Universität Wien WS 2016/17 Fakultät für Mathematik Prof. Walter Schachermayer Ludovic Tangpi Mathematical Finance 1 Exercise sheet 4 Throughout this exercise sheet, (Ω, F, P ) is supposed to be a finite probability space. 1. Solve Exercise 3 of Sheet 3. 2. Let X be a random variable in L(Ω, F, P ) and {Ai , i ∈ {1, . . . , n}} a partition of Ω with P (Ai ) > 0. Let G denote the σ-algebra generated by {Ai , i ∈ {1, . . . , n}}. (i) Show that the conditional expectation E[X | G] of X with respect to G is given by n X E[X1Ai ] E[X|G] = 1Ai . P (Ai ) i=1 (ii) Let Ω := {ω1 , . . . , ω6 }, F = P(Ω), the power set. Put P (ωi ) = 1/8 for i = 1, . . . , 4 and P (ωi ) = 1/4 for i = 5/6 and G := {∅, Ω, {ω1 , ω2 }, {ω3 , . . . , ω6 }} and X(ωi ) = i. Compute E[X | G]. 3. Let X, Y be a random variables in L(Ω, F, P ) and H ⊂ G ⊂ F. Prove the following properties of the conditional expectation: E[E[X|G]] = E[X], E[aX + b|G] = aE[X|G] + b, a, b ∈ R X ≤ Y ⇒ E[X|G] ≤ E[Y |G], E[E[X|G]|H] = E[X|H].
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