at current steady state design capacity) and is scheduled to take between 9 to 12 months to complete. Since inception Heemskirk has spent CAD$ 4.908 million on exploration and evaluation at Moberly. Moberly project NPV of CAD$65 million On company estimates the redeveloped Moberly project has a net present value of CAD$65 million, post-tax IRR of 32% and a payback period of less than 3 years. The project is expected to generate free cash flow (undiscounted) after tax and capital of ~CAD$180 million over 20 years at current frac sand prices. The project is well sited adjacent to major road & rail networks with the potential to be a key supplier to Chevron:Apache’s Kitimat joint venture LNG project on British Columbia’s western coast which has feeder pipeline networks extending east into areas to the north of Moberly. The company believes that overall demand in the WCSB region remains positive, with estimated frac sand consumption now at 2.5 million tonnes per annum. Gordon Capital Pty Ltd Page 3 of 11 Sales Agreement Timeline Completion of the transaction will be subject to the satisfaction of a number of conditions, including, but not limited to: 1. Marquis Alliance being satisfied with the results of their respective Lethbridge due diligence investigations; Lethbridge sale requires shareholder approval 2. Final Heemskirk Board approvals; 3. Receipt of approval from Heemskirk’s shareholders; and 4. Receipt of all regulatory approvals including the approval of the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX). Heemskirk’s Cash Box Grows Prior to the Lethbridge transaction, Heemskirk had cash and investments of A$13 million or around 120% of its current market capitalisation. Heemskirk's 2013 Cash & Liquid Assets $’000 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 0 2013 Cash and Liquids Project Development Plant & Equipment Finance Core working capital Other working capital Portfolio EBIDTA Corporate EBIDTA Canada EBIDTA 2012 Cash and Liquids Source: Heemskirk 2013 Annual Report Increased cash makes Heemskirk vulnerable to corporate activity Gordon Capital Pty Ltd Whilst the sale of Lethbridge is pivotal to the company in advancing the development of the Moberly Project, it also underscores the vulnerability of the company to corporate predation. Page 4 of 11 Proceeds of the sale of Lethbridge will boost the company’s available liquid assets to more than A$25 million (before tax consideration of Lethbridge sale). Source: Heemskirk reports On current pricing and assumed sale completion Heemskirk will trade at around a 40% discount to its cash backing. Post-transaction, HSK to trade at around 40% discount to cash backing Frac sand peer companies US Silica and Hi-Crush Partners have each highlighted the desire to expand organically and strategically as the demand for frac sand proppants continues to grow across North America. The makes Heemskirk’s war chest extremely attractive to any corporate as they pursue increased market share through acquisition. OUTLOOK Amidst sustained demand for unconventional energy sources proppant demand remains strong, with attractive sales margins driven by logistical proximity dominating corporate transaction opportunities, as oil and gas prices remain low and favour natural frac sand sources over higher cost synthetic alternatives. Proppant demand remains strong and strategic organic growth opportunities dominate corporate activity Heemskirk is well-positioned to capitalise on the sustained interest in strategic frac sand supply sources from the major players and its proximity to end user markets. Growth in drilling activity in the Western Canadian Sedimentary Basin continues along with the development of the Kitimat LNG Project along the coast of British Columbia underpinning the long-term viability and prospectivity of the Moberly Frac Sand Project. Moberly Frac Sand Project Capital expenditure C$M 26.0 Production Rate (Yr 3+) 000t 300.0 Avg Sale Price+ C$/t 140-210 C$M 180.0 IRR % 33.0 Payback Period Yrs 3.0 Mths 9-12 Project Cash flow # Construction Time * + based on current pricing levels in Western Canada # based on initial 20 year mine life at current prices * from development decision Source: Heemskirk Gordon Capital Pty Ltd Page 5 of 11 Resources & Reserves In-situ Identified Mineral Resources of silica suitable for 20-140 mesh frac sand (estimated 64% yield) at 30 June 2013: In-Situ Silica (Frac) Sand Dry tonnes (Mt) Resource Category 2011 2012 2013 Measured 10.8 10.8 10.8 Indicated 21.6 21.6 21.6 Total Measured + Indicated* 32.4 32.4 32.4 *Mineral Resources include that proportion modified to produce Ore Reserves of frac sand. Ore Reserves of silica suitable for 20-140 mesh frac sand, at 30 June 2013: In-Situ Silica (Frac) Sand Reserve Category Dry tonnes (Mt) 2011 2012 2013 Proven 8.9 8.9 8.9 Probable 4.6 4.6 4.6 13.5 13.5 13.5 Total Proven + Probable * *Mineral Resources for frac sand include that proportion modified to produce Ore Reserves. INVESTMENT PROPOSITION Heemskirk is an independent industrial minerals producer. The company’s two 100% controlled operations, Lethbridge and Moberly are located adjacent to some of the world’s biggest and richest shale oil and gas basins in the heart of the Western Canadian Sedimentary Basin and close to vital transport infrastructure. Historically, the company has focussed on raw material production for traditional silica sand usages such as glass making in addition to processing other important minerals such as barite, gypsum and zeolite. The company is now looking to become a major supplier of vital consumable products in the resurgent unconventional oil & gas industry in North America, and in particular western Canada, moving the bulk of its existing silica sand production into the manufacture of hydraulic fracturing “frac” sand which it believes is the key driver in its future development. Low cost redevelopment and easy logistics ensures high margin product capability for Moberly frac sand products Gordon Capital Pty Ltd Through a low cost redevelopment of its existing silica sand plant at Moberly, an unconstrained resource and proximity to critical transport infrastructure, Heemskirk is well placed to capitalise on the sustained strong growth in demand for frac sand products and on its closeness to some of North America’s largest shale gas basins. Page 6 of 11 BUSINESS OVERVIEW & GROWTH PROFILE All of Heemskirk’s current operations are based in Canada and operated by the company’s wholly owned subsidiary Heemskirk Canada which has a regional administrative office in Calgary, supported by a corporate head office located in Melbourne, Australia. The Canadian subsidiary operates the mines and two processing facilities. It has been a producer of industrial mineral products for over 50 years with operations in Lethbridge, Alberta and Golden, British Columbia. Lethbridge was acquired by Heemskirk in 2005 and has been operating for over 60 years. In January 2014, company announced it had entered into an agreement to sell the Lethbridge facility for CAD$12 million. Established in 2005, the Moberly silica sand mine and processing facility near Golden uses ore from a sandy deposit that is 99.5 % pure silica. It produces flint grade silica, silica flour, and other silica products for the oil & gas, oil sands, recreational and landscaping industries. The Moberly operation has a mineral processing facility supplied with raw material from the 100%-owned Moberly Silica Deposit, located adjacent to the Trans-Canada Highway and Canadian Pacific Rail main line. It is also within 12 hours trucking to target market areas extending from southern Saskatchewan (Bakken Basin) to northeast British Columbia (Horn River Basin). The deposit occurs on the flank of Mount Moberly within a near vertical, massive quartzite unit which is at least 200 metres in thickness and has a strike extent of several kilometres. The deposit consists of approximately 1,000 metre strike length of variably altered, friable ('sandy') horizons within the quartzite and has been quarried and processed for over 30 years. Mining has occurred over an approximately 800 metre strike length, 150 metre vertical extent and 200 metres across the deposit. Moberly to produce 300,000 tonnes of product per annum over a current 20 year mine life Amidst the growing market for frac sand use in the unconventional shale gas & oil exploration and production industry, in late 2011 the company concluded an assessment of the Moberly Deposit sand for the production of frac sand following a nominally costed upgrade of the existing facility. The redeveloped plant aims to produce 300,000 tonnes of product per annum from a 32 million tonne resource over a current 20 year mine life plan. Qualititative testing of the Moberly Frac Sand product outlined a suitable medium for hydraulic fracturing purposes with samples produced from the design flowsheet exceeding the technical requirements for frac sand crush strength and chemical conductivity performance for all the likely potential and existing customers with whom Heemskirk has held preliminary discussions. Gordon Capital Pty Ltd Page 7 of 11 Moberly Frac Sand Product Frac sand produced from Moberly will be suitable for the use in oil and gas wells at pressures up to 6,000 psi and well depths greater than 2,500 metres which meets or exceeds the performance characteristics of material from other current domestic producers. Although there are ISO and API standards for the various frac sand properties, there is no overall benchmark for frac sand. Extensive mineralogical and metallurgical test work has indicated that the sands have consistently met or exceeded customer requirements for frac sand: in the 20 mesh to 140 mesh size ranges (0.85mm to 0.106mm) and customer feed-back to date has been positive. The company anticipates production of 20/40; 30/50; 40/70 and 100 mesh products that can be economically and competitively delivered by rail or truck from the plant. Growth market for premium frac sand product The quality of the Moberly product and location make the project competitive in the frac sand market in Western Canada. The large resource and plant site provide scope to expand the operation should market conditions remain supportive. Recent initiatives by major oil and gas companies to develop LNG export facilities on the west coast of Canada to service rapidly growing Asian markets should further support the future of shale gas development in the region. The projects proximity to rail also facilitates easy access to frac sand users in the burgeoning United States market. KEY POINTS • Well Established Operations: Heemskirk Canada has been a producer of industrial mineral products for over 50 years, with operations in Lethbridge, Alberta and Golden, British Columbia. • Excellent Location: The Moberly Silica Sand plant is located on the Trans-Canada Highway and Canadian Pacific Rail Mainline near Golden, British Columbia is within 12 hours trucking to targeted market areas which extend from southern Saskatchewan (Bakken Basin) to northeast British Columbia (Horn River Basin). • High Quality Resource: At the Moberly deposit extensive mineralogical and metallurgical test work has indicated that the silica sand has consistently met or exceeded API RP 56 for “frac sand” and would be suitable for hydraulic extraction use in oil and gas wells at pressures up to 6000 psi and well depths greater than 2,500m. Potential customer feed-back has been positive. • Substantial Resources: As at June 30 2013, the Moberly deposit has an undeveloped resource of more than 30 million tonnes which will sustain the operation significantly beyond its current 20 year production plan. The silica sand meets or exceeds the performance characteristics of material from other current domestic producers. Gordon Capital Pty Ltd Page 8 of 11 • Low Capex: Heemskirk has re-confirmed the C$26 million construction costs for the upgrade to the Moberly for frac sand production. • Strong Cash Position: As at 31 December 2013, the Company had cash and cash equivalents of $7.3 million with a further $6.0 million in equity investments. Total liquid assets of the Company were $13.3 million. Debt (convertible note) was $2.74 million. • Timely Expansion: With the North American (Canada included) oil and gas forecast as accounting for over 50% of domestic energy supply for years to come. The decision to commence the Moberly Frac Sand Project appears well timed and is on plan to provide year-round processing of feedstock and the provision of a complete range of frac sand products. PROFILE Heemskirk Consolidated Limited (ASX: HSK) is an ASX listed, independent industrial minerals producer. The company’s two 100%- owned operations, Lethbridge and Moberly, are located in the heart of the Western Canadian Sedimentary Basin adjacent to some of the world’s biggest and richest shale oil and gas basins. Historically, the company has focussed on raw material production for traditional silica sand usages such as glass making in addition to processing other important minerals such as barite, gypsum and zeolite. The company is now looking to become a major supplier of vital consumable products in the growing unconventional oil & gas industry in North America - and in particular western Canada - moving the bulk of its existing silica sand production at its Moberly project into the manufacture of hydraulic fracturing “frac” sand which it believes is the key driver in its future development. Gordon Capital Pty Ltd Page 9 of 11 FINANCIAL SUMMARY INCOME STATEMENT* FY 11 FY 12 FY 13 Revenue 14.3 18.4 23.6 EBITDA Deprec/Amort Finance Cost PRE TAX PROFIT Tax NET PROFIT -3.3 -0.8 1.6 -10.3 6.9 -3.4 -2.1 -0.8 -0.2 -3.4 1.2 -2.2 -1.9 -0.9 -0.3 -4.3 0.4 -3.9 ($’000) BALANCE SHEET* 2011 ($’000) Current Assets Cash & Equivalents Receivables Inventories 2012 2013 16.7 2.8 4.0 32.4 9.4 1.8 4.5 27.3 8.5 4.0 5.9 25.0 11.7 1.0 9.9 11.2 3.3 10.2 11.7 0.1 11.8 42.3 37.5 36.8 2.8 4.3 1.4 9.1 3.9 5.0 9.6 6.3 5.1 12.2 Shareholders’ Equity 3.0 12.6 29.7 0.2 10.1 27.4 0.0 12.6 24.3 Liabilities & Equity 42.3 37.5 36.8 Non-Current Assets Plant & Equipment Goodwill Other Total Assets Current Liabilities Payables Debt Other Non-Current Liabilities Debt Other ($’000) Net Cash Flow From Operations Net Cash Flow From Investing Net Cash Flow From Financing Net Change In Cash CASH FLOW* FY 11 FY 12 FY 13 -4.3 -0.5 -3.8 39.0 -5.0 2.8 -23.0 -2.0 0.0 11.7 -7.5 -0.9 FY 12 28.7 -36.4 -25.1 60.5 FY 13 28.3 -10.5 -13.2 59.2 KEY RATIOS* (%) FY 11 Revenue Growth -8.9 -92.5 EBITDA Growth EBITDA Margin 61.2 Net Debt/Equity Intang./Equity 57.5 Top 20 Shareholders *September year-end Gordon Capital Pty Ltd Page 10 of 11 GENERAL ADVICE WARNING: The information contained in this Report is only of a general nature and does not constitute personal financial product advice. In preparing the advice no account was taken of the objectives, financial situation or needs of any particular person. Therefore, before acting on the advice readers should consider the appropriateness of the advice with regard to their particular objectives, financial situation and needs. Readers should obtain and consider any relevant Product Disclosure Statements before making any decisions about the subject matter of this Report and should seek independent professional advice. DISCLAIMER: Although every attempt has been made to verify the accuracy of information contained in this Report, Gordon Capital Pty Ltd (Gordon Capital) and Pearce Callahan & Associates Pty Ltd (Pearce) make no warranties about the accuracy or completeness of any advice or information. The officers, agents, related affiliates, related body corporate and employees of Gordon Capital and Pearce accept no liability for any loss or damage whatsoever arising from any investment decisions or use of the information or advice in this Report. All information and advice contained in the Report are subject to change without notice. All investment decisions are subject to risks. Past performance should not be taken as an indication of future performance. Any ‘forward looking statements’ contained in this Report are based on current expectations about future events. Words such as “anticipate”, “believe”, “expect”, “project”, “forecast”, “estimate”, “likely”, “intend”, “should”, “could”, “may”, “target”, “plan” may identify forward looking statements. Such forward looking statements are based on views held at the date of publication of this Report and are not guarantees as to future events. Forward looking statements are subject to risks, uncertainties and other factors beyond the control of Gordon or Pearce. Therefore, actual results may differ from those referred to in such statements. DISCLOSURE: This publication has been prepared by Gordon Capital Pty Ltd, AFS Authorised Representative ASIC No. 338899, as Authorised Representative of Pearce Callahan & Associates, ABN 90 053 868 410, Australian Financial Services Licence No. 288877. The registered office of Pearce Callahan & Associates Pty Ltd is Level 1, 2 Main St, Greensborough, VIC 3088. Please note that Gordon Capital has been retained by HEEMSKIRK CONSOLIDATED LIMITED to provide this report for a fixed fee. Gordon Capital does not provide specific investment recommendations and does not receive any additional benefit for the provision of this report. Gordon Capital aims to provide a balanced and objective analysis in this report. Stuart Glazebrook, the analyst responsible for this report, does not receive any indirect benefits or assistance from Heemskirk Consolidated. Our remuneration is not linked to the views expressed in this report. Please see our Analyst Qualifications and Financial Services Guide, available at www.gordoncapital.com.au or by calling +613 9607 1371 for further information. Gordon Capital Pty Ltd Page 11 of 11
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