PLN COMMITMENT in RENEWABLE ENERGY DEVELOPMENT towards ACCHIEVING NEW &RENEWABLE ENERGY TARGET Moch. Sofyan [email protected] Head of New & Renewable Division of PT PLN (Persero) INDONESIA EBTKE CONEX 2014 Jakarta, june 4, 2014 11 Electricity Demand Forecast 2013-2022 High demand growth as of 8.4% annually. Tahun 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Demand (TWh) 189 207 226 244 264 284 306 329 356 385 Elec. Ratio ( % ) 79.6 82.6 85.9 88.9 91.9 93.7 96.3 96.8 97.4 97.7 2 New Power Plant Capacity Addition (Incl. IPP) • Total additional capacity until 2022 is around 59,5 GW. • Contribution of IPP will be increased. . Additional capacity : CFPP : 37,7 GW GeoPP: 6,2 GW CCGT : 4,8 GW GT/Gas Engine : 3,6 GW Hidro/Mini Hidro : 7,1 GW Others : 0,2 GW 3 Generation Mixed Projection Coal Coal 214 683 GWh 437 207 GWh 4 Investment for 2013-2022 IPP Investment total share of 43 % ( 58 % IPP share in generation ) 20,0 Billion US$ 18,0 16,0 14,0 Generation PLN Generation PLN+IPP Transmission Distribution : : : : 38,1 billion US$ 89,9 billion US$ 17,4 billionUS$ 14,5 billion US$ Total PLN Total PLN+IPP : 68,3 billion US$ : 121,8 billion US$ 12,0 10,0 8,0 6,0 4,0 2,0 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Total Investasi PLN+IPP Total Investasi PLN Pembangkit PLN+IPP Transmisi Distribusi Pembangkit PLN 2022 55 Additional Capacity of Renewable Energy( RUPTL 2013-2022) Total Capacity : 14.531 MW )) 3500 Other Geothermal MHPP HEPP 3000 Installed Capacity (MW) 2500 : 1306 MW : 6060 MWMW : 1481 MW : 5684 MW 2000 1500 Other Geothermal 1000 MHPP HEPP 500 0 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Other 54 114 141 94 87 123 158 170 180 185 Geothermal 0 60 30 85 580 495 1665 650 670 1825 MHPP 33 42 96 149 237 192 186 156 190 200 HEPP 0 20 45 0 1381 284 386 1121 1623 824 Year 6 Additional Capacity of Geothermal as of PLN - RUPTL 2013-2022 (Total 6060 MW) • Most geothermal plants are expected to be commissioned between 2017 – 2022. Pengembangan PLTP sesuai RUPTL (2013-2022) 2000 1800 1600 1400 1200 MW 1000 IPP/Liswas 800 PLN 600 400 200 0 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 • Exploration and financing are the critical factors. Some of those WKP not yet offered to investors/bidding has not taken place. • Strong Regulatory and permits are required . • Most geothermal (93%) will be developed in Java and Sumatra, 89 % will be developed by IPP. RENCANA TAMBAHAN KAPASITAS PLTP MASUK SISTEM PLN SESUAI RUPTL 20132022 TAHUN 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 SUMATRA 0 0 0 55 330 445 JAWA-BALI 0 55 30 30 225 0 LUAR JBS 0 5 0 0 25 50 TOTAL 0 60 30 85 580 495 KOMULATIF 0 60 90 175 755 1250 2019 360 1275 30 1665 2915 2020 490 110 50 650 3565 2021 405 220 45 670 4235 2022 770 855 200 1825 6060 TOTAL 2855 2800 405 6060 7 Hydropower Development Plan ( Add. Capacity : 5.684 MW + 1.480 MW small Hydro ) 1400 Installed Capacity (MW) 1200 1000 800 Java-Bali West Indonesia 600 East Indonesia 400 200 0 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Year • FTP II (11 projects with total 1753 MW) o PLN Projects : 3 large hydro power projects with the total 1269 MW (174 MW under construction, 1040 MW Pre construction and 55 MW under study and design) o IPP Projects : 8 large hydro power projects with the total 484 MW (45 MW HEPP under construction) • Non FTP II : o 4 PLN’s hydropower projects (266.4 MW) under construction o 4 IPP’s hydropower projects (1,409 MW) under PPA negotiation o 42 Mini hydro ( PLN & IPP ) projects (190 MW) under construction Hydropower Development Status Construction (1,525.4MW), PPA nego (1,819 MW) & Study/Design (2,131 MW) ACEH( 144 MW ) ACEH ( 86.4 MW ) 1. PEUSANGAN 1&2 (86.4 MW) 1. WARSAMSON (46.5 MW) 2. ORYA-2 (10 MW) NORTH SUMATERA ( 219 MW ) NORTH SUMATERA ( 589 MW ) 1. ASAHAN III (174 MW) 2. WAMPU (45 MW) 1. BATANG TORU (550 MW) 2. HASANG (39 MW) WEST SUMATERA ( 52 MW ) 1. MASANG-2 (52 MW) PAPUA( 56.5 MW ) 1. PEUSANGAN IV (85 MW) 2. MEUREBO-2 (59 MW) SOUTH & WEST SULAWESI( 640 MW ) PAPUA ( 70 MW ) 1. MALEA (90MW) 2. BONTOBATU (100 MW) 3. KARAMA ( 450 MW ) NORTH SUMATERA ( 90 MW ) 1. GENYEM (20 MW) 2. BALIEM (50 MW) MOLUCCU ( 54 MW ) 1. SIMANGGO-2 (90 MW) 1. TALA (54 MW) KALIMANTAN ( 313 MW ) 1. KUSAN (65 MW) 2. NANGA PINOH (98 MW) 3. KELAI (150 MW) JAMBI ( 350 MW ) JAVA( 1,094 MW ) 1. MERANGIN (350 MW) 1. 2. 3. 4. KARANGKATES 4&5 (100 MW) KESAMBEN (32 MW) KALIKONTO (62 MW) MATENGGENG PS (900 MW) LAMPUNG( 56MW ) 1. SEMANGKA(56MW) WEST JAVA ( 1,150 MW ) 1. UPPER CISOKAN PS (1,040 MW) 2. JATIGEDE (110 MW) SULAWESI ( 437 MW ) 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. SAWANGAN (12 MW) BAKARU II (126 MW) POKO (234 MW) KONAWE-1 (50 MW) WATUNOHU (15 MW) NUSA TENGGARA( 34.5 MW ) 1. WAI RANCANG (16.5 MW) 2. BEH-1 (18 MW) TAHAP KONSTRUKSI WEST JAVA( 40 MW ) 1. RAJAMANDALA (40 MW) NEGOSIASI PPA TAHAP STUDY / DESIGN 9 Key Issues Strong Regulatory • Permits, integrated planning • Land compensation • Social issues • Project Developer Qualification Financing and tarif • Subsidy policy. • Electricity tariff (automatic adjusted mechanisme to customer ) • Risk allocation ( exploration risk in Geothermal ) • Incentives ( taxes, fiscal ) Sector Restructuring • Power wheeling • Business model HRD & Technology support • HRD and Domestic industry support • Grid integration for intermittent power • Utilization of CPO for Diesel Generator 11 Thank You 12
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