PLN COMMITMENT in RENEWABLE ENERGY

PLN COMMITMENT in RENEWABLE ENERGY DEVELOPMENT
towards
ACCHIEVING NEW &RENEWABLE ENERGY TARGET
Moch. Sofyan
[email protected]
Head of New & Renewable Division
of PT PLN (Persero)
INDONESIA EBTKE CONEX 2014
Jakarta, june 4, 2014
11
Electricity Demand Forecast 2013-2022
High demand growth as of 8.4% annually.
Tahun
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
Demand (TWh)
189
207
226
244
264
284
306
329
356
385
Elec. Ratio ( % )
79.6
82.6
85.9
88.9
91.9
93.7
96.3
96.8
97.4
97.7
2
New Power Plant Capacity Addition (Incl. IPP)
• Total additional capacity until 2022 is
around 59,5 GW.
• Contribution of IPP will be increased.
.
Additional capacity :
CFPP : 37,7 GW
GeoPP: 6,2 GW
CCGT : 4,8 GW
GT/Gas Engine : 3,6 GW
Hidro/Mini Hidro : 7,1 GW
Others : 0,2 GW
3
Generation Mixed Projection
Coal
Coal
214 683 GWh
437 207 GWh
4
Investment for 2013-2022
IPP Investment total share of 43 % ( 58 % IPP share in generation )
20,0
Billion US$
18,0
16,0
14,0
Generation PLN
Generation PLN+IPP
Transmission
Distribution
:
:
:
:
38,1 billion US$
89,9 billion US$
17,4 billionUS$
14,5 billion US$
Total PLN
Total PLN+IPP
: 68,3 billion US$
: 121,8 billion US$
12,0
10,0
8,0
6,0
4,0
2,0
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
Total Investasi PLN+IPP
Total Investasi PLN
Pembangkit PLN+IPP
Transmisi
Distribusi
Pembangkit PLN
2022
55
Additional Capacity of Renewable Energy( RUPTL 2013-2022)
Total Capacity : 14.531 MW ))
3500
Other
Geothermal
MHPP
HEPP
3000
Installed Capacity (MW)
2500
: 1306 MW
: 6060 MWMW
: 1481 MW
: 5684 MW
2000
1500
Other
Geothermal
1000
MHPP
HEPP
500
0
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
Other
54
114
141
94
87
123
158
170
180
185
Geothermal
0
60
30
85
580
495
1665
650
670
1825
MHPP
33
42
96
149
237
192
186
156
190
200
HEPP
0
20
45
0
1381
284
386
1121
1623
824
Year
6
Additional Capacity of Geothermal as of PLN - RUPTL 2013-2022
(Total 6060 MW)
• Most geothermal plants are expected to
be commissioned between 2017 –
2022.
Pengembangan PLTP sesuai RUPTL (2013-2022)
2000
1800
1600
1400
1200
MW 1000
IPP/Liswas
800
PLN
600
400
200
0
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
• Exploration and financing are the critical
factors. Some of those WKP not yet
offered to investors/bidding has not
taken place.
• Strong Regulatory and permits are
required .
• Most geothermal (93%) will be
developed in Java and Sumatra, 89 %
will be developed by IPP.
RENCANA TAMBAHAN KAPASITAS PLTP MASUK SISTEM PLN SESUAI RUPTL 20132022
TAHUN
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
SUMATRA
0
0
0
55
330
445
JAWA-BALI
0
55
30
30
225
0
LUAR JBS
0
5
0
0
25
50
TOTAL
0
60
30
85
580
495
KOMULATIF
0
60
90
175
755
1250
2019
360
1275
30
1665
2915
2020
490
110
50
650
3565
2021
405
220
45
670
4235
2022
770
855
200
1825
6060
TOTAL
2855
2800
405
6060
7
Hydropower Development Plan
( Add. Capacity : 5.684 MW + 1.480 MW small Hydro )
1400
Installed Capacity (MW)
1200
1000
800
Java-Bali
West Indonesia
600
East Indonesia
400
200
0
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
Year
• FTP II (11 projects with total 1753 MW)
o PLN Projects : 3 large hydro power projects with the total 1269 MW (174 MW
under construction, 1040 MW Pre construction and 55 MW under study and design)
o IPP Projects : 8 large hydro power projects with the total 484 MW (45 MW HEPP
under construction)
• Non FTP II :
o 4 PLN’s hydropower projects (266.4 MW) under construction
o 4 IPP’s hydropower projects (1,409 MW) under PPA negotiation
o 42 Mini hydro ( PLN & IPP ) projects (190 MW) under construction
Hydropower Development Status
Construction (1,525.4MW), PPA nego (1,819 MW) & Study/Design (2,131 MW)
ACEH( 144 MW )
ACEH ( 86.4 MW )
1. PEUSANGAN 1&2 (86.4 MW)
1. WARSAMSON (46.5 MW)
2. ORYA-2 (10 MW)
NORTH SUMATERA ( 219 MW )
NORTH SUMATERA ( 589 MW )
1. ASAHAN III (174 MW)
2. WAMPU (45 MW)
1. BATANG TORU (550 MW)
2. HASANG (39 MW)
WEST SUMATERA ( 52 MW )
1. MASANG-2 (52 MW)
PAPUA( 56.5 MW )
1. PEUSANGAN IV (85 MW)
2. MEUREBO-2 (59 MW)
SOUTH & WEST SULAWESI( 640 MW )
PAPUA ( 70 MW )
1. MALEA (90MW)
2. BONTOBATU (100 MW)
3. KARAMA ( 450 MW )
NORTH SUMATERA ( 90 MW )
1. GENYEM (20 MW)
2. BALIEM (50 MW)
MOLUCCU ( 54 MW )
1. SIMANGGO-2 (90 MW)
1. TALA (54 MW)
KALIMANTAN ( 313 MW )
1. KUSAN (65 MW)
2. NANGA PINOH (98 MW)
3. KELAI (150 MW)
JAMBI ( 350 MW )
JAVA( 1,094 MW )
1. MERANGIN (350 MW)
1.
2.
3.
4.
KARANGKATES 4&5 (100 MW)
KESAMBEN (32 MW)
KALIKONTO (62 MW)
MATENGGENG PS (900 MW)
LAMPUNG( 56MW )
1. SEMANGKA(56MW)
WEST JAVA ( 1,150 MW )
1. UPPER CISOKAN PS (1,040 MW)
2. JATIGEDE (110 MW)
SULAWESI ( 437 MW )
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
SAWANGAN (12 MW)
BAKARU II (126 MW)
POKO (234 MW)
KONAWE-1 (50 MW)
WATUNOHU (15 MW)
NUSA TENGGARA( 34.5 MW )
1. WAI RANCANG (16.5 MW)
2. BEH-1 (18 MW)
TAHAP KONSTRUKSI
WEST JAVA( 40 MW )
1. RAJAMANDALA (40 MW)
NEGOSIASI PPA
TAHAP STUDY /
DESIGN
9
Key Issues
Strong Regulatory
• Permits, integrated planning
• Land compensation
• Social issues
• Project Developer Qualification
Financing and tarif
• Subsidy policy.
• Electricity tariff (automatic adjusted mechanisme to customer )
• Risk allocation ( exploration risk in Geothermal )
• Incentives ( taxes, fiscal )
Sector Restructuring
• Power wheeling
• Business model
HRD & Technology support
• HRD and Domestic industry support
• Grid integration for intermittent power
• Utilization of CPO for Diesel Generator
11
Thank You
12