BECC 2016 Conference JYUKANKYO RESEARCH INSTITUTE INC. Home Energy Report Pilot: Large-scale look at consumer behavior in Japan 21 Octorber 2016 Renaissance Baltimore Harborplace Hotel Sho Hirayama Jyukankyo Research Institute Inc. Residential Energy Consumption in Japan JYUKANKYO RESEARCH INSTITUTE INC. 95 Other Less Than Half Water Heating Space Heating 10% Down 45 40 Space Cooling US (2009) Japan (2010) Japan (2014) Final Energy Use per Household (GJ/year) (Source) U.S. Energy Information Administration, Residential Energy Consumption Survey. Japan: Jyukankyo Research Institute Inc., "Residential Energy Statistics Yearbook" Japanese household use less than half of energy compare to US in 2010. After Fukushima accident, that decreased by 10% via voluntary consumer behaviors. Is Home Energy Report (HER) still effective even in Japan? © 2016 Jyukankyo Research Institute Inc. 1 Outline of the Study JYUKANKYO RESEARCH INSTITUTE INC. Intervention Dec. 2015 – Jan. 2016 Usage Comparison Telephone Survey Dec. 2015–Feb. 2016 Feb. 2016 Random Assignment (min-max t-statistic randomization method) Target Population Treatment (20,600ss) Treatment Effect kWh Treatment (1,000ss) kWh Mail HERs Based on Electricity Usage Data kWh Treatment Control Control (20,600ss) No Report kWh Impact Evaluation via Randomized Control Trial (RCT) Control (500ss) ① 41,200 households were randomly assigned to treatment and control groups. ② HERs were mailed twice to the treatment group during winter. ③ Saving impact was analyzed by comparing electricity usage across both groups. ④ EE awareness and behaviors were measured via a phone survey. © 2016 Jyukankyo Research Institute Inc. 2 Neighbor Comparison in Japanese Version HER JYUKANKYO RESEARCH INSTITUTE INC. Mostly same as US, smiley faces are modified © 2016 Jyukankyo Research Institute Inc. 3 Energy Efficiency Tips Used in Hokuriku Pilot JYUKANKYO RESEARCH INSTITUTE INC. 6 tips are selected for Hokuriku’s winter A modern Japanese kotatsu (Source) http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Kotatsu-tastefulTN.jpg Close window shades to prevent cold air Use energy-efficient light bulbs Set the temperature of heating appliances relatively low © 2016 Jyukankyo Research Institute Inc. 4 Estimated Program Savings Impact JYUKANKYO RESEARCH INSTITUTE INC. Monthly Savings Rate (with 95% confidence interval) 2.0% 0.9% after 1 month 1.5% 1.2% after 2 months 1.2% 1.5% 1.2% 0.9% 1.0% 0.9% 0.5% 0.4% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% -0.5% -0.3% December-15 January-16 February-16 (1st HER mailed) (After 1 month) (After 2 months) Note: Monthly Savings Rate (%) = Decrease rate of Treatment group’s electricity usage compare to control group calculated via Panel Data Regression Analysis. © 2016 Jyukankyo Research Institute Inc. 5 Comparison of EE impact in Hokuriku with Other Opower’s programs JYUKANKYO RESEARCH INSTITUTE INC. 3.5% Monthly Savings Rate 3.0% Hokuriku Consumers Respond more Quickly than others we would expect 1.5~2% range by the second year 2.5% 2.0% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.0% -0.5% Hokuriku North America Europe Asia 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 Program Age (months) • Hokuriku consumers respond more quickly than other programs. • If the program were to continue, we would expect steady savings in at least the 1.5~2% range by the second year. © 2016 Jyukankyo Research Institute Inc. 6 Energy Efficiency Behaviors’ Frequency カーテ ンを閉 めて冷 気遮断 JYUKANKYO RESEARCH INSTITUTE INC. Close window shades Recipients (n=1000) to prevent cold air Controls (n=500) 58% 暖房器 具の設 定温度 を低め に 39% スイッチ 窓やド 付タップ 冷蔵庫 アまわ 省エネ で家電 の設定 りのす 型の照 のスイッ 温度調 き間を 明を使 チを切 節 用 る ふさぐ Set the temperature of heating Recipients (n=1000) appliances relatively low Controls (n=500) Cover the gap under Recipients (n=1000) windows / doors to prevent draft Controls (n=500) Adjust the refrigerator Recipients (n=1000) temperature Controls (n=500) 0% 15% 38% 23% 31% 11% 29% 15% 28% 14% 20% 7% 22% 17% 10% +4% * 18% 24% 19% +9% ** 22% 45% Turn off electronics Recipients (n=1000) with a tapped switch Controls (n=500) Use Recipients (n=1000) energy-efficient light bulbs Controls (n=500) 12% 10% Always - 5 8% Most of the time- 4 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% Note: ** P<0.05, * P< 0.1 • HERs Recipients have a high frequency of all EE Behaviors compared to Controls. © 2016 Jyukankyo Research Institute Inc. 7 Energy Efficiency Attitudes 省エネ効 ご家庭 果がある の月々 のなら多 ご家庭で 自分の の電気 日ごろか 住まいを 料金が 少の出 省エネに 費や手 つながる もっと省 らご家庭 省エネに どの程 間をかけ 取り組み エネ上手 で省エネ すること 度か把 ても構わ をしてい になりた を意識し は大切 握してい ない る る だ い ている JYUKANKYO RESEARCH INSTITUTE INC. I know monthly electricity bill for my home Recipients (n=1000) It’s important to be that my home is energy efficient Recipients (n=1000) I am usually conscious about saving energy at home Recipients (n=1000) I want to be better at saving energy Recipients (n=1000) I am doing something to save energy at home Recipients (n=1000) Controls (n=500) 17% I would spend some money or do something for energy saving Recipients (n=1000) 19% 76% Controls (n=500) 72% 15% 56% Controls (n=500) 21% 48% 25% 31% 27% 36% Controls (n=500) 21% 28% 24% 21% 12% +5% * 24% 36% Controls (n=500) Controls (n=500) 12% +6% ** 19% 23% 14% 20% Strongly Agree - 5 Agree- 4 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Note: ** P<0.05, * P< 0.1 • HERs Recipients strongly agreed to all EE Attitudes compared to Controls. • HERs improved the frequency of EE behaviors and Attitudes. © 2016 Jyukankyo Research Institute Inc. 8 Conclusions & Recommendations JYUKANKYO RESEARCH INSTITUTE INC. • Conclusions – HERs recipients (treatment group) lowered their usage 1.2% on average compared to control group. – HERs improved the frequency of EE Behaviors & EE attitudes. • Future Issues – Continued Measurement of Long-Term Impact of Behavioral EE Programs. – Evaluating Impact in other parts of Japan and other seasons. Thank you! © 2016 Jyukankyo Research Institute Inc. 9 Acknowledgment JYUKANKYO RESEARCH INSTITUTE INC. • This study (“2015 Research Report on the Effects of EnergyUsage Information Provision on Residential Behavioral Energy Efficiency”) was commissioned by the Japanese Ministry of Economy, Trade & Industry (METI) and carried out jointly by Jyukankyo Research Institute, Inc., Opower Japan, and Hokuriku Electric Power Company. • The full report (Japanese) can be found here: http://www.meti.go.jp/meti_lib/report/2016fy/000233.pdf © 2016 Jyukankyo Research Institute Inc. 10
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