October 22, 2014 STCI October 22, 2014 Primary Dealer Ltd. MARKET UPDATE SEBI sold FII unused gilt limits worth Rs 646 Cr at cut off of 30 paise. The cutoff in 13 day term repo auction was 8.20% with the weighted average at 8.26%. The total amount allotted stood at 15,501 Cr. Intraday, RBI announced the conduct of overnight variable rate repo auction for notified amount of Rs 15,000 Cr. Total amount allotted under it was Rs 6,070 Cr with the cutoff at 8.01% and weighted average at 8.06%. RBI infused liquidity to the tune of Rs 20,958 Cr (gross) compared to Rs 9,812 Cr on previous day. Borrowing through MSF was Rs 3,120 Cr on 20-Oct-14 same as compared to Rs. 50 on 21-Oct-14. Call rates closed at a weighted average of 8.64% compared to previous closing of 8.38%. CBLO closed at a weighted average of 8.43% compared to previous closing of 8.36%. Riding on the positive momentum in previous trading session, G-Sec market opened on a steady note. Ushering in of domestic reforms emphasized that the government is committed to walk its talk on reform agenda. Additionally, absence of supply in the truncated week rendered support to the market. The second half of the trading session, however, witnessed choppy movement. Heavy paying pressure in OIS markets weighed in G-Sec market, as with yields rising from their intraday lows. Market wiped all of its intraday gains to end the trading day with edging up of yield curve. The 10 year benchmark 8.40% GS 2024 ended at Rs 100.17 (8.37%), all time high, compared to Rs 100.25 (8.36%) on previous closing. The total volumes reported on NDS-OM stood at Rs 45,345 Cr compared to Rs 29,895 Cr reported previously. The 1 year OIS closed at 8.07% same as previous closing and 5 year OIS closed at 7.54% compared to previous reading of 7.45%. Rupee ended stronger to close at Rs 61.31 against Dollar as compared to previous closing of Rs 61.36/Dollar. The 1 month forward premia closed at 7.76% (7.80%), 6 month closed at 7.73% (7.78%) and 12 month closed at 7.28% (7.42%). Money Market Money Market CBLO Repo Call 21-Oct-14 8.43 8.60 8.64 (Rs. Cr.) 59733.75 30472.18 13969.75 Liquidity Monitor (Rs. Cr.) 22-Oct-14 Inflow Outflow Treasury Bills/ CMBs Coupon Payment SDL Auction/Redemption G-Sec Auction/ Redemption/OMO Net Inflow /outflow 3411 3411 0 Liquidity Operations (Amount in '000 Rs. Crs) 21-Oct-14 20-Oct-14 17-Oct-14 Repo 16-Oct-14 Rev. Repo 14-Oct-14 Term Repo MSF 13-Oct-14 Term Rev Repo 10-Oct-14 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 Please note: The data for MSF and Reverse Repo volume is updated with a one day lag. 1 Short Term Rates MIBOR O/N MIBID O/N 21-Oct-14 8.73 8.69 Previous Close 8.09 8.05 15 Days Ago 6.19 6.07 October 22, 2014 Date 91 Day 182 Day 364 Day 14-Oct-14 8-Oct-14 14-Oct-14 Price 97.93 95.88 92.13 Latest Cut-off Yield Amount Accepted 8.48 9000 8.62 5000 8.57 6000 Previous Cut-off Yield Amount Accepted 8.48 9000 8.66 5000 8.65 6000 Price 97.93 95.86 92.06 G-sec Market Benchmark Securities Security 20-Oct-14 Closing Price Previous Close Closing Yield 8.75 4 Previous Close 8.12% 2020 98.22 98.18 8.49 8.50 8.83% 2023 101.66 101.69 8.56 8.56 8.40% 2024 100.17 100.25 8.37 8.36 8.24% 2027 97.50 97.53 8.57 8.57 8.28% 2027 97.81 97.77 8.56 8.57 8.60% 2028 100.76 100.81 8.50 8.50 9.20% 2030 105.65 105.64 8.54 8.54 2 1 8.50 0 0 0 0 -1 -1 8.25 -2 Closing Yield 9.20% 2030 8.60% 2028 8.28% 2027 8.24% 2027 8.40% 2024 8.83% 2023 8.12% 2020 Movement in Yield (bps) (RHS) Previous Close Top 5 Traded Securities 8.28% 2027 1275 8.27% 2020 1790 8.83% 2023 4570 14615 8.40% 2024 16360 8.60% 2028 0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000 14000 16000 18000 G-Sec Spreads (bps) Spread 21-Oct-14 5-1 -1 10-5 -2 15-10 15 30-15 2 30-10 18 Previous Close -7 -4 16 3 19 15 Day Ago -1 -7 18 3 22 1 Year Avg. -18 -1 27 21 49 CORPORATE BOND Market AAA Corporate Bond Yields and Spread Yield 21-Oct-14 Previous Close 1 Year 8.75 8.75 3 Year 8.77 8.82 5 Year 8.90 8.95 10 Year 8.98 8.98 2 Spread 21-Oct-14 Previous Close 16 11 26 30 33 38 43 45 0 Money Market Asset (CD) Rates (%) 21-Oct-14 1 Month 3 Month 6 Month 9 Month 12 Month 8.48 8.56 8.66 8.77 8.84 Previous Close 8.45 8.56 8.55 8.75 8.90 October 22, 2014 Swap Market OIS-MIBOR MIFOR Swaps 21-Oct-14 8.07 7.64 7.53 7.54 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 5 Year Previous Close 8.07 7.61 7.47 7.45 15 Days Ago 8.45 8.05 7.91 7.86 21-Oct-14 7.95 7.14 7.14 7.21 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 5 Year Spread between 5Y GS and 5Y OIS Previous Close 8.05 7.26 7.29 7.35 15 Days Ago 8.40 7.80 7.77 7.74 Spread between 5Y OIS and 1Y OIS -0.50 1.00 0.95 -0.54 0.95 0.90 0.89 0.86 0.85 -0.60 0.87 -0.62 0.86 0.80 -0.70 -0.71 -0.67 -0.68 0.75 0.70 -0.80 0.65 0.60 14-Oct-14 16-Oct-14 17-Oct-14 20-Oct-14 21-Oct-14 -0.90 14-Oct-14 16-Oct-14 17-Oct-14 20-Oct-14 21-Oct-14 Forex Market Spot Rates USD/INR EUR/USD GBP/USD USD/JPY USD/CNY 21-Oct-14 Previous Close 61.31 1.2750 1.6155 106.81 6.12 61.36 1.2795 1.6145 106.81 6.12 59.00 60.00 61.00 61.35 62.00 61.10 61.31 61.44 61.41 61.84 61.36 63.00 10-Oct- 13-Oct- 14-Oct- 16-Oct- 17-Oct- 20-Oct- 21-Oct14 14 14 14 14 14 14 $/INR 3 Forward Premia (% annualised) 21-Oct-14 1 Month 3 Month 6 Month 9 Month 12 Month 7.76 7.86 7.73 7.46 7.28 Previous Close 7.80 7.90 7.78 7.59 7.42 October 22, 2014 GLOBAL EQUITIES SENSEX NIFTY DJIA S&P 500 NASDAQ FTSE 100 HANG SENG SHANGHAI SE COMP 21-Oct-14 26575.65 7927.75 16399.67 1904.01 4316.07 6267.07 23088.58 2339.66 Previous Close 26429.85 7879.40 16380.41 1886.76 4258.44 6310.29 23070.26 2356.73 FII Inflows (Rs. Cr.) Previous Close 82.75 85.11 87.13 1238.32 3064.90 Forthcoming Auctions Security 91 Day T-bill 182 Day T-bill Equity Debt 21-Oct-14 Purchase 5961 1245 Sale 4425 326 Net 1536 919 Net USD Mn 251 150 gLOBAL COMMODITIES Nymex Crude ($/bbl) Brent Crude ($/bbl) Dubai Crude ($/bbl) Gold ($/oz) LMEX 21-Oct-14 82.71 84.58 86.84 1249.20 3036.90 Date of Auction 22-Oct-14 22-Oct-14 Amount (Rs. Cr.) 9,000 6,000 Government Borrowings Government Borrowing Programme (Rs. Cr.) G-Sec Gross Borrowings for 2014-15 G-Sec Net Borrowings for 2014-15 Redemptions for 2014-15 G-Sec Gross Borrowings till Date G-Sec Gross Borrowing Completed (%) Maturities till date Net G-Sec Borrowings till date Buyback till date 364 Day T-Bill Gross Borrowings till date SDL auction till date Head of Treasury Prasanna Patankar G-sec Trading Desk Manish Jadhwani Nirav Shah Sunny Janyani Adesh Dalal Treasury Sales Siddharth Shah Sandhya Shashi Subodh Kapadekar Saumya Misra Geetika Soni Funding Desk Smita Nair Shyam Margaj 592000 472010 119990 382000 64.53% 83439 298561 18805 82875 103264 Inflation September August July June May April P = Provisional Risk Management Nipun Khanna Rakhi Jain Shweta Pednekar Accounts Neerav Shah Vaishnavi Ghatge Crystal Dsouza Operations M N Suresh Anita Mohite Amit Vira Charmy Jain Naresh Makhija Research Desk Bansi Madhavani Priyanka Sachdeva WPI 2.38% (P) 3.74% (P) 5.41% 5.66% 6.18% 5.55% CPI 6.46% (P) 7.73% 7.96% 7.46% 8.28% 8.59% Delhi Office Satish Sharma Anshul Arora Harish Arora Bangalore Office Mallari Rao K Harshanarayana STCI Primary Dealer Ltd. CIN: U67110MH2006PLC165306 A/B1- 801, A Wing, 8th floor, Marathon Innova, Marathon Next Gen Compound, Off. Ganpatrao Kadam Marg, Lower Parel (w), Mumbai 400013. Dealing Room: (022) 24991094-97, (022) 66202217-20 l Settlements: (022)66202262-64, Fax (022) 66202288 Delhi Office: (011) 47676557-62 l Bangalore Office: (080) 22208891 Please mail your feedback to [email protected] l Website: http://www.stcipd.com THIS COMMUNICATION IS FOR PRIVATE CIRCULATION ONLY. IT IS BASED UPON THE INFORMATION GENERALLY AVAILABLE TO PUBLIC AND CONSIDERED RELIABLE. THIS REPORT DOES NOT CONSTITUTE AN INVITATION OR OFFER TO SUBSCRIBE FOR OR PURCHASE OR SALE OF ANY SECURITY AND NEITHER THIS DOCUMENT NOR ANYTHING CONTAINED HEREIN SHALL FORM THE BASIS OF ANY CONTRACT OR COMMITMENT WHATSOEVER WITH STCI PRIMARY DEALER. 4
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